Your next 2020 Democratic presidential primary thread: Now we're serious

Joementum is unstoppable (god help us all)

watching the statement on MSNBC

yep!

WASHINGTON (AP) — AP sources: @PeteButtigieg ending his race for Democratic presidential nomination. pic.twitter.com/yz4vO5Jtka

— Meg Kinnard (@MegKinnardAP) March 1, 2020

Bad news

you're assuming all his votes go to centrist biden? i'm not so sure.
the more i've seen of buttigieg the less i have liked him, this seems positive.

Peace out Pete

All seven remaining Buttigieg voters outside the early states

Fewer candidates means more candidates reaching 15%

Imagine the 538 odds are gonna shoot up to 90% brokered convention

Times with ~the narrative~ it could mean a surge to Biden too

so do any of the Super Tuesday states allow for early vote "spoilage" if they voted for Buttigieg? I know Minnesota did, but I know Pennsylvania apparently doesn't.

Times = timed

It'll definitely mean a surge for Biden, right? How many Buttigieg supporters are gonna break for Bernard?

Okay, these numbers are different than the Morning Consult ones. If more accurae, Buttigieg could give a lift to Warren (in particular). https://t.co/8MUlEQwVdt

— Jeet Heer (@HeerJeet) March 1, 2020

God only knows if this means anything:

Buttigieg's Supporters Second Choice:

Sanders 21%
Biden 19%
Warren 19%
Bloomberg 17%

According to @MorningConsult National Poll https://t.co/MpPCWmz6bM

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) March 1, 2020

so basically I predict that it's unpredictable and we'll find out Tuesday night

who knows if those numbers account for post-SC Joementum

quick sniff around on kneejerk pundit reactions online suggests to me no one really knows where his votes are going as i'm seeing wildly divergent responses

No way to swing this as not being bad news for bernie, even if the votes are spread evenly it adds to everyone else's viability

you really need to buff out that record you're playing man

Maybe this is all a cunning plot for a brokered convention where they all jump in to support Bernie, earning the love and adoration of all the Bros.

it also depends on what proportion of the vote was already cast vs will be cast on Tuesday, etc

I am pretty sure the polling isn't great for second choice options. I wouldn't read too much into either.

by all means though, anybody who wants a new peptic ulcer between now and Tuesday is welcome to it.

for instance, that poll showing Klobuchar being the second choice, many may have answered that in a perfect world situation, i.e. "this is my second favorite candidate", but might not want to vote for her as it feels like throwing their votes away since she doesn't have a chance in Hell.

i learned about this because anita baker retweeted the ny times tweet about it #news

Nate's view:

Buttigieg dropping out is harmful to Sanders in 2 ways. Per the economist, relatively few Buttigieg voters were also considering Bernie. But, his voters will now help Biden, Warren and Bloomberg to hit 15% in more states and districts.https://t.co/4JApGxCCKx

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 1, 2020

clearly just skimming ilx and then raking in those sweet analyst samoleans

yes i said “sweet analyst”

prob smart for Pete, he's done enough to be a player next time

Congratulations to Klobuchar for outlasting someone she clearly envisioned engulfed in flames every time she closed her eyes. Now she can drop out herself.

pete finishing vmic with the ultimate "good boy" move

I wonder by what back channel the bad news came

welp, I'm snoozing FB until Wednesday.

xpost by Buttigram

good riddance pete

I'm guessing wrt Tuesday anyway that he's still gonna gets some votes though, right?

he'll still be on the ballot (won't he?) and people are p dumb

esp. Pete voters, sorry Pete voters but

giving my vote instead to Mookie Wilson

understandable

so after Bloomie shits the bed Tuesday, will he stay in as a foil to move voters to the center, or will his pride be too hurt and drop out

tuesday is literally the first time hes been on the ballot. he's blown a p big wad to get to this pt. i cant imagine him dropping out after the first week, esp since he's polling well in FL.

i mean maybe he's tired of getting dunked on and he just says fuck it im taking my ball home, but he's made of money and can afford to plop another couple hundred million throughout the month of march b4 ppl tell him to fuck off 4ever

I would imagine he'll bail and bankroll Biden

I was reading somewhere that his team have their own software which has calculated hard and fast thresholds to meet and their won't be any "decision making" per se if they don't meet them

I read that quote from his staff too which kinda prompted the question

Steyer has the record for dollars spent per delegate currently, doesn't he (dethroing JEB! 2016)

I have the mildest of affection for an openly gay man who made it this far.

And that's all.

hm, does this mean the "center" candidates are going to coalesce around biden?

not yet. after super tuesday, probably klob is out too.

msnbc sez Biden and Booty have been huddling over the weekend, discussing an endorsement

wow ultimate Good Boy move

4:45p mst
*doorbell ring.*

voice in hunt3r’s (a warren canvasser) head: that’s a gotv ring.
*hunter open’s door, sees actual mid20s fluffbeard deer in headlights*
hunt3r: hey hey
deer: hello. uh, are you voting?
hunt3r: yup! i’m actually a canvasser for warren. who ya got?
deer: it’s just a job...
hunt3r: uhh, no worries, what’s up?
*deer hoofs at minivan script*
deer: so can i ask, who are you voting for? are you for warren?
hunt3r: yeah. who you got?
deer: bloomberg.
hunt3r: cool—the main thing is make sure everyone votes! get em out. thanks!
*exeunt*

Buttigieg would be a complementary VP choice for Biden in some ways: his support skews younger and more college-educated.