GET OUT: US politics November 2020

Right. Assuming Biden wins in Minn, GA, Arizona, and no absolute shockers, he only needs to win one of PA, MI or WI. That's a pretty good place to be.

Assuming he wins GA and loses AZ, he needs any two of those three. Which I think is the same position he'd be in if he won Arizona and lost Georgia. Actually, am I missing something? Why did I keep hearing that he absolutely needs to win PA?

AP just called Florida for Trump

Cos it's indicative of the Rust belt

Ok, so say Biden actually wins Georgia, and assume he's also won Arizona, that gives him a few paths right? He no longer absolutely has to win PA.

If Biden keeps AZ (as called for him by Fox) and MN (as called by AP), then wins Georgia, he basically just needs EITHER MI, or NV + WS to win. Trump can take PA, OH, NC, TX - it doesn't matter.

Assuming he wins GA and loses AZ, he needs any two of those three. Which I think is the same position he'd be in if he won Arizona and lost Georgia. Actually, am I missing something? Why did I keep hearing that he absolutely needs to win PA?

― longtime caller, first time listener (man alive),

Arizona looks like a flip.

GA looks good, but I would not make any assumptions about it

Losing AZ but winning GA seems unfathomable at this point. I’m pretty confident in Arizona, who knows about GA

In any case it’s seems doubtful we will know for Georgia tonight.

At this point I’m sweating over the senate. I thought 2016 was the last dying gasp of white privilege but tonight is troubling.

I think the next big swing is gonna be when those Milwaukee votes come in. I’m pretty confident in Wisconsin. I know the polling has not been the most accurate but I do not see how you lose a state that a high quality pollster pit you up 17 in weeks before the election

Otherwise I'm right though? Am I missing something? Assuming he did win AZ, he can win with any two of: Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania?

White supremacy doesn’t die on this continent til the white people are repatriated

fwiw, there's this:

NATE SILVER
NOV. 4, 12:34 AM
A lot of states have been called on some networks and not on others. If you plug in all the states where any network has called the state for Biden or Trump, it shows Biden at 88 percent to win the Electoral College, Trump at 6 percent, and a 6 percent chance of a tie. But that depends on Biden winning Arizona and Minnesota, which ABC News hasn’t projected yet.

Biden just made a statement: “We believe we’re on track to win this election.”

Biden declaring victory over naptime

the senate seems like it's going to end 49-51 tonight and will come down to the two georgia runoffs in january.

i would favor the dems to pick up at least one there. 2 months of literally nothing being done in DC while people die is not a good pitch for a GOP senate. but who knows.

Are we expecting a definite result from any of the states in that equation tonight?

lmao he's tweeting. he can't spell "poll"

CNN reporting White House "is very upset" about Arizona.

Trump people also acknowledging, according to CNN, they won't win Michigan.

gianforte won re-election, bad news for reporters who don't like being physically attacked

i'm watching fox rn. they're playing it quite straight at the moment.

An important question, y'all

should I go to bed

So fed up that this is close at all. I hate the garbage people of this country. I recently learned (maybe through this site?) that saying "white trash" is very problematic. But those are the words that are filling up my head.

Sorry, I'm trying not to freak out.

man, can I actually go to bed? I'm starting to feel like the knot in my stomach is untying and I can go to bed.

lol xp alfred

Trump's retort:

We are up BIG, but they are trying to STEAL the Election. We will never let them do it. Votes cannot be cast after the Polls are closed!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 4, 2020

We can hold the fort, Alfred.

Yeah I heard that too recently and I don’t 100% believe it

Depends, do you have a book to read?

Re white trash

can't wait until I don't have to think about 538's fursona

Depends, do you have a book to read?

― all cats are beautiful (silby),

Took care of that this morning!

Are we good,fam? I passed out

I know it’s not 9am in London yet but I woke up at 5am and, well, here we are.

12:38am text from Trump campaign staffer: "Momentum has clearly shifted to Biden... Georgia is..... oof."

— Jacqueline Alemany (@JaxAlemany) November 4, 2020

Same, suzy, was hoping for better news at this stage but the turnout was so big a bit of waiting is inevitable. 🤞🏻 for you so regardless.

Suzy, Gyac and I are also in the it’s not even 6 am and we’re awake club. I’ve been up since 4:30 and am about to admit there’s no way I'm falling asleep again and just make some coffee.

ha!

go to bed Alfred, we're not going to know anything tonight

gonna make another negroni and continue vibing to Orbital on the main TV while the reporting rolls tho

the omaha paper is ... kind of calling? NE-2 for biden, which is good news and rules out a mathematical tie assuming the arizona call is correct.

ENBB are you in the UK?!

She’s been for a minute!

well i never

twitter are preventing likes and retweets of that trump tweet.

Fox is calling BS on Trump's tweet re the election being stolen

lol
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El9SumjX0AIO2Nh?format=png&name=900x900

If Trump thinks he’s toast I’m relaxing

caek’s posts have been reassuring to me ngl

the other two have votes, I’m just a well wisher!