Your next 2020 Democratic presidential primary thread: Now we're serious

when your campaign is saying this in public = internal polling shows you taking a drubbing

Joe Biden’s campaign team is setting expectations low for the Iowa caucuses Monday night.

While some campaign aides were unsure how the results would turn out hours before the caucuses would begin, they expressed some apprehension about the outcome.

“Most [aides] feel it’s not going to be great,” one longtime Biden ally who has had conversations with top aides inside the campaign, acknowledged Monday.

Biden’s aides and allies said they were hoping to place in the top three. But even if they fall short, the campaign is “built for the long haul,” one Biden confidant said.

lmao if he doesn't make the top 3

trust no chatter

biden being crushed under the weight of klobmentum

Joementum 2: The Doddering

when your campaign is saying this in public = internal polling shows you taking a drubbing

as with debates, isn't it a pretty standard move to set low expectations, so you can artificially create an "outperformed expectations" narrative? He may still be taking a drubbing but simon h otm, a "longtime ally" pretend-leaking what "aides and allies" are saying is just noise.

the canceled DMR poll apparently showed a bernie/buttigieg/warren 123?

^^^

We have the Glasgow, Scotland satellite caucus results

1st Alignment:

Sanders: 9
Warren: 4
Buttigieg: 3
Yang: 2
Klobuchar: 1

Yang and Klobuchar not viable. One Yang person left

2nd Alignment:

Sanders: 9
Warren: 6
Buttigieg: 3 pic.twitter.com/2Dl6cYSmGU

— Iowa Starting Line (@IAStartingLine) February 3, 2020

After the second alignment (round), the final count for the Paris satellite Iowa Caucus:
8 #Warren
6 #Sanders
3 #Klobuchar
Warren and Sanders each picked up a #Buttigieg supporter. The 3 remaining candidates get 1 delegate each.@France24_en @FRANCE24 #IowaCaucuses #IowaCaucus pic.twitter.com/jDQdGkLYlM

— Charli James (@charli) February 3, 2020

Are you ready for... KLOBUGIEG

caucuses are weird

Are you ready for... KLOBUGIEG

what about BUTTCHAR

yes

BIDENYANG

Caucusus seem like they’re designed by bored bishops to frustrate the selection of unpopularr future papal leaders. I can imagine a third-tier Borgia shouting, like, “heretics, the lot of you!”?at a crowd of Bernie Bros.

that’s no way to talk about hillary

BIDENYANG

you bangy?

Get ready for the YANGBERG.

elizabernie

Guys, I am realizing tonight, as I think about the fact that this Iowa vote, dumb as it is, could be a killing blow to Elizabeth Warren's campaign, is that I really do in my heart want her to win. I mean I have questions about her ability to win a general election, I really do. I don't know strategically what's right and I don't even know who I'm going to vote for. But when I think about her campaign being over, and the sinking feeling that gives me, I realize that when it comes down to it she's the one I most want to be my President.

Now let's see what happens, I guess.

if she places second or third and gets more than 15% she still gets delegates so idk I wouldn't count her campaign out yet.

I think she'd nominate the best Cabinet and agency heads, and her temperament suggests she'd listen, keep an open mind, but be firm once she's made a decision. And I want a woman as president.

It doesn't look good.

agree it doesn't look good but if Biden doesn't win IA or NH that sets up a collapse in NC and then we're in a whole different playing field

"I think she'd nominate the best Cabinet and agency heads, and her temperament suggests she'd listen, keep an open mind, but be firm once she's made a decision. And I want a woman as president."

yes

fight fight fight

One hopes that Biden is more easily discouraged by early caucuses and primaries than Warren is, even if his votes are higher than hers.

Meanwhile, several satellite locations were held for Iowa snowbirds in Florida and Arizona. At one location in Port Charlotte, Florida, which was broadcast live by CNN, Amy Klobuchar carried the room. Here are those numbers:

First Alignment:

Klobuchar: 48
Buttigieg: 38
Biden: 32
Warren: 12
Steyer: 2
Sanders: 1
Yang: 1

Second Alignment:

Klobuchar: 56
Buttigieg: 44
Biden: 43

Olds gonna old

We can confirm the final results of the unreleased Iowa Poll:

Sanders 22%

Warren 18%

Buttigieg 16%

Biden 13%

https://t.co/deTryUiHgt

— Clare Malone (@ClareMalone) February 4, 2020

My precinct in Cedar Falls is more packed than I've ever seen it. Late getting started. Lotta Bernie, lotta Warren, lotta Pete. Good energy in the room.

Annd we're underway. Lonesome over in that Deval Patrick corner.

is it deval himself?

Laying very low if so. The precinct captains have made their pitches. Yang dude was best prepared.

and where do YOU stand? it seems inappropriate to ask, but then again, you could be on CNN

Warren. Still counting, but she's gonna be viable here. It's already clear that Biden will not.

It's already clear that Biden will not.

― Briania, Monday, February 3, 2020 7:23 PM (four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

biden candidacy returns to its original state as a huge hilarious joke until further notice

haven't watched these caucuses live before, they are so chaotic

Chris Hayes looking depressed by the caucus-goers’ obsession with electability. OTOH His co-panelists are ebullient with wholesome civic feelings

This is my tenth caucus, and the clusterfuckiest yet. 100 minutes in, and we still don't have a first count. People bailing before realignment.

Chris Hayes looking depressed by the caucus-goers’ obsession with electability. OTOH His co-panelists are ebullient with wholesome civic feelings

― never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous),

I've pledged not to watch TV, but watching three minutes TV convinced me we should condemn Joy Reid and Nicole Wallace and Chris Matthews to the burlap sack with a scorpion, chimp, and poisonous snake.

Lol

Petey Butts murdering the Biden campaign is going to launch a million millennial/boomer thinkpieces

you guise, boomers and lil boomers (or however james in poughkeepsie styles us) are hoping for butti to nudge out biden just to see y'all get sad, u know that right?

Sanders 141; warren 75; buttigieg 58; biden 24; Yang 23; Klobuchar 22; Steyer 4; uncommitted 2; Gabbard 2.

lol lol lol even my mock shitposts go awry, that was "butti to nudge out sanders."

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/02/new-rules-might-complicate-iowa-caucus/605950/

“The kind of candidate that can win in Iowa is the kind of candidate I want to see in the Oval Office,” she said. A candidate “can’t be but a better human being for having been assaulted with this humanity in its purest form.”

lol

I didn’t stay for the end of the second alignment because we are dumb as hell and refuse to pay attention in my precinct and my vote was locked
in, and I wasn’t going to be able to move people

189 Sanders
154 Warren

possible Buttigieg hit viability after I left or Warren picked up a couple. will post the final count when it goes up

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/03/us/elections/results-iowa-caucus-democrats.html

what exactly is this