I don't think early voting stats matter all that much tbh.
― Gukbe, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:13 (thirteen years ago)
well they matter in that people whove already voted cant change their mind, so if youre behind when early voting starts then its harder for you to come back than it would be w/o early voting
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:29 (thirteen years ago)
i early voted today btw
so thats one vote for obma sry mitt romney
also if youve voted then that eliminates the chance you wont vote
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:43 (thirteen years ago)
yeah it doesn't mean 'obama wins iowa' but it's a signal of gotv strength
― iatee, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:44 (thirteen years ago)
is there any reason to suspect early vote would be non-representative or skewed democrat in iowa?
― flopson, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:49 (thirteen years ago)
seems to be the case but i wonder why
In Colorado, Florida, Iowa and North Carolina, Obama banked so many early votes in 2008 that he won those states even though he ran behind in each in votes cast on Election Day itself, according to voting data compiled by the Associated Press.
― flopson, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:50 (thirteen years ago)
democrats just trying harder to get people to vote early prob
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:51 (thirteen years ago)
dems pushed early voting harder + just a bigger gotv machine + obv more enthusiasm last time xp
― iatee, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:53 (thirteen years ago)
there's an inherent interest in it for dems because their base is less likely to vote regardless
― iatee, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:54 (thirteen years ago)
k cool
― flopson, Tuesday, 30 October 2012 20:57 (thirteen years ago)
Even if you get hit by a bus before Election Day. That's why I like early voting -- the potential to influence earthly events from beyond the grave.
― something of an astrological coup (tipsy mothra), Tuesday, 30 October 2012 21:00 (thirteen years ago)
surprised zombie voting parties haven't caught on already
― Victory Goon (some dude), Tuesday, 30 October 2012 21:01 (thirteen years ago)
So Romney will probably take Florida, huh?
― O-Jah Da Lionmane (longneck), Tuesday, 30 October 2012 21:06 (thirteen years ago)
Probably. Miami-Dade, Broward, and Hillsborough just ain't enough.
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 30 October 2012 21:07 (thirteen years ago)
there's a 64.7% chance, I'd say
― beef richards (Mr. Que), Tuesday, 30 October 2012 21:07 (thirteen years ago)
god i'm just getting panicked
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:36 (thirteen years ago)
need a hug?
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:37 (thirteen years ago)
this minnesota detour headfake is pretty weird
i'm chalking it up to the eastern seaboard & rust belt being air-traffic-jammed, tbh
heinous traffic outside the music shop where i take guitar lessons last night. apparently paul ryan was doing a thing in the republican-owned (?) bar across the street. heavy SUVs and secret service everywhere.
― goole, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:40 (thirteen years ago)
what bar is that so i can avoid it in the future
― I'M THE ONLY ON (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:49 (thirteen years ago)
o'gara's!
they also hosted a big yes-on-voter-id blowout a month ago
― goole, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:51 (thirteen years ago)
oh yeah haha well it wont be hard to avoid that place since i fucking hate it anyway.
taking a stand!
― I'M THE ONLY ON (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:53 (thirteen years ago)
LOL, never been in there. Never will be.
― Bobby Ken Doll (Eric H.), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:56 (thirteen years ago)
o'garas - all the charm of an applebees with food to match
― goatee-framed sphincter-mouth (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 16:59 (thirteen years ago)
now bigot friendly!
― goatee-framed sphincter-mouth (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:00 (thirteen years ago)
http://www.ogaras.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Serving-Our-Troops.jpeg
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:01 (thirteen years ago)
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, October 31, 2012 11:37 AM (34 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
YES
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:11 (thirteen years ago)
oh god ok fuck o'garas
hated that place anyway
is martin zeller still a thing?
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:12 (thirteen years ago)
i think so? hes actually a decent dude, so i cant really blame him for cash grabbing for years there, even if it does have the cool factor of having a residency at a low-rent bubba gump shrimp factory
― goatee-framed sphincter-mouth (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:13 (thirteen years ago)
yeah i figured he was ok and all. i actually still love the first gear daddies album.
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:17 (thirteen years ago)
My brother was one-third of a Rush tribute band at this establishment.
― pretty even gender split (Eazy), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:25 (thirteen years ago)
2112: A Tribute to Rush?
also i still need a reassuring hug
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:29 (thirteen years ago)
http://media.tumblr.com/tumblr_mc2cjgvulV1rrzs39.gif
― Sug ban (Nicole), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:32 (thirteen years ago)
aw thx
― seasonal hugs (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:32 (thirteen years ago)
OK, google tells me he played keyboards with Exit Stage Right.
― pretty even gender split (Eazy), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:36 (thirteen years ago)
haha i've been hunting thru political donation tracker sites to get something definitive on the o'gara's ownerhsip but coming up blank. i don't want to besmirch the place out of hand, but, it is kind of a terrible bar and the evidence so far isn't good, imo.
― goole, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:48 (thirteen years ago)
Wait, I think I have it mixed up in my head with Alary's.
― Bobby Ken Doll (Eric H.), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:50 (thirteen years ago)
Either way, not somewhere I'm likely headed.
Daily Kos piece pointing out that it's been almost three weeks since Romney gave an interview and more than a month since he answered a single question from the reporters that travel with him. He can't, obviously. He can't answer questions about his auto industry claims and now he can't answer about FEMA either.
― timellison, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:51 (thirteen years ago)
ha alarys is a different but also awful shithole.
― goatee-framed sphincter-mouth (jjjusten), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 17:53 (thirteen years ago)
2-party shitstem politricks
― am0n, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:00 (thirteen years ago)
i'm not american and i am starting to be quite nervous about this.
― Van Horn Street, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:09 (thirteen years ago)
You have my personal promise that Romney will not win.
― Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:33 (thirteen years ago)
recent polls out today aren't looking too good for obama
― all mods con (k3vin k.), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:35 (thirteen years ago)
lol whatever
― beef richards (Mr. Que), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:36 (thirteen years ago)
like this one?
http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/10/marquette-poll-obama-leads-wisconsin.php
― the ones that I'm near most: fellow outcasts and ilxors (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:36 (thirteen years ago)
be a man and post a link or stfu
xpost
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/10/31/nate-silver-and-the-forecasting-consensus-in-one-chart/
― goole, Wednesday, 31 October 2012 18:37 (thirteen years ago)
but that's from twelve whole hours ago so you never know