2020 Democratic presidential primary

Usually.

It’s all over, guys.

Jimmy Dore endorsing Tulsi.

of course Biden is smarter than he sounds. The guy has deep foreign policy chops. domestic maybe not so good.

So IMO it's *not* enough to say "oh, he beats expectations nationally, so he's underrated by polls". The question is where he goes after an Iowa or New Hampshire victory. CBS crunched data on this and finds.... not far... pic.twitter.com/Ea7GAvThsi

— G. Elliott Morris (@gelliottmorris) November 22, 2019

Don't really understand this tweet, but a question: if it ends up like this, then nobody has a majority at the convention. Can Sanders then make Warren the nominee on second ballot?

Fred fantasizing about brokered conventions is for nerds, don't be a nerd

we're speculating about this now, or, rather, G. Elliot Morris is?

No, the tweets are mostly about Buttigieg being bad. I just wanted to be told the left is looking like they are winning.

the tweet is just saying, if mayor pete did do really well in IA and NH, that wouldn't necessary realign this race in his favor. because the following states are really different and he's not doing great there, etc. basically don't get "momentum" type narratives ("beats expectations!") mixed up with how broad a candidate's support is, and don't be led by them to overrate causal relationships between different primaries. right?

At least the 2020 democratic race won't be as weird as the 2012 republican race, where Rick Santorum, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich and Michelle Bachman all had their brief moments in the sun as the "frontrunner gathering momentum" before crashing, burning and having their ashes scattered to the wind.

Twitter needs a filter where you can block anyone who has tweeted "Yang" more than three times in a month.

i see how there's an appeal for semi-savvy technocratic/ libertarian hybrids looking for interesting ways to ultimately exterminate the poor, but the avg yang ganger seems p dumb. like ron paul fan dumb.

smdh at 'this won't happen' certainty after 2016

history is made when shit that hasn't happened b4 happens

^^ my favorite Borzage film

https://www.thedailybeast.com/robert-de-niro-on-piece-of-sht-trump-whether-the-mob-killed-jfk-and-why-buttigieg-is-what-we-need-now?ref=home

shut up dummy

Yes, sure, noooo

Bloomberg in. I can only assume this is because Patrick is likely out and DNC is getting wary of Biden.

Warren and Sanders talking shit directly to Bloomberg in a debate would be interesting at least.

Bloomberg wont qualify for the debates

'stfu billionaire'

"Bloomberg wont qualify for the debates"

bloomberg will buy the networks and make himself front and center

ok bloomer

Bloomer's in too late for the next debate, but why wouldn't he qualify for future ones?

There’s a rule that number of donors has to be greater than number of investment banks

who would donate to bloomberg

He is not going to accept any contributions so he won’t qualify for the debates.

Bloomberg News will “make clear that our owner is now a candidate” in its coverage of the presidential race but “will continue our tradition of not investigating Mike (and his family and foundation) and will extend the same policy to his rivals in the Democratic primaries,” he added.

what a joke

the "tradition" of not investigating "mike"

lol

if you want to be president you need to sell your "media company." and if you don't care about being president enough to do that, you shouldn't run for president.

being president of the united states is supposed to be a serious thing

idk why i put media company in quotes. bloomberg is a huge news organization. which makes it even more insane that he has instructed them to sit on the sidelines of the primaries--i.e., not letting them report the news.

being president of the united states is supposed to be a serious thing

― treeship., Tuesday, November 26, 2019 12:36 AM (seven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O_0zbJDKcTQ

"Sock it to ME?"

Bloomberg entering the race is to me indication #1 that things aren't looking very good for Biden.

and yet, aside from Iowa, things are looking good for Biden

hedging, it's what rich people do to protect themselves.

was at the gym and I swear the Bloomberg ad i saw was a full minute

This is a very thoughtful essay by @jimdowns1 about some of the criticism of the kind of gay man Pete Buttigieg is. I know some of you will want to counterpunch. Maybe just take it in and think about it a bit instead. https://t.co/DeESAxsbU9

— Mark Harris (@MarkHarrisNYC) November 26, 2019

weird thing to exercise to man but who am I to judge

wish that essay told us what schedule spice said about the impact of reaganomics

xpost it was during the Kelly Clarkson show with Garth Brooks that was on the tv 🙂

[insert usual caveats about polling here]

After a steady late-summer rise, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) is losing ground with the Democratic electorate.

The latest Morning Consult poll, conducted Nov. 21-24 following Wednesday’s Democratic presidential debate, found 15 percent of likely Democratic primary voters prefer her as their first choice, down 2 percentage points from the previous week and marking her worst showing in the national polling since late August.

The finding marks a 6-point drop from the 21 percent first-choice vote share she had held from late September through a poll conducted Oct. 16-20 following the Oct. 15 Democratic presidential debate. It erased the slight lead she held over Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), a candidate whose policies appeal to the type of Democratic voter her own policy plans appear to target.

The decline in her polling numbers has been driven by statistically significant drops in support among almost every demographic group surveyed — and, most notably, among the highest-educated voters, the oldest voters and voters who identify as liberal and very liberal — compared to her vote share in an Oct. 7-13 poll conducted before last month’s debate. Warren lost her lead with liberal voters and now trails Sanders by 4 points, 16 percent to 20 percent.

https://morningconsult.com/2019/11/25/warrens-september-surge-has-evaporated/

Buttigieg only seems robotic in the way that every boring ambitious person seems robotic.

That seems possible, she's kind of fucked up her lane with people who saw her as a slightly younger/not-white-guy alternative to Bernie who wouldn't be that different in office.

I never thought of him as robotic or fake. I just think he's full of shit. xp

The polling seems quite clear that she has lost votes to both Buttigieg and Sanders.

that would make some sense to me, Pete's winning over some of the "pragmatic branding" voters and Sanders is winning over (back?) some of the lefty ones

I'm a single issue Medicare for All voter right now which has me thinking voting anyone but Sanders in the primary would be bizarre on my part.

Warrren's technocratic wonkishness remains appealing b/c of my inside the beltway childhood tho