And Sleepy Joe Will Get The Credit: US Politics January 2021

just to be clear, i think pure 50/50 toss up is right, but i don't think it's _insane_ to call the democrats the favorites based on what we know today (they just won the state, they're leading polls from pollsters with known GOP bias, etc.)

obviously winning both would be great for biden's ability to govern but there's another reason why it would be good for the country: if they do lose both of them, that would result in a civil war in the congressional GOP in which one side is 1) completely insane and emotionally unable to back down 2) pretty obviously the reason they lost.

it sucks that they have to win both, I'm reasonably confident that they'll win at least one. would imagine the results are somewhat correlated though - would be weird if one of the Rs got a full margin of error but the other didn't

honestly have no clue how Trump is gonna effect future elections. obviously he drives turnout up but he also drives turnout against him way up as well, idk how that translates in elections where he's not on the ticket. fwiw Dems have been doing quite well since 2016, I'm not sure that changes now

wouldn't it be weird if they just won one? who would vote for one of the dems but not the other?

i cannot imagine two D wins in GA unless each is like +7 in the polls prior. obv not because i know anything, i am just so poll-scorched at this point.

xp one of the democratic candidates is black, so ... many american voters?

oh yeah

like there's no crosstabs here so it's difficult to be sure, but it looks like 20 ossoff voters said they wouldn't vote in the other race, or 10 ossoff voters actually switched to the GOP:

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/ga-sen-122/

(to be fair, there have been polls in which things are the other way around. the point is, again, both elections will be close, and only takes a couple of people to split tickets or abstain in one race for the outcome to be one senator each.)

that said, i find it easy to imagine more than 2 people in a 1000 changing their mind about whether to vote after watching OANN for past 8 weeks, so i see no reason to think the GOP can afford this nonsense right now.

Honestly wonder whether 2 in 1000 people watch OANN/newsmax

It’s gonna be relentlessly creepy when they start showing those stations in airports and stuff

when will we ever visit airports again

are those like premium cable stations?

i never heard of them before this year

At first I was like "you've never heard of airports???"

"What is this 'flight' you speak of."

Hoping that when we doing get to fly again on the reg, with no fear, it will be such a big deal that people will dress up for the occasion again.

are those like premium cable stations?

― treeship.

not sure. i visited newsmax.com for the first time in forever, this morning, drawn in by some absolutely crazy headline that i can no longer. and on the side of the screen was a little "WATCH NEWSMAX ONLINE FOR FREE!" streaming video. i kept it on for a few minutes, intending to catch at least a snippet of whatever newsmax tv content is, but all they did was show fox news-style old people ailments commercials

I'd encourage people not to pay attention to the polls -- whether the dems have a 25% chance or a 75% chance is essentially meaningless. no one would be surprised by any outcome. they are either gonna win or they're gonna lose, and we're going to find out tomorrow!

Or in 7-10 days, after the recounts.

i would also encourage people not to read my posts tbf xp

I switched to AT+T in November. My new package has OAN.

Problems problems

Cleta Mitchell's law firm says it's "concerned" she was on Trump's call and "are working to understand her involvement more thoroughly."

— Kevin Liptak (@Kevinliptakcnn) January 4, 2021

Just interviewed @GaSecofState Brad Raffensperger. He says there was no privacy agreement & @realDonaldTrump broke any expectation of privacy with his tweet falsely describing the call. Details & video shortly. pic.twitter.com/aqgXxKi6Yk

— Brendan Keefe (@BrendanKeefe) January 4, 2021

What a week it’s already been.

Every day is Friday now

http://blogs.voanews.com/student-union/files/2011/07/RebeccaBlack230.jpg

Wonder how things are going to work without him as an obvious catalyst driving response. Guess he'll be around in the background unless he somehow isn't. & wonder how that could happen since if he died right now he'd just be a martyr of sorts

trump that is

Every day is like Friday
Every day is wild and cray-cray

lmao

JUST IN: Another brutal opinion dismissing suit seeking to overturn 2020 election results. Argument 'lies somewhere between a willful misreading of the Constitution and fantasy,' Judge James Boasberg writes. Also threatens to refer counsel for discipline. https://t.co/CHvM7k7MyN

— Josh Gerstein (@joshgerstein) January 4, 2021

In addition to being filedon behalf of Plaintiffs without standing and (at least as to the state Defendants) in the wrong courtand with no effort to even serve their adversaries, the suit rests on a fundamental and obvious misreading of the Constitution.
...
Yet even that may be letting Plaintiffs off the hook too lightly. Their failure to make any effort to serve or formally notify any Defendant—even after reminder by the Court in its Minute Order—renders it difficult to believe that the suit is meant seriously. Courts are not instruments through which parties engage in such gamesmanship or symbolic political gestures.As a result, at the conclusion of this litigation, theCourt will determine whether to issue an order to show cause why this matter should not be referred to its Committee on Grievances for potential discipline of Plaintiffs’ counsel.

Judges: not amused.

"potential discipline"

NO. DISCIPLINE AND PUNISH

Billy from Silent Night, Deadly Night for Prez

Are these lawsuits just gonna keep getting filed forever even once Biden is president?

I guess I can answer my own question: "as long as they can get people to give them money to file lawsuits, 25% of which goes to fund the lawsuits and 75% into a Trump loyalist's pocket, they'll keep filing lawsuits."

sToP tHe sTeAl iF YoU lOvE oUr gReAT uNiTed sTaEtES

I wish I could type like that.

Byron couldn’t have put it more graciously.

sToP tHe sTeAl iF YoU lOvE oUr gReAT uNiTed sTaEtES

― "Bi" Dong A Ban He Try (the table is the table), Monday, January 4, 2021 2:55 PM (three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

I wish I could type like that.

― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, January 4, 2021 2:56 PM (two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

may i draw your attention to playboi carti's twitter?

Seven House Republicans oppose objecting to the electoral votes, and you'll never guess why!

NEW: 7 House Republicans OPPOSE the effort to object to the Electoral College:

- Thomas Massie (Ky.)
- Ken Buck (Colo.)
- Kelly Armstrong (N.D.)
- Mike Gallagher (Wisc.)
- Nancy Mace (S.C.)
- Tom McClintock (Calif.)
- Chip Roy (Tex.)

"We must respect states' authority here." pic.twitter.com/ZolkTw5xwX

— Andrew Solender (@AndrewSolender) January 3, 2021

"From a purely partisan perspective, Republican presidential candidates have won the national popular vote only once in the last 32 years. They have therefore depended on the electoral college for nearly all presidential victories in the last generation. If we perpetuate the notion that Congress may disregard certified electoral votes - based solely on its own assessment that one or more states mishandled the presidential election - we will be delegitimizing the very system that led Donald Trump to victory in 2016, and that could provide the only path to victory in 2024."

may i draw your attention to playboi carti's twitter?

― shabbat bloody shabbat (voodoo chili),

Nah. He pays people to fuck with caps-lock.

Trump called him "Lying Ted," insulted his wife's appearance and implied that his father killed JFK... and received nothing but fawning loyalty in return.

"From a purely partisan perspective, Republican presidential candidates have won the national popular vote only once in the last 32 years. They have therefore depended on the electoral college for nearly all presidential victories in the last generation. If we perpetuate the notion that Congress may disregard certified electoral votes - based solely on its own assessment that one or more states mishandled the presidential election - we will be delegitimizing the very system that led Donald Trump to victory in 2016, and that could provide the only path to victory in 2024."

Saying the quiet part loud in official statements!

Wow @ republicans openly admitting that they are unelectable via above-board means.

lol Georgia elections official Gabriel Sterling regarding the voting machine parts "that's not a real thing, i don't even know what that means or how to explain that"

Wow @ republicans openly admitting that they are unelectable via above-board means.

How is following the (antiquated, mostly nonsensical) rules of the system not "above-board"?

Trump called him "Lying Ted," insulted his wife's appearance and implied that his father killed JFK... and received nothing but fawning loyalty in return.

It's not loyalty, it's a desperate bid to be loved by the MAGA hordes. (Which will fail when a SEC coach who resigned under a cloud of scandal calls him a pussy in the first GOP debate of 2023.)

yeah I don't believe for a second that Cruz or Graham or any of those guys actually like Trump at all or will want to be seen with him once he's out of office. Jordan, Nunes, and Gaetz on the other hand...

Personally I am wholly uninterested in whether Republicans are tolerating Trump pissing in their faces because they think it has long-term electoral benefits or actively soliciting it because they are irrevocably addicted to being piss pigs

I'm just gonna go ahead and reconfigure GOP into 'Gaggle of PissPigs' inside my own head, plz feel free to join me

Now I’m imagining a bunch of Republicans in straw hats at the 2024 convention desultorily dancing to “hot piss” by the yellow river boys

Look, what I do on the weekends has nothing to do with these fascist fucks, please do not get it twisted.

old grey mare she aint what she used to be