Your next 2020 Democratic presidential primary thread: Now we're serious

i am not "counting chickens"

It's certain Clinton & Obama vets will pool their firepower on Sanders if they see him headed for the nomination. Like, worse than thus far.

pic.twitter.com/VIsBr9qlVn

— emotionally distant dad drinking seagram’s escapes (@ambienvalent) January 11, 2020

Steyer with the subliminal bid for the stoner vote

https://i.imgur.com/6rRpTzu.png

lol

vote for tom steyer, he will legalize weed in illinois

I tuned out for a couple weeks and just realized tomorrow’s debate is in my neighborhood. There was no chance I’d get a ticket, so maybe I could watch it nearby and gawk at the candidates arriving?

What is the purpose of the president making fun of each candidate when they drop out? I have a suspicion that he believes everyone that remains in the race is running against him simultaneously, so if someone drops out, it's one less opponent to beat.

You’re once again making the truly day one mistake of trying to explain Donald Trump’s actions based on beliefs about the world he may hold.

Yes but WHY did the child throw the bowl of guacamole into a ceiling fan

to get to the other side

you all are right about the general principle, but trump's kneejerk crowing over the failure of literally anyone* not himself isn't that mystifying--he's an asshole.

*and in this case we're talking about a good-looking, generally likeable black man. It would be much more shocking if he said nothing. If there was a pic of Obama with mustard on his shirt, he'd tweet about it for a week.

How about that time Obama got mustard all over his entire suit?

https://pixel.nymag.com/imgs/daily/intelligencer/2017/01/19/19-barack-obama-tan-suit.w710.h473.2x.jpg

^ the most shocking display of tan cloth ever perpetrated in the history of the world!

Opinion
Gail Collins and Bret Stephens
How Does President Sanders Sound to You?
Bernie is surging and may have found his moment.

4h ago1221 comments

lol insert Biden or Buttigieg or even EW here and imagine this same construction

like, yeah, that hypthetical scenario is exactly what people have been doing this whole time but interesting question

Better headline: Hey Can We Get a Hand Here?

Those Collins/Stephens conversations are some of the worst recurring op-eds out there. Are they even op-eds? Not sure what to call them. They’re like conversations that were too lazy to even put into podcast form

lol insert Biden or Buttigieg or even EW here and imagine this same construction

― Suggest Banshee (Hadrian VIII), Tuesday, January 14, 2020 1:44 PM (eight minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

not gonna lie, president buttigieg sounds weird cause buttigieg is a silly name.

President Booty Judge, otoh

Those Collins/Stephens conversations are some of the worst recurring op-eds out there.

Wasn't it Collins/Brooks for a while? I guess Times management wanted to see if they could make it even stupider and more worthless.

has E Bruenig published anything for them yet? she joined up a bit ago iirc

strong shared energy in the last few DNs, also

And here it is... Pete Buttigieg's antitrust policy advisor is a staff attorney at Wells Fargo. And that's not all! https://t.co/gQpesuQ62Q

— David Dayen (@ddayen) January 14, 2020

Headline: "Why voters are nervous about Amy Klobuchar"

They're not nervous about her. They think she sucks.

Had legit no idea she was still in til this post

she'll probably talk more than anyone else tonight

Didn’t want to sully the Mulholland Drive thread but a while ago I realized who Biden reminds me of - Chad Everett in the audition scene.

same tan and large veined hands

I can't even imagine those two having sex, even with themselves.

Didn’t want to sully the Mulholland Drive thread but a while ago I realized who Biden reminds me of - Chad Everett in the audition scene.

― JoeStork, Tuesday, January 14, 2020 9:09 PM (fifty-one seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

OMG YES!

“Infighting between Sanders and Warren only benefits big oil, fossil fuel billionaires, the GOP, and the moderate wing of the Democratic Party,” said Zina Precht-Rodriguez, political communications manager at Sunrise Movement, a youth climate justice organization that endorsed Sanders last week. “In our shared commitment to a Green New Deal, Medicare for All, and a government and society that works for the many, not the few, supporters of Sanders and Warren have much more in common than we have apart. Going into tonight, we hope that Senator Sanders and Warren and their campaigns are smart and strategic enough to focus on the issues that matter to Americans.”

...And the Warren campaign today told BuzzFeed it wants to “de-escalate.”

https://theintercept.com/2020/01/14/sanders-warren-feud/

https://i.ytimg.com/vi/aeevxJaJl1U/maxresdefault.jpg

Left to right: Joe Biden, Jill Biden

...And the Warren campaign today told BuzzFeed it wants to “de-escalate.”

maybe Sanders can fire a few rockets at empty Warren headquarters

lol

I predict that tonight will be a great demonstration of what I've been saying for months: Sanders is unique among the Dem field at being able to communicate effectively while facing hostile moderators and questions. https://t.co/THsz6qIjJ2

— Michael Tae Sweeney (@mtsw) January 14, 2020

feels true, reminded me of this magical moment

"He was just doing a limited strike" says the 'Face the nation' host

“Oh…just a limited strike!" @BernieSanders quipped, "Oh, I’m sorry, I just didn't know that it's okay to simply attack another country with bombs. That’s a limited strike? That’s an act of warfare,” pic.twitter.com/JgbLkkakX7

— Currie Dobson (@Ventuckyspaz) June 23, 2019

I thought Biden was emerging as the Democratic front runner -- did I miss the front runner memo

The difference in who's running up front is between national polling and polling that's specifically in the early primary/caucus states. Biden is slipping where the most campaigning has taken place, voting is most imminent, and the likely voters are most engaged.

Nate Silver's comprehensive model, which includes the effect of bounces from early primaries, candidates potentially dropping out, Trump tweets, rain patterns over the Sahara, etc. etc. still has Biden the favorite with 40% odds, vs. 20% for Bernie.

Nate's numbers are like those "win probability" figures you see constantly changing as a football game progresses. Leading in the score always puts a team's win probability above 50%, but leading in the first quarter results in a much lower probability than leading in the final minute.

Since Biden leads most polls rn, he correctly has the highest win probability. But it's the equivalent of the first couple minutes of the game and those numbers are still very tentative and fluid.

I think the operative word is "emerging." Biden has been the actual front runner for months while Warren, Buttigieg, and Sanders have had surges that have led pundits to cast them as potential new front runners. But none of them have yet managed to actually get there.

Biden is slipping where the voters are white, tbh. Still hope Bernie can take it.

Good grief this CNN preamble is drivel

Klobuchar jfc

i had to check my tv's aspect ratio settings when they first showed buttigieg. he looks like 4:3 stretched out to 16:9

Test your political knowledge:
SPOT THE MEATBALL THAT LOOKS LIKE MIKE. pic.twitter.com/CkzdgwpzdI

— Team Bloomberg (@Mike2020) January 15, 2020

Gentle reminder to all my friends in this thread that it’s unwise to ever permit yourself to hear the voice of a politician.

^^^

Campari + gin = effective antidote

Straight whiskey for me, wolf blitzer is unbearable