2020 Democratic presidential primary

he's got a ceiling and he ain't gonna crack it, but he also isn't going to withdraw which is so urrrgh

Good for Inslee

I can imagine Bernie withdrawing at the end of March but he'd probably still get a whole lot of votes is the thing

Idk why it seems so unlikely that he would drop out if he were in third place and it would mean Warren would beat Biden. I don't think his staying in a race after he became literally the only competitor to Hillary Clinton is a comparable situation at all.

after the last month's moves in the polls (biden stays roughly the same at ~30%, warren gains 10% or so, mostly at Bernies' expense), i'm wondering if warren/sanders will make more of a direct attack on Biden in the next debates.

speaking of - there are two fucking nights for the debates again? i don't know why i thought the rest would be a single night only.

I don't think it's been established yet. If there are only 12 or 13 candidates, as seems likely, I don't know why they wouldn't keep it to a single night.

Bernie did a great job on Joe Rogan, 9 million views and overwhelmingly positive reactions/comments

If Bernie is just getting crushed, he'd probably drop out, but it's easy to imagine a scenario where he does better in some states and Warren does better in others, and supporters for both pressure their candidates to stay in.

How interested are you in the next pres election?

- Now: Extremely (57) Very (24) Somewhat (16) Not at all ( 3)

- Nov. '16: Extremely (53) Very (28) Somewhat (13) Not at all (6)

- Aug. '15, same point as now in last cycle: Extremely (30) Very (30) Somewhat (29) Not at all (11)

— Alex Seitz-Wald (@aseitzwald) August 16, 2019

intensity for the 2020 election is higher now than it was on election day 2016. I *think* this is a good sign for Dems

i know the source is FOX News but for some reason they actually have pretty accurate polls

Bernie's negatives almost as high as Biden's

hardcore Clintonites never gonna forgive his interference with their unanimity fantasy

the circular firing squad is over there

There are like 500 Clinton voters who remember and care about the 2016 primaries.

this persistent fantasy of a cabal of "hardcore Clintonites" running the GOP is hilarious - who are these people? Schumer? Pelosi? Perez? Ellison? I would maybe give you Schumer but the others? nah.

lol running the Democratic Party

I meant to say

intensity for the 2020 election is higher now than it was on election day 2016. I *think* this is a good sign for Dems

― frogbs, Friday, August 16, 2019 1:35 PM (forty-three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

it’s the exact same?

hey Shakey, i was talking about a poll of "voters" above. Who said anything about who was "running" anything?

Can you read? Do you?

wasn't referring to you specifically, but more to general refs to "Dem leadership" in this thread

There are like 500 Clinton voters who remember and care about the 2016 primaries.

I don't know about that. I work in an office with a bunch of middle aged Democratic women and all of them don't like Bernie.

not everybody loves a shouty grandpa

^^ this, but feel free to ascribe it to shadowy clinton allegiances if that's your thing

not everybody loves a shouty grandpa

― Οὖτις, Friday, August 16, 2019

where is the thread where we nominate new borad descriptions?

Right but they don’t have in mind Bernie’s supposed infractions on may 2016 xxp

there is a general feeling that he "hurt" Clinton in 2016

I think he did and frankly it wasn't worth it

He definitely did. Whether or not it was worth it to change the conversation (which he also definitely did) up for debate. Those harmed most and most directly by the current administration might have some thoughts on eggs and omelettes.

I’m saying that feeling that he hurt Clinton may seem general but is not held by a large absolute number of people and doesn’t explain his high unfavourables in polling.

I’m also saying: the discussion of the merits of that view is one of the worst things we do on this website.

yeah I feel stupid for wading into it already

eh it’s worth putting to bed

Maybe write about it in the new republic?

nah, just keep drinking every time he says CORPORATIONS or WALL STREET

Unfortunately, some people's fever dreams are perpetually haunted by the Clinton's, so we come back to this again and again.

shouty = being an old Jew from Brooklyn

w/out Clintons and Bushes, the US would be a candyland paradise

eh it’s worth putting to bed

I don't think there's enough (or any) evidence to say that his candidacy or campaign "definitely" hurt Clinton in a statistically measurable way; nor do I don't think it was a dirty or unfair campaign by the standards of US primaries in a way that might justify a view of him as some sort of troublemaker/saboteur.

less dirty than clinton's campaign against obama. as i have posted on this website about 100 times already

Y'all crazy if you think a significant portion of his negatives aren't people who actively blame him for 2016.

Obama reportedly warned Biden about 2020: "You don’t have to do this, Joe" https://t.co/sKt165VdeE

— The Daily Beast (@thedailybeast) August 16, 2019

beginning to wonder what happens to the #s if, let's just say hypothetically, Biden had to drop out

well, his legacy isn't appreciably damaged in my eyes

Wishful thinking

xp

to blame for temporary Biden image rehab: the neolib war criminal rock star Himself

Morbs Mad Libs

Wishful thinking

Well, yeah.

Re me earlier point, I will say this, Daniel Biss endorsed Warren and his Twitter mentions are about half supportive and half people who are mad at him, and the people who are mad at him are like 30% Bernie diehards and 70% Yang Gang, so who even knows anymore

Ladies and gents, your Washington press corps:

Two women in a Michigan cul-de-sac fret over the Democrats’ leftward lurch and another Trump term -- a warning sign for Bernie & Warren et al via @wpjenna & @GregJaffe https://t.co/fTeY4ljJ7s

— Philip Rucker (@PhilipRucker) August 17, 2019

mmmm, love that anecdata

bernie and warren should definitely be worried about two beckys in a cul-de-sac rather than, oh i dunno, the tens of millions of americans who chose not to vote in 2016

I thought that was an onion headline

why can't we just tie a rope between universal healthcare and our openly corrupt white nationalist administration and their enabling republican pals? then we can mark the point exactly in the center of the rope, saw it in half. that's where i want my new president to be. split the difference of the two, right in the center. but leaning toward the right. and then the new president calls out to the representatives of the two positions where the rope is tied off - "hey you there! and you, over there! come, untie your halves of the rope and meet me here in the center. for we will get more done if we join our ropes again in a cooperative manner and "cut the ties" to our partisan past, new friends."

also I love that “beckys” has gone transatlantic