Pretty good
People are asking me why I endorsed the use of "We're Not Gonna Take It" for the Ukrainian people and did not for the anti-maskers. Well, one use is for a righteous battle against oppression; the other is a infantile feet stomping against an inconvenience.— Dee Sniderđșđž (@deesnider) February 27, 2022
― Ned Raggett, Monday, 28 February 2022 02:18 (two years ago) link
This guy gets around. What a guy:
People of the WorldâŠReporting from the Ukraine border! This is one of the places @WCKitchen has hot meals. It is below freezing tonight & I am meeting so many refugees, families who are escaping & donât know whatâs nextâŠWe will do our best not to let them down! #ChefsForUkraine pic.twitter.com/YiEemUfLlC— JosĂ© AndrĂ©s (@chefjoseandres) February 28, 2022
― Josh in Chicago, Monday, 28 February 2022 02:30 (two years ago) link
The part about special operations vs war was interesting in the link Josh shared. Iâd always assumed Russiaâs army was experienced and well updated; and while not wrong - that might not nec help them in Ukraine.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 28 February 2022 03:11 (two years ago) link
The evangelical, hands-across-the ocean Russian pitch upthread seems like something that European and American right-wingers might use along with reminders that Czar-in-training Vladimir is a Christian conservative too--reminding me of this turn in Margaret Talbot's recent New Yorker contextualization of Amy Coney Barrett:If Barrett declines to overturn Roe in the Mississippi case, it could give momentum to conservative scholars and pundits who have already expressed disappointment in originalism. This faction would like to replace it with âcommon-good constitutionalismâ or âcommon-good originalismââapproaches that make no apologies for elevating their versions of morality over othersâ. In a recent manifesto, the legal commentators Hadley Arkes, Garrett Snedeker, and Matthew Peterson, along with the opinion editor of Newsweek, Josh Hammer, argued for aâmore robust jurisprudence rooted in the principles and practices of American constitutionalism before the last century of liberalism began its attempt to remake America.â Judges, they wrote, had to stand against a âmoral relativism brooking no limits, not even those objective truths in nature that distinguish men from women.â For a time, originalists had held out against âthe rapid hegemonic rise and the sweeping reach of âProgressâ ââthe manifesto praised District of Columbia v. Heller, in which Scalia interpreted the Second Amendment as a guarantee of an individualâs right to bear arms, and Citizens United, which equated unlimited corporate campaign spending with free speech. But originalists had relied too much on âproceduralist bromidesââasking Is it in the Constitution or not? instead of Is it right or wrong?âand thus had failed to achieve conservativesâ desired result of renewing the culture along traditionalist, or ânatural law,â lines.Given the classic conservative complaint about liberal âactivist judgesââthat they are nakedly results-orientedâthis critique of originalism represents a volte-face. Common-good constitutionalismâs biggest thinker, the Harvard law professor Adrian Vermeuleâwho, in 2016, announced his conversion to Catholicismâregularly summons a vision of a new order that can sound more like an authoritarian theocracy than like a constitutional democracy. In 2020, he wrote a rather ominous essay in The Atlantic, âBeyond Originalism,â which argued:
Just authority in rulers can be exercised for the good of subjects, if necessary even against the subjectsâ own perceptions of what is best for themâperceptions that may change over time anyway, as the law teaches, habituates, and re-forms them. Subjects will come to thank the ruler whose legal strictures, possibly experienced at first as coercive, encourage subjects to form more authentic desires for the individual and common goods,better habits, and beliefs that better track and promote communal well-being.
― dow, Monday, 28 February 2022 03:40 (two years ago) link
"the ruler" and "subjects" is a nice inversion of the basic principles of democracy
― more difficult than I look (Aimless), Monday, 28 February 2022 04:01 (two years ago) link
what does the annihilation of kiev mean for roe vs wade
― Ăr an broc a mhic (darraghmac), Monday, 28 February 2022 07:44 (two years ago) link
re: all the bogged down talk
Russia's advance has been extraordinarily rapid. For comparison's sake, here are same-scale maps of 48 hours into the US invasion of Iraq and @JulianRoepcke's estimate after 36 hours in Ukraine.Anyone saying Russia is bogged down is nuts. https://t.co/X4iVuIW1Ei pic.twitter.com/U6pbpyvx8u— Bazaar of War (@bazaarofwar) February 26, 2022
― papal hotwife (milo z), Monday, 28 February 2022 08:04 (two years ago) link
There is somewhat of a difference in terrain and conditions between Iraq and Ukraine.
― Meet the Irish Queer Archive Poet In Residence (Tom D.), Monday, 28 February 2022 08:15 (two years ago) link
There are huge differences - Iraq didn't have an air force at all, for one - but the idea that it's a disaster/even 'going badly' remains highly speculative and possibly more wish fulfillment than reality. It's been a rapid advance by any measure. The Russians are taking more casualties than a western democracy would accept but that doesn't mean much. If the war 'goes badly' for them it will be more about the economy tanking due to international actions than poor kids from Chechnya getting killed.
― papal hotwife (milo z), Monday, 28 February 2022 08:22 (two years ago) link
I can't take any more of these 'Here's why Russia will lose. 1/35' threads.
― Sam Weller, Monday, 28 February 2022 08:42 (two years ago) link
Derek reminds his coworkers that "Russia has stubbornly refused to Landmax" while microwaving a tray of frozen mac and cheese for lunch.
― Bixby in a Samsung I know it's Siri-esque (Sufjan Grafton), Monday, 28 February 2022 09:15 (two years ago) link
I think that these sanctions will prove cataclysmic for the Russian economy. There's no other way to state it. I suspect as many other colleagues who have studied Russia over the years, it feels like staring into an abyss of uncertainty in terms of its future. https://t.co/Sd20NyaDSA— Michael Kofman (@KofmanMichael) February 28, 2022
getting increasingly perturbed by how frequently words such as 'uncertain', 'unpredictable', 'unstable' etc are cropping up discussions of Putin/Russia's future
― soref, Monday, 28 February 2022 09:50 (two years ago) link
It really canât be overstated how much of Putinâs domestic appeal is based on âat least he fixed the economy / brought stabilityâ. This is also a disaster for countries all the way from Moldova to Kyrgyzstan that are dependent on remittances from migrant workers in Russia.
There needs to be a rapid path to stabilisation in the event of a Russian withdrawal or a lot of stuff is going to be extremely bad.
― Scampo di tutti i Scampi (ShariVari), Monday, 28 February 2022 10:26 (two years ago) link
I think weâre all well aware of how bizarre war in the age of social media is, but unconfirmed reports that the Kremlin has unfriended Shoigu and Lavrov on Instagram may have ended me.
― Scampo di tutti i Scampi (ShariVari), Monday, 28 February 2022 12:10 (two years ago) link
LOL World War Three caused by Liz Truss.
According to the Interfax news agency, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told a press briefing:"Statements were made by various representatives at various levels on possible altercations or even collisions and clashes between Nato and Russia. We believe that such statements are absolutely unacceptable. I would not call the authors of these statements by name, although it was the British foreign minister."
"Statements were made by various representatives at various levels on possible altercations or even collisions and clashes between Nato and Russia. We believe that such statements are absolutely unacceptable. I would not call the authors of these statements by name, although it was the British foreign minister."
― Meet the Irish Queer Archive Poet In Residence (Tom D.), Monday, 28 February 2022 12:20 (two years ago) link
Apparently these spokesmen are getting their lines from sitcom writers.
― Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 February 2022 12:24 (two years ago) link
"I would not call the authors of these statements by name, although it was the British foreign minister."
― the pinefox, Monday, 28 February 2022 12:59 (two years ago) link
I feel better already
đš Roman Abramovich of Chelsea FC fame is âtrying to helpâ with peace talks between Ukraine and Russia, a spokesman says.story with @ArashMassoudi https://t.co/NNwR4mGKAK pic.twitter.com/PsLMRui1pn— max seddon (@maxseddon) February 28, 2022
― Ned Raggett, Monday, 28 February 2022 13:00 (two years ago) link
Meantime
The US announces they're cutting off Russia's central bank, banning US citizens, companies from doing business w them, âeffectively immobilizes any assets of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation held in the U.S. or by U.S. persons, wherever located.âhttps://t.co/8BfhyeP3J7— Kaitlan Collins (@kaitlancollins) February 28, 2022
The White House says they are announcing this decision before US markets open after learning from allies that the Russian central bank was attempting to move assets and there would be âa great deal of asset flightâ this a.m.— Kaitlan Collins (@kaitlancollins) February 28, 2022
― Ned Raggett, Monday, 28 February 2022 13:02 (two years ago) link
Abramovich is believed to have recently instructed his lieutenant Kepa Arrizabalaga to attempt to heal Europe's divides via the medium of physical comedy
― hiroyoshi tins in (Sgt. Biscuits), Monday, 28 February 2022 13:09 (two years ago) link
Speaking of the âwish fulfilmentâ reporting - I do feel like too many are taking the Ukrainians numbers at face value. I think the number of Russian KIA they are putting out there is astronomical and should be treated with much more skepticism than they are receiving.
And certainly Russia has made decent progress - but I agree (I forget if itâs upthread or elsewhere I saw it) that their objective and timing were different than what the USâs were in Iraq. This definitely looks like they were hoping to have the eastern cities and kyiv under control (or at least occupied) by now. The only way this makes sense is if they were able to do this lightening fast.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 28 February 2022 13:37 (two years ago) link
The European Union is preparing to grant Ukrainians who flee the war the right to stay and work in the EU for up to three years, Reuters reports.
This seems good. Almost half a million Ukrainians have already crossed into the EU I believe.
― Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 February 2022 13:46 (two years ago) link
all these photos of putin sitting at one end of a table and his generals/ministers sitting 30 feet away are so weird and pathetic
it would honestly make more sense if he were on a raised throne and they had to sit on stools in front of him
― mookieproof, Monday, 28 February 2022 13:55 (two years ago) link
I realize I am being a total arm chair and may be way off.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 28 February 2022 13:58 (two years ago) link
^ xpost
i wonder if those pics are current, or just older pics people are recycling.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 28 February 2022 14:11 (two years ago) link
Current, I gather theyâre coming from streams/broadcasts.
― Ned Raggett, Monday, 28 February 2022 14:49 (two years ago) link
Yep. Some are from the meeting with the economic advisors this morning. Itâs meant to be a COVID countermeasure.
― Scampo di tutti i Scampi (ShariVari), Monday, 28 February 2022 14:51 (two years ago) link
Itâs definitely A Thing. Could be a weird power flex as well. Or some combination of the two.
― Tracer Hand, Monday, 28 February 2022 14:53 (two years ago) link
https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/t3drzw/phone_of_terminated_russian_soldier/
― ian, Monday, 28 February 2022 14:56 (two years ago) link
That's so sad.
Last message: Mom I'm in Ukraine. Here we have real war. We are attacking everyone, even civilians. They told us they would meet us with flowers, but they block our forces and Don't let us go further. They call us fascists. Mom it's really hard here.
― Josh in Chicago, Monday, 28 February 2022 15:04 (two years ago) link
Sad whether it's fake or not, tbh. This is all so unnecessary.
― Josh in Chicago, Monday, 28 February 2022 15:06 (two years ago) link
I'm wary of reading too much into this, it could just as easily be "get me a ridiculous table, lets make them think I'm losing it"
This idea he's suddenly irrational and no longer cautious doesn't ring all that true, there's lot of evidence he goes for risky bets, going right back to the way he came to power in the first place
Reading a lot of stuff that rings true, and then something that counters it all that also rings true, on just about every angle, so its kind of disorienting
― anvil, Monday, 28 February 2022 15:12 (two years ago) link
Russia's army seems to have bungled the opening, but from my amateur armchair perspective it still seems at least 50% likely that their overwhelming advantages will allow them to eventually prevail, at least in the sense of capturing the major cities and forcing the Ukrainian defense into an insurgency mode. Yes, its a major reversal for EU countries to step up and supply lethal aid to an active war zone, but its not clear to me if the on-the-ground impact will match the symbolic impact. Also, I think its easy to overrate how quickly these sanctions will impact the real Russian economy. Financial markets always react quickly, but for the concerns of the average Russian, it may be a while before we start to see the effects, and we probably won't see effects to the extent of people not being able to buy groceries or put gas in their cars. Yes, some higher unemployment, some higher than usual inflation, but maybe not quite the economic Armageddon that we are hearing about.
― o. nate, Monday, 28 February 2022 15:15 (two years ago) link
even if itâs just a covid protocol, itâs nice that the visitors are welcome to give each other their germs as long as vladâs clear
xp oh i donât think itâs a sign of him âlosing itâ â i think itâs a sign of him eternally being, as someone said, âa 5-foot-6 guy who tells people heâs 5-foot-7â
― mookieproof, Monday, 28 February 2022 15:19 (two years ago) link
A piece I don't really understand is whether the economic sanctions have any impact on military logistics - is there enough short term impact to make refueling and supply lines more difficult? If not, my fear is that Putin won't see any choice but to keep stepping up aggression, unable to back down, and eventually the Russian army's superior force would defeat Ukraine. Then of course Russia is mired in an untenable occupation with a likely prolonged insurgency supported by western powers, but that situation still feels like a tragedy for everyone, hard to feel good about it. I don't think Putin can emerge from this stronger, but in the meantime I fear a lot more destruction.
― longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Monday, 28 February 2022 15:20 (two years ago) link
Good thread on Putin's history of taking risky gambles:
There are many people right now who are arguing that Putin has somehow changed/lost it/gone mad and is not the man he used to be. I couldn't disagree more. They have simply not been paying attention. This is who he has *always* been 𧔗 Dmitri Alperovitch (@DAlperovitch) February 28, 2022
― o. nate, Monday, 28 February 2022 15:43 (two years ago) link
beyond fuel, it will definitely effect their ability to produce new weapons/vehicles in oder to replace what is getting destroyed. raw materials, electronics and just buying power is going to be much more limited for them going forward. i am certainly skeptical of the numbers we are hearing from Ukraine â but Russia is definitely losing their fair share of equipment there.xpost
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 28 February 2022 15:44 (two years ago) link
Anyway, Ukraine has just applied for EU membership, per various reports.
― Ned Raggett, Monday, 28 February 2022 16:34 (two years ago) link
how to tik tok: Ukraine edition
The future is a very weird place. Ukrainians are uploading videos on TikTok about how to drive abandoned or captured Russian military vehicles. pic.twitter.com/ElE7lxoBV8— Read The Dispossessed by Ursula K. LeGuin (@JoshuaPotash) February 28, 2022
― Muad'Doob (Moodles), Monday, 28 February 2022 18:11 (two years ago) link
Official. FIFA and UEFA suspend Russian clubs and national teams from all competitions. đšâFootball is fully united here and in full solidarity with all the people affected in Ukraineâ, statement says.— Fabrizio Romano (@FabrizioRomano) February 28, 2022
― Number None, Monday, 28 February 2022 18:15 (two years ago) link
I love the implication that you can learn to drive a tank in 30 seconds.
― longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Monday, 28 February 2022 18:16 (two years ago) link
BP and Shell have announced they're leaving the country. Seems kinda big.
― Ned Raggett, Monday, 28 February 2022 18:21 (two years ago) link
"The country" being Russia, to clarify.
― Ned Raggett, Monday, 28 February 2022 18:22 (two years ago) link
Was wondering. Had to assume but...Resisting temptation to post video of a certain Canned Heat song.
― Solaris Ocean Blue (James Redd and the Blecchs), Monday, 28 February 2022 18:25 (two years ago) link
well, it's something:
Finland will provide weapons and ammunition to Ukraine, the countryâs prime minister Sanna Marin said.
The shipment will include 2,500 assault rifles, 150,000 bullets, 1,500 anti-tank weapons and 70,000 food packages, Finlandâs defence minister Antti Kaikkonen added.
― Andy the Grasshopper, Monday, 28 February 2022 18:51 (two years ago) link
First Switzerland and now...
(Reuters) - Monaco, an international hub often favoured by wealthy Russians, will also proceed with freezing assets and imposing sanctions on Russians in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, said a statement by the Monaco Royal Palace.— Phil Stewart (@phildstewart) February 28, 2022
― Ned Raggett, Monday, 28 February 2022 19:01 (two years ago) link
OK so pronouncing Kiev as Kyiv seems to the thing to do on British TV.
― Meet the Irish Queer Archive Poet In Residence (Tom D.), Monday, 28 February 2022 19:01 (two years ago) link
I guess they read https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/25/how-to-pronounce-and-spell-kyiv-kiev-ukraine-and-why-it-matters
― Vangelis fleadh (seandalai), Monday, 28 February 2022 19:08 (two years ago) link
Yes, I knew Kiev was the Russian name.
― Meet the Irish Queer Archive Poet In Residence (Tom D.), Monday, 28 February 2022 19:13 (two years ago) link
Ya, Iâve been trying to pronounce it as âkeevâ and also not say âtheâ in front of Ukraine.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 28 February 2022 19:13 (two years ago) link