Ne'er get thee stitched til Booris be ditched: UK General Election 2019

Game fucking on.

(excuse my partisan slip)

— Dr Moderate (@centrist_phone) December 10, 2019

I wanted comrade phone to play neutral and be all about data!

Anyone got the stats on Milani v Johnson?

Jo Swinson is 1% away from losing her seat in this projection

🆘 indeed pic.twitter.com/2mHoAxDbXN

— Dr Moderate (@centrist_phone) December 10, 2019

(that's focaldata, not yougov iiuc)

Uxbridge is likely conservative

A lot of these seats could flip depending on turnout though. These aren’t big margins in lots of places.

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2019/

Boris Johnson is nine points ahead of Labour in his seat. The combined Lib Dem/Green vote is ... nine points. pic.twitter.com/2SWezJ7xsF

— George Eaton (@georgeeaton) December 10, 2019

^LAB gain imo ; )

Btw this prediction shows Labour retaining 5/7 Scottish seats.

keep an eye on this thread

TORY LEAD DOWN TO 2.5%

Con: 38.81%
Lab: 36.31%
Lib Dem: 9.44%
Brexit: 4.43%
SNP: 3.44%
Green: 2.56%

More here: https://t.co/TcfV34DRhn

— Findoutnow.co.uk (@FindoutnowUK) December 10, 2019

it's the Calder Valley Greens that stepped doen for Labour, Colne Valley ones love tories.

― calzino, Tuesday, December 10, 2019 11:18 PM (thirty-four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

!!!

The birthplace of Incredible Edible had its greens stand down for Labour? That is seriously amazing!

What is that account though?

Pleased to see this lad is now in a “Labour safe seat”

If you don’t know how many children you’ve sired you could use this handy sign to find out who your children are! pic.twitter.com/T1y7qTnOWK

— Alex Sobel for Leeds North West (@alexsobel) December 10, 2019

LOL, good lad, Alex.

:D

dunno - the red centrist telephone is quizzing them on weighting etc to see if their methodology stacks up. worth keeping an eye on that discussion at least. will probably be RT'd into your timeline, if it's any cop I guess

xp to gyac

I legit don’t follow political accounts on my twitter account (which is gaming & shitposting), this here counts as my TL plus about 30 accounts I check out regularly.

Not that anyone cares!

Can we credit Kensington turning red to the efforts of comrade accelerationist?

wife being bombarded by elderly relatives on FB sharing the story that the leeds hospital photo was faked. you almost begin to think the tories have deliberately undermined trust in politics just so that people will no longer believe the awkward truth when it's staring them in the face

find out now dot co dot uk has 39 tweets and 64 followers

wife being bombarded by elderly relatives on FB sharing the story that the leeds hospital photo was faked. you almost begin to think the tories have deliberately undermined trust in politics just so that people will no longer believe the awkward truth when it's staring them in the face

xp

that's a high number of followers by my standards!

if you visit their website it tells you that their service -whatever that might be- is 'as seen in the times, the daily mail, the telegraph'. my god, those are all my favourite papers!

10m + have viewed the Boris interview. Despite all of the misinformation it's a hopeful sign of an effect.

Btw I feel like the fake news aspect of the NHS video is somewhat nullified by the fact that lots of people, esp in last decade, will either have experienced or heard about some A&E horror story. People know.

Oh and you should take focus groups, especially Edelman ones, with a Dead Sea sized load of salt, but I feel validated by talking about women voters preferring Corbyn!

Focus group of women in Peterborough extraordinarily positive for .... Labour https://t.co/GSCkORsloF

— Rachel Wearmouth (@REWearmouth) December 10, 2019

Earlier this year I spent 2 hours at the side of a road while my son recovered from quite a severe epileptic fit waiting for an ambulance that never came. People from houses brought blankets and pillows out and it was an off duty nurse who gave us both a lift home. Not all people are complete cunts, not even tory voters and a lot of them know the NHS is crucial to the social cohesion of this country and what kind of a shithole it would be without it.

Btw I feel like the fake news aspect of the NHS video is somewhat nullified by the fact that lots of people, esp in last decade, will either have experienced or heard about some A&E horror story. People know.

this and true and you'd think the olds would know this best of all

xp christ calzino, hope all is okay

oops sorry reading comprehension has gone to shit, got the mad fucking jitters tbh - thought you meant that happened today

sounds fucking harrowing though, jesus

everything fine now. Funny thing was the ambulance turned up at my house 3 hours later and I couldn't get rid of them and I explained he was past the postictal state, going to a hospital would just cause him to have a meltdown and like fuck off and help someone who needs your help pls!

BREAKING / New research shows nearly 5500 people died in the last 3 years because they were trapped on trolleys in A&E corridors, unable to receive proper care.

This excess mortality was *avoidable*.

5500 patients’ blood on this government’s hands 😔https://t.co/PreDDJkw2Z

— Rachel Clarke (@doctor_oxford) December 10, 2019

Graun is good just merely slightly awful again

Jezza has a message for us all x 🌹 pic.twitter.com/92YopDpVCG

— 🌹Debbie Salt's White Pantsuit (@stromo_) December 10, 2019

Whatever happens in the next few days, there will be some great new MPs entering parliament. Here’s one of them:

http://nadiawhittome.org/my-record/

A strong show of solidarity in Nottingham with the people of Kashmir.

Indian socialists and antifascists stand with you against Modi’s ethno-nationalist govt. pic.twitter.com/jRNFj8i4eE

— Nadia Whittome (@NadiaWhittome) August 9, 2019

The MRP finds the Tories gaining all seats (i) held by Labour on a less than 10% margin and (ii) which swung to the Tories last time, except Bolton North East (just) and... Workington

— Simon (@simonk_133) December 10, 2019

This is ultimately what could swing to the Tories. If we say *polling gets the trend right* then Sedgefield falling is correct. The decline was merely arrested for a while but Brexit as a con works on enough people in places where things haven't worked for a long time and where people want to take a gamble hence the small swing but a small Tory Majority would hold unless we start to see things never seen here...civil unrest and the like.

A sign of it is people on twitter saying we need canvassers in these places. A lot of it is racism but they are so isolated and un-cared for. The ground game is solid but I don't see it turning these trends around.

I pulled Sedgefield out which would be a biget margin but point stands for smaller swings.

Fuck polling and all that but, despite everything, the Tory vote has barely moved an inch all the way through this campaign - grrrrrrrrrrrr!!!!!!!

Correct. Your problem? https://t.co/ODmWLe1pVy

— Richard Leonard (@LabourRichard) December 11, 2019

the 40% of the people in the country who want brexit have coalesced around the tories. some of them might not turn out. regardless, labour's job is to enthuse and GOTV now to bust through that 40% barrier themselves. squeeeeeze as much out of the LDs as they can, get the youth out, motivate WASPIs who don't vote etc

maybe just maybe they can strip 1-2% from the CONs on the day by LAB leavers returning to the fold. been a big push on leavey messages in the online airwar in the past week

Really hoping that a lot of Labours Leavers aren't motivated enough to turn out and vote tbh.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zWYZGnQuf9s

I know these brexit safari voxpops things are garbage, but this one has 10 minutes with someone instead of the usual 'get it done lad" soundbite in 45 seconds

🐦[Correct. Your problem? https://t.co/ODmWLe1pVy🕸
— Richard Leonard (@LabourRichard) December 11, 2019🕸]🐦

Weather looks shite across much of England tomorrow. Would hope it would put off older right leaning voters, but who knows.

alex massie said the CON campaign against JC would be the easiest in history and that they’d strip the bark off him. he should have taken up a management consultancy job the day after the 2017 GE

BJ wet the bed already today I see. hiding (in a fridge) from the mirror while his aide swears at the reporter

he does not look good in the clip lads

It’s part of the curse of working in the same office as a bunch of Surrey-based, commuting middle-managers but i’ve overheard three conversations along the lines of ‘the picture of the boy on the hospital floor is very sad but if you look into it, people are saying that they were in a bed and were put in the floor by their mother for the picture - and maybe that the Russians are involved’. These are not low-information voters in any meaningful sense. It’s not that they necessarily believe this to be true, it’s that it’s impossible to know if anything is true so any analysis of bad stuff, or factoring it in to their decision-making process, is futile.

Those people weren’t going to vote Labour anyway. At most they might not bother voting. They probably live in safe seats anyway.

Boris in the fridge is fucking classic, makes him look like a massive coward when doing a five minute interview wouldn’t get the traction at this late stage regardless of how it went for him.

BJ wet the bed already today I see. hiding (in a fridge) from the mirror while his aide swears at the reporter

Tory aide Robert Oxley rang in to GMB to complain after the incident, says Piers Morgan on air: "He didn’t assault our man, Jonathan Swain. Alright, he didn’t assault him. What you were was extremely obnoxious, very aggressive, foul mouthed and repulsive. Does that work?"
😬

— Dan Bloom (@danbloom1) December 11, 2019

profiles in courage pt. 92

GMB have clerkin’d him !