US Politics, December 2022: "They're now the working class party, man."

Harris has gotta fire her comms team

NEW -- Doug Emhoff embraces the burden of being the most prominent Jew in American politics.

from me and @EugeneDaniels2 https://t.co/x5JewLXb6I

— Sam Stein (@samstein) December 6, 2022

Tulsi will probably take a shot on live TV tonight

holy shit, Warnock up 57-43

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/116564/web.307039/#/summary

Don’t post shit like that with 8% of precincts reporting, ffs

This is going to be a close runoff result, perhaps closer than the Warnock +3 rough polling consensus. But you'd still much rather be Warnock (D) than Walker (R) right now. #GASEN

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) December 7, 2022

Early vote reporting was always going to swing hard to Warnock.

sadly the betting markets already know where the bread is buttered and are already 90/10 Warnock. nary a dollar for me to make now (I forgot to do it earlier)

NATHANIEL RAKICH
DEC. 6, 7:58 PM
Let’s take a step back and look at the big picture. With 40 percent of the expected vote reporting, Warnock leads Walker 55 percent to 45 percent statewide. According to The New York Times, the missing votes are mostly in north Georgia (Republican) and metro Atlanta (Democratic).

GEOFFREY SKELLEY
DEC. 6, 8:04 PM
To echo what Nathaniel just said, we’ve got 22 counties now with 95 percent reporting — mostly solidly red rural counties — and Walker is doing 0.1 percentage points better in margin across all those places than in November. The thing is, he trailed Warnock by about 1 point in the initial vote overall, so he needs that to improve more as we get fuller results.

sorry silby! you are correct

lol the NYT Is doing the stupid needle for this one race

Gonna need a needle in my arm tbh

I've seen enough.

Pat Buchanan wins the Senatorial race

Oconee and Glynn counties, where all the vote has come in and where he's won, Walker has run below his November numbers.

lol The Needle has been "paused" while they "investigate" a "data issue"

I’ve seen enough

*puts out eyes with NYT needle, exeunt led by servanta*

I've seen enough: Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) defeats Herschel Walker (R) in the #GASEN runoff, giving Democrats a 51-49 majority in the Senate.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) December 7, 2022

!

did not think it was gonna be called this early

Was about to post that.

As Wasserman cautions in the tweets after that, he doesn't make official "calls" on behalf of any news orgs, it's just the conclusion that he's drawn from looking at the data. But he's pretty good at it.

decision desk also projected warnock

(does wasserman work for decision desk?)

No, Cook.

To my eye, Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) is on track to prevail by 2-4 pts. By the standard of the 2021 runoffs, that's a Democratic blowout. #GASEN

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) December 7, 2022

Warnock’s only 53, the timing will be good for him to make a presidential run or be a running mate in 2028 when his term expires

Warnock/Fetterman ‘28

Would pay, I dunno, 35 cents to see a primary debate between Warnock, Fetterman, Buttigieg, Sinema, Crist, and Sanders

(and Harris; sorry, thought I'd included her in the list)

Whitmernock

Finally can stop posting this for two years

No one has “taken the lead” or “fallen behind.” The votes were all cast; now we’re just counting in no particular order.

— Steve Vladeck (@steve_vladeck) December 7, 2022

BREAKING: Democratic incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock wins the Georgia Senate runoff, defeating Republican challenger Herschel Walker, CBS News projects. Democrats now hold a Senate majority of 51 seats. https://t.co/MpvceWK91y pic.twitter.com/RvrBw5QW1c

— CBS News (@CBSNews) December 7, 2022

Kinda feel bad for Tommy Tuberville, who is now officially the dumbest motherfucker in the Senate with little chance of relinquishing that title anytime soon.

if Herschel knew how to count he'd be very upset right now!!

Aw, poor Joe

Permitting reform left OUT of NDAA, as expected. Manchin/Schumer/Pelosi/Biden effort to pass energy permitting reform crashes for the second time in three months thanks to opposition from Republicans and progressives

— Joshua Siegel (@SiegelScribe) December 7, 2022

Too bad the House went Republican just as the Democrats picked up the 51st Senate seat. Congressional dysfunction is still assured for two more years. But maybe we'll all finally get to see Hunter's dick pics, so there is that.

Herschel was traded to another state for draft picks

Aimless it's really about the judiciary at this point afaict, which is no small beer

Do we have a Germany thread?

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/07/world/europe/germany-coup-arrests.html

I'm no political expert, but it remains perplexing how much support Trump and his menagerie of weirdoes still get from purportedly mainstream GOP figures, when it's pretty clear that running more "normal" Republicans would likely win more elections. I'm fine with them fucking it up, I just can't figure it out. Maybe they are literally afraid for their lives?

Oh, not totally unrelated: I was reading about the Great 2022 GOP Cat Litter Scare, and how (I think) Joe Rogan walked back his own support for the stupid rumor. This particular article, though, mentioned that they had followed up with every single school associated with a stupid cat litter rumor, and of course they all denied it and said it was totally stupid and made up ... except one: Columbine. “The district — where Columbine High School is located — has been stocking classrooms with small amounts of cat litter since 2017, but as part of ‘go buckets’ that contain emergency supplies in case students are locked in a classroom during a shooting.” That's just the kind of dark twist this (non) story deserved.

o_0

I'm no political expert, but it remains perplexing how much support Trump and his menagerie of weirdoes still get from purportedly mainstream GOP figures, when it's pretty clear that running more "normal" Republicans would likely win more elections. I'm fine with them fucking it up, I just can't figure it out. Maybe they are literally afraid for their lives?

― Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, December 7, 2022 7:51 AM (thirty-five minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

obviously they've tried to paper over this but a lot of them really were spooked after 1/6. that said I think the big thing is that Trump is still, for some stupid reason, the most popular figure within the GOP, and he's also petty and vengeful enough to try to ruin the careers of anyone who goes after him. I mean look at what happened to Liz Cheney, or any GOP Senator who had "real concerns" abut the blatantly racist & corrupt stuff Trump was going in the White House.

Kinda feel bad for Tommy Tuberville, who is now officially the dumbest motherfucker in the Senate with little chance of relinquishing that title anytime soon.

I mean, this may just be home-state bias, but here in Tennessee we like to think Marsha Blackburn is a strong contender.

Cindy Hyde-Smith would win if she ever opened her mouth to speak, but....she's too smart for that.

this is Ron Johnson erasure

xp - Good god, the only political adjacent argument I ended up getting in over Thanksgiving was with my mom about that stupid fucking litter thing. She should know better, she's a Trump hater, doesn't watch FOX or CNN or really much cable news, votes blue consistently (at least since 2006ish), but good god. I immediately said, "come on, that's right wing bullshit so they can bitch and moan about trans kids" and she was all, "no, I know someone who knows someone with a kid at that district, it's true!". I kept pushing back and she eventually stormed off pouting, but I couldn't let that one alone.

There was just a long piece on the BBC by way of NPR about the coup attempt in Germany, and as soon as it was over the segue music they picked was Wilco's "Impossible Germany."

https://i.imgur.com/PxxnXoq.jpg

I got into the same argument with a cousin's wife, idk where she's at politically but again it was "no my neighbor's kid says it's true!"

John Oliver had a good point about this, if there really were kids shitting in litter boxes, the whole town would know about it the same day. do these people not know how high schools work?

The only thing I can think is that my mom spends an inordinate amount of time on FB and I'm guessing someone she "trusts" posted it so "it must be true!".

xpost haha, my dad related that one of my cousins said the catgirl/kitty litter in the bathroom thing was happening in the school she teaches in and I asked him for her phone number so I could call her and ask for details, and also get the name of the school so I could call them and ask if it was true. best possible way to get them to stop talking about it... ask for proof.