Ne'er get thee stitched til Booris be ditched: UK General Election 2019

his name does more exposure after him suffering the ignominy of Cummings saying "sorry but I don't even know who you are"

Best For Britain attempts its own MRP - sample size just under 40K
https://gallery.mailchimp.com/a706d4e03dc82629db3f7acf9/files/ae6c2fb1-48aa-4c6f-8a3d-b5f8fd958956/Best_for_Britain_Recommendation_Seats.pdf

are they recommending LDs in any dumb seats

all of them, by definition

i'm not reading all that shit but i've already found a couple where the recommendation based on Labour being 10% ahead of the LDs is "Labour/Lib Dem"

I scribbled down some half garbled thoughts last week about potential tailwinds for labour this time round:

1 JC’s hegemony means they’ll be able to fight a more effective campaign as he’ll have more authority to direct resources. So eg they won’t run the Scottish campaign like an Edinburgh South by-election this time round.

2 The post-2017 Electoral Map is very healthy. 1 pt swing for 15 seats. Further 21 seats if they replicate 2017 swing.

3 They’ve played their (difficult) Brexit hand very well and would have a coherent position which respects the referendum but also motivates their remain base.

4 They have maintained their 2017 coalition (broadly). They’re still polling broadly equal despite the 2 yr media onslaught and mischaracterisation. Inside Purdah, their polling will rise (though I suspect the press may play faster and looser this time round).

5 People like to vote for the winners. People say they benefited from sympathy votes last time round & a lack of credibility so people didn’t worry about voting for them. The evidence doesn’t bear this out.

6 TIG may be more of a threat to Tories than Labour

7 Scottish dimension is not well understood. Labour have a resonant offer for people who (I) feel the pain of austerity; and (II) worry about the democratic deficit [their last manifesto talked about increased federalism]. —— this part is least well thought through though I will say that if SNP get 49 seats at GE19 I will eat matt goodwin’s book AND one of giles coren’s children

― PaulDananVEVO (||||||||), Tuesday, 26 March 2019 12:26 (eight months ago) bookmarkflaglink

depressing

Lol @ Tig as somehow relevant

you might have to eat that book and child also

8 doses of mebendazole in UK = <£20
8 doses of mebendazole in US = $3,520

My youngest got threadworm. It’s a common, minor thing. Treatment is one pill now and one in two weeks. The whole family gets treated: that’s eight pills. I went to the pharmacist counter at Superdrug this morning. I got change from £20.

— George MacKerron (@jawj) November 25, 2019

The NHS dossier seems idk really important? I was thinking labor desperately needs a dementia tax but this should dwarf it (except I know kuenssberg Peston etc). Still Johnson already running scared from Neil interview has echoes of 2017. You have to hand it to Corbyn, he will walk calmly into the lion's den again and again, they don't like him and he doesn't like them.

'I’ve got a whole house full of books and I’ve got an emotional connection with each one,' he says. 'My wife wishes I had a smaller emotional connection with about two-thirds of them... That’s just as a question of space, mind.'

'I grew up in a small town in Shropshire. My mum and dad loved books. I became a volunteer librarian at school. I learned the Dewey Decimal System, which I still remember. We also had a branch library across the road and I’d go there after school and look at the great big atlases and it was my way of looking at the world, understanding it. Libraries gave me a fantastic start in life and I want that for everybody.'

https://www.penguin.co.uk/articles/2019/nov/jeremy-corbyn-libraries-pledge-general-election-2019.html

The dossier is really important or else the media Tories wouldn't be striving so desperately to minimise it

Also omg Jed at the price comparisons below that tweet. Surely most people have at least one seriously ill person in their family whose medicine cabinet would bankrupt them in the US?

Yes, they’re called diabetics and epileptics.

Yeah I mean it's just so fucking obvious, that's what's galling

yeah, I read a story about what's happening with Insulin. Will try to find it.

I'm currently working at the school a previous pm's child attended and I fucking dare any Tory to show up for a photo op while I'm there

JC front and centre in tonight's party election broadcast, I guess the party doesn't see him as the liability that concern troll melts believe

dreading the times thing lads

Tory response to the dossier seems to be the Shaggy defence

Love kuenssberg's "only minister involved is [then secretary of state for international trade] Liam fox" as if this was nothing more than a family vacation to the Golan heights

Generous 5 minutes allotted to Katy Balls on BBC4's news to explain why everybody should vote Tory and they're totally not gonna sell off the NHS

Times thing?

yougov MRP poll in conjunction w/the times, which drops at 10

Guardian reporting that Cummings is briefing people that things are closer than the polls would have us believe

Lib Dems completely ignoring the NHS dossier

Just posting about being a girly swot as they usually do

Don't wanna antagonise your future coalition partners

it's not my place to gatekeep feminism but "girly swot" seems like some regressive anti-feminist bullshit to me

Plus obviously not a good idea to push your swot credentials when you'm patently thick as two short planks

The worst were always the thick swots, the ones who did all the homework obsequiously but understood nothing

Jo swine flu always strikes me as the kind of dolt who gets to read her dull essay to the class because of how neatly handwritten it is

Hahaha truth

I mean to be fair I don't think politics as a profession rewards intelligence, it's about obstinacy and self-conviction which are usually the hallmarks of the idiot

So then, we're past all hope of getting a better thread title, aren't we?

still a wee while til the election!

if there's an upturn for labour in the polls:

UK is coming ever closer to having a PM that used to follow Phil Greaves on twitter

— m.crumps (@mcrumps) July 9, 2018

I think I may have been a thick swot

luckily I was also lazy and disorganised as fuck and so frequently forgot to do/take home/hand in the homework (also was permanently a mess with terrible handwriting, also frequently misunderstood or neglected to write down correctly what the homework was actually supposed to be), so it's possible few teachers actually noticed my sickening desire to please the grown-ups

was going to put something actually about politics at the end of this lame post but I forgot what it was, in a metaphor for my teenage too-spacecadetty-to-swot-properly-ness

Based on that summary I exonerate you.

There's a lot of anger out there at the fact that Johnson's bottled doing the Andrew Neil interview at all, and that the BBC went ahead with Corbyn on the basis that all three leaders were confirmed.

as there fucking well should be

On a fundamental level in what way is this even remotely balanced?

Corbyn still hasn't confirmed 5 Live Breakfast, which Johnson and er... Adam Price have done (but which was an easier ride than Neil would be)

God imagine a mauling from Nicky Campbell

The most feared political interviewer this side of Simon Mayo

It was Rachel Burden and essentially a phone-in but yes

God imagine a mauling from Nicky Campbell

I am certain that if Johnson really has bottled Neil - and why shouldn't he, really, from his perspective? - the anger will be quite real inside the BBC as well. About time tbh!

Did the BBC straight up lie to Corbyn to get an interview?

God I've heard some of the dolts that phone up Five Live I'd give that one a miss Mr Crumhorn

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fIIn4qh82yY