I am beginning to become scared that Romney/Ryan will win. Can smart people please post here and say reassuring things to convince me that he won't?

it was kind of charming to see romney jr. prank call dad with one of those arnold schwarzenegger sound boards.

― Philip Nunez, Thursday, September 27, 2012 6:35 PM (41 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

woah for real?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbaBhb7w_1s

the funny part is mitt's responses also sound like they are from a soundboard.

!!!!

Is that real?

o man schwarzenegger and pacino prank calls were some of the first things i ever downloaded, off of audiogalaxy forever ago. so weird to see it pop up like that.

yeah i had a phase in college of listening to those constantly

romney and crying baby pics are v. v. lol

I wonder if anyone's sussed out Romney's cell phone number from that prank call clip...

1-900-mix-alot

I wonder if his sons do this to him all the time. Like it was just Schwarzenegger this time, but last time he was speaking to Daniel Plainview about petroleum concerns.

Mormons share love through pranks

is there a Romney with crying babies Tumblr yet

538's numbers keep getting more and more cheerful

although annoyingly the articles are now nyt paywalled

OK, TV movie right now!!!!

http://media.avclub.com/images/414/414525/16x9/627.jpg?0793

The Kwisatz Kolobach

Not a Dune nerd, had to google, still hard!

538's numbers keep getting more and more cheerful

sez u

Obama, the more efficient evil

21st century America, we're all about efficiency, dammit!

i've never been kneejerk mocked by morbius about politics before, today i am become a true ilxor

http://us.123rf.com/400wm/400/400/undergroundw/undergroundw1012/undergroundw101200085/8426535-male-offering-flowers.jpg

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/02/oct-1-is-the-presidential-race-tightening-heading-into-the-debates/

it's weird bc the model is showing the highest % for obama since it started (now at 85.7%) - also nate is all about electoral ties right now even tho the model indicates they'll only happen a whopping 0.6% of the time???

Oh snap, Ryan's got an unwanted videotape in his past, too

it's in the interest of Nate's publisher to look for storylines other than "yep, this is all wrapped up" xp

electoral college tie where bam wins the popular vote but house picks romney = best hope for american gov't total collapse?

one of the things i like most about nate tho is that he generally is good at resisting nonsense storylines.

imagine the other way around (were it possible) xp

Silver's not in the business of making up shit.

oh I don't think he's making anything up, it's just gotta be boring (and bad for pageviews) to make every update "yep, O is still winning by a lot!"

Yeah, he's got to get a post a day up, and there's not a lot of change most days, so a lot of them are going to be "Could _this_ happen? *massive nerd-out*... so, in conclusion, no"

Specifically the race tightening is about "maybe a little, but remember that the country-wide polls don't matter shit compared to the swing states".

When I was around 9 and I learned about the electoral college. I figured out that someone could win the popular vote but lose the election and I was quite distressed by this, so I used the library computer to email President Clinton that I had discovered a glaring flaw in our electoral system.

I got a letter in the mail thanking me for my interest in the electoral process. Now that Nate Silver has predicted that Romney will be anointed against the people's will, throwing us into civil war, I suppose I'll be drafted to fight the Federated States of The Real America. If only Clinton had heeded my warning.

Is it against the spirit of the thread to post the trailer to the new Red Dawn?

http://i.imgur.com/y181U.jpg

successfully gasfacing mitt romney in a photo makes that guy a hero to us all

In all these various electoral scenarios, Florida and Virginia aren't crucial if Obama wins Ohio/Michigan/Pennsylvania, right?

http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/10/obama-swing-states-polls-leads-ohio-tied-virginia-florida.php

I think that's right. He's still over 270 even without Iowa and Colorado, too.

I don't know if it's because I am feeling sick this afternoon or just paranoid because of 538's latest post, but I've become a little panicked about this happening.

it hasnt been a good week!

That 538 post bears out the idea that state polls follow national. Inexplicable and grim.

http://teamaltman.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/house_of_cards-apva-090324-266x300.jpg

press loves a nailbiter

Dems love a mittpocalypse

I prefer no drama, and no chance of a mitt win. But I am not a dem.

I prefer no election.

I prefer the drummer

Can't believe this Libya stuff has legs. Horrible the embassy was attacked - my father in law was an ambassador- but are there Americans up in arms about this? Does Libya get cheers and boos on the trail?

doubt anyone gives a fuck except Hannity et al

Wingnuts blatantly running a play from the Carter 2.0 playbook, trying to draw parallels between botched hostage rescue mission and Libya killings. That it's no longer 1980/1950/(insert pre-Abolition year of choice) seems to be a terrible and eternal source of dismay for these oxygen thieves.

Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight)
10/12/12 6:42 PM
Real good day for Romney in the polls. Maybe his best yet. He's now up to almost 40% in our forecast. fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com

u not understand the point of ths thred

wanted to make it more exciting

kinda fascinated w/ how quickly and to what extent the polls have followed the New Media Narrative