"Will you shut up, man?" US Politics October 2020

Trump is now placing his final bet on just four battleground states: Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Pennsylvania

Spending in Michigan and Minnesota and not Wisconsin seems too dumb even for the Trump campaign. But whatever, maybe they know something I don't know.

We call that Pulling a Hillary '16.

Minnesota is an "industrial" state, huh

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ViEzjcc6sE

BREAKING: NBC moves historically-red Texas to "tossup" in presidential race. #Election2020 pic.twitter.com/1dMFc7srvV

— Antonio Arellano (@AntonioArellano) October 27, 2020

A recent Politico article reported that Trump has been "fixated on Minnesota" since 2016. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/14/minnesota-swing-states-425366

just four battleground states: Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Pennsylvania

That list of states has Trump's tiny fingerprints smeared all over it. He has a hard time learning new facts, but he still remembers his electoral college map from 2016 and he figures if they did it for him once, they can do it again. He figures DeSantos will deliver FL for him.

I obtained a copy of the "health care plan" that Kayleigh McEnany handed to Lesley Stahl in that massive binder. It was a large print list of bullet pointed highlights and slogans that was 10 pages long (including back and front covers). https://t.co/90P0xNlDx3

— Hunter Walker (@hunterw) October 27, 2020

wonder if the Minnesota fixation has to do with his attacks on Ilhan Omar drawing such a rowdy response

https://washingtonmonthly.com/2020/10/27/louis-dejoys-october-surprise/

I hope if Biden wins, trash like Dejoy are prosecuted for the things they have done

wonder if the Minnesota fixation has to do with his attacks on Ilhan Omar drawing such a rowdy response

― frogbs, Tuesday, October 27, 2020 3:40 PM (two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

50% hating Omar
50% wanting to bring it home for the My Pillow guy

Big early vote milestone via Elections Project: at 69.2 million votes, the early total is now over 50% of the entire voting total from 2016.

Y'al were curious about Cuban American voters?

https://www.newyorker.com/news/us-journal/how-pro-trump-disinformation-is-swaying-a-new-generation-of-cuban-american-voters

EP adds this'll mean going over 70 million by the day's end (and then some, I'm guessing) and I'm pretty well guessing we hit 72 million first thing tomorrow morning, maintaining the six million a day pace. If that holds, by Saturday morning we'd be at 90 million and 100 million by Election Day morning itself is thoroughly possible, even with Texas finishing early voting on Friday.

Getting a lot of those enthusiastic, motivated votes banked early hopefully frees up Dem organizers to get more less motivated voters out to the polls on or before Election Day.

all the early voting favoring Dems seems like a pretty good thing in a pandemic - even if Trump voters are enthusiastic, how many of them are really willing to stand for several hours in the cold and risk a life threatening disease to cast a vote for a candidate most people think is going to get crushed anyway?

and the total vote in 2016 was what... 130 million?

ah, 136.5 million. fucking libertarians.

136 million is what I saw referenced earlier today.

all the early voting favoring Dems seems like a pretty good thing in a pandemic - even if Trump voters are enthusiastic, how many of them are really willing to stand for several hours in the cold and risk a life threatening disease to cast a vote for a candidate most people think is going to get crushed anyway?

― frogbs, Tuesday, October 27, 2020 4:06 PM (ten minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

yeah agreed, who knows....a vote counted now is a vote counted now...it could be something as you get a flat tire, who knows

Can we somehow trick 20 million Trump voters into giving themselves explosive diarrhea on election day

Talk about "exit polls," amirite?

Early returns

A tan wave election

Alfred, read that article, and tbh, all it really told me is that there are a load of 29-45 year old Cubans in Miami who aren't too smart. The quote from one left-leaning Cuban who laments that 'historical memory is short' is the definition of understatement-- it's as if people like Otaola are living in another dimension.

Isn't that all...you need to know?

I've been saying for years now this isn't complicated.

I mean, yeah, I guess that is all I need to know! Lol.

I have a... colleague, let's say, who is a young queer poet of Cuban descent...and he is the most conservative, reactionary poet of his generation that I've encountered. Very safe, measured, and frankly boring work. His family looks fabulously wealthy, and he is nice enough, but whew, his silence on certain issues is really telling to anyone paying attention. I thought of him a lot when I was reading that article

If you're pro Trump you're either dumb, an asshole, or a dumb asshole, no matter your demographic

Alfred[, read that article, and tbh, all it really told me is that there are a load of 29-45 year old Cubans in Miami who aren't too smart.

and you can thank the great schools of FL for that

I don't know much
But i know you're a dumb racist asshole
That may be
All i need to know

it's oNlY whEn you CALl me a dumb ASsHOLE THaT I'M foRceD TO VOTe FoR tRUmP

and you can thank the great schools of FL for that

― (•̪●) (carne asada),

Unnecessary. Most public school districts, constrained by testing, are shit at history and, worse, criticizing America.

The President is particularly hunting votes from suburban White woman, a group with which the first lady may hold some appeal...

I won't pretend to be an expert on suburban white women, but I question whether this is actually true.

True, I was a little cringed out by that comment. Xp

If you're pro Trump you're either dumb, an asshole, or a dumb asshole, no matter your demographic

Been my line from day one, tbh.

so they're just dumb than? that's cool xp

trump pretty clearly does not understand the suburbs

I think getting suburban white women is clearly a goal, but he just has no concept of how to communicate with that demo. See his comment today about "getting your husbands back to work" for example.

a group with which the first lady may hold some appeal...

it's not like Melania has gone out of her way to make herself accessible and well-liked by the public at large. in a way, her choice to stay mostly out of sight is refreshing. she's the first presidential spouse since Bess Truman to deliberately shun the spotlight and that's fine. but I can't fathom how she could change or influence anyone's vote.

The only people who give a shit about Melania have Pepe tattoos. Even Jesus freaks can’t turn her into an aspirational figure.

Melania as a relatable, hardworking soccer mom is a little beyond the pale.

Don't all yr white suburban women aspire to be like a frosty Eastern European fashion model who doesn't care about anything? And who is the famousky distant third wife of a rich fat hideous asshole?

Imma go ask my wife and I will report back.

The Daily podcast had an episode about the women who changed their minds since 2016, ie white suburban moms. It was a SUPER interesting story from an organizing perspective. Total "wine mom" stereotypes everywhere BUT some very touching moments. Worth a listen imo.

Re Trump and Florida ads: this makes sense, but also reflecting a pattern elsewhere (this is also happening in Texas IIRC). Might not seem like much but it means RNC money they can’t use elsewhere in turn:

According to Ad Analytics, the suggestion that Trump is going dark on his TV buys in FL is false

The campaign switched payee to the RNC. Ads are still running.

The election is in a week.

— Marc Caputo (@MarcACaputo) October 27, 2020

https://www.hindustantimes.com/rf/image_size_960x540/HT/p2/2020/08/28/Pictures/_10d553ce-e931-11ea-b0d0-732c2aa3f4c8.jpg

I AM MELANIA

i support wine moms

https://media.gq.com/photos/56d3fcb9062ab67b27fa8c75/4:3/w_475,h_356,c_limit/Screen%20Shot%202016-02-29%20at%2012.08.46%20AM.png

Florida is so essential that the initial news about the ads made me scowl.

I could maybe believe they're pulling ads in Florida because they think they have it in the bag.

By which you mean, colostomy bag