What are Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's Flaws?

Even where capitalism hasn’t consigned 20% of the populace to permanent misery, it’s boiling the seas. Depends on your definition of working.

imo milo’s point is that despite some good things happening, bad things also happened and those overwhelmingly dominate and therefore people who have lived through the last 30 years haven’t seen a net improvement in their lives; some people now make 15$ an hour or are now insured under medicaid, but they also lost their life savings in 2008

it’s an important point and worthwhile distinction to keep in mind. is policy (and other sources of increases in well being) outpacing the other countervailing forces making people’s lives worse?

in terms of post-tax income, i think the answer is yes. in fact, most people’s lives have improved. however, it’s very underwhelming for the bottom half of the income distribution. if you look at the distribution of pre-tax income 1980-2014, it declined by 25% for those in the bottom 20% of the income distribution. however, post-tax, it increases by 4%. so policy is outpacing the headwinds, but just barely. compare this to the previous period 1946-80, where income for this group doubled. for the next 30 percent, those in between the 20 and 50th percentile, income increased by 7% pre-tax and 26% post tax.

btw these numbers come from piketty saez and zucman distributional national accounts

I follow AOC on twitter, AMA

― jaymc, Monday, November 9, 2020 11:05 AM (one hour ago)

I follow her on Twitter too!

― Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Monday, November 9, 2020 11:08 AM (one hour ago)

story checks out:

AOC is cool and smart

― Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, April 17, 2020 1:21 AM (six months ago)

re: post-tax income, how does that correlate with costs of living?

Between 2010 and 2016, my rent for a below average 1 bedroom in a flyover state city increased by a bit more than 50% from $600 to $950 (and presumably has kept climbing, I lucked into renting a house that's been stable), after being pretty steady from 2000-10. When I enrolled in college in 2000 vs. enrolled in 2010, tuition had roughly tripled IIRC.

tuition & fees*

And in populous cities, the sorts of numbers you're citing are even more wild.

i don’t have a citation off the top of my head; ill look into it and get back to you with some numbers. that’s the best data in the world for national stuff but it’s not available at any subnational levels yet. they use gdp deflators in that paper so rent is accounted for relative to its share of gdp

one reason why rent likely won’t overturn those results is incomes in expensive cities rose far more than for the country as a whole. many of the poorest people in the country, those who have *really* been left behind, live in places like the rust belt where rent is low but incomes decreased by even more

this is interesting discussion. i don't have anything but more personal anecdata - seeing the same massive increases in rent etc, way outpacing increases in wages. i just assume it's the same everywhere, which it sounds like it .. basically is?

i also really feel like i see a lot more people out there living out of their cars etc. than i did four years ago. i'm in a mountain west city.

i feel like it would be a good idea to tax rich people more and use that to give poor people more money.

Social housing is something that needs to gain more traction, even within the progressives, I see it as an emergency on par with health-care.

otm

(also feel compelled to say I'm not disaffected, I do believe in change, just generally not via the Democratic Party)

Americans spend far less on clothing and housing than in the past, but more on housing and healthcare. I see health insurance companies as an unnecessary middleman, but they are responding to prices set by pharma and hospital/doctor companies/orgs.

Americans spend far less on ... housing than in the past, but more on housing...

You may want to correct that.

probably meant clothing and food?

Yes meant clothing and food

many xps but thanks for that Jemison post sleeve; they're so OTM partic

Bitch, no, everybody loves salt, some of us just moderate.

Put some fucking Republicans in jail.

And totally fair point on not seeing Dem as a entity to deliver needed change. I don't think anyone here is too thrilled about 2 party system.

Very worthwhile thread that fits well alongside her NYT article:

The comments @aoc is making about Democratic ground-game weakness are being dismissed. I have seen, up close, exactly what she is talking about.

— Richard Cooke (@rgcooke) November 9, 2020

holy fuck at

More senior staff (when people knew who they were) were AWOL, not on the trail but at home or on leave. I kept being told a particular individual "knew everything"; when I finally found him (it took several days), he was a backpacker volunteer who had been living in Spain.

— Richard Cooke (@rgcooke) November 9, 2020

The backpacker is Morgan, correct? Nice guy. I'm from the UK now living in Miami and thought I was losing my mind when trying to understand how the democratic party - and politics in general - worked here. Glad to have my experiences confirmed!

— Phil C (@SunWuTzu) November 9, 2020

Morgan sounds pretty chill tbh

actually, Morgan is his last name

https://images.app.goo.gl/HLyR9VwSRh5ZLmNM7

Expected The Captain

#onethread but that excellent twitterstring by the man from The Monthly probably fits on the Dem Party Direction or main US pol thread

I can confirm Cooke's tweet thread anecdotally. Three Thursdays ago, I drove to what I thought was Daniella Levine Cava's Coral Gables office. It wasn't -- it was an unfurnished office of a state senators. Taken aback, I asked the college-aged volunteer (the only person in the office) for correct directions. It took five minutes of her thumbing through her phone.

I'm a 78-year-old white man who favors radical police reform and hopes you in particular get everything you want from politics and life. But I'm also a veteran editor who knows an unfortunate turn of phrase when he sees one. "Defund the police" does more harm than good. Period. https://t.co/dIwyiUDwX8

— Robert Christgau (@rxgau) November 11, 2020

Gausplaining

He’s so old you can’t even OK Boomer him.

Cool, Silent Generationer

I think the messaging is a reasonable argument to have, I've gone back and forth on it myself. But of course like everything else Xgau's pompous old ass doesn't express opinions but rather Conveys Truths From On High

guys i don't think 'defund the police' is going to win people over. how about this: 'de-milkshake the police'

Glomp the police

Huggle the police!

de milkshake bring all de boys to de yard

'castrate the police'

'fuck the police in a dungeon room'

sorry

Felch the police

lol

Given the sheer amount of attention 'Defund the police' has drawn so far, I'd say it's a pretty successful slogan on that basis alone.

"Strenuously finger-wag the police!"

that'll do it

From a focus group of people who "leaned Biden but flipped to Trump in the last two weeks of the election":

Only one participant here agrees we should "defund the police." One woman says "That is crazier than anything Trump has ever said." 50% of people here say they think Biden was privately sympathetic to the position.

— Danny Barefoot (@dannybarefoot) November 10, 2020

We ask if they support reducing police funding and reallocating it to social services and other agencies to reduce police presence in community conflict. 70% say they support that proposal.

— Danny Barefoot (@dannybarefoot) November 10, 2020

poor confused trump supporters, scared away by a 3 word phrase. what do they think of BLM

oh wow:

We are explaining the actual policies behind defund the police. One woman interrupts "that is not what defund the police means, I'm sorry. It means they want to defund the police."

— Danny Barefoot (@dannybarefoot) November 10, 2020

the people have spoken:

Okay closing with asking if anyone already regrets their vote for Trump. One woman says she wishes she wouldn't have voted. 2 say they would probably change their vote. One says she wouldn't but only because Biden won. Swing voters are really something y'all.

— Danny Barefoot (@dannybarefoot) November 10, 2020

There's an old saying "Love me, love my dog."

oh wow:

We are explaining the actual policies behind defund the police. One woman interrupts "that is not what defund the police means, I'm sorry. It means they want to defund the police."
— Danny Barefoot (@dannybarefoot) November 10, 2020
― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, November 11, 2020 4:25 PM (five minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

I mean she’s not wrong...

You can't expect a populace who on the average is dumb enough to vote Trump to understand "defund the police". Liberals have a track record of not dumbing shit down enough. These stories and stats are exactly the same as those re: ACA.

I actually want to defund the police

I posted the wrong tweet:

One woman says "I love Lady Gaga but all of Hollywood supports Biden and Democrats." Another woman says "Lady Gaga is kind of crazy and I don't think we should listen to her talk about government. She wore a dress made of meat."

— Danny Barefoot (@dannybarefoot) November 10, 2020