And Sleepy Joe Will Get The Credit: US Politics January 2021

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Was just about to say, can’t be long before the networks start calling warnock. The other one is tougher because absentee votes could in principle move the margin under 0.5 which means a recount. But I don’t think either result is in doubt.

π” π”žπ”’π”¨ (caek), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:43 (five years ago)

Manchin seems like he can be bought off with pork, a valuable quality in a spineless centrist.

Joe Biden Stan Account (milo z), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:45 (five years ago)

Kornacki already hinting that Warnock's got this.

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:45 (five years ago)

happy if the majority of remaining votes are in Atlanta. Ossoff and Warnock both winning would be so great

Dan S, Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:46 (five years ago)

Among the many terrible/dangerous McCain stances: opposing pork.

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:46 (five years ago)

so tasty and less dangerous than red meat

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:46 (five years ago)

Manchin seems like he can be bought off with pork, a valuable quality in a spineless centrist.


Tbf it’s not just pork. He does have a populist streak.

π” π”žπ”’π”¨ (caek), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:47 (five years ago)

One can hope

From a ways upthread

Never has a group of people made so much incessant, ever-present, whinypants noise about how they're being silenced

Like, if you're the silent majority, (a) there should be more of you and (b) you should shut the fuck up for a cotton-pickin second

cilantro vs. wade (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:47 (five years ago)

I’m not at all optimistic about the biden administration but I am extremely optimistic about what this does to the GOP for the next couple of years.

π” π”žπ”’π”¨ (caek), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:48 (five years ago)

as Robyn Hitchcock sang long ago: "the silent majority's/the crime of the century"

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:48 (five years ago)

putting money on Lou Holtz/Tim Tebow for the 2024 GOP nom

Joe Biden Stan Account (milo z), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:50 (five years ago)

only because I can't remember the name of the LSU coach who won a national championship

Joe Biden Stan Account (milo z), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:50 (five years ago)

Someone post some good GOP tweets

π” π”žπ”’π”¨ (caek), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:50 (five years ago)

not sanguine. WP and NYT both have Loeffler and Perdue winning at this point

Dan S, Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:51 (five years ago)

here:

After two months of being told by Trump that the votes are rigged and aren't counted correctly, Republican turnout is down more than Democrats from November in the Georgia runoffs.

For the Republicans who said we needed to 'let Trump work out his feelings,' tonight is for you.

— Josh Jordan (@NumbersMuncher) January 6, 2021

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:51 (five years ago)

xp Huh? I'm looking at the NYT Needle right now and they're both in the blue.

Nhex, Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:52 (five years ago)

not sanguine. WP and NYT both have Loeffler and Perdue winning at this point


β€œAt this point” doesn’t mean anything. You don’t get points for leading at half time.

You can explore what's left on our handy maps pic.twitter.com/nEDpdIkAL6

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) January 6, 2021

π” π”žπ”’π”¨ (caek), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:52 (five years ago)

xp Huh? I'm looking at the NYT Needle right now and they're both in the blue.


He’s looking at reported votes and ignoring that the city of Atlanta has not reported most of its votes.

π” π”žπ”’π”¨ (caek), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:53 (five years ago)

Dan S, step out for air.

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:53 (five years ago)

srsly

howls of non-specificity (sleeve), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:54 (five years ago)

one treeship is enough

howls of non-specificity (sleeve), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:54 (five years ago)

Even if we lose both seats, what happened in November is a trend. Dems have expanded their vote count in counties where they mattered, while the GOP has seen theirs mostly contract -- that's encouraging for Stacy Abrams and her people.

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:54 (five years ago)

putting money on Lou Holtz/Tim Tebow for the 2024 GOP nom

― Joe Biden Stan Account (milo z), Tuesday, January 5, 2021 8:50 PM (two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

if we're going all in on gerontocracy, holtz would really up the ante in terms of senility

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:55 (five years ago)

Thank you for the gop tweet Soto, please keep them coming

π” π”žπ”’π”¨ (caek), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:55 (five years ago)

Dan S, just look at those two big, beautiful blue needles.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:56 (five years ago)

only because I can't remember the name of the LSU coach who won a national championship
Ed Orgeron backed John Bel Edwards (D) in the Louisiana Governor's race.

Fetchboy, Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:56 (five years ago)

I’m not crazy, I am just looking at the WP tallies. at this point who knows

Dan S, Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:56 (five years ago)

Not GOP but:

The three biggest Republican counties in the state have reported almost all of their votes at this point.

Cherokee County (96% reporting)
Forsyth County (87% reporting)
Hall County (98%+ reporting)

Ossoff is gonna start eating into that 2% statewide lead.#GASEN #ElectionNight

— Ryan Matsumoto (@ryanmatsumoto1) January 6, 2021

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 02:57 (five years ago)

xxp- I was thinking of Les Miles. I enjoy Orgeron’s accent.

Joe Biden Stan Account (milo z), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:00 (five years ago)

billionaire dressing like this for 6 weeks straight after never wearing it before is so funny pic.twitter.com/TWIxjSpuMT

— raandy (@randygdub) January 6, 2021

Joe Biden Stan Account (milo z), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:00 (five years ago)

is that Laura Dern playing her in the Trump biopic

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:00 (five years ago)

Ossoff is gonna start eating into that 2% statewide lead.

Ossoffagus

nob lacks, noirish (darraghmac), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:01 (five years ago)

all the wet blankets i follow on twitter are talking about how now ds can do nothing and lose again in four years, but frankly i'm astonished and very glad at least for tonight and maybe even the rest of the week.

dean bad (map), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:01 (five years ago)

Yes, Democrats remain heavily favored, despite their deficit in the tabulated vote. They're favored to win what's left by 9 to 10 points https://t.co/0j5ZRAkGmI

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) January 6, 2021

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:01 (five years ago)

They might do nothing and fuck up hard but if they win both seats it's on them instead of having to hear "but McConnell" for eternity

Joe Biden Stan Account (milo z), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:02 (five years ago)

yeah shit at least Breyer can retire now (seriously man, Retire) and Alito and Thomas can go on head and catch that rona

Washington Generals D-League affiliate (will), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:04 (five years ago)

They might do nothing and fuck up hard but if they win both seats it's on them instead of having to hear "but McConnell" for eternity


This plus we can hope that at least some of them learn from this runoff that direct cash payments are good electoral politics.

π” π”žπ”’π”¨ (caek), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:05 (five years ago)

Folks. This is good news.

π” π”žπ”’π”¨ (caek), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:05 (five years ago)

About an hour ago, Republicans badly needed a Dem letdown in the outer suburban ATL ring.

But, there's no sign of that happening; as more votes have come in the pattern of GOP underperformance has looked even more consistent.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:06 (five years ago)

also

granting all caveats about symbolic representation and the democratic party, it is frankly unreal to think that the pastor of MLK’s church is about to go to washington as a US senator from the state of georgia

— b-boy bouiebaisse (@jbouie) January 6, 2021

dean bad (map), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:09 (five years ago)

one treeship is enough

― howls of non-specificity (sleeve), Tuesday, January 5, 2021 9:54 PM (fourteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

I don’t post like that anymore

treeship., Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:09 (five years ago)

I think this seems like a good night. Time will tell.

treeship., Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:09 (five years ago)

Haha fair

.@Redistrict has seen enough, but Twitter hasn’t. First I’ve seen a label on one of his calls. pic.twitter.com/NFcFzQ8rh4

— Kirk A. Bado (@kirk_bado) January 6, 2021

π” π”žπ”’π”¨ (caek), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:09 (five years ago)

amazing if they could both win, almost too much to hope for

Dan S, Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:10 (five years ago)

also my chances of getting 2000 dollars have just increased dramatically, i need it to pay my taxes from unemployment last year

dean bad (map), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:11 (five years ago)

I don’t post like that anymore

Nice Greg Kihn reference

cilantro vs. wade (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:13 (five years ago)

GOP dude:

Here's the Perdue problem in a nutshell. NYT model, which has been excellent all night, roughly estimates he gains 2k votes over Ossoff expected margin in all D counties except DeKalb. But it has him winning DeKalb by 151k, swamping Perdue's current 62k lead.

— Henry Olsen (@henryolsenEPPC) January 6, 2021

meticulously crafted, socially responsible, morally upsta (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:13 (five years ago)

That raandy tweet Milo posted upthread is so funny. My wife told me Loeffler was doing rural cosplay type of campaigning but I thought she was exaggerating until I saw that

β€œBig” Don Abernathy, Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:13 (five years ago)

Based Trump is to be thanked on both counts: for the probable R losses and the 2000$.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:14 (five years ago)

it’s true

early-Woolf semantic prosody (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 6 January 2021 03:14 (five years ago)


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