GET OUT: US politics November 2020

gonna make another negroni and continue vibing to Orbital on the main TV while the reporting rolls tho

the omaha paper is ... kind of calling? NE-2 for biden, which is good news and rules out a mathematical tie assuming the arizona call is correct.

ENBB are you in the UK?!

She’s been for a minute!

well i never

twitter are preventing likes and retweets of that trump tweet.

Fox is calling BS on Trump's tweet re the election being stolen

lol
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El9SumjX0AIO2Nh?format=png&name=900x900

If Trump thinks he’s toast I’m relaxing

caek’s posts have been reassuring to me ngl

the other two have votes, I’m just a well wisher!

negroni and orbital sound pretty great right now

caek’s posts have been reassuring to me ngl

glad you weren't here five hours ago.

good news for new yorkers

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/03/us/politics/new-yorks-working-families-party-cleared-the-threshold-to-keep-its-automatic-ballot-line.html

Ladies, the important thing was to get some sleep because every time I pull an all-nighter for elections the following few days are like DO NOT OPERATE HEAVY MACHINERY. Only had one shite meme from my mom, have a well-made cup of tea warming up my angry knee and woke up to my home state declaring for Biden.

Eat shit cuomo

negroni and orbital sound pretty great right now

Orbital - Classic or Dud?

xposts i kept trying to post "caek, calm down!" but other people would post while i was trying to do it, then i'd decide not to submit it. but each time i thought "i'm freaked out that I'M the one saying this" lol :)

_caek’s posts have been reassuring to me ngl_


glad you weren't here five hours ago.

XXP

Yes! I was adamant with anyone I saw voting D to vote on those lines so that’s good to hear.

Going to get some toast hopefully in honour of dear soon to be former president

NOW: @DecisionDeskHQ calls NE-02 for @JoeBiden

— Andrew Feinberg (@AndrewFeinberg) November 4, 2020

shame on Maine for the senate race still not being called

ENBB are you in the UK?!

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, November 4, 2020 1:00 AM (seven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

She’s been for a minute!

― all cats are beautiful (silby), Wednesday, November 4, 2020 1:01 AM (seven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

well i never

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, November 4, 2020 1:02 AM (six minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Yep. :) Have been in London for exactly two years this week. You’re not back here, are you?!

no i live in LA now

https://wwwcache.wralsportsfan.com/asset/voices/2014/10/10/14064384/Twin_Peaks_-_it_s_happening_again-500x300.gif

this is trump winning right? help me out

Fox calling Nebraska 2nd for Biden

The fact that MN has two separate "major" parties devoted to pot legalization has probably cost the DFL two house seats (districts 1 and 2)

https://www.minnpost.com/elections/2020/11/results/#dashboard

apparently not?
xpost to trump winning

Based on a drop of 13,121 mail ballots in Erie County, PA showing Biden winning them 5:1, it looks like he will win back this swing county that Trump carried. There are abut 37k mail ballots still to be counted in coming days. Dems believe Biden wins them 3 or 4 to 1.

— Trip Gabriel (@tripgabriel) November 4, 2020

this doesn't look very good to me

(French here, just woke up and looking at decisiondesk's map)

Cool that the major swing states appear nowhere close to being called yet

I know it's just a modeler, but if you got to that 538 thing where you plug in key states and see how percentages change then Biden's gone from 90% this morning to 95% now.

sry to be a naysayer, I was hoping this would look more decisive at this point.

AP called Texas for Trump (again, not surprising, but in case anyone held out hope anyway)

Fox saying either 99% of the Milwaukee vote is in or 39%... they're not sure

I just hope that the big turnout in TX this year helps them out locally as much as it did in 2018

Biden’s got this in the bag. I’m pissed about the Senate results so far though

The decision desk has been charged with figuring out whether "99" was a typo

xp -- gee, maybe if beto didn't take a huge fucking toke of his own supply

It's so frustrating to be looking at these maps and everything and just not having any way of knowing. I know everyone spent weeks warning about this with mail-in ballots, but I ... basically didn't want to believe that it was going to be close enough that that would matter. (So yeah, I was in denial, I know.)

Yea the Senate now rests on a few races. It's a big blow if we can't get it back.

I'll take it over a Trump Presidency but if we can't get the Senate back now, when tf can we get it back

John King just rambled around for 15 minutes and arrived at this: Biden can lose Pennsylvania if he wins Wisconsin and Michigan; he'd take it 270-268 (if Arizona and that congressional district in Nebraska holds).

Milwaukee wont report for a few more hours

At this point it seems Biden’s gonna eat into Trumps lead in MI, WI, and PA over the next few days. I am fairly optimistic. Georgia turning into a weird wild card too.

Living in Minnesota, I can't say I trust Wisconsin as much as some of y'all seem to.

With so damn many mail-in ballots to count, decisive results by now were only in the cards with a landslide election, one where FL and NC fell early to Biden. This will be no landslide. It will be an EC squeaker again.

MI, WI, MN all need to hold the line. Even if GA goes Biden, it will be by a tiny margin and there will be a big recount fight there. Nice to see AZ ready to deliver for Biden, though. Makes life a bit simpler.

Win GA so i can get off the toilet

Wisconsin has polled extremely well for Biden, recently elected a Dem governor and flopped a state SC seat that nobody gave them a chance at. We are also getting fucking slammed with Covid right now. He might not win by a ton but I’d be really stunned if he lost here, would very much be the story of this election (next to Miami obv)

If you just go by what ABC News has called (we're on the conservative side tonight)... Biden's win probability would go from 69% to 85% based on NE-2 being called! That one electoral vote makes a huge amount of difference.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 4, 2020

I should have took the week off and really worked on a bender