2020 Democratic presidential primary

One can hope.

This deeply troubling question from Gabriel Debenedetti about things that have not happened, but could maybe possibly happen, leaves me deeply troubled. Impeachment will certainly suck the air out of all other politics, but how the politics fall out of that is anyone's guess. imo this hot take is just the usual stirring the pot, trying to get attention in a crowded media market.

"she's got a plan to excuse this

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/elizabeth-warren-defends-_n_5733164";

this is five years old.

has her position changed

that article has bernie being criticized for taking the same position, if I'm reading it right

there's not a lot of daylight between their answers to the I/P question in the CFR thing someone linked earlier imo...warren has more details, I suppose bernie very vaguely implies he would stop military aid to Israel:

"My administration would also be willing to bring real pressure to bear on both sides, including conditioning military aid, to create consequences for moves that undermine the chances for peace."

https://www.cfr.org/article/bernie-sanders

warren was videoed telling a paletinian activist that she was against the occupation. not sure where that is but I did see it a few months ago.

is this the first time a candidate has accentuated their messaging to suggest Trump might not be around in 2020

We're going to defeat Donald Trump, or Mike Pence, or whomever else the Republicans put up.

But we need your help to win. Chip in now: https://t.co/NiKvZVt33c pic.twitter.com/EvptzODbz0

— Bernie Sanders (@BernieSanders) September 29, 2019

his people used the right objective pronoun!

whomst everelse

Red Sharpie...nice.

his people used the right objective pronoun!

objectivists love him

New CNN South Carolina Poll: Biden leads among black voters

Black White

Biden 45% 29%
Warren 4% 28%
Sanders 13% 8%
Buttigieg 0% 8%
Harris 6% 1%
Steyer 5% 2%
https://t.co/MoNYaacY3t

— David P Gelles (@gelles) September 29, 2019

is 1% within the margin of error?

oops sorry that formatting messed me up

mainly posted cause that is one depressing Biden stranglehold and also to lol @ Pete

It's not depressing; it's reality, and I get it. It's still only September. Barack Obama was nuthin' until Iowa.

They also did Nevada

#NEW Nevada Democratic Primary:

Sanders 22%
Biden 22%
Warren 18%
Harris 5%
Buttigieg 4%
Steyer 4%
Yang 3%
Booker 2%@CNN Poll

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 29, 2019

all the early states save SC show biden's lead down to margin of error or gone entirely.

also lol who are these would-be steyer voters??

what this tells me is that the more people pay attention to the election, the less likely they are to want biden as the nominee

The results of Iowa and NH are going to alter the standings in subsequent states, perhaps enormously.

Yep.

it def feels like warren's the only one actually gaining new people. bernie and buttigieg have been steady, biden and harris have fallen. harris' fall has really surprised me.

NH is interesting cuz Warren and Sanders are both senators in neighboring states

The bump Harris got from the first debate was temporary, possibly because she had to walk a few of her winning positions back. I think the lack of real momentum caused many of her supporters who are concerned about "electability" to hop back over to Biden and Warren.

yeah, "electability" (and the lack thereof) becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy that way.

Brain genius moves

BREAKING — The Biden campaign has written a letter to top executives and hosts at major news networks demanding that they stop booking Giuliani. https://t.co/aLX082Snuf

With @maxwelltani

— Sam Stein (@samstein) September 29, 2019

I support continued booking of Giuliani AND continued pressure from the Biden campaign to stop booking Giuliani. The first makes Trump look worse, the second makes Biden look worse. Those are both good things.

I'm not sure how this makes Biden look particularly bad. Giuliani certainly is spreading a false narrative about Biden, using the enormous megaphone provided to him by those news networks. By lending him that platform when it is clear that he is lying, they are complicit in spreading that false narrative, even if they verbally challenge his version of events. Biden has a legit beef imo.

yeah i agree

Heh

You can laugh at this if you'd like, but how many other campaigns would be willing to hire ducks as staffers in the first place? https://t.co/oD8D6KGiNF

— Osita Nwanevu (@OsitaNwanevu) September 29, 2019

it def feels like warren's the only one actually gaining new people. bernie and buttigieg have been steady, biden and harris have fallen. harris' fall has really surprised me.

― i'm not a garbageman i am garbage, man. let me handle my garbage, damn (m bison),

Also surprised on Kamala's fall. While its still early, looks tough for her now with the loss of initial momentum. I thought Mayor Pete was falling too. Yang seems to have closed the gap on both more or less and his trajectory still climbing.

Once Brontosaurus Biden collapses and we see who picks off the votes then it starts to become clearer

i’m predicting president warren

feels like it's Yang's turn to be the media's favorite candidate for 2 weeks

Yang is the dems Herman Cain

but Cain actually led all the republican candidates in the polling for about two weeks late in 2011

he's the only one who hasn't had his turn yet & he's doing slightly better in some polls

Gabbard hasn't been adored yet by the media. Nor has Booker. Or Marianne Whatshername. All Yang has going for him with the media is his appeal as a freak, but not more so than Whatshername.

williamson is fewer characters than whatshername

she shoulda put that on her yard signs then

Tulsi won't get adored by the media. Assad alone is enough to see to that. She's probably even more media disliked than Bernie, and also polls too low.

Yang will get his turn I think, but maybe as curiosity. His numbers are creeping into the bottom end of serious (if Pete and Kamala are still considered as serious at this point)

Yang won’t get a turn unless his polls go up 10 points
The media is tired of the low polling candidates

buttigieg, harris, and yang all being in the same "tier" is wild

Who is in which tier right now in your view, crüt?

Pretty clear it's:

Tier One: Biden, Warren, Sanders

Tier Two: Buttigieg, Harris, Yang

Tier Three: Beto, Klobachar, Booker, Castro, Gabbard

Tier Zero: Bennett, Steyer, Williamson, etc.

96 Tiers

Whoa, @facebook's Mark Zuckerberg calls @ewarren an "existential" threat to his business interests, says he'll "go to the mat" and "fight" herhttps://t.co/QwUhD5Vmav

— Summer Brennan 🌈 (@summerbrennan) October 1, 2019

he should chill out, read twitter and find out what a neolib Warren is

He just hates capitalism