Ne'er get thee stitched til Booris be ditched: UK General Election 2019

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And never apologised for it! Seriously I read those comments for five long years and the readers then were raging about it for each one of them.

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 20:25 (six years ago)

i think if the lib dems had done well in this election period and had some momentum (not that kind) that the guardian would absolutely have supported them.

#FBPIRA (jim in vancouver), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 20:26 (six years ago)

yeah feels like they’re supporting labour under significant duress

a synthesis of Trotskyism and Ufology (bizarro gazzara), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 20:35 (six years ago)

Really? I have great difficulty believing that to be true xp

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 20:36 (six years ago)

They've not been remotely kind on them/Swinson iirc

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 20:36 (six years ago)

observer is basically the LD's house paper

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 20:37 (six years ago)

yeah feels like they’re supporting labour under significant duress


More than the bad NS did

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 20:53 (six years ago)

the failing new statesman

#FBPIRA (jim in vancouver), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 20:55 (six years ago)

focaldata MRP has CON majority at 24; rumour yougov has CON majority at 30.

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 20:59 (six years ago)

Their first @focaldataHQ MRP predicted a majority of 82 at the start of the campaign.

The latest MRP? A majority of 24.

Nail-bitingly close to a hung parliament, given the number of very tight marginals. As little as a strong Lab ground game in the marginals could = hung parl. https://t.co/bqrQKUawpb

— Dr Moderate (@centrist_phone) December 10, 2019

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 21:00 (six years ago)

More than the bad NS did


don’t get me wrong, a grudging endorsement is still an endorsement!

a synthesis of Trotskyism and Ufology (bizarro gazzara), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 21:02 (six years ago)

MRP is taken over a week so last few days’ movement & GOTV crucial

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 21:05 (six years ago)

This guy’s takes always pretty spot on ftr

literally they're desperate for anything they can get to scare off Lib Dem-Tory waverers. i'm crossing my fingers for the happy medium of 335-340 to gin up tactical voting turnout and make Tory waverers think it's safe to stay home/go LD

— tyron, the creator (@TyronWilson) December 10, 2019



Cos they’ll use a hung parliament message to hammer the KEEP CROMBLYN OUT message before polling day blackout

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 21:12 (six years ago)

Where are Jess Phillips, Wes Streeting and the rest? All been suspicious quiet on that front

anvil, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 21:37 (six years ago)

lmao

lmao pic.twitter.com/r3KzkB1aOD

— Only Labour will defend Squirrels (@Squirrel69Red) December 10, 2019

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 21:38 (six years ago)

a period of silence was due from that lot tbf xp

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 21:38 (six years ago)

fuck the PPBs have been good this year

I love this video. It's like nothing the Labour Party has produced before. I'm voting Labour pic.twitter.com/cbVfTGxf0p

— Ellie Mae O'Hagan 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 (@MissEllieMae) December 10, 2019

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 21:41 (six years ago)

75-100 ppl in a cold and fascist rain-drenched Harrow East (and just utterly ridic 150+ in Kensington last night).

Real dark vibes out there: in Harrow, it's ofc close and now tense. In the tube on the way back one canvasser (50-ish Indian woman) told us she was called a Nazi by two big blokes (others helped out) and went onto describe her efforts to talk Hindus around on the Kashimiri issue (fascist aunties in the main are going Tory tbh, this is the effect of Corbyn's anti-imperialism). One in our group (young white woman) got lost but the experienced board runner who is her friend went back with a couple of ppl at the end. You just think the worst but hopefully it was just a mobile that lost power.

Another (white, 50s) is from Camberwell (lol I've met so many from Cambs) and has done the Harrow canvass nearly 20 times. One young woman from Cambridge that might actually go back there for the last couple of days, as she has had reports that all of a sudden it's looking close.

Last night was ok but chaotic at times with the board runner, ended up talking to this enthusiastic young lefty who got quite down on the prospects. Got a 'Dog Latin in five years time' feel so started talking bs about socialism.

You do what you can, and that's true for today, rest on Thursday at 10pm, sleep it it for a few days if it's bad. Carry on trying to be part of the solution xps

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 21:48 (six years ago)

YouGov cuts likely Johnson majority to 28

LET'S GET THIS

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:01 (six years ago)

NEW:

Final YouGov MRP

Projects a Conservative majority of 28 BUT a hung Parliament is now within the margin of error

Seats:

Con 339
Lab 231
SNP 41
Lib Dem 15
BXP 0

YouGov spoke to 105,612 voters Dec 4-10

— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) December 10, 2019

calzino, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:01 (six years ago)

Keep fighting the good fight. John McDonald tapped me up for another hundred quid last night. I’m sure not as important as GOTV.

It feels very important for the rest of the world that labour wins or gets a strong showing on Thursday. If it helps australian labour grow a fucking backbone that would be a great start.

American Fear of Pranksterism (Ed), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:02 (six years ago)

lol hung parliament within the margin of error

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:02 (six years ago)

still time for the Brexit party to pull it out of the bag

a synthesis of Trotskyism and Ufology (bizarro gazzara), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:03 (six years ago)

friendship ended with yougov MRP, red centrist telephone is my new friend

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:05 (six years ago)

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ELdJ-7uXUAAmaak?format=png&name=900x900

(Where is ogmor to support me on this)

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:07 (six years ago)

focaldata have the Greens costing Labour the following seats, mainly to the Tories: Colne Valley, MK North, Rother Valley, Stroud, Bedford, Dag & Rainham, Ipswich

— Waluigitifo (@waluigitifo) December 10, 2019

Fuck knows what's going with the greens. They have stood down in Harrow East

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:08 (six years ago)

Yeah Stroud is a disgrace and the windmill botherer is campaigning for the Green candidate there even though she can’t win!

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:11 (six years ago)

It feels very important for the rest of the world that labour wins or gets a strong showing on Thursday

Totally, obsessively reading this thread from Sydney where we are choking on bushfire smoke while our govt (and pissweak opposition) has canapes with the Murdochs and the coal lobby.

Would dearly love to think there is an alternative to global slide into climate fascism.

If anyone can provide a link to sponsor a campaigner I'd happily shell out.

umsworth (emsworth), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:11 (six years ago)

I thought Greens had stood down in Colne Valley, that one might be wrong.

calzino, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:12 (six years ago)

Not entirely sure if it’s legal for you to do so?

However, when the exit poll came out last time, Rupert Murdoch was angry and had wasted time, effort and money, so here’s hoping for a repeat of that. 🤞🏻🤞🏻Prove it can be done against fuckers like him with his thumb on the scale.

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:13 (six years ago)

Greens fucked Colne Valley in 2015 too
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B_SAHsRXIAE30D9?format=jpg&name=large

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:14 (six years ago)

Not entirely sure if it’s legal for you to do so?

Ha yep, don't want to be impeached I guess.

umsworth (emsworth), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:16 (six years ago)

lmao pic.twitter.com/r3KzkB1aOD

— Only Labour will defend Squirrels (@Squirrel69Red) December 10, 2019

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:16 (six years ago)

Anyway huge respect for the people itt getting out there and spreading the good word.

umsworth (emsworth), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:17 (six years ago)

my wrong, it's the Calder Valley Greens that stepped doen for Labour, Colne Valley ones love tories.

calzino, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:18 (six years ago)

Kensington showing EDC just ahead of the Tories, hope people will use this to decide on tactical voting in the next day. Also showing Esher & Walton (Raab) as a tossup!

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:20 (six years ago)

68 -> 28 (dec 4-10) -> ?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:21 (six years ago)

It depends how they’ve weighed the data for recency. If i was in a marginal (I should be so lucky) I’d be looking at this to decide how my vote is best used. But the direction of travel favours Labour and the GOTV operation should be huge.

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:24 (six years ago)

MRP Vote share (2017 GE in GB)

Con 43% (43%)
Lab 34% (41%)
LDem 12% (8%)
BXP 3% (2%)

last one was way out with Labour

calzino, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:25 (six years ago)

emsworth, join this group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/2664536117116159/

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:26 (six years ago)

Game fucking on.

(excuse my partisan slip)

— Dr Moderate (@centrist_phone) December 10, 2019

I wanted comrade phone to play neutral and be all about data!

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:29 (six years ago)

Anyone got the stats on Milani v Johnson?

santa clause four (suzy), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:29 (six years ago)

Jo Swinson is 1% away from losing her seat in this projection

🆘 indeed pic.twitter.com/2mHoAxDbXN

— Dr Moderate (@centrist_phone) December 10, 2019

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:30 (six years ago)

(that's focaldata, not yougov iiuc)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:31 (six years ago)

Uxbridge is likely conservative

A lot of these seats could flip depending on turnout though. These aren’t big margins in lots of places.

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2019/

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:33 (six years ago)

Boris Johnson is nine points ahead of Labour in his seat. The combined Lib Dem/Green vote is ... nine points. pic.twitter.com/2SWezJ7xsF

— George Eaton (@georgeeaton) December 10, 2019

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:33 (six years ago)

^LAB gain imo ; )

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:34 (six years ago)

Btw this prediction shows Labour retaining 5/7 Scottish seats.

gyac, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:38 (six years ago)

keep an eye on this thread

TORY LEAD DOWN TO 2.5%

Con: 38.81%
Lab: 36.31%
Lib Dem: 9.44%
Brexit: 4.43%
SNP: 3.44%
Green: 2.56%

More here: https://t.co/TcfV34DRhn

— Findoutnow.co.uk (@FindoutnowUK) December 10, 2019

tony blair electric chair (||||||||), Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:54 (six years ago)

it's the Calder Valley Greens that stepped doen for Labour, Colne Valley ones love tories.

― calzino, Tuesday, December 10, 2019 11:18 PM (thirty-four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

!!!

The birthplace of Incredible Edible had its greens stand down for Labour? That is seriously amazing!

Le Bateau Ivre, Tuesday, 10 December 2019 22:57 (six years ago)


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