love* in the time of plague (and by love* i mean brexit* and other dreary matters of uk politics)

I've noted for months that ILX poster Calzino hates Keir Starmer and calls him a useless Tory bastard at every opportunity.

I always thought that was amusingly excessive - I thought KS was bland, inoffensive, dull, ineffectual, probably quite an effective candidate in pragmatic terms, possibly well-meaning.

Yesterday's actions were the first really to make me see why you might think as Calzino does.

I can't really trust KS on anything after this.

I guess more fundamentally I am concerned by how many ppl will play along w/ enforcing v broad and nebulous standards of who and what doesn't belong in democratic politics. I think the standards for exclusion should be v high. taking structural racism seriously means accepting it's deeply embedded in what we have to work with & trying to improve it, not just a feature of these distinct villains who can be weeded out. the total number/percentage of british ppl who have successfully avoided employing any tropes that a significant number of other ppl wld deem either bigoted or adjacent to bigotry is tiny, and not enough to build an even semi-representative democracy out of, and more and more of ppl's past can be discovered by malicious actors, we need a more honest way of dealing with the gap between where we want to be and where we are. so of matt's options I pick b) fighting against them, seeing as the trashing seems more like an inevitability than a risk

glad to get you on board Pinefox. I'll post off your Starmer is a Cunt badge asap!

Matt - I addressed that. How many times do you read an interview with an actor or a musician and they are saying things outside their expertise -- acting or making music -- to go off on something that, were you to later look it up, was a distorted version but actually was just enough to send you into a new field or what have you. The way Peake engages with it is the way a lot of people do. Its awkward, mistakes are made but it is often done xp

I think a lot Labour members thought Starmer would a dull but reasonable social democrat who might have a tendency for triangulation and bullshit but would generally carry on leading the party in a centre-leftish direction. That prospect is not looking good at all at this moment.

admirable ruthlessness in a way - would that JC's cadre had shown equivalent concision when they were in charge

I don't think maintaining a constant state of vigilance abt how everything you say/endorse could be taken as a dogwhistle is 'basic'. the complaints here have been that peake's comments "feed into a soft AS" or "steer very close to another antisemitic trope" which are in that extremely fuzzy "I can imagine an antisemite saying something like this" territory. I do think that's an absurd standard, as you are basically going solely by what makes ppl feel threatened, so its entirely subjective and changeable and rests on the infallibility of victims

In this particular incident it didn't require a "constant state of vigilance", it was completely obvious how it was going to be interpreted from the start, which indicates a blind spot with RLB that could have become a liability. Not enough to get her sacked, but still.

More generally, I actually do believe it's the responsibility of elected representatives, and others, to maintain a state of vigilance over their language (or in this case, language already used in an article they've excitedly endorsed). And also, crucially, to learn from mistakes like this. Victims aren't always infallible but bigotry is in large part about making people threatened and people have a responsibility to avoid blundering into that - these sorts of discussions are happening across the left (and more generally) wrt race, gender etc etc. Minorities aren't a monolith but people who make up a majority have a responsibility to listen to them when they say that particular ways of phrasing or lines of argument are unacceptable or echo racist tropes or otherwise make them feel threatened. Otherwise you're getting into similar territory where people say it's fine to call a black woman aggressive in the office, or whatever.

A lot of the people shouting loudest about this have no interest whatsoever in applying this principle consistently, that goes without saying.

even Joylon windmill sticking up for RLB! She might have had shortcomings as a prospective Labour leader but non-factional people who know her all seem to say she is very hard-working and quite brilliant. It's a bitter pill for her, but I'm sure she'll be back, well maybe in 20 - 30 years tbf!

(There's a thornier question about how you go about addressing this when two sets of minority interests are diametrically opposed but that's not quite what we're talking about here).

Boris Johnson’s spokesman asked whether the PM regrets saying seaside towns should “show some guts” and put up a “welcome sign” to all visitors, replies that “the prime minister’s words speak for themselves.”

— Adam Bienkov (@AdamBienkov) June 26, 2020

Meanwhile, absolutely washing his hands of the problem here.

Which of his words are speaking for themselves?

Not that it matters, they can do and say what they like and there's nothing anyone can do about it.

That question in brackets is the question. Minorities have different voices within them xps to Matt

Also unless I haven't made myself sufficiently clear here, weaponising individual missteps for unrelated reasons does no one any favours least of all minorities themselves.

Meanwhile, absolutely washing his hands of the problem here.

Not convinced Johnson is washing his hands any more than he was six months ago.

no one incident requires a constant state of vigilance, but to avoid every single incident does. if the goal is maximising reflection on language, taking minorities' experiences seriously and so on, I'm not sure treating ppl as "liabilities" works - the net effect of censures like this is not going to be ppl becoming more sensitive to the experiences of jews - it just ends up creating bigger divides & disenfranchising ppl who resent ppl calling them cranks/stupid etc. cf. brexit & "fuck off and join the tories"

will spare you all the tangent abt how one of the main problems w/ the state of thinking in general in 2020 is the idea that all our problems could be solved if only the right people would just fuck off

if only the left had someone

https://i.imgur.com/ZfV6v1J.jpg

fp

Re: Boris, the tabloids today were full of WHY DID YOU GO TO THE BEACH FFS and CRYING HEALTH MINISTER DISAPPOINTED IN US BAD BAD CHILDREN; I don't mean to kinkshame but would really want out of this s&m roleplay the govt and the press seem to be engaged in with the populace.

Members of the Socialist Campaign Group of Labour MPs met with Keir Starmer this morning: pic.twitter.com/JDaGIIZyij

— Socialist Campaign Group (@socialistcam) June 26, 2020

Cross-party MPs have urged government to stop homeless migrants being forced to return to the streets.

29 Labour, Liberal Democrat and Green MPs have signed a joint letter warning of a coming ‘cliff-edge’ as the programme housing people experiencing homelessness in hotels during Covid-19 ends across England at the beginning of July.

Pleased to have MPs across political parties join me in a letter to the Government warning of a coming ‘cliff-edge’ as the programme to house people experiencing homelessness in hotels during COVID-19 ends across England at the beginning of July. pic.twitter.com/DFo31HVlD5

— Apsana Begum MP (@ApsanaBegumMP) June 26, 2020

looking forward to starmer showing strong leadership on this one too

on the “soft AS” phrase - it’s not a good one. the intention was to say it’s not the grotesque and violent version of AS that people who hate jews (mainly but not exclusively on the right) but it is still AS, and feeds into tropes of global jewishness (my reason for taking exception to the word “imperial”). it’s probably best expressed here by Bush:

Keir Starmer has Rebecca Long-Bailey, his former leadership rival, from her post as shadow education secretary after she described the actor Maxine Peake as a “diamond” and shared an Independent interview with the Shameless star in which she said that “the tactics used by the police in America, kneeling on George Floyd’s neck, that was learnt from seminars with Israeli secret services”.

What’s wrong with that? It’s true to say that the world’s police forces share training and exchange techniques, and that holds true for the police in most nations.

But it is not true to say that neck kneeling was taught by, or originates from, Israeli secret services - as Amnesty International, cited as the original source for the claim [tell us], they have not said so.

It goes to the essence of many of Labour's long-running problems on this issue - why should Israel’s security services be treated as more responsible for the killing than those of the United Kingdom or France, or any of the countless forces that use aggressive restraint techniques? Why is Peake, a British actor, singling out the world’s only Jewish majority state as the point of origin for the killing of an African-American? Why not the United Kingdom - or why not simply the United States, where the killing took place? It's an example of an all-too-common pattern on the British left: of placing Israel at the heart of a global web of ills.

As I've written before, the true face of Labour's antisemitism problem is not people who have hatred in their hearts, but people who are either simply unable to see the problem when it is in front of them, or are unwilling to confront or condemn expressions of it when they see them.

It was poorly put, at best, by Peake. It’s grey enough in terms of AS to have set alarm bells going for RLB, especially considering her position, especially considering perception of AS was considered a major vulnerability in the last election, and being seen to respond better - quicker and more decisively - has been made a priority for the leadership.

i don’t think it’s an unreasonable level of vigilance to say to your senior party members “think twice before publicly posting anything with a reference to israel in it, and then probably don’t anyway”.

even without starmer’s desire to marginalise the left it would have created a hell of a headache. with that it was probably an incredibly easy decision.

it’s a huge pity to see her go, especially taking into account calz’s tweet up thread about the work she was putting in at grassroots level to be across her brief and the general extreme crapness of williamson. she’s clearly diligent and capable and the last senior Labour person able to articulate the principles of socialism from the position of the front bench.

apologies for prolonging the conversation - one of those posts where you go, do i really want to post this? but did just want to clarify the bad “soft AS” point.

as always on AS i’d encourage people to go to this excellent report on Anti-Semitism in Contmepoearu Britain.

The attempt to comprehend the meaning of these figures from the point of view of a British Jewish individual, results in a significant breakthrough in understanding Jewish anxieties. Fierce antisemitism is undoubtedly a minority position in British society. However, Jews lead their lives without full knowledge or certainty about the scope or character of the thoughts and attitudes of others. Such is the nature of social interactions. What Jews come across in everyday social encounters at an individual level is expressions of single attitudes, often in a casual manner, rather than comprehensive profiles of all attitudes that other individuals may possess, and antisemitic attitudes, at some level, can be found among 30% of the British population in some shape or form. These attitudes do not need to be fierce and do not need to cluster within a particular individual in order to be noticed by Jews. British society harbours some sort of anti-Israel attitude or attitudes, which are often treated as suspicious by many Jews, and not without reason, since, as we have seen, for significant proportions of people, anti-Israel attitudes are indeed mixed with antisemitic ones. Thus, 62% of British society endorse at least one antisemitic and/or one anti-Israel attitude, making the likelihood of Jews encountering such attitudes very high. In light of this recast, Jewish anxieties and fears instantly become more understandable.

29 Labour, Liberal Democrat and Green MPs have signed a joint letter

arise coth

Emma Hardy in the running to replace RLB, i've met Emma (briefly), she seems meltier than a Mr Whippy on Bournemouth beach

if you've obtained a rep for something (fairly or not) you have to really go hard the other way to remove it. Labour has got itself a rep for antisemitism. This isn't the time to publically thread through a semantic argument about why it's good not bad actually to bring up Israel in the context of US police brutality.

Not convinced it needed to be a sacking personally, and it is definitely storing up debts that will have to be repaid, but I think Matt's right about the short-term appeal of it to KS.

whats going on in glasgow atm?

Contmepoearu

didn't he play for Steaua Bucharest?

if you've obtained a rep for something (fairly or not) you have to really go hard the other way to remove it. Labour has got itself a rep for antisemitism. This isn't the time to publically thread through a semantic argument about why it's good not bad actually to bring up Israel in the context of US police brutality.

The logical end point of this would be to not express any solidarity towards Palestine whatsoever.

Labour also developed a perceived reputation (fairly or not) for 'anti-white racism', Irish republicanism, hatred of the armed forces and NATO, anti-Hindu sentiment, support for Assad and Putin, etc, etc so excited to see what else they can lean in on.

Hardy became politically active in 2011, after joining a campaign protesting against school cuts and meeting Alan Johnson, the then-MP for Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle.

Radicalised by Alan Johnson, the shame of it.

The logical end point of this would be to not express any solidarity towards Palestine whatsoever.

Not even the end point! They would then find another stick to beat the left with.

Oh sorry, SV said as much above.

"if you've obtained a rep for something (fairly or not) you have to really go hard the other way to remove it. Labour has got itself a rep for antisemitism."

That's running -- to an extent -- after an issue that is played up by the right-wing press. Which is the mistake Stephen Bush is also making.

bush is another one saying that what peake says is factually wrong rather than speculation, but I've not seen anything showing it's actually false. seems odd to focus so intensely on nice distinctions w/ a remark while doing this.

the q of what's the best solution when there is a problem w/ prejudice and language (or a perceived problem, or something in between) is tricky and I wonder if a new tack is needed. for a long time the liberal/left move has been to focus on the direction of travel; the important thing to to push for the right cause because the scale of the problem is so vast. never calling a black woman aggressive in an office dispute, or ever singling out israel for criticism is surely preferable to doing it without thinking about it (or ofc w/ bad intent). but inversing the logic still maintains its structure and it's just as flawed, and ppl are sensitive to this sort of unfairness/hypocrisy and the right can get a lot of mileage out of it (cf. rotherham child abuse scandal). ultimately I think it's more expedient to try and do the tough job of arguing that things can be more than one thing at the same time and in a grey area rather than this sort of posturing

https://www.glasgowlive.co.uk/news/glasgow-news/west-george-street-incident-live-18494009

Local reports suggest a number of people have been seriously injured

Also ...

https://www.itv.com/news/granada/2020-06-26/trafford-centre-owner-intu-confirms-it-has-gone-into-administration-but-says-shopping-centres-will-continue-to-trade/

xxp tbf peake herself has said she was wrong but afaik she's not in a position to know either!

armed police on the scene

Major incident in Glasgow as armed police arrive on scene#glasgow #glasgowcitycentre pic.twitter.com/P0m2yRVbHS

— SMT Daily (@SMTDaily) June 26, 2020

It's kicking off everywhere right now.

Sky reporting fatalities and police using firearms.

Given that the police are saying there's no danger to the public they must have shot the attacker.

Danger for the public is gone says Sky, though ppl should still stay indoors

xp

BBC says three dead in 'city centre hotel'

Have read, without confirmation, that the people attacked were asylum seekers, so maybe they were being housed in a hotel.

fuck :-(

I know there's a lot going on right now but this is the information I've been looking for for a while:

The proportion of Covid-19 patients in hospital who are dying is falling, research suggests.

The University of Oxford’s Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine studied deaths in hospital in England and found that the number of people in hospital with coronavirus is reducing by 2.4% every day - halving every 29 days.

The number of deaths is also reducing by 4.3% per day - halving every 16 days.

On 2 April, at the height of the epidemic, there were 644 deaths in 10,737 people in hospital with Covid - giving a 6% death rate, the researchers said.

But by 15 June, there were 50 deaths and 3,270 people in hospital - giving a death rate of 1.5%.

The authors suggested several reasons for the “steep and continual decline in the death rate in hospital of patients”.

One could be that patients with Covid-19 in late March and early April included a significant proportion of patients who caught the infection in hospital, they said.

“These patients, because they were in hospital, were more likely to be sicker and more vulnerable than patients who acquired infection in the community and so more likely to die from Covid-19.”

But as this changed, and patients with community-acquired infections became a greater proportion of patients in hospital, the death rate could fall, the researchers suggested.

Other reasons may be that medics have become more skilled at treating patients with Covid-19, patients over time have become younger with fewer underlying health conditions, or people are now suffering less severe disease.

The researchers said: “The reasons for the declining death rate in hospitals may be a combination of one or all of these factors or due to some other reason we have not considered.

“In either case, further research is warranted to understand why the hospital death rate has declined so markedly over the past eight weeks.”

That figure will presumably go down even more thanks to the dexamethasone treatment

And Boris being awesome.

https://i.imgur.com/ZfV6v1J.jpg
https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Ftse2.mm.bing.net%2Fth%3Fid%3DOIP.USPYGSPst0xSrLLgsinnXgAAAA%26pid%3DApi&f=