Your next 2020 Democratic presidential primary thread: Now we're serious

has E Bruenig published anything for them yet? she joined up a bit ago iirc

strong shared energy in the last few DNs, also

And here it is... Pete Buttigieg's antitrust policy advisor is a staff attorney at Wells Fargo. And that's not all! https://t.co/gQpesuQ62Q

— David Dayen (@ddayen) January 14, 2020

Headline: "Why voters are nervous about Amy Klobuchar"

They're not nervous about her. They think she sucks.

Had legit no idea she was still in til this post

she'll probably talk more than anyone else tonight

Didn’t want to sully the Mulholland Drive thread but a while ago I realized who Biden reminds me of - Chad Everett in the audition scene.

same tan and large veined hands

I can't even imagine those two having sex, even with themselves.

Didn’t want to sully the Mulholland Drive thread but a while ago I realized who Biden reminds me of - Chad Everett in the audition scene.

― JoeStork, Tuesday, January 14, 2020 9:09 PM (fifty-one seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

OMG YES!

“Infighting between Sanders and Warren only benefits big oil, fossil fuel billionaires, the GOP, and the moderate wing of the Democratic Party,” said Zina Precht-Rodriguez, political communications manager at Sunrise Movement, a youth climate justice organization that endorsed Sanders last week. “In our shared commitment to a Green New Deal, Medicare for All, and a government and society that works for the many, not the few, supporters of Sanders and Warren have much more in common than we have apart. Going into tonight, we hope that Senator Sanders and Warren and their campaigns are smart and strategic enough to focus on the issues that matter to Americans.”

...And the Warren campaign today told BuzzFeed it wants to “de-escalate.”

https://theintercept.com/2020/01/14/sanders-warren-feud/

https://i.ytimg.com/vi/aeevxJaJl1U/maxresdefault.jpg

Left to right: Joe Biden, Jill Biden

...And the Warren campaign today told BuzzFeed it wants to “de-escalate.”

maybe Sanders can fire a few rockets at empty Warren headquarters

lol

I predict that tonight will be a great demonstration of what I've been saying for months: Sanders is unique among the Dem field at being able to communicate effectively while facing hostile moderators and questions. https://t.co/THsz6qIjJ2

— Michael Tae Sweeney (@mtsw) January 14, 2020

feels true, reminded me of this magical moment

"He was just doing a limited strike" says the 'Face the nation' host

“Oh…just a limited strike!" @BernieSanders quipped, "Oh, I’m sorry, I just didn't know that it's okay to simply attack another country with bombs. That’s a limited strike? That’s an act of warfare,” pic.twitter.com/JgbLkkakX7

— Currie Dobson (@Ventuckyspaz) June 23, 2019

I thought Biden was emerging as the Democratic front runner -- did I miss the front runner memo

The difference in who's running up front is between national polling and polling that's specifically in the early primary/caucus states. Biden is slipping where the most campaigning has taken place, voting is most imminent, and the likely voters are most engaged.

Nate Silver's comprehensive model, which includes the effect of bounces from early primaries, candidates potentially dropping out, Trump tweets, rain patterns over the Sahara, etc. etc. still has Biden the favorite with 40% odds, vs. 20% for Bernie.

Nate's numbers are like those "win probability" figures you see constantly changing as a football game progresses. Leading in the score always puts a team's win probability above 50%, but leading in the first quarter results in a much lower probability than leading in the final minute.

Since Biden leads most polls rn, he correctly has the highest win probability. But it's the equivalent of the first couple minutes of the game and those numbers are still very tentative and fluid.

I think the operative word is "emerging." Biden has been the actual front runner for months while Warren, Buttigieg, and Sanders have had surges that have led pundits to cast them as potential new front runners. But none of them have yet managed to actually get there.

Biden is slipping where the voters are white, tbh. Still hope Bernie can take it.

Good grief this CNN preamble is drivel

Klobuchar jfc

i had to check my tv's aspect ratio settings when they first showed buttigieg. he looks like 4:3 stretched out to 16:9

Test your political knowledge:
SPOT THE MEATBALL THAT LOOKS LIKE MIKE. pic.twitter.com/CkzdgwpzdI

— Team Bloomberg (@Mike2020) January 15, 2020

Gentle reminder to all my friends in this thread that it’s unwise to ever permit yourself to hear the voice of a politician.

^^^

Campari + gin = effective antidote

Straight whiskey for me, wolf blitzer is unbearable

Gawd CNN debates are the worst

Klobachar: and the blue collar worker rolled out a rack and on the rack were wire coat hangers and on the wire hangers were the skins of the blue color worker’s realistically named coworkers Derek Mark and Salvatore and yes this is a lesson about the economy

it's pretty amazing how Nate Silver totally fucked up the last election and didn't seem to take any lasting hit to his credibility

steyer thinking about maybe attacking buttigieg and then backing down was p funny

Mayor Pete : the ventriloquist’s dummy for whom every issue is personal to him

okay solid zing

What is this shit?

it's pretty amazing how Nate Silver totally fucked up the last election and didn't seem to take any lasting hit to his credibility

― Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, January 14, 2020 8:42 PM (five minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Silver kind of sucks now, but 538 did give Trump better odds to win than pretty much any other forecaster.

yeah, was gonna say

"Don't put a chip on the wheel on a number that isn't even on the wheel"

Can't believe Bernie hasn't defeated an incumbent Republican since 1990.

the elephant that isn't really in this room

^another klobuchar thing, in the same run-in sentence that also mentioned her third marriage

I think this debate is turning me into a Bernie bro

Amy: “you should have a plan not a pipe dream”

Lol, another casino metaphor

you know what i love talking about? the deficit.

oh! I am in the US and have a tv to watch this.

I am drinking unfiltered sake.

oh my god just let me vote and die already

— Harron Walker (@HarronWawker) January 14, 2020

The mamas and the papas