idk i kinda suspect the opposite is true; there's probably more young ppl receptive to center-left/normie liberal ideas than ever because of the shift to the left among young people. because (1) it's a shift and (2) the majority of people are around the center. so that large mass of young people who would have been on the center-right or center are now more likely to be in the center-left. you also have young people who were on the center-left who are now far-left, but i would guess it's approximately in proportion (they're over-represented on twitter obvs). joe rogan (who politically is sketchy inchoate-populist rather than lib but had both matt yglesias and elon musk on recently) has 200m downloads a month, pod save america has 1.5m, chapo trap house has 150k. in relative terms the far left did amazingly well, but partly that's because they started from such a low base
― flopson, Wednesday, April 28, 2021 6:11 AM (four hours ago) bookmarkflaglink
idk about podcasts they seem lame but i will say whatever joe rogan is its definitely not a technocrat lol, but but even if there are more people in the middle, an assumption im not totally ready to believe after all there is the famous polarization, doesnt mean they have to be fans of the technocracy, technocracy was prob never that popular to begin with outside libs liking reasonableness, but also there could be a new centrist approach, i mean hillarys competent manager schtick really did not sell well, obama while being a total technocrat ran on hope and change, not sure what biden ran as
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 28 April 2021 14:58 (five years ago)
bernie the kids fave, not a technocrat
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 28 April 2021 15:01 (five years ago)
trump not too much of a technocrat lol
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 28 April 2021 15:02 (five years ago)
seem like were entering an era of more populism but who knows what tomorrow will bring
since I'm basically not following US national politics rn the only things I'm aware of are headlines that contain the words "Biden" and "trillion" and I'm like hell yeah
― Clara Lemlich stan account (silby), Wednesday, 28 April 2021 15:08 (five years ago)
except for when it's "Biden" and "trillion" and "defense" then I'm like hell nah
― Clara Lemlich stan account (silby), Wednesday, 28 April 2021 15:09 (five years ago)
joe biden is also denying people covid vaccine in order to protect patent monopolies
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 28 April 2021 15:11 (five years ago)
hell nah
― Clara Lemlich stan account (silby), Wednesday, 28 April 2021 15:11 (five years ago)
watch them work
momentum against vaccine inequality, like all social outrages, is being channeled away from actually useful things like freeing patents and materials from the grip of US corporations into dopey Gates-funded celebrity "charity" framework. https://t.co/uLzIA8G3LR— Adam H. Johnson (@adamjohnsonNYC) April 28, 2021
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 28 April 2021 16:11 (five years ago)
one can think of pharmaceutical patents as a kind of debt that sucks demand out of the economy, enriches the 1%, adds to everyone’s crippling health insurance bills and oh yeah is currently killing tens of thousands of people lol
― Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 28 April 2021 17:33 (five years ago)
patents in general are one of the prime mechanisms of entrenched wealth
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 28 April 2021 17:36 (five years ago)
and somehow still a more reasonable system than copyrights, we’re lucky Disney doesn’t develop pharmaceuticals
― Joe Bombin (milo z), Wednesday, 28 April 2021 17:40 (five years ago)
idk about podcasts they seem lame but i will say whatever joe rogan is its definitely not a technocrat lol, but but even if there are more people in the middle, an assumption im not totally ready to believe after all there is the famous polarization, doesnt mean they have to be fans of the technocracy, technocracy was prob never that popular to begin with outside libs liking reasonableness, but also there could be a new centrist approach, i mean hillarys competent manager schtick really did not sell well, obama while being a total technocrat ran on hope and change, not sure what biden ran as― lag∞n, Wednesday, April 28, 2021 10:58 AM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink
― lag∞n, Wednesday, April 28, 2021 10:58 AM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink
ya it could be that it's polarization and there are also more far-right young people more far-left young people and less in the centre/centre-left. i'm not sure. i think some polarization happened in relative terms but not enough to shift it in absolute numbers
i don't think podcasts are a great metric either my point was just that normies vastly outweigh the type of left wing young people i know irl or that we follow on twitter, and even though young people are a lot more left wing on average that includes a shift among ppl like rogen bros to the left at the margin. like your poll is of young people who vote in dem primaries. imho in the country at large there are multiple changes happening (1) more young people vote for democrats (2) among the ones who vote democrat, a larger share of them are further left. all im saying is when you take both those into account, there are still a lot of young people (prob more than ever in absolute numbers) on the centre and centre-left
in terms of a certain technocratic style of politician typified by obama, buttigieg, hillary i agree that's out of style among young people broadly (especially mayor pete lol). however i could see that evolving, for example andrew yang undeniably has technocratic elements and he seems to have some cachet among young people. but also there's a difference between politicians style and policies. like obama and biden are p similar on policies, but biden is not "presenting" as technocratically as obama did. also i feel like there's some uncertainty in how things will shake out post-bernie, since he's such a unique figure who was able to draw a lot of people with idiosyncratic politics into the left
tbh i was thinking more of the market for centre left political media than about politicians. politician preference can mask the finer variations im thinking of, like a young person could vote bernie but read vox dot com
You have to stop saying “the shift left” if you’re not going to address the fact why young people are voting left in the first place: because the things most important to young people as a cohort are largely addressed by left wing parties, and that is true in the UK as it is in my native Ireland. (And the gender differential there was pretty apparent during the referendum too.)As it happens, I live in a pretty right wing area, and I work with a mixture of people from various backgrounds, with a mix of qualifications and who have entered the workforce directly from school. But mainly you can tell about how people feel about politics by how they vote, which is a much more reliable indicator than anecdotal knowledge. The reason I cited this is because from talking to people, even people I know who don’t vote or who are not political in any way have real daily concerns because they are affected by high housing costs and the lack of opportunities, it’s not ideology so much as material circumstances.This too is educational: young voters placed much higher importance on social and environmental issues than older voters and voted accordingly.As for women, as someone who was pretty centre-left in her mid twenties (to the point of voting Lib Dem in 2010, UGH) and who has now moved left from that, I stopped voting for the centre left because they had nothing to say to me and they were engaging in policies that were anathema to me and my values. I won’t be voting again next chance I get for much the same reason.― Scamp Granada (gyac), Wednesday, April 28, 2021 7:33 AM (four hours ago) bookmarkflaglink
As it happens, I live in a pretty right wing area, and I work with a mixture of people from various backgrounds, with a mix of qualifications and who have entered the workforce directly from school. But mainly you can tell about how people feel about politics by how they vote, which is a much more reliable indicator than anecdotal knowledge. The reason I cited this is because from talking to people, even people I know who don’t vote or who are not political in any way have real daily concerns because they are affected by high housing costs and the lack of opportunities, it’s not ideology so much as material circumstances.
This too is educational: young voters placed much higher importance on social and environmental issues than older voters and voted accordingly.
As for women, as someone who was pretty centre-left in her mid twenties (to the point of voting Lib Dem in 2010, UGH) and who has now moved left from that, I stopped voting for the centre left because they had nothing to say to me and they were engaging in policies that were anathema to me and my values. I won’t be voting again next chance I get for much the same reason.
― Scamp Granada (gyac), Wednesday, April 28, 2021 7:33 AM (four hours ago) bookmarkflaglink
i didn't take a stand in my post on the cause of why more young people vote left, i was just taking it as a given and thinking about its consequences. i think it's complex and has many causes but for sure the reasons you give are a huge part of it (although sadly i don't know anything about ireland). tbh i don't disagree with anything you're saying, feel like there was a misunderstanding maybe. i've always voted for the left wing party here but that's in part bc i live in ridings where it's "safe" to do so (in the sense of not having to do strategic voting for the center-left party)
― flopson, Wednesday, 28 April 2021 17:46 (five years ago)
gates update
Bill Gates hoped Jeffrey Epstein would help him land the Nobel Prize, "which is what Bill wants more than anything else in the world,” ex-foundation staffer tells us. With @LachCartwright https://t.co/SAwuMyqgfd via @thedailybeast— kate briquelet (@kbriquelet) May 18, 2021
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 14:47 (five years ago)
man who would have ever guessed that the quickest way to a Nobel prize AND sex trafficked teenaged girls was through one weird guy from Coney Island
― Washington Generals D-League affiliate (will), Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:17 (five years ago)
what i want to know is why gates thought epstein was his ticket to a nobel
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:20 (five years ago)
Dumb guy probably
― Clara Lemlich stan account (silby), Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:28 (five years ago)
Ezra Klein vs Matt Yglesias vs Jeffrey Epstein
― o. nate, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:29 (five years ago)
seem like it but still there must be some reason, which tbh could be as simple as epstein telling him he could xp
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:29 (five years ago)
if bill gates wants a nobel prize why doesn't he just ask to buy one from an actual winner for the low low price of $5 bil or so
― the mai tai quinn (voodoo chili), Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:30 (five years ago)
btw lol at bills entire deal with philanthropy being trying to get a medal, our lords are deranged, which is why we must relieve them of their estates
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:31 (five years ago)
also lol at melinda just assassinating him via the news media, incredible
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:34 (five years ago)
wonder if she trying to remove him from the foundation
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:35 (five years ago)
Imagine how much he regrets not just getting divorced 15 years ago or w/e
― Clara Lemlich stan account (silby), Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:37 (five years ago)
“Paul doesn’t have to put up with this shit he’s dead”
imagine how much he regrets not getting a prenup
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:41 (five years ago)
Shoulda bought a basketball team like his buddies
― Clara Lemlich stan account (silby), Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:43 (five years ago)
he was already the second richest person in the world when they were married
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:44 (five years ago)
Again, dumb guy
― Clara Lemlich stan account (silby), Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:45 (five years ago)
my own dumb guess is that prominent members of the Committee just have a taste for underage girls, too, and ol Jeffy was a prime dude to have in the Rolodex
― Washington Generals D-League affiliate (will), Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:47 (five years ago)
is epsteins blackmail scam just common knowledge in oligarch circles, is he telling bill hes got some of these guys in his pocket and bill just knows what hes talking about, does bill just think epsteins got normal connections, is bill just making all sorts of stuff up in his head cause epstein seems well connected, last one seems unlikely cause like isnt gates himself insanely well connected
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:51 (five years ago)
i think epstein had to have been overtly gassing him up about the award but who knows what he was saying and what bill believed to be true
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 19 May 2021 15:54 (five years ago)
erza got the intellect of a local tv news anchor
Violent crime is spiking. Homicides in cities were up by 25-40 percent in 2020, the largest single-year increase since 1960. And 2021 isn’t looking any better.This is a crisis on its own terms. But it’s also a crisis for the broader liberal project in two downstream ways.— Ezra Klein (@ezraklein) May 21, 2021
― lag∞n, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:14 (five years ago)
It actually isn’t, crime is basically fine.
― Clara Lemlich stan account (silby), Friday, 21 May 2021 21:15 (five years ago)
This is my most extreme take, most crime is fine,
imho violent and many but not all other crimes are bad but ezra is indistinguishable from some sensationalistic enumerate right wing freak there
― lag∞n, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:18 (five years ago)
like crime is short term up from historic lows to still low, and it was a very weird year
― lag∞n, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:19 (five years ago)
like "spiking" what is he up to, seems fucked to me
― lag∞n, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:20 (five years ago)
isnt he supposed to be mr sensible, must have something to sell
― lag∞n, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:22 (five years ago)
didnt check on ezra but there was a ton of stuff coming out of centrist land about how krasner couldnt survive
We’re not there yet. Larry Krasner survived his primary challenge in Philadelphia. But we are seeing other signs. Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms isn’t running for reelection after being attacked by challengers as soft on crime. https://t.co/KhFq8wOZ1a— Ezra Klein (@ezraklein) May 21, 2021
― lag∞n, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:23 (five years ago)
and by survive of course we mean landslide
― lag∞n, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:25 (five years ago)
anyway this shit is shameful and prob part of some larger pr campaign in service of an establishment freakout about over the left making waves
― lag∞n, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:27 (five years ago)
it’s extremely weird. his vocab and cadence now indistinguishable from people like friedman. does the nytimes just do this to people somehow? no analysis, just a lot of “i spoke to a guy who says liberals need to wake up!”
― Tracer Hand, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:34 (five years ago)
Many people are saying it.
― bobo honkin' slobo babe (sic), Friday, 21 May 2021 21:39 (five years ago)
def time to discipline the left
― Washington Generals D-League affiliate (will), Friday, 21 May 2021 21:47 (five years ago)
violent crime shit is just naked trumpian white supremacy isn't it? why are liberals so fucking racist
― Left, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:55 (five years ago)
Noah Smith should probably be added to the Klein/Yglesias scourge-of-the-left axis:
Even at our nadir of crime in 2013, we were still an order of magnitude more violent than other rich nations— Noah Smith 🐇 (@Noahpinion) May 21, 2021
― o. nate, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:55 (five years ago)
oh this wanker
― Left, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:56 (five years ago)
accidentally right about american violence. it's not "crime"
― Left, Friday, 21 May 2021 21:58 (five years ago)
PMC lib crime panic is completely unsurprising. That’s how you get Joe Biden complaining Reagan isn’t being tough enough on drug crime.
― Joe Bombin (milo z), Friday, 21 May 2021 22:02 (five years ago)