hurricane coming...

Sorry, all. Hang tight. I can send Campari at a moment's notice.

Nova Scotia got hit hard by a big fuckin storm last weekend (Fiona aftermath) — lowest barometric pressure ever recorded in Canada.

stay safe, florida and coastal friends

Ian's not coming over the top of me anymore, but it is going over Neanderthal.

partner's family lives in Cape Coral, where everything is cul-de-sacs interpenetrating with mazes of canals. we're following everything from afar right now, pretty fuckin bleak tbqh. most of the fam is away on vacation right now, but their little brother and his kid are holed up there somewhere (with his phone off all day, of course). hoping for the best.

yeah, good luck Casino's partner's family! My sister just moved to Cape Coral. She is not there now so that's one less worry. I spent a day at Boca Grande last year, pretty beach and cute town.

we're doing ok - thankfully it's supposed to weaken a lot, looking like upper trop force winds/hurricane gusts. not gonna be fun, but it's what it is. more worried about my aunt, who is in Ft Myers and got thwacked today, but I know she has been hit hard before and knows what to do. still - the videos are concerning in many coastal/low-lying areas (which she's not, thankfully).

hope you're ok Chris, and that your partner's family is ok, Doc.

Alfred, don't even have to ask, I know you're busting out the Campari.

heard reports of a 12-16 ft. Campari surge, look out.. it's gonna get sticky

in typical Florida fashion, I've already seen Floridians scream "fake news" because the winds aren't 140 mph where they are.

the rain is what's really gonna suck

Miami has been fine since last night. A blustery day with a few rough rain bands that exhaust themselves after five minutes.

My favorite Argentine restaurant -- my Cheers in case anyone visits -- announced it would shut down at 7 p.m. after I was the only customer for three hours.

Donde todos saben su nombre?

Holy...

Veremos muchos vídeos del azote del Huracán Ian a Florida, pero pocos serán tan aterrorizantes como este😱😵😳. Dura pocos segundos.
Vía Alexis @comfy_goat.
ADM pic.twitter.com/RPEMpQ1jIV

— CycloforumsPR (@CycloforumsPR) September 28, 2022

People suggesting that might be fake (an old video). Twitter account is brand new and has licensing info in their bio

Door buckled in from water pressure in Naples, FL. This happened to my husband, he is OK. Lost his shoes. #hurricaneian pic.twitter.com/LZRtNsPrAu

— Alexis (@comfy_goat) September 28, 2022

who would be perched behind a door saying "man, gotta turn the camera on in case something crazy and life-threatening happens"?

i am ok btw but I'm not truly in Orlando, worried about Orlando friends. flooding has been very bad in some areas, and one had her car halfway submerged in water.

still have power somehow. so i'm WORKING. :/

ugh -- glad to hear y'all in Sanford are okay. I was going to post a couple hours ago.

sounds like my dad's cousins in Sarasota made it through with only mild debris to clean up

South Carolina seems like next landfall

xp That looked like a security cam.

lol yeah probably

lol at all the tweets from press asking to use the video. vultures.

I'm OK. No damage, lost power briefly and cable gone until noon. There's a smattering of folx around the park who don't have any power, especially the people on the side that have a completely different power hookup (it's complicated, mostly to do with the fallout from someone on that side who had an illegal power tap.)

I'd also canceled my private morning client and moved my afternoon client to Saturday, so I'm completely off today.

I'm thinking my power will start blinking at 3:15, and be completely gone by 3:30.

I expect all of you to back me up as I listed you all as my emergency contacts.

"Sorry, he can't take his dog mask and collar off for the rest of the day."

update: partner's brother and his kid are safe and sound. no power, no comms, but he's got a bunch of bottled water in coolers. by some random chance, theirs is the only house on the block or maybe the neighborhood that didn't get bad damage. great for them, really sad for everybody else. damage and flooding in Cape Coral generally seems very very location-dependent, some areas definitely got it much worse than others. there are definitely significant stretches of Cape Coral and Fort Myers and probably a lot of other places in Southwest Florida that are still currently several feet underwater.

my aunt's roof is almost completely fucked

they just did lengthy repairs on it prior to the storm

comfy goat put that on their established instagram as well. I'd imagine there are a lot of legit new accounts during events like this to share media. I mean who the hell actually tweets in the grand scheme of things? Sure lots of fake junk around as well.

yeah yeah, fuck the Daily Mail but these photos are insane:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11263749/Stunning-aerial-pics-reveal-deadly-hurricane-cut-swath-Florida.html

the american spirit of stubborness is alive in well in...

FOLLY BEACH, S.C. — On Friday morning, most businesses on this South Carolina island were closed. Sandbags were piled at the doors of the shops and restaurants along Center Street, the beach community’s main commercial thoroughfare. Few businesses boarded up their windows, indicating that the primary concern is flooding not wind damage.

“It’s been a regular morning on Folly Beach, so far,” said Lisa Rowland, a clerk at Bert’s Market, one of the island’s only businesses to remain open as the storm’s first bands of wind and heavy rain rolled through. The shop’s tagline is, “We may doze but we never close.”

Ian is expected to make landfall (again) in SC, between Myrtle Beach and Charleston. In their retirement, my parents lived in Pawley's Island, which happens to be _exactly_ where Ian is forecasted to make landfall. they were both climate change deniers (especially my dad, who unfortunately was one of those people who 1)interpreted the bible literally and 2) thought that the rainbow truce that God made with Noah (loosely: Never again will all life be cut off by the waters of a flood; never again will there be a flood to destroy the earth) meant that climate change is a hoax because god already said he wouldn't destroy the earth with water again.

when they lived in Pawley's Island i was in my years of confronting for believing in the bible literally (yes, including the earth is 8000 years old stuff and that dinosaurs and humans walked the earth together, back then. they visited the creation museum in KY and were fucking ecstatic about the evidence they found in there), so when they bought property on the coast of South Carolina i did mention that i thought it was a horrible idea because hurricanes are only going to get more frequent and intense due to that whole climate change thing they refused to believe was happening. it was pretty dumb, of me. typical dumbness coming from me. all sorts of people live on the coast, in areas that are likely to be destroyed at some point. but that's their right. it's their home. after katrina happened i was literally the grad school white guy who was arguing that they shouldn't rebuild NOLA because it was only going to happen again, and that it made no sense to rebuild a city beneath sea level in the exact area where it was going to happen again. i thought logic was on my side and was confused, at the time, that so many of my fellow students seemed disgusted with me. what can i say, i'm fucking terrible. but i do change.

so it's weird to watch Ian approach SC now. after my dad died my mom sold their condo on the beach and moved back to the true inland empire, missouri. if my dad were still alive they'd still have that place, and they'd be working on their preparations now, and i would probably still be angry at life and at them. and then, as almost happens, i'm sure Ian would have miraculously floated right past their condo, as once again the god of the last 8000 years intervened on a direct level in human affairs to save them

Neanderthal, I know you've had a tough week. Still need you to step up and make some Anthrax jokes though.

https://i.imgur.com/mUJDXuX.png

HI DERE

holy shit. i had missed that news. hoping it turns - that's a kind of Pacific coast history I'm sure Californians can do without.

i’d grown up hearing tropical storm only, hurricane impossible, rotation of earth, aleutian/californian current etc. guess that’s what happens when you fuck with the system!

i’m expecting a years worth of rain in a day, but aside from lashing down my big outdoor container plants (ficus tree type stuff) not much prep.

i’m hearing mountains supposedly 4”-8” on saturday? holy fuck it’s going to wash away sixth grade camp

sorry sunday*

Im interested in seeing how this plays out tbh

similar to snow in houston

sometimes it snows in Houston
sometimes it smells so bad

Its like snow in houston strange but fucking beautiful

Thinking of those towns and small cities (Joshua Tree, Barstow) that I'm sure aren't built to run off that much rainfall, let alone much rainfall at all.

i’m hearing mountains supposedly 4”-8” on saturday? holy fuck it’s going to wash away sixth grade camp

I mentioned this on the LA thread, but we got 7" of rain in the heaviest of the January storms. Eastern San Diego county looks like a very bad place to be. Fingers crossed for Slab City

Some light reading: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ARkStorm

I was in Baja California (~750 miles south of San Diego) for Hurricane Odile and that sucked. Similar energy as this one. 4-6" of rain and 100+mph winds.

5 deaths, total damage amounted to MXN$16.6 billion (US$1.25 billion)

The house we were staying at (and evacuated from) was heavily damaged, as was the airport which made getting home a bit of a challenge. The Red Cross helped us with evacuations as roads were flooded/washed out, <3 to those folks.

In typical modern myopia, it was less than 9 years ago.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Odile

my parents go fishing with their retired friends in loreto (not too far from la paz but on the pacific side), worried about the friends in loreto and la paz

sorry i got that scrambled. they go to some no name one horse town on the pacific side from loreto, after flying into to la paz and driving to loreto. geography obviously my worst subject (plus they don’t take the 40 year old kids, old ppl only)

If there's only going to be one hurricane called Hilary you'd think somebody'd put it in the right ocean and aim it at certain parts of Florida like.

I wondering how much more severe this will make the Tulare Lake situation.

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/californias-long-dry-tulare-lake-has-returned-180982507/

I was hearing that the land was too dry to allow any rain to do anything other than run off it. Is it being kept in one place likely to mean anything remotely positive at any point, actually having any effect on aquifers or anything? Or just gradually go stangnant.

old hat for us Floridians by now, never gets less annoying.

wondering how close the intensity forecast will be to what actually happens.

Hopefully be be thus:

actual intensity < fellas, it's too rough to feed ya < fellas, it's been good to know ya