Ne'er get thee stitched til Booris be ditched: UK General Election 2019

Tom D there is a discussion on the sampling. Again, this is just to confirm that all polls are useless.

From Victor Jara's song Manifiesto

The Times getting rinsed for libel damages for defaming Muslims questioning Tory Islamophobia:

http://www.rllaw.co.uk/news-and-events/the-times-admits-libel-of-imam-who-intervened-in-bbc-televised-tory-leadership-debate-and-publishes-apology-confirming-damages-to-imam/

Their endorsement of Johnson, which essentially boiled down to ‘if he told you what his actual policies were he wouldn’t get elected but we support him getting a large enough majority to push them through’ is one of the most sinister things I’ve seen recently wrt the direction of travel of the ‘mainstream ‘ right.

We now think that the lead stands somewhere at around *just 6 and a half percent*.

Looking at the figure below, the two main parties are, we think, almost exactly were they were in the polls (which underestimated Labour) the night before the 2017 General election.#GE2019 pic.twitter.com/8UgBvWcVle

— Patrick English (@PME_Politics) December 11, 2019

what time does final Survation one drop?

Has to come out before midnight.

little mix are comrades

Knew they was good people

SHAT IT

**Survation Final Call**
GB VOTING INTENTION

CON 44.5
LAB 33.7
LD 9.3
GRE 3.2
SNP 4.0
PC 1.4
AP 0.9

theyre cutting it fine here

melt poll

Lol

ban these fucking melt polls ffs!

oof that's a nasty one

Mr Corbyn concluded with a poem, saying: "My guitar is not for the rich. No, nothing like that. My song is of the ladder we are building to reach the stars."

kinda love this guy tbh

Less notice this time so NO-ONE gets enough close to it I hope.

brexit party have vanished?

months ago, Dr Max Gammon could have saved them!

As they should. Nasty feeling they might poll decent numbers round here tho, apart from the sitting Labour MP they're the only party who's sent me leaflets and we do have a thick slice of angry gammon in the area.

I'm in a 57% brexit voting area and had a few of their leaflets. YouGov MRP predicts a Labour hold, but I get this feeling a lot them can't be be arsed with brexit party anymore. obv not based on the science of focus groups and polling - just talking to daft cunts on my travels!

sincere good luck uk

we’re gonna fuckin need it

We can do this, stay strong, stockpile ammunition

The Survation poll is fine: it has Labour up by three on the Tories from their poll 4/5 days ago. Direction of travel and all that.

This is a more worrying trend if true (can't remember polling consensus prior to last two)

Just FYI don't be surprised if the Labour is as high as 38 or ..as low as 29.

In 2005 every final poll OVER-estimated labour, then
in 2010 every final poll UNDER-estimated labour,
in 2015 every final poll OVER-estimated labour, and
in 2017 every final poll UNDER-estimated labour

— Dr Kevin Cunningham (@kevcunningham) December 12, 2019

https://i.imgur.com/VywxQfV.gif

its the hope despair that kills you!

Good luck you guys, hope you don't get fucked over like we were in Australia last May. However I suspect you will.

Sincere good luck wishes from here too. My every gut-dropping fear for EFL countries generally on the day of the Brexit referendum has been amply borne out, would be great for youse to heft the pendulum back too.

good luck UK!!!!!!

absolute boy and co take my energy!!!!!!!!

Didn’t get in quick enough to get my dad to vote labour in cities of London and Westminster. Lib Dem leaflets got to him and I’m his postal vote is in. Next job is to get my sister to vote at all and preferably for Tullip Siddiq in Kilburn and Hampstead. My vote is going to Kier Starmer.

Hoping for the best for tomorrow, fearing the worst.

hang in there UK, we're in your corner

got a (Tory hating, non Rangers) friend who lives in Larkhall (moved there from Bothwell) and when I go up I get to see the wire mesh over the green part of the traffic lights. I really lost my shit about it all once, started uncontrollably crying with laughter, when he told me they'd even deliberately burned the grass in the park once.

good luck uk <3

yeah will be watching and hoping tomorrow, good luck guys

I can’t sleep.

Absolutely obsessed with this front page.

The fucking asterix explaining the analogy is sending me pic.twitter.com/6Pl2zganzr

— rusty kaJe (@Smith_n_Chips) December 11, 2019

From now on whenever I drop a loose deuce in the commode I’m going to think to myself “ugh, that was a melt poll,” thanks British Politics

lol @ Scottish Sunsplaining asterick!

I was in London in '92 when the early edition of the Scum was calling it for Kinnock. We were brainy enough to read crudely metaphoric tabloid news headlines without explanatory astericks back in those heady days, even while taking shedloads of drugs!

Well I guess that answers that question!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mbBbFH9fAg

I’m working tomorrow so good or bad I’m not going to stay up tonight, bad 2016 memories!

I took tomorrow off, but it'll all be over once the exit poll drops at 10pm, so I don't know why I bothered tbh.

My polling station doing a brisk trade at this hour, wtf

I took tomorrow off because whichever way the exit poll goes I will find it impossible to sleep

Tellers say trade is always brisk first thing (people on the way to work), but felt busier than last time and the ref. Queue out the door as I went back for the proxy ballot paper.

New polling station, but tons of people there. All looked like lib Dems.

"Didn’t get in quick enough to get my dad to vote labour in cities of London and Westminster."

Did my last bit over there last night. We nearly had a run in with a lib dem lol.

It's probably not gonna happen, but it's never been Lab.

I'll be satisfied if chuka is out on his ear

Likewise I'm hoping for IDS to go down in flames at least, that would make my night.

New polling station, but tons of people there. All looked like lib Dems.