US Politics, June 2020 — You have to dominate.

xp does it explain why he was driving a truck and supporting McCain aged 6?

yes it does

'The Republican Party's 2020 platform is exactly the same as its 2016 platform. That means it condemns the “current” president — who in 2016 was, of course, Barack Obama — and calls the White House a risk to "the survival of the internet."'

It actually does but the original image as presented in this thread is still hilarious

that makes me smart

SHORTER: If you get #COVID19 at President Trump's Make America Great Again Rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma, it's your own damn fault. pic.twitter.com/QqYdUWAIcJ

— David Gura (@davidgura) June 11, 2020

what about if you get erectile dysfunction

Oh, Trump gets it, for sure.

up or down it's a terrible image

^^^ best line in "Temptation" imo

zomg, Melania hung back in NY at the start of this administration because she was renegotiating her prenup! zomg, John Bolton's book will be packed with revelations that Trump did shitty things! zomg, Trump is an isolated relic! So much reporting going on right now, so much!

God what a relief it will be (for a week at least, I hope) when this motherfucker is dead and the whole country can just take a shower and a nap.

he'll make 90 and we'll be living in Mad Max. So enjoy that.

tbf I'm surprised Trump hasn't yet suggested Thunderdome.

now that is the art of the deal

you don't suggest thunderdome. you suggest beyond thunderdome, so you can settle for thunderdome

otm

Lots of options, though
https://media1.tenor.com/images/3faa3a99b2cc527e64ca2d6d19a4d20e/tenor.gif?itemid=14239953

Here we go, the first of the probabilistic election models

https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president

I am a fool fools these but I know they drove some people crazy. Should we silo the polling/models/betting discussion on a separate thread?

https://apnews.com/bae1456be55955aab379a3541391f93b

fuck the religious right forever

On the anniversary of Pulse, no less.

And Loving Day

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loving_Day

fuck the religious right forever

― k*r*n koltrane (Simon H.), Friday, June 12, 2020 4:38 PM (sixteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

hope they all fuckin explode

Trump is not bae1456be55955aab379a3541391f93b

yeah, we in Orlando are pretty pissed

Imagine being this filled with baseless hate. Utter scum.

What does the Bible say about being transgender anyway?

(This is a rhetorical question.)

Weak, cowardly, caving to public pressure. The Asshole is playing defense a lot lately.

We had previously scheduled our #MAGA Rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma, for June 19th – a big deal. Unfortunately, however, this would fall on the Juneteenth Holiday. Many of my African American friends and supporters have reached out to suggest that we consider changing the date out...

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 13, 2020

Many of my African American friends and supporters

Of which he has many

re the polls, they predict Biden winning WI, MI, PA, FL.

Presumably if he does that he will indeed win the electoral college.

I note that OH is still considered undecidable.

DRAIN THE SWAMP FINALE COMING SOON!

— Greatest President Ever! (@realTrumpForce) June 11, 2020

ritual suicide a la Jonestown?

how shook does this pockmarked globule of cowardice have to be where he's actually backpedaling

(re: Juneteenth tweet, not fake Trump tweet)

wtf, how shook is this dude

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/12/trump-says-will-leave-office-peacefully-if-he-loses-315736

^^^ I'm telling you, he's on defense. He moved one of his rallies — and his asshole campaign manager is out there talking about how they've had 300,000 ticket requests...for an arena that holds 19,500 people (and will be about 1/4 full, is my bet). I'm wondering if the rally will even be televised, if the turnout is especially low. If it turns into one of those things where a band that had a big hit a couple of years ago doesn't realize that it's over, and books an arena tour when they really should have downsized to 1000-seat theaters.

I want to linger on this paragraph written in an American news outlet in 2020:

Though the president has never given any serious indication that he might not leave office if he were to lose reelection, his comments aired Friday appear to be the first time he has publicly committed to doing so.

Re unperson's story: Trump's satraps must have shown him terrible internal polling.

"you're at -30% in Racistville, Ohio"

satrap? where, where

Are the results in yet from the Georgia elections that were a massive fuck-up? Did the suppression favour the Republicans?

The Boy with the Arab Satrap

depends on what you mean by "win"

Did the suppression favour the Republicans?

Given that Democratic voter turnout was nearly triple that of 2016, I'm gonna go with "no."

Despite massive problems at the voting booth, Democratic turnout in Georgia's primaries skyrocketed — with three times as many votes cast in the Senate primary as in 2016.

With 91 percent of the vote in as of Friday, nearly 960,000 voters had cast ballots in the Democratic Senate primary race won by Jon Ossoff, compared to 310,000 who voted in the Senate primary in 2016.

The Democratic turnout was also higher than it was in the gubernatorial primary in 2018, which saw 550,000 ballots cast.

"This was extraordinarily high turnout for a primary — way beyond what we've seen in previous primary elections," Alan Abramowitz, a political science professor at Atlanta's Emory University, told NBC News.

link

xps Good summary of the Georgia voting situation:
https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/election-fiasco-reveals-flaws-with-georgia-new-voting-system/FoZjtLGPYccOrHzXHiPbDL/

tl;dr the worst voting problems were concentrated in a few ATL-metro-area counties, disproportionately affecting African-American voters

the overall picture seems to be more of negligence and incompetence than active malfeasance; of course no one in the state GOP is in any hurry to fix the negligence and incompetence

I'm not aware of any election outcomes that were significantly affected by voting problems, but it doesn't bode well for November

it's worth noting that one of the governor's best buddies is a lobbyist for the company selling the gleamy new voting machines that no experts or organizations of any political stripe recommended

I would say 3x 2016 turnout (during a pandemic!) bodes well for turnout.

yes, the turnout was fantastic, and in that sense I'm optimistic for November, but when it comes to Georgia actually flipping I feel like Charlie Brown http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_RL9oA8SJbus/SomfDGYVRrI/AAAAAAAAAQQ/ZAe8L9aJYmY/s320/CharlieBrownLucyFootball.jpg

Yeah. I'll believe it when I see it.

re the polls, they predict Biden winning WI, MI, PA, FL.

Presumably if he does that he will indeed win the electoral college.

I note that OH is still considered undecidable.

thanks brad and phil, that is fucking awesome

re the polls, they predict Biden winning WI, MI, PA, FL.

"the polls"

It almost feels unfair to post 2016 polls at this point.