And Sleepy Joe Will Get The Credit: US Politics January 2021

one treeship is enough

― howls of non-specificity (sleeve), Tuesday, January 5, 2021 9:54 PM (fourteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

I don’t post like that anymore

I think this seems like a good night. Time will tell.

Haha fair

.@Redistrict has seen enough, but Twitter hasn’t. First I’ve seen a label on one of his calls. pic.twitter.com/NFcFzQ8rh4

— Kirk A. Bado (@kirk_bado) January 6, 2021

amazing if they could both win, almost too much to hope for

also my chances of getting 2000 dollars have just increased dramatically, i need it to pay my taxes from unemployment last year

I don’t post like that anymore

Nice Greg Kihn reference

GOP dude:

Here's the Perdue problem in a nutshell. NYT model, which has been excellent all night, roughly estimates he gains 2k votes over Ossoff expected margin in all D counties except DeKalb. But it has him winning DeKalb by 151k, swamping Perdue's current 62k lead.

— Henry Olsen (@henryolsenEPPC) January 6, 2021

That raandy tweet Milo posted upthread is so funny. My wife told me Loeffler was doing rural cosplay type of campaigning but I thought she was exaggerating until I saw that

Based Trump is to be thanked on both counts: for the probable R losses and the 2000$.

it’s true

GOP dude:

My sense is Perdue and Loeffler could have survived any 2 of these 3: being unimpressive candidates, GA shifting purple, and Trump being a maniac.

— Ramesh Ponnuru (@RameshPonnuru) January 6, 2021

wow things look great

DeKalb announcing it will release a "significant" vote dump before 11 p.m.

I like Warnock a lot more but if you remember Ossoff in 2017 (whatever happens) he was a way better more natural candidate this time

Highly respected Republicans who know Georgia think Ossoff prevails unless something really funky happens in DeKalb and Cobb

— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) January 6, 2021

Went for a walk at 9:00, when things had pulled even; was resigned to the worst when I got back. Exciting again!

and uh holy shit if this is true:

Nonwhite voters in Georgia per preliminary exit polls:

Black voters:
November: Ossoff (D) +76
Jan runoff: Ossoff (D) +86

Hispanic voters:
November: Ossoff (D) +9
Jan runoff: Ossoff (D) +30

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) January 6, 2021

Man I hate exit polls

Always leads to heartbreak

Joe Manchin can heal America and give Democrats the win they always wanted by announcing that Merrick Garland is the only SCOTUS nominee he'd accept to fill Breyer's seat.

— John McCormack (@McCormackJohn) January 6, 2021

Is the fact that NYT and WP still have Loeffler and Perdue winning at this point significant? Will there be a reversal?

so with the senate 50/50, do the dems get a majority leader?

Joe Manchin can heal America and give Democrats the win they always wanted by announcing that Merrick Garland is the only SCOTUS nominee he'd accept to fill Breyer's seat.
— John McCormack (@McCormackJohn) January 6, 2021
― meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, January 5, 2021 10:25 PM (one minute ago)

how about no lol

Folks. This is good news.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, January 5, 2021 7:05 PM (eighteen minutes ago)

Unlike the Warnock race, which is effectively over, the Ossoff race is still close that it's worth dotting the 'i's and crossing the 't's, especially since the model adds an uncertain number of provisional and late absentee ballots that you do want to see to believe

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) January 6, 2021

Is the fact that NYT and WP still have Loeffler and Perdue winning at this point significant? Will there be a reversal?

14% of the vote is still outstanding. Ossoff and Warnock will win those by a huge margin. Maybe my math is wrong but barring something weird I think the Ds are where they want to be.

Such bravery

Wow, HAWLEY dodged on Fox just now when Laura Ingraham asked directly if Pence "should not accept the certification" tomorrow.

"I don't think the vice president actually counts under the law. He's sort of just there. This is really on Congress," Hawley said.

— Michael M. Grynbaum (@grynbaum) January 6, 2021

looooool of course

Looks like they are setting up a big “voter dump” against the Republican candidates. Waiting to see how many votes they need?

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 6, 2021

Over the last hour or so, a lot of the remaining GOP vote has trickled in, leaving an even more Democratic group of remaining ballots. Ossoff now favored to win what's out by 18 points pic.twitter.com/BOLB6erYXu

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) January 6, 2021

wow crazy, in my heart of hearts i had pretty much written this whole thing off

i kicked $20 to to abram's org then kinda checked out

would be cool if it happened!!!

Can Pence negate all these votes, too?

Asking for a friend.

well

BREAKING: #GASen Jon Ossof (D) will defeat Sen. David Perdue (R-Inc)@gelliottmorris

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) January 6, 2021

Recriminations on cue:

https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/2200ee18aa2a4c2bedd53ef635d0620ca3029c4f108f5f42453bc4a3f4a6b6b9.png

one thing that shouldn't get lost in all this is how awesome it is to see these two rich scumbags absolutely eat shit :)

OTMFM

may they all eat shit soon

here for the shit eating

like three weeks ago one of them lincoln dickfarts erone hates said "i hope democrats and biden are very busy courting and loving manchin right now because mitch is, and he will give him anything, and he'll likely take it." and since i was not expecting double fantasy victory out of ga, i mostly ignored. and now i'm haunted.

but the rich scumbags on the right should eat shit first, then the democrats

Yesssss

what would McConnell be offering Manchin?

Nate Cohn 4m ago
The G.O.P. lead has grown, but it’s made no dent in our estimate. In fact, Democratic chances have inched upward as the Republicans’ chances to beat our expectations dwindle. See the forecast ›

if you say so nerd

i will wait a few days before i turn my twisted stomach pains toward manchin

this is stunning

Just move the Pentagon to West Virginia

Clayton Co. (suburban ATL, 69% Black) is at 89.7% of its November turnout:

Warnock +77.0
Ossoff +76.8

Biden (Nov.) +70.9

Republicans just aren't getting a comparable overperformance vs. '20 prez anywhere. That's the story. #GASEN

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021

Well we ran a pair of hastily embalmed country club ghouls on a platform of The 14 Words and a full slate of the least popular, least effective political ideas in human history. Got to assume any loss would be the result of some sort of malfeasance.

— David Roth (@david_j_roth) January 6, 2021

true nuf fhazel. the eating shit is pretty great if it is to be, dilly dilly or whatever they used to say xp

I know she's doing fine, but I kind of wish I could send a few dollars to Stacey Abrams, personally.