Seizing back control: The ILX lol brexit is how we're all gonna die thread.

what's the odds actual money odds now on no deal

12/5 no deal brexit in 2019

via paddy power

No (Withdrawal Agreement is ratified, Article 50 extended beyond 2019 or Article 50 revoked) = 3/10
Yes (UK leave the EU in 2019 without Withdrawal Agreement in place) 12/5

ty

ive a close friend in dfa who this evening has told me to lump on, whatever hes heard.

i wont but hey ~intrigue~

A diplomatic note of today's meeting seen by @BuzzFeedNews says that in event of a no-deal exit, the EU will have three pre-conditions before starting trade talk.

One of them is the Northern Ireland backstop https://t.co/T7xYccLlWR pic.twitter.com/fyOdn0HUdR

— Stuart Millar (@stuartmillar159) March 28, 2019

well

i think it may have come up before now tbftteu

QT is wrong it's true. i found myself staring down the barrel of a pulsating rees-mogg on the first channel so i think my judgement could be questioned on all fronts frankly.

lmao

2016:
“Let’s take back control”

2019:
“What’s happening?”
“Fuck knows. I’m past caring. It’s like the living dead in here.” pic.twitter.com/jQICPr5ki4

— James Felton (@JimMFelton) March 28, 2019

New board description

Seconded, cabinet minister otfm.

lol at that cartoon someone posted in that twitter thread, from the Sun 2 years ago

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D2ySgTSUYAk_x8V.jpg:large

(allegedly, that is - I have no idea of it's provenance)

Oh, it is https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/opinion/2848046/uk-dealt-aces-after-calling-remain-bluff-on-brexit/

"Perhaps to her own surprise, it is Mrs May who has emerged as Europe’s most formidable political leader"

lool, that aged well.

It's a fun snaphshot of the press at the time. There's even a 'don't let our squaddies face justice for murder' bit!

Also take some time today to think of arseholes who spent money on "Brexit Day" parties.

no need to start hostilities with comrade alphabet so early

That cheers me up a bit. x-post

Stet, you may know this already but the remain protestors are avoiding parliament today because the leave means leave crowd are getting there. Not sure what time you (or they) are getting there, but just a heads up in case it gets nasty.

There's 11 protests around Westminster apparently, two of them with Tommy Robinson.

bust him up be safe Stet

The Guardian report yesterday seemed to suggest that the EU's No Deal crisis planning involves... allowing Northern Ireland to work in regulatory alignment with the rest of the EU and establishing a de facto border in the Irish Sea. Can't wait until the DUP twig that one.

was it a good idea to plan a small european trip next week

dup outnumbered by 26 + 27

Ooh -Labour rebels finally make their move!

Snell/Nandy amendment to today’s motion👇🏻 would approve WA on condition that Parliament has greater say over the future relationship.

Signatories: 6 Lab MPs, 2 ex-Lab MPs. 2 of the 8 already voting for the deal (Field and Flint). pic.twitter.com/dgHklDelte

— Dom Walsh (@DomWalsh13) March 29, 2019

any labour MP who votes for the deal today can fuck off and instantly deselect themselves pls

srsly

this isn't even MV3 wtf?

They're really seizing back control now aren't they? Shambles.

i mean she's gonna get catastrophically spanked again but this is like

why not vote for it on a paragraph by paragraph basis

was gonna abbreviate paragraph to para but this gov needs no further encouragement on that score

Lads, apparently turning parliament off and on again is back in play for Monday - it would erase Letwin's second day and allow a proper MV3 of the kind that everyone has been asking for.

John Bercow, the Speaker, says he is not selecting any of the three amendments down.

if they start a new session and the gov can't pass a Queen's speech then to all intents and purposes it should fall altho fuck reading the FTPA to clarify that

what kind of maniac/idiot would vote to pass it for this shower?

nb that question is rhetorical

i have no idea what's happening anymore

Not passing it would mean just overrunning the Apr 12th deadline though?

Is passing the WA today really the last chance to secure a possible extension to May 22th? Or is it gov shenanigans?

I think the UK has got a guaranteed extension to then if the WA passes today - after that it's coming up with a plan in the next two weeks, which if it isn't no deal or revocation, will need a long extension.

Or of course May could pass it next week and go back cap-in-hand to ask for a short extension, just enough to fuck up the EU elections - if there's any loose ends at all then Macron has been giving the impression that he'd rather no deal than any more extensions. He may just be playing bad cop, but I think it'd be a mistake to underestimate the amount that the EU is tired of the UK by now.

Ty that clears it up somewhat.

EU def completely tired of the UK/Tory gov, though I'm not sure Macron or anyone else would want to be the one triggering no-deal and be held responsible for any fall-out (economic or otherwise) following that. No yet, anyway.

meanwhile spare a thought etc

It is very painful to vote for this deal. But I hope we can now work together to remedy its defects, avoid the backstop trap and strive to deliver the Brexit people voted for

— Boris Johnson (@BorisJohnson) March 29, 2019

macron probably doesn't want a hard tory brexiteer PM playing to the gallery of the UK RW press and causing ructions for the impending EU budget discussions either

Wait is Bercow really not selecting that Labour leave amendment?! Lol

Government will legislate to ensure MPs can set negotiating mandate for next phase of Brexit, Cox says

Cox says there will be new mechanism introduced that will ensure the Commons is consulted on the next phase of the negotiation.

He says the government would have accepted the Gareth Snell amendment had it been called.

Snell asks Cox for an assurance that the EU withdrawal agreement bill will contain the legislative proposals in the amendment.

Cox says the bill has not been published yet, but if Snell bring backs his plans as an amendment to that bill, the government will be “minded to accept”.

bolt

Not only is it a blindfold Brexit, MPs would be going into a different room, led by a different prime minister-

Sensual Brexit

Hundreds of years of repression and this is the result

don't encourage bg

xps

i need no encouragement to discuss the throbbing, gasping, tantric brexit this country deserves

Key party Brexit

flaccid, dribbling, syphilitic brexit