"oh you don't get me I'm the end of the union": lol brexit is how we're all gonna die

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1000 days?

fremme nette his simplicitte (darraghmac), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 18:21 (seven years ago)

That was the minimum she had to work with tbf

Helel Cool J (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 18:26 (seven years ago)

it's just the divorce agreement. future relationship still all to play for.

yes, and to some extent being over the line means opposition will coalesce around soft Brexit (no more revocation or 2nd ref, rejoin a distant dream at that point). but we'll still have the same problem: likely a Tory govt and we can't have any nice things while they're still there

and sadly I don't see a Labour majority if the deal goes through, esp if unpopular May stands down and they call a GE right away, while the WA means we've avoided the most immediately obvious Brexit damage. a harder Brexiter will likely be PM and be free to go as hard as they like - can they even renege on the WA and we're back to crashing out early?

that said, the ERG haven't voted for it, so maybe it's not that simple, but I assume they just want to say later that they didn't vote for it and blame May for everything

a passing spacecadet, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 18:34 (seven years ago)

The political declaration matters, despite the Brexiteers insistence it is meaningless. If a CU isn't agreed to in there, it makes it more a thing to be negotiated for, which means we'll have to give up something else to get it. This deal is a bad deal, no matter what tbh

stet, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 18:41 (seven years ago)

the declaration that the backstop wont matter once theyre out makes the whole thing a naked bad faith farce tbh

fremme nette his simplicitte (darraghmac), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 18:57 (seven years ago)

both otm

but despite that and despite having just listed reasons to be suspicious of the deal it's still better than no deal and I can't see any routes left open to a better outcome any more. hoping someone can persuade me I'm wrong on that one

a passing spacecadet, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:15 (seven years ago)

channel 4 correspondent just described brexit as a game of 3d chicken

fremme nette his simplicitte (darraghmac), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:18 (seven years ago)

He then asked a Polish woman to talk to her gut.

Carmel Sprout (Tom D.), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:20 (seven years ago)

Can any further motions for alternatives be laid down or is it just fiddling while Rome burns at this stage?

Matt DC, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:20 (seven years ago)

So she’s to request a short extension in the hopes of strong arming everyone into the deal? Surely, /surely/ we are at no-conf time by now?


I still don't think that would pass. And the ERG shot the Tory NCV way too early. Unless it's all part of the plan.

lefal junglist platton (wtev), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:21 (seven years ago)

the uk’s concrete plan: fuck about & fail to get a deal agreed iirc


The concrete plan is to tie it to the ankles of the country and throw the lot into the north Sea no?

lefal junglist platton (wtev), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:24 (seven years ago)

SNP / Plaid / Lib Dems / Greens calling for parliament to sit in continuous session to find a solution, and revoke if none can be found.

I'd rather May came to that last conclusion herself, mind.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:25 (seven years ago)

Corbyn apparently walked out of the meeting as Umunna had been invited without telling him.

ShariVari, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:36 (seven years ago)

I hope that's a lie, if not then fuck's sake.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:38 (seven years ago)

Eh, how come he didn't know? Guardian said earlier that all party leaders including TIG were to be invited.

Dan Worsley, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:39 (seven years ago)

I'd be pissed off in his position as well but this is really not the time to make yourself look petulant and childish.

Matt DC, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:40 (seven years ago)

Can any further motions for alternatives be laid down or is it just fiddling while Rome burns at this stage?


As far as I can tell - and a lot of journalists are being shockingly shit this evening - the options boil down to:

1. Accept the deal. Hard to estimate chances, but the headbangers will vote against for certain.

2. MPs a) seize control of timetable and b) somehow win a vote for Something Else (in order of likelihood from unlikely to never: "pass deal with ratification vote", "Request long extension and hold MEP election", "Renegotiate deal w/new red lines", "2nd ref", "Revoke", some other thing which Denies The Will) which would necessitate asking for long extension.

(In theory this forces May past what she can countenance so she has to resign at this point, but lol, no, more likely she comes up with some fucking thing like "MV4: Last chance to vote for my deal or I quit/I do what they came up with in 2". Then repeat from start.)

3. No-confidence vote in the government passes. May asks for extension to deal with it. Loses second No-conf vote. Forced out. New Tory leader installed with minutes to No Deal. Probably a headbanger, probably goes for No Deal. End of the Tories along with some less pleasant side-effects. (If May wins, repeat from start).

4. No deal. And an hourly attempt to get Bercow to allow another vote on the deal on the way.

stet, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:40 (seven years ago)

It was not the meeting that had been agreed and the terms were broken. Downing Street is in such chaos that they were unable to manage their own proposed meeting. We are in discussions with No 10 about holding the bilateral meeting with the PM that Jeremy proposed at PMQs.

ShariVari, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:43 (seven years ago)

I don't see any way in which May is forced out, though. People like to talk about the men in grey suits - they must have been and gone by now.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:44 (seven years ago)

I'd be pissed off in his position as well but this is really not the time to make yourself look petulant and childish.

― Matt DC, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:40 (three minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:44 (seven years ago)

Eh, how come he didn't know? Guardian said earlier that all party leaders including TIG were to be invited.

Except TIG keep telling us they're not a party and don't have a leader.

Carmel Sprout (Tom D.), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:49 (seven years ago)

lmao

are we getting a statement tonight ?

PaulDananVEVO (||||||||), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:51 (seven years ago)

the ERG aren’t the only players on the board for the tory party - her remain wing is also very tightly coiled right now

PaulDananVEVO (||||||||), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:52 (seven years ago)

The route to May getting forced out is for her to lose two no-confidence votes (eg she can no longer command majority). If there's time before the 14 mandated days elapse the Tories could hustle another leader in and get them to pass a no-conf and then the government can continue.

Or, if they can't/are out of time then it's automatically an election. May in theory can lead for that if she desires, but this is when the Men in Grey Suits point out that they won't fund a campaign with her leading and she has to resign. Surely.

Or maybe she'll go back on TV then and ask everyone for £1.

stet, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 19:55 (seven years ago)

Apparently Margaret Beckett of all people was backing Corbyn’s walkout on Sky News, Chris Leslie was on the same segment to be the voice of TIG and Beckett eviscerated him.

suzy, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:00 (seven years ago)

Having spoken to several of those present at meeting with PM, here’s what I’ve been told happened;
- PM restated the case for her deal
- Didn’t entertain alternatives seriously
- Corbyn didn’t want to take part with Independent Group

— Nick Eardley (@nickeardleybbc) March 20, 2019

gyac, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:00 (seven years ago)

what was beckett’s take ? “who the fuck is chuka umunna ?”

PaulDananVEVO (||||||||), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:03 (seven years ago)

When your mum tells you off ...slimeball @ChrisLeslieMP being put in his place(nowhere) by #MargaretBeckett 👋👋👋
pic.twitter.com/PcekANEPmK

— OneTenTwelve (@OneTenTwelve) March 20, 2019

If anyone has seen a fuller version link it!

gyac, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:05 (seven years ago)

Beckett was very reasonable on 5live a few weeks back, and didn't go for the obligatory prompts for some easy Corbyn bashing at all.

calzino, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:07 (seven years ago)

- Didn’t entertain alternatives seriously

Possibly (hopefully) the real reason Corbyn can't be arsed

nashwan, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:08 (seven years ago)

Beckett is older school than the Blairite true believers tbf to her

Helel Cool J (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:09 (seven years ago)

She's a Wilsonite!

Carmel Sprout (Tom D.), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:11 (seven years ago)

The lectern has the govt crest klaxon

stet, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:13 (seven years ago)

Beckett called for Corbyn to resign after the referendum, let’s not be too hasty.

Reel Politik (don’t judge me!) referenced Malcolm’s rant at Glenn after Glenn defects to the Lib dems in The Thick of It & I thought about that reading this story.

gyac, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:14 (seven years ago)

Nigel 'head the ball' Evans just been heading several balls on sky

lefal junglist platton (wtev), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:15 (seven years ago)

xp
she also nommed Corbz as the left wing leadership candidate, and later admitted about crying over what a disastrous it was!

calzino, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:15 (seven years ago)

decision

calzino, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:16 (seven years ago)

I wasn't saying she was great or anything tbf, just observing MB as a Balrog to Chris Leslie's Orc

Helel Cool J (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:17 (seven years ago)

Even Mike Gapes looks good when put alongside Chris Leslie tbf

Carmel Sprout (Tom D.), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:19 (seven years ago)

where there any other CEOs of limited companies there ?

PaulDananVEVO (||||||||), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:21 (seven years ago)

Sam Coates on R5 Live saying that May was persuaded against a long extension by the strength of cabinet opposition. I still can't believe so many of them are apparently so genuinely set on No Deal, well beyond posturing. And she was too weak to stand up to them.

It has always been a possibility, but it feels more real than ever.

stet, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:34 (seven years ago)

She still isn't there.

mfktz (Camaraderie at Arms Length), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:35 (seven years ago)

- food shortages
- medicine shortages
- the collapse of pan-european bank clearing
- european capital markets shuttered
- significant percentage of europe's air traffic grounded
- destabilisation of peace in ireland

seems quite fun

PaulDananVEVO (||||||||), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:36 (seven years ago)

Tonight will be announcement of final meaningful vote then no deal

Non, je ned raggette rien (onimo), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:37 (seven years ago)

are MI6 having a word I wonder

PPL+AI=NS (imago), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:39 (seven years ago)

She's on our side

lefal junglist platton (wtev), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:39 (seven years ago)

What the fuck is this speech?

stet, Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:40 (seven years ago)

As predicted, saying nothing new whatsoever, for the umpteenth time, what is the point of this?

mfktz (Camaraderie at Arms Length), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:40 (seven years ago)

Same shit different day

Non, je ned raggette rien (onimo), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:41 (seven years ago)

Jesus

lefal junglist platton (wtev), Wednesday, 20 March 2019 20:41 (seven years ago)


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