Your next 2020 Democratic presidential primary thread: Now we're serious

President Trump.....welcome to the resistance

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/27/poll-joe-biden-big-lead-south-carolina-117839

The poll, released two days before the crucial first-in-the-South primary, shows Biden with an advantage of 20 percentage points over Sanders, 36 percent to 16 percent.

"Obama's first choice for vice president"

imagine winning nomination and having to settle for your second choice for VP??? this seems like such a weird thing to say???

"hey u wanna be my vp? i was gonna pick this other guy but he said he was busy those 4-8 years"

Looks like I can no longer rely on the level-headed political analysis of Cher.

I'm just glad even a Biden blowout in SC would likely be too little too late to make much of a (any?) difference on 03/03

imagine winning nomination and having to settle for your second choice for VP??? this seems like such a weird thing to say???

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GDWId87-8r8

WOW REALLY?

haha why did he say no

to be clear McCain was Kerrey's first choice, not Bush's

When I tell you this sent me FLAT on the floor pic.twitter.com/lGzLpd75fS

— marv 🗽 (@mrvndn) February 27, 2020

Warren was pretty good on Colbert last night

Watch Warren name the billionaire. Best thing you’ll see all day!

pic.twitter.com/Qczh3TOT2i

— Kimberley Johnson (@AuthorKimberley) February 27, 2020

But did you see Warren on Colbert?

Warren on Colbert ROTFL

That moment when Chris Christie sets the record straight when Stephen Colbert’s alleges that Warren “talks about all the same ideas” that Sanders talks about. Christie says, “No she doesn’t...she used to...then she backed off of it...”
pic.twitter.com/rao3KBFyqe

— Fiorella Isabel🌹 (@Fiorella_im) February 27, 2020

both of these dudes show motivated thinking as do all the bernie bros snoopy-dancing over christie comment

I think both Sanders's and Warren's statements on India are good, fwiw, and more than anything I'm hearing from anyone here.

I guess Warren's statements usual include something like "While..." which people who want 100% MORAL CLARITY get angry about

I'm pretty damn vocal about India and the current Modi regime irl, but haven't really felt confident in bringing that to ilx

one of my coworkers is near Hyderabad right now to attend a handful of weddings and I'm interested in talking to him when he gets back

apparently a lot of the phone calls he's been getting over the last few months have been his dad hollering about Indian politics

oh for fuck's sake

I'm listening to an audiobook on Librivox and Bloomberg commercials in Spanish are popping up between chapters

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/27/us/politics/democratic-superdelegates.html

what the hell

― mh, Thursday, February 27, 2020 9:57 AM (one hour ago)

LOL was just coming here to post that joy.

Superdelegates are dreaming about a savior at the convention. Some white knights they proposed:

Sherrod Brown
Michelle Obama
Kamala Harris
Mark Warner
Chris Coons (!)https://t.co/iGHcPTGmOJ

— Reid J. Epstein (@reidepstein) February 27, 2020

"white nights" maybe not the apt phrase

*knights

We'll probably end up with Paul Ryan as the nominee

c'mon now, slow yr roll
https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nationalmemo.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2014%2F07%2FPaulRyanWorkout.jpg&f=1&nofb=1

Ned Croos

Both tweets were fine. I give the slight edge to Sanders because he mentioned Muslims.

I'm just glad even a Biden blowout in SC would likely be too little too late to make much of a (any?) difference on 03/03

― bold caucasian eroticism (Simon H.), Thursday, February 27, 2020 11:29 AM (fifty-nine minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Wish I shared your optimism here

Hold up, how did I miss that the members of TLC apparently endorsed Tom Steyer?! I'm calling it now.

New poll has Biden up 28 pts in SC and sweeping all delegates

xp apparently, they approve of some scrubs

"Obama's first choice for vice president"

imagine winning nomination and having to settle for your second choice for VP??? this seems like such a weird thing to say???

"hey u wanna be my vp? i was gonna pick this other guy but he said he was busy those 4-8 years"

― Campaign to move el0n mu5k thread to ILM (Will M.), Thursday, February 27, 2020 10:24 AM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

David Plouffe: "Later that night, we held a conference call with Obama to brief him on our day. 'Well, it sounds like you both are for Biden, but barely,' he said. 'I really haven't settled this yet in my own mind. It's a coin toss now between Bayh and Biden, but Kaine is still a distinct possibility."

Also 538 now has brokered convention at 50%, bernie majority at 31%

Feeling pretty eschatological tbh

Bloombergs odds sank to 1 in 50.

It's pretty hard to be confident in the odds when we don't know who is going to drop out next, and when

otm

Well Warren just said that she's sticking it through to the convention no matter what so there's one

I imagine most of them feel the same way, they're just hoping to get picked.

paying attention to every minor twist in the primary polls has proven to be a complete waste of time, energy, and sanity for me but y'all do you

Well Warren just said that she's sticking it through to the convention no matter what so there's one

― ℺ ☽ ⋠ ⏎ (✖), Thursday, February 27, 2020 1:53 PM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

she'll keep saying this 'til she drops out. how could she gain any support if she indicates she's gonna drop out soon?

lol Warren might but there's no way the rest that are getting crumbs are going to stick around to the end.

lol

"I got a little bit left in me. please donate as much as you can right now - i'll put it to use in the next two weeks, then maybe i keep going, let's play it by ear"

in fact, we'll probably see some dropouts after SC. some after Super Tuesday.

maybe everybody drops out. including Bernie.

All the olds drop out because of coronavirus, Beto jumps back in, wins the Electoral College with 400EVs

At The Drive-In plays all the Inaugural Balls

lol Warren might but there's no way the rest that are getting crumbs are going to stick around to the end.

― sorry for butt rockin (Neanderthal), Thursday, February 27, 2020 1:55 PM (four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

None of them have had a hope in winning a majority since Nevada. Everyone except bernie biden and maybe bloomberg (lol) is playing for a brokered convention.

"I got a little bit left in me. please donate as much as you can right now - i'll put it to use in the next two weeks, then maybe i keep going, let's play it by ear"

these biden emails are getting out of control

in fact, we'll probably see some dropouts after SC. some after Super Tuesday.

I have a day in my mind called Super Wednesday, which is the day Buttigeig and Klobuchar finally fuck the fuck off.

it's Biden and Bernie now, and I doubt Biden will overcome Bernie's delegate lead tbh.

Ignore all that "brokered convention"/Bernie handwringing going on at the moment. This is the kind of shit that is really going to matter:

The battleground state of Pennsylvania is setting up to be a tight race in November, with President Trump in a statistical tie in theoretical head-to-head matchups with each of the top Democratic presidential candidates in the state, according to a new poll.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) fares best among Democratic candidates against Trump in Pennsylvania, based on the Muhlenberg College poll released Thursday.

Sanders, who is leading the field after the early voting states, has 49 percent of the vote compared to Trump’s 46 percent in the head-to-head match up. The candidates are in statistical dead-heat, falling within the poll’s 5.5 percentage point margin of error.

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) each tie Trump in the mock-up election poll, both getting the same 47 percent as Trump in the match-up, based on the poll.

keep in mind that polling in PA in 2016 greatly underestimated Trump's strength here

would assume some of the majors changed their methodology a bit, though I don't think Muhlenberg College is a 'major'

I don't really get why we should take head-to-head polling all that seriously this far out (whether it's encouraging or not)

that too. it's hard to tell how reliable it is when there is no official nominee, people just reacting to hypotheticals.

I have a day in my mind called Super Wednesday, which is the day Buttigeig and Klobuchar finally fuck the fuck off.

― but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, February 27, 2020 1:12 PM (six minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Klobuchar? Maybe. Buttigieg? U dreaming.