GET OUT: US politics November 2020

kinda like you were a kid and were announcing your own basketball game and kept shooting and going "and he NAILS IT AT THE BUZ-", then watched another airball soar over the hoop, rinse repeat

New: Biden camp internals show “strong” numbers in WI, MI, NC, GA, PA, AZ & NE-2. FL is true toss-up, senior adviser tells @NorahODonnell. Source says not seeing “red tide of low-propensity voters” for Trump. Dem says they are over-performing in WI, NC and GA. @cbsnews

— Bo Erickson CBS (@BoKnowsNews) November 3, 2020

I would like to extend my best wishes to all, even the haters and lurkers, on this special date

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/El7yUgKX0AA4ysf?format=jpg&name=medium

that'll keep me in good spirits until i get home thanks for posting that one xp

oh florida

AP has a breakdown of who's voting.

https://www.npr.org/2020/11/03/929478378/understanding-the-2020-electorate-ap-votecast-survey

One important note: during the 2018 midterms, 4% more women than men voted. This year, they're up by 7%.

"Biden camp internals show “strong” numbers in WI, MI, NC, GA, PA, AZ & NE-2. FL is true toss-up"

i could have told them exactly that by looking at 538, but thanks for the scoop, bo.

I've opened my first beer, because it's after 5 and I don't have to drive anyone around anymore. It's a pretty strong triple IPA, though, so some chance it's my only beer!

Because why else are we here so

From 4pm to 6pm, the partisan split in Broward was D43/R22/I35 (D+21). A very big blue shift over the course of the day. https://t.co/BwQGJhsT7c

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 3, 2020

suck on my partisan shift, Donnie

I just spoke with 28yr-old Miamian Alex Garcia. He said he woke up today thinking he was going to vote for Trump BUT he changed his mind at the voting booth. He ended up picking Biden to “go back to normal.”

“I just want my Instagram to be about me again, and how good I look”

— Lautaro Grinspan (@lautarogrinspan) November 3, 2020

I'm taking a partial break from ILX 'cause work beckons but tonight's the night so I just wanted to say: good luck, USA.

xpost That is everything we deserve.

thanks alex

listening to AM Gold compilations 1966 onwards to fend off bad vibes

thx to all you magical polling stats nerds for keeping things afloat itt

nate cohn says florida looks 1% more GOP than their last poll. but biden was winning by 5% in their last poll. so ....

You guys, thanks so much for the updates. You’re keeping me sane. I’m so glad to be spending this day with you. Going for a third beer now... cheers!

I'm telling you, why three beers when you can just have one big triple IPA?

Listening to George Harrison's "All Things Must Pass."

do you all still watch tv coverage of this stuff? which is the best option?

i need to know who will be talking head partners on this excruciating journey

wouldn't even dream of watching cable news tonight (or ever lol)

yeah jesus no

maybe crooked media livestream if i feel like i need something

Steve Scalise upbeat on PBS... forget the fake polls, there's a lot of energy out there (he says).

have set up a second TV on the floor so we can stream tally coverage with the sound off while watching music videos & performances on the main one, and switch the sound over if anything intersting happens

Good luck to all the americans ilxorians. I love you all.

btw my brother and a couple of friends went to high school with Kamala H. in Montreal. we're convinced that's when she started wearing Chucks (there was a healthy contingent of skater punks at Westmount High at the time). and yeah, she was rad (broadly speaking).

#onethread and all but I'm certain there is still a contingent of skater punks at Westmount High.

lol true

chilled a cautionary bubbly already, gonna put a mango ipa in the fridge now, mix a negroni or boulevardier around six PST

<3 to all, those who are here as well as those who needed to /have been able to unplug completely to get through this.

Sic, the expensive bubbly we had when Howard lost his seat was the sweetest ever. May this be similarly good to you.

do you all still watch tv coverage of this stuff? which is the best option?

lol no

I’m watching CNN and am two drinks in already

the rollercoaster is at the top of the hill... thanks ILXors one and all for the good thoughts, take care of yourselves

it's amazing having the 538 liveblog stuff up in a tab, warning about paying attention to exit polls, while watching the cnn poll dudes breathlessly go through all their early exit poll returns

we are for sure on a bizarre ride II the pharcyde for sure for sure

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rKDrlVkLrvY

US exit polls are incredibly useful a few weeks after the election.

they are basically correct to within 0.5% at the minute the polls close in in the UK.

what a world! anyway!

Same

2016 was one of the most painful experiences of my life. I’ve been anticipating/dreading this day for exactly 4 years. I’m probably the most nervous I’ve ever been in my life.

But I’m still confident. I haven’t seen a single convincing theory on how Trump can win. My brain tells me we’re about to get good news but my gut is turning.

Hi everyone! rare/lapsed slight poster here to say: yes, I too read this (and other) threads exhaustively even though I never post. I'm sad because I just got overruled at home and now must listen to the news instead of music.

Turn the news off! I will text you when it’s over.

good lord Wolf is an idiot, holy shit

Here's some news for you all: my big beer (10.5%) more than did its job. Time to focus on making dinner, which is a delicious Mexican-style chicken soup.

Take care of yourselves.

i am working a 10.5 3 Floyds PIG DESTROYER \m/

i'm using a personal day for tomorrow, so i am here for the loooooong night

you all better take it easy because we're like 8 hours away from finally drifting off to bed

Feeling gratitude to and solidarity with everybody here, what a fucking massive headache we've shared these past four years.

Here's to better things ahead!