economics - where to begin?

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this was a fun thread to read

just sayin, Friday, 2 December 2016 07:39 (nine years ago)

curious whether lex has given up now or feels he has some knowledge.

currently reading this https://www.theguardian.com/books/2014/may/29/economics-the-users-guide-ha-joon-chang-review and really enjoying it

what econ bloggers should i read? there are too many

just sayin, Friday, 2 December 2016 07:40 (nine years ago)

Noah Smith (blog and Bloomberg column)
Marginal Revolution
Chris Dillow

more growth/economic history/development focus:
Pseudoerasmus
Dietrick Vollrath

prob a bit 'advanced' (strict academic focus and assumes knowledge of economic theory) but my personal fav is

A Fine Theorem

flopson, Friday, 2 December 2016 15:56 (nine years ago)

oh also Mark Thoma basically runs a huge econ blog aggregator, updated daily

http://economistsview.typepad.com/

flopson, Friday, 2 December 2016 16:04 (nine years ago)

curious whether lex has given up now or feels he has some knowledge.

neither but i've stopped feeling shit about it i guess?

lex pretend, Friday, 2 December 2016 16:29 (nine years ago)

Can anyone recommend me good stuff to read about understanding government debt, "unfunded liabilities" for public programs, etc.? I keep getting told by people on the left that it's a lot of right wing smoke and mirrors but I don't feel 100% comforted.

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Friday, 2 December 2016 16:32 (nine years ago)

Here's a typical Krugman column:
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/02/opinion/krugman-nobody-understands-debt.html

o. nate, Saturday, 3 December 2016 01:13 (nine years ago)

My totally underinformed belief is that if you renamed the "national debt" to "national market capitalization" everyone would love it and be super excited for it to get bigger.

slathered in cream and covered with stickers (silby), Saturday, 3 December 2016 02:38 (nine years ago)

which is to say I read a brief introduction to Modern Money Theory a while ago and promptly decided I believed it.

slathered in cream and covered with stickers (silby), Saturday, 3 December 2016 02:41 (nine years ago)

xxxxp thx flopson!

just sayin, Saturday, 3 December 2016 08:17 (nine years ago)

my pleasure, hope u enjoy

as far as MMT goes, yeah I never really "got it", and people seem to get into crazy Talmudic debates about accounting identities whenever it comes up. a lot of its adherents are unpleasant quacks, but some of its more eloquent advocates seem reasonable. of all heterodox theories (of which there are surprisingly few, for all the screeching you hear since the crisis) MMT seems like the one most poised to puncture the mainstream of macroeconomics. (the other being neo-Fisherism).

it's not totally obvious what MMT is and the definition seems to shift based on which criticism is being made or who is defending it, but this was something I read (by a writer who I trust, very knowledgeable and open-minded on monetary theory & history) a while ago that nailed it down a bit for me; basically the sleight of hand is assuming central bank-treasury independence:

Modern monetary theory (MMT) in a nutshell, at least as far as I see it, goes something like this. Back in the 1990s a couple of clever guys came up with the idea of a government-provided jobs guarantee. They realized that this program would be seen by the public as an expensive boondoggle requiring sky-high taxes and huge debts. Could they outflank these criticisms by finding another way to fund the jobs guarantee?

To find the funds the early MMTers worked backwards through the labyrinthine relationship between the Federal Reserve and the Treasury. What they claimed to have discovered at the end of their trek was certainly shocking. The US Treasury, they said, funds itself not by the conventional route of taxes and bonds, but by creating and directly spending fiat (i.e. inconvertible) money. Furthermore, it is not only the government's prerogative, but its obligation to spend this money into existence, since people need a stock of fiat money to pay their taxes. Bonds, contrary to what most of us think, are not a sign of government indebtedness—rather, they drain spending.

This bit of monetary jiu-jitsu is powerful because it has the ability to disarm people's instinctual aversion to expensive social programs. If all it takes to fund a jobs guarantee is that the government spend money, and debt and taxes are not the great evils we have been trained to think, then why resist it?

Most governments don't create fiat money—their central banks do. For a government to have this power, it needs to be able to force its central bank to add new money to the government account. One way to do this is for the government to print up a bond and give it to the central bank. The central bank then credits the government's account for the full amount of the bond, and now the government can spend, say on a jobs guarantee. Alternatively, the transaction can be completed without the transferral of the bond—just have the central bank automatically credit the government's account prior to spending. When the government can require its central bank to create money on its behalf, we say that they are effectively consolidated into one entity.

The earliest MMT tome, Wray's Understanding Modern Money, is very insistent on the consolidated nature of the Fed-Treasury:
"The important thing to notice is that the Treasury spends before and without regard to either previous receipt of taxes or prior bond sales."

"...permanent consolidated government deficits are the theoretical and practical norm in a modern economy... Further, government spending is always financed through creation of fiat money - rather than through tax revenues or bond sales."

"While it appears that the Treasury 'needs' the tax revenue so that it can spend, that is clearly a superficial view... The government certainly does not need to have its own IOU returned before it can spend; rather, the public needs the government's IOU before it can pay taxes."

Now as their critics were quick to point out (see Lavoie, for instance), the relationship between Fed and Treasury is such that the two are not consolidated. The Treasury cannot ask the Fed to credit its account, nor can the Treasury print up a bond and give it to the Fed in exchange for spending power. The only way the Treasury can spend is by moving previously acquired funds that are held in the private banking system into its Federal Reserve account—and the only way it can acquire these funds is through taxes and bond issues. Using the Fed to print money and fund a jobs guarantee program is impossible.

The MMT wish, it would seem, was the father to the thought—Wray's 1998 tome was too hasty in consolidating the Fed and Treasury. MMTers are left with an intriguing theory of how modern money works, yet their theory corresponds to no underlying reality. That doesn't mean that MMT is without some merits. MMTers are hackers. In their efforts to reverse engineer the Fed-Treasury nexus in order to fund their pet project, they've come across plenty of interesting minutiae about monetary operations. MMT papers and blogs go into these details and are worth reading if you want to hone your understanding of the monetary system [just take anything they say about consolidation with a grain of salt].

Has the lack of overlap between Wray 1998's theory and reality stopped MMTers? Not at all. When your theory doesn't describe reality, don't bother changing your theory—change reality so that it conforms to your theory. Enter the platinum coin.

The idea of issuing a trillion dollar platinum coin rose to prominence with the onset of yet another US debt ceiling crisis. The MMT blogs hummed about the coin, a huge coin crescendo grew on Twitter, and the issue went all the way to the White House, which demurred. My hunch is that beating the debt ceiling is only a tertiary motive for MMTer excitement over the platinum coin. Far more important to them is that the platinum coin, if implemented, will effectively consolidate the Fed and Treasury, finally redeeming Wray 1998. This opens to door to their beloved jobs guarantee.

I'm not sure how MMT will evolve, but one thing we'll probably see more of is platinum coin-style activism. Though the rest of world has moved on from the coin, the MMT blogs are still buzzing about it. I'm sure more clever ways to hack the Fed-Treasury nexus will be found, thereby giving the Treasury other routes by which to force Bernanke or whomever follows him to print dollars on demand. These hack-arounds will be publicized. Perhaps a political movement will form. This wouldn't be unique. All sorts parties have formed around monetary ideas—Greenbackism, Free Silver, and Social Credit.

http://jpkoning.blogspot.ca/2013/01/meandering-from-mmt-and-platinum-coin.html

flopson, Saturday, 3 December 2016 20:15 (nine years ago)

Can anyone suggest educational comics on economics? Something like a Larry Gonick "Cartoon Guide to..." book. I've read Michael Goodwin's Economix and Sean Michael Wilson's Parecomic about Michael Albert(which is more biography than explainer) but the two "Cartoon Introduction to" econ are way too yay-free-market! for me.

So I'm wondering if there's something else out there.

THE SKURJ OF FAKE NEWS. (kingfish), Monday, 5 December 2016 03:56 (nine years ago)

one month passes...

http://i.imgur.com/uYM2ZUl.jpg

just sayin, Wednesday, 1 February 2017 02:53 (nine years ago)

Lol

flopson, Wednesday, 1 February 2017 02:56 (nine years ago)

I'm clicking unfollow but it isn't doing anything!

jmm, Wednesday, 1 February 2017 02:59 (nine years ago)

Killing yourself is an action where everyone intuitively understands the consequences for themselves and their dependents, so they can make a more or less informed decision about it. Borrowing money at high rates of interest has far reaching consequences that few people in the USA seem to understand until some time after the consequences have already arrived.

a little too mature to be cute (Aimless), Wednesday, 1 February 2017 04:20 (nine years ago)

cowen is fucking capitalist swine

if young satchmo don't trumpet i'm gon shoot you (m bison), Wednesday, 1 February 2017 05:50 (nine years ago)

xp the "joke" is that suicide is like an infinitely high interest rate. an interest rate is the price of bringing money from the future into the present, so someone who pays a high interest rate values having money in the present more than the future. someone who kills themselves values the future at zero or lower, so it's like they're paying a high interest rate. har har

flopson, Wednesday, 1 February 2017 15:55 (nine years ago)

eight months pass...

I've got a question.

I read Diane Coyle's GDP: A Brief but Affectionate History, which was very good. It goes clearly through both the history of it, but also how its structure and statistical composition has changed over time. She defends it as being the best way we have of measuring a country's economic capabilities, while painstakingly going through its shortcomings. Very far from being the least of these shortcomings is the particularly eye-watering case of the financial services measurements.

As the OECD GDP statistics manual puts it: "Measurement using the general formula [for constructing GDP] would result in their [the banks'] value being very small, if not negative; in other words, their intermediate consumption would be greater than their sales!"

Unable to imagine when this was writing that banking could be subtracting value from the economy, statisticians sought to find a way of measuring these earnings from financial intermediation...

..

One study of the United States concludes: "Making conservative assumptions, we show that the current official method overestimates the service output of the commercial banking industry by at least 21% (amounting to $116.8 billion in 2007:Q4 for example)"

That isn't my question, though it leads into it and the question whether financial services should be included in GDP at all, or whether they should sit behind the imaginary line dividing productive from unproductive, the 'production boundary'.

Diane Coyle starts the book with the example of how most European economies got a huge boost when statisticians decided to start including 'informal economy' outputs, including prostitution and drugs (and of course cash-only plumbers etc), in GDP (it immediately took Italy past the UK to become the fifth biggest economy in the world). At the end of the book she makes a strong case for also including household work in GDP.

It's a strong case - the central repeated paradox is a rather '20s-ish example of a widower marrying his housekeeper thus reducing productivity. But I don't really get it. Diane Coyle says:

It's what economists call "own-production" or "household production." This means all the work done within the family for its own use: the cooking, cleaning, child care, vegetable growing, sewing, carpentry, and so on. All of this can be bought, outsourced outside the household; but much is not. The main reason given for not counting unpaid housework as part of "the economy" while paid housework is counted, is the difficulty of measuring it

What i don't get is how something that doesn't, effectively, contribute to the market, or generate revenue can be considered GDP. I obv don't mean this work isn't real work, or that there is avoided cost and cost-opportunity issues associated with i, i just don't see why or how it would be desirable to count it as part of GDP. Anyone help?

Fizzles, Sunday, 8 October 2017 19:21 (eight years ago)

the line that combines the two bits is the great:

Preliminary estimates suggest unpaid childcare is worth about three times as much as financial services, while household laundering is worth about four-fifths of financial services' contribution to the economy.

Additional evidence for wanting to include it:

Even in good times, however, the scale of this informal, unpaid work is significant: it accounts for more than half of all the time people spend working. if this is valued at money wages paid for similar work, it is equivalent to 1.85 times the size of the conventional national product figure for the United Kingdom in 2001. Although the figure, will vary among countries, the importance of this activity, conventionally but arbitrarily excluded from official GDP statistics, is universal.

Fizzles, Sunday, 8 October 2017 19:27 (eight years ago)

xp

I have no formal economics training, but from my perspective the question could be recast in terms of whether GDP ought to be considered as an abstract measure of productive activity, in which case housework, vegetable gardening etc. are certainly productive activities and ought to be included, or alternately if GDP should be a measure of activity producing revenue or wages, and therefore more reflective of the 'money economy' only. In the second case, GDP might be more useful to planners, investors and statisticians whose main concern is the money economy, but less reflective of the whole productive activity within a society or a nation.

In short, it would depend on who is using GDP numbers and for what purpose.

Because GDP is just a measurement of whatever we want to include in it, there's no right answer apart from its fitness for the uses we put it to. Inevitably, GDP has entered the realm of politics, and so it is made to bolster arguments for which it is ill-suited. But if it is reformed to better fit some uses, it will perform other uses more poorly. As someone once said, "You pays your money and you makes your choice."

A is for (Aimless), Sunday, 8 October 2017 20:34 (eight years ago)

Yes, i roughly agree i think, though 'money only' is probably a bit tight, as this is after a definition of product, that which is produced, rather than credits and debits. so on that basis i think you would want to see charity sector and voluntary work included in it, for instance. nevertheless, there is something that i'm struggling to shake about it in some way representing the output resources (whether goods or services) that are available for use, and in some way represent the capabilities of an economy.

For instance the reason that current methodology around the financial sector is so damning is because it severely overestimates the importance to an economy of that sector. With GDP being one of the main tools used to judge the success of a country, and improved productivity being such a constant goal, that miscalculation means that politicians badly overrate the productive, social and political importance of the financial sector. I think most of us here would feel that anyway, but the important point is that in this case it is on their own terms.

But the desire to improve the proportion of outputs to effort put in doesn't seem to be necessarily a bad one, and i'm struggling slightly to see how 'household production' fits into that.

That said, increasing the importance of household production to the level of financial services currently may see huge improvements in childcare as well as more money in domestic care etc.

Fizzles, Sunday, 8 October 2017 21:09 (eight years ago)

the idea is that gdp only counts market transactions, and you can't sell your home production to yourself. i'm sure Diane Coyle talks about this (i've been meaning to read that book) but, you know, gdp would increase by nearly 30% if everyone worked saturday and sunday, but obviously we'd all be far worse off. it's quite important (and good econ profs will stress) that gdp is not a welfare measure

imo rather than enlarge the definition of gdp or fuss about redefining it we should just learn to focus less on it, and any single index for that matter. you see a similar thing in inequality where people become too focused on one measure (the gini coefficient in an earlier literature, things like 1% share or 90-10 ratio now) and miss some subtler trends that make up the big picture

as far as the financial sector goes, its social benefit should be measured by how it benefits our ability to insure ourselves against risk, save and borrow at reasonable cost, and allocate capital efficiently, not by how big a share of gdp it occupies. and the amount of resources poured into finance have to do with the returns to it, not with its proportion of *Measured* GDP. what matters is the counterfactual. a good article on this: Luigi Zingales' Does Finance Benefit Society

also may not be news to you after the Coyle but i v much enjoyed the chapter in Ed Leamer's 'Macroeconomics: Stories and Patterns' on income accounting

flopson, Sunday, 8 October 2017 21:40 (eight years ago)

I guess I should read the book but I'm not sure why the contribution of financial services to GDP are harder to measure than any other services, such as education, medical care, entertainment etc. I don't think GDP is intended to be a measure of social value. If people want to spend their money gambling in Las Vegas or playing the stock market, then they're paying for a service, and they're valuing that service by how much they're willing to spend.

o. nate, Sunday, 8 October 2017 22:04 (eight years ago)

all v useful, flopson, thanks:

the idea is that gdp only counts market transactions, and you can't sell your home production to yourself. i'm sure Diane Coyle talks about this (i've been meaning to read that book) but, you know, gdp would increase by nearly 30% if everyone worked saturday and sunday, but obviously we'd all be far worse off. it's quite important (and good econ profs will stress) that gdp is not a welfare measure

Coyle persistently reminds the reader of this throughout the book. If only governments understood this in terms of policy and pronouncements.

imo rather than enlarge the definition of gdp or fuss about redefining it we should just learn to focus less on it, and any single index for that matter. you see a similar thing in inequality where people become too focused on one measure (the gini coefficient in an earlier literature, things like 1% share or 90-10 ratio now) and miss some subtler trends that make up the big picture

this was very much what I came out feeling. it's incredibly useful to have this statistic, but (as above) focusing on it to the exclusion of a wider dashboard of measures is wrong (see this nice OECD layout here).

o. nate, I'm extremely wary of attempting to explain or re-present anything here, because I don't actually properly understand it, so I'll just quote from the book on measuring financial services:

Most services charge customers a fee, and the fee revenues give statisticians the handle they need to measure output. Relatively few financial services involve direct fees or commissions. For the most part, banks do not generally sell services for a fee. A large proportion of their profits comes instead from the gap between the interest rates at which they can borrow (or pay depositors) and lend, or from trading activity. As the OECD GDP statistics manual puts it: "Measurement using the general formula [for constructing GDP] would result in their value added being very small, if not negative.." &c

There's then a long bit about how they're currently measured, and how the higher the risk, the greater the productivity score.

Fizzles, Monday, 9 October 2017 13:24 (eight years ago)

That's a good point about a lot of banks profits being made indirectly and not in the form of obvious fees. For example, market-makers make profits on the difference between the bid and offer price and not from an explicit commission. As I understand it, GDP can be measured in two ways: by income or by consumption. Measuring by consumption would be hard when the fees are not explicit, but it seems they would be relatively easier to capture using an income based approach, i.e. by simply measuring bank income. I guess a similar problem occurs in the case of legalized gambling. A casino doesn't make it's money on explicit fees - it makes it by offering a game with known odds. I guess there are still some complications, such as for instance separating out cases when banks are actually making money on appreciation of assets, which is strictly not part of GDP, but these seem at least somewhat surmountable in principle.

o. nate, Wednesday, 11 October 2017 01:17 (eight years ago)

Not sure this is the best place to put some thoughts and questions about Maurizio Lazzarato's The Making of Indebted Man - some v generic observations in the reading thread after getting about a third of the way through (it's not long - more of an essay than a book). It's more philosophy than economics.

tl;dr version: the connexions between the specific mechanisms of psychology, economics, society and politics don't always map well onto the methods of philosophy, resulting in some stuff that i feel a bit sceptical about, but reassuringly the general conclusion that we're all definitely fucked isn't very much affected.

It's written after the 2008 financial crash. His argument seems to be that the financialization of the state and banking, and the high levels of personal debt - whether in housing or via consumer credit - have resulted in an existential change to western people. The first chapter examines the evidence for this, and the second looks to apply Nietzsche's Genealogy of Morals and Deleuze and Guattari's analysis of the creditor-debtor relationship in Anti-Œdipus, which I haven't read.

That first section contains some shocking figures on the financialisation of local government and welfare in France, none of which I knew. UNEDIC collects an unemployment tax on wages and contributions from employers, which it then disburses to the unemployed, and precarious and seasonal workers. Mainly because of tax breaks to employer contributions as part of the government's 'jobs policy', and the explosion of gig economy precarious work, UNEDIC is structurally in the red. UNEDIC has raised money by issuing bonds on financial markets The consequence is that unemployment benefit has become a source of revenue for banks, financial institutions and pension funds. If one of those pernicious institutions like Moody's reduces its rating for the organisation, the borrowing rate rises and finance takes a larger draw on tax revenue, which decreases the availability of welfare funds.

In order to maintain good ratings, unions and employers must act in accordance with the demands of ratings agencies rather than with the unemployed.

Couple of questions: I don't believe in the UK we have the ability to issue bonds purely on the welfare funds, because it's not separate? In this case it would be the government issuing bonds (which of course only moves the issue up a level - the central problem doesn't go away, but is in this case less immediately focused on the welfare mechanism).
Also, that statement about acting in accordance with ratings agencies - it's not clear a) that the ratings agencies would pronounce on UNEDIC or France more generally, or b) what pressure they can actually bring to bear on the mechanisms of the welfare system (other than a pressure on general government brought about by needing to meet their expectations on financial behaviour.

I realise the difference is a matter of degree here, but it was difficult to be clear from his wording.

He then presents some eyewatering stats about local government in France. The departmental government of Seine-Saint-Denis had got loans from the financial markets linked to a highly volatile index, with the result.

"The initial rate, over three years, was 1.47%. It is now 24.20%, which comes to a jump of 1.5 million euros a year, nearly the cost of a daycare centre."

The debt of French administrative regions and departments has risen 50% since 2001.

Lazzarato makes it sound as if this is commonplace across Europe, but I really wasn't sure about the UK, and had a rummage around. As far as I can tell from this FT article in April (paywalled), it will surprise no one to know, the vast proportion of financial speculation carried out by local governments has been in property, especially shopping centres it seems.

Across the UK, local councils have been plunging into the commercial property market or embarking on residential property development, either for sale or for the private rental market.

“They are punting like drunken sailors all around the country,” says a bemused fund manager who has been outbid by local authorities on more than one investment this year.

The driving force behind this hedge fund-style activity is the same one that pushed local governments in Japan to buy property in the 1980s bubble and that now prompts China to encourage manic property development from its municipalities: the need to plug gaps in their budgets after years of funding cuts from the central government.

However at the bottom, I noticed this:

As well as requiring much less due diligence than a commercial bank, the PWLB [Public Works Loans Board] does not apply a loan-to-value discipline, whereby borrowings are capped at a given percentage of the purchase price. And it has plenty more largesse to distribute because its outstanding loans, which stood at £65.3bn in March 2016, are permitted under its current remit to rise to £95bn. The larger local authorities are also now turning to the capital markets where, as sovereign borrowers, they can issue index-linked debt on terms even more favourable than those available from the PWLB.

So, although it seems that UK local government is badly exposed to a potential property crash, it's currently less exposed on the financial markets, though has the capacity to do something about that, and is starting to do so.

He then goes on to combine personal debt with structural or societal debt with this sort to argue we are living in a society totally governed by debt. I found this a bit of a weakness, in that I think the psychological effects of consumer debt are different to the effects of structural debt. The sense of almost feudal bondage is surely less if you are part of a society that is indebted than if you have personal responsibility for the debt. His approach is philosophical though, and is therefore a question of category rather than extent, i guess. He writes about the idea of the debtor's guilty conscience for instance, but does a citizen living in a society shaped by the debt structures I wrote about above feel a guilty conscience to the same or any extent?

I also have some difficulty with the idea this is new. It was interesting to read in the book on double-entry bookkeeping how writing came out of counting, and how the symbols used for counting first made their way into wider culture via funerary rites and i believe it's certainly the case that in many societies the process of dying is also an accompting.

My recollection of notes on Othello and The Merchant of Venice is that credit was very much a part of mercantile shipping - necessarily so, given that much shipping was a gamble.

So it seems hard to say that the indebted person is purely a function of the modern finkncialised politics and consumerism. His book in fact constantly refers to a baseline 19thC industrial society, a time of those who owned capital, and of marxist production and labour, and consequent consumer fetishism. His stated belief, if I've understood him correctly is that in a credit-debit relationship, including existing in an indebted/financialised society what you are selling is effectively your good character, and your future decisions. Everything becomes about this 'moralism' of the power relationship put in place by debt.

After all, the "moral" judgment has to do with "life." And yet the "life" in question is not biological life (health, birth, and death), as with the concept of biopolitics, and still less cognitive life, but "existential" life. Existence here means the power of self-affirmation, the force of self-positioning, the choices that found and bear with them modes and styles of life. The content of money here is not labour but existence, individuality, and human morality...

Although I have been regularly wary of the argument in its detail there is a *lot* of otm in the book. This bit on the knowledge economy in particular was very good:

It seems to me that my friends in cognitive capitalism are mistaken when they make "knowledge" the origin of valorisation and exploitation. There is nothing new in the fact that science, skills, and technological and organisation innovations represent the productive forces of capital – Marx already understood as much in the mid-19th century. But the so-called knowledge economy fails to account for most of the class relations the theory of cognitive capitalism attributes to it. it is but one mechanism, one type of activity, one site of power relations alongside multiple other activities and power relations. Indeed, it must submit to the imperatives of the debt economy (savage cuts in "cognitive" investments, in culture, education, public services etc.)

..

In the current crisis, the "most" that capitalism demands and compels, in every area, is less knowledge than that one take upon oneself the costs and risk externalised by the State and corporations .. It is this "subjectivization," [his word for making someone a 'subject'] in addition to "labour" in the classical sense of the term, that – to speak like the economists of capital – makes productivity grow.

..

If capitalists spend little time worrying about investing in a more than improbable – always heralded but never realized – "knowledge society," they are, on the other hand, cruelly inflexible when forcing the governed to take on all the economic risks and damage the capitalists themselves have created.

So, yes, this book is currently contributing to my inner warfare about the great, exciting changes and turmoil brought about about by the mercantilist vector (culminating in the vast inhuman abstractions of financialised debt structures and neoliberalism), with l'uomo novo liberated from feudalism and social democracy the two ideals that go long with that, at least in some of its stages, and a more structurally radical approach - burn the fuckers down, basically.

Fizzles, Sunday, 15 October 2017 13:32 (eight years ago)

ime philosophy ppl have no fucking clue when it comes to economics/finance

flopson, Monday, 16 October 2017 04:21 (eight years ago)

ime, vice versa

professor of postmalonial studies (m bison), Monday, 16 October 2017 04:25 (eight years ago)

sorry Fizz your post is tl;dr so i just skimmed. book sounds like shit, and maybe vaguely David Graeber-ish? one common fallacy dudes like that use is confuse the reason something came to exist (historically) with the reason it continues to exist. i don't know if there is a latin name for that type of fallacy. like, Graeber would say that currency came about because early states wanted to levy taxes to fund wars, hence all currency is about WAR, not double-coincidence of wants or liquidity or even about exchange at all. but, that's obviously not true. if currency did not exist we would have to invent it

some non-crazy ppl actually do contemplate ending debt, this is a classic post by John Cochrane (ok he is maybe crazy in another way) on the radical proposal of getting banks to themselves fund on 100% equity: http://johnhcochrane.blogspot.ca/2016/05/equity-financed-banking.html

(for some reason bonkers finance-curious philosophers don't seem to talk about equity, the natural alternative to debt)

flopson, Monday, 16 October 2017 04:31 (eight years ago)

some economists know a lot about philosophy of methodology, but a lot are kinda naive-Popperian-via-Friedman, unfortunately

flopson, Monday, 16 October 2017 04:32 (eight years ago)

what economics/finance should philosophy ppl know? asking for a friend

droit au butt (Euler), Monday, 16 October 2017 08:23 (eight years ago)

ime philosophy ppl have no fucking clue when it comes to economics/finance


idk, for me a major problem with economics (from economic theory to the economist magazine) is an inability to sceptically analyse its inherent ideological assumptions. having a philosopher crash their car into economics is no bad thing. and lazzarato is not an idiot.

my major wariness around the book is how the notion of debt is approached. as a historical concept it is very adjacent to “citizen of nowhere”/“citizen of somewhere” categories (financiers/landed property), and arguments about credit limiting the future abut moral or quasi religious views about playing god rather than understanding that advancing credit may also liberate the present. i think lazzarato largely engages with this “heuristic of scepticism” reading.

Fizzles, Tuesday, 17 October 2017 21:33 (eight years ago)

for me a major problem with economics (from economic theory to the economist magazine) is an inability to sceptically analyse its inherent ideological assumptions

yeah this is the wedge they use to get you to read them, but in the limit they're just cranks. the solution is to read better economists (they exist, i promise), not to read neophytes claiming to be able to see through the ideology

i think the best contemporary left-friendly econ writer for u guys is Chris Dillow, blog is here http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/

some choice posts to earn your trust:

http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2015/03/economists-be-more-marxist.html
http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2016/05/bad-arguments-against-marxism.html
http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2016/10/the-case-for-basic-income.html

and here are some posts where he discusses ideology & mainstream economics

http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2017/04/on-mainstream-economics.html
http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2017/01/on-defences-and-attacks-on-economics.html
http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2016/11/ideology-in-economics.html

you also may like JW Mason, blog here http://jwmason.org/the-slack-wire/

the type economics i'm into is pretty intensely empirical rather than theoretical (altho the latter still plays a huge part by necessity) and takes quite seriously the difficulty of establishing cause and effect in the world, so things like methodology are first-order. imo most of what we think of as ideologies implicitly rest on a set of empirical assumptions about the world, and the first thing to do (even if you are a naked ideologue) is to investigate those to establish common knowledge (in an Aumann sense)

flopson, Tuesday, 17 October 2017 22:12 (eight years ago)

cheers flopson. been reading stumbling and mumbling for a while, but jw mason is new to me - will check out.

i think i’m reasonably empirically aware and orientated but even taking into account the analysis of people like stumbling and mumbling, flip chart fairytales, dan davies, yorkshire ranter, frances coppola etc, i like to see even irrational stuff or conceptually artificial stuff throw itself against the wider set of assumptions.

Fizzles, Tuesday, 17 October 2017 22:25 (eight years ago)

ya also tbh i'm burntout from reading the same old critiques being tossed around for 5 years

flopson, Tuesday, 17 October 2017 22:38 (eight years ago)

i like this guy a LOT (flopson's mmv):

1 like = 1 criticism of mainstream economics

— Unnerving Economics (@UnlearningEcon) October 17, 2017

dillow is also very good -- i want to like mason but i find him technically hard going

mark s, Wednesday, 18 October 2017 14:30 (eight years ago)

ah great, some new follows. felt i was glib in the posts above. good economic theory practice and analysis is good, not bad. and necessary with so much around that is mendacious or muddled. money is an important thing and important to get right or people will suffer. and my quarrel certainly isn't with the bloggers and writers we've been recommending and mentioning in the last few posts. but there are some writers, even writers who can occasion be good and interesting, whose writing and thought doesn't seem to comprehend or acknowledge, even tacitly, that there is a green hill without finance's walls, and that the wider structures of finance operate within ideology. I'm looking at you Tim Harford.

I had what I thought was a good example of this earlier this week, but have obviously forgotten it now.

Fizzles, Sunday, 22 October 2017 10:18 (eight years ago)

noooo mark

flopson, Sunday, 22 October 2017 16:59 (eight years ago)

Simon Wren-Lewis's blog and twitter feed https://mainlymacro.blogspot.co.uk/ are well worth reading, again fairly technical but not oppressively so.

Dan Worsley, Sunday, 22 October 2017 17:32 (eight years ago)

For someone coming from a more philosophical background, I think Steve Randy Waldman's blog might be of interest. He sometimes steps back and unpacks the philosophical assumptions behind economic concepts in a way that's helpful for an outsider. He doesn't post as much any more, but if you start digging through his archives, you'll probably turn up something interesting. Here's a series of posts he did on welfare economics, as a taster:

http://www.interfluidity.com/v2/5149.html

o. nate, Tuesday, 24 October 2017 01:01 (eight years ago)

those are great posts but way tl;dr for the point he's making

flopson, Tuesday, 24 October 2017 01:02 (eight years ago)

Maybe not his most concise writing, but hey it's a blog. Here's one which I think is a bit pithier, on optimal taxation of capital:

http://www.interfluidity.com/v2/4218.html

o. nate, Tuesday, 24 October 2017 01:18 (eight years ago)

Oh shit.

John "Most studies are false" Ioannidis comes for economics https://t.co/6RDqN5t2uH ht @UCBITSS pic.twitter.com/RUYweSYaTJ

— Lee Crawfurd (@leecrawfurd) October 25, 2017

mark s, Thursday, 26 October 2017 18:38 (eight years ago)

with apologies to flopson - unlearning economics' 111 criticisms of economics here.

i don't understand quite a few of them. several hit the point i was cackhandledly trying to make upthread.

4. Embeds libertarianism, consumerism and capitalism into models without questioning them
5. Excessively 'thin' conception of the environment as amenable to cost-benefit analysis, no acknowledgement of how ecosystems work
12. No real concept of the social. Putting 'identity' in a utility function doesn't count
35. Crises are not exogenous shocks
88. The overarching idea that 'competition is good' ignores the many cases where it is negative (such as arms races)

and a few i hadn't thought of, but i thought were good:

53. In general, workplace dynamics are absent (except in terms of contract efficiency)
49. With the way it’s taught, people who learn it often cannot think any other way. It is difficult to do even if you want to
60. Subjective well-being research has yet to tell us anything we didn’t already know
84. Where are the activist economists? Global slavery, meat-eating, the environment, are all both huge economic and huge moral issues

Fizzles, Sunday, 29 October 2017 11:26 (eight years ago)

My contrib rn is this article that Flopson sent me a while back, which I do like, on profit under Socialism.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 29 October 2017 11:39 (eight years ago)

No real concept of the social.

otmfm x 10

A is for (Aimless), Sunday, 29 October 2017 18:01 (eight years ago)

three months pass...

what's a good short book about the uh let's call it perfect-information ideal market transaction model

j., Tuesday, 20 February 2018 03:35 (eight years ago)

Try something from Stiglitz maybe?

Pataphysician, Tuesday, 20 February 2018 03:57 (eight years ago)

Stiglitz is imperfect information, also i don't recommend any of his books (his papers from the 70s are excellent)

one interpretation of j.'s question is: the book you are looking for is Debreu - Theory of Value

flopson, Tuesday, 20 February 2018 04:29 (eight years ago)


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