"Will you shut up, man?" US Politics October 2020

the only police I like are the karma police

"Randal always said, 'I have a better chance of dying in a car crash than I do from COVID,'" Kottschade said.

and yet he chose to not take the basic safety precaution of wearing a seatbelt, either.

https://i.imgur.com/XmUvbAZ.jpg

Who will now look after the dog that answers to the name 'Mr President'?

Monmouth finds Biden+5 or +3 among LVs in Iowa; Greenfield up +6 or +2 in the Senate race.
That's Biden's best Iowa result that I can recall. https://t.co/h3IcdVqI1B

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 21, 2020

Trump won Iowa by 9 in 2016

"Randal always said, 'I have a better chance of dying in a car crash than I do from COVID,'" Kottschade said.

Well, at the very least, he had a better chance of dying prematurely from something stupid and preventable than living out his natural life.

thought that McConnell photo was one of those "pictures with the wrong captions" thing but holy shit he looks terrible

https://i.imgur.com/l5dPDxd.jpg

For as much attention as MI/WI/PA/FL are getting, the real swing states right now (where the candidates are currently polling within a percentage point of each other) are GA/OH/IA.

Who will now look after the dog that answers to the name 'Mr President'?

Is this from that Simon and Garfunkel song?

Maybe McConnell is really in a hurry to confirm that person because he is about to die.

McConnell apparently transitioning into his final eldritch form.

i do expect him to rip off his skin, at the end, and hiss at everyone before dying

Melting Man RoboCop jpg

Is this from that Simon and Garfunkel song?

Our nation turns its lonely eyes to you, woof woof woof

https://i.imgur.com/OWBlQni.jpg

where is that?

PMURT
PMURT
MY HIP AND PELVIS HURT

xp that particular shot is from Toledo

I thought those signs said "SMURF."

Make America Gargamel Again

It seems this new Borat movie is well timed.

Oh my god.https://t.co/P9JCFr1nj1 pic.twitter.com/cwkiLZCnCw

— Ben Collins (@oneunderscore__) October 21, 2020

Something not quite right about the top flag. Can't put my finger on it.

this is septemic cutaneous ulcerative disease, it happened to my daughter's turtle too, they jsut have to change his water more often

― error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, October 21, 2020 10:27 AM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

I don't think enough attention was paid to this A+ lol.

that was good

i lold

before i filed this story i preemptively apologized to my editors that i may have added too many joe biden amtrak facts. did you know the station in wilmington is named after him? https://t.co/utHJusahPK

— Oliver Willis (@owillis) October 21, 2020

but his rails...

"Randal always said, 'I have a better chance of dying in a car crash than I do from COVID,'" Kottschade said.

anybody that drives in FL can tell you, dem's not great odds

i mean in the case of anyone under the age of 50 he's pretty much right.

well, yeah. and i suspect he's not the type who thinks much about 'other people' too

but in FL, dying in a car crash sometimes seems an inevitability, esp with teh "Ultimate I-4" project, though roads have been sometimes quiet lately

I have been told "hell is other people"

Xp

xxxp right. it's true but it's an argument to stop vehicular genocide via traffic engineering, tax non-commercial vehicles by weight, automated enforcement of speed limits, etc. etc. it's not an argument to lick doorknobs/ban masks.

oh i agree, i just like shitting on FL

some stats by people who don't understand how stats work

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/pennsylvania-polls-tighten-and-trump-is-now-within-4-points-of-a-second-term

our old friend Tim Carney is a FOX hack.

In contrast:

This is pretty interesting ... starting to see more likely voter models where Democrats *gain* ground relative to the registered voter version. https://t.co/Zsa5W2vWP8

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 21, 2020

I also wonder whether this accounts for some of the gap between the higher-quality polls and the lower-quality ones (higher-quality polls have been better for Biden lately). The higher-quality polls may have more sophisticated ways to account for early voting.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 21, 2020

*pats himself loudly on back*

wow

Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in Iowa, 46 to 43 percent, according to a new Times/Siena poll.
Joni Ernst leads Theresa Greenfield by 1 in the race for U.S. Senate, 45 to 44 percent.
Trump approval at 46/50https://t.co/Eb3mtqDSyu

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 21, 2020

"We are concerned that the Biden campaign's use of Amtrak's charter train redirected Amtrak's scarce resources during a time of record losses, employee layoffs, and service cuts during the COVID-19 pandemic," they wrote.

On their most recent expenditure report, the Biden campaign reported that it had spent $265,000 to lease the train.

So that kinda sounds like a win/win for Amtrak, no? Biden is actually paying them to ride around, whereas Dotard rides for free.

xp single polls aren't very useful of course

this amtrak thing seems to be .. going nowhere fast haha

"We are concerned that the Biden campaign's use of Amtrak's charter train redirected Amtrak's scarce resources during a time of record losses, employee layoffs, and service cuts during the COVID-19 pandemic," they wrote.

jfc they have no shame

"We are concerned that the Biden campaign's use of Amtrak's charter train redirected Amtrak's scarce resources during a time of record losses, employee layoffs, and service cuts during the COVID-19 pandemic," they wrote.

jfc they have no shame

xp single polls aren't very useful of course

― trapped out the barndo (crüt), Wednesday, October 21, 2020 1:30 PM (four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

not on their own, but that specific pollster is generally considered the best for state races and that's not a huge outlier wrt the results from spammier pollsters in IA, which adds up to some confidence.

Lol and Amtrak's resources are scarce because... ???

This is "why are you hitting yourself?" While wearing a nice suit instead of Garanimals.

Meanwhile, Amtrak is great because you can drink the whole time, not just when the beverage cart comes by. Amtrak is like planes except slower and everyone is in first class.

Seriously trains are awesome, everybody take more trains

Early vote count now almost 41 million, and Elections Project now starting to show breakdown of vote origins on the main page:

Total Mail Ballots: 29,425,844
In-Person Votes: 11,502,917

Also per the site, four states have yet to report any votes -- Arkansas and Hawaii on the lower population end, but also Missouri and of course New York, which will cause the numbers to really ramp up next week.

Why does everyone care about Iowa? It has like three electoral ones.

Why does everyone care about Iowa? It has like three electoral ones.