― Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 21:49 (twenty years ago)
― Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 21:50 (twenty years ago)
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 21:50 (twenty years ago)
― Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 21:53 (twenty years ago)
― o. nate (onate), Thursday, 26 January 2006 21:55 (twenty years ago)
― Allyzay Rofflesberger (allyzay), Thursday, 26 January 2006 21:55 (twenty years ago)
Back to square one...
― Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 21:59 (twenty years ago)
― o. nate (onate), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:02 (twenty years ago)
And yeah, far-leftist-candidates always do fantastic!
Wtf are you seriously talking about?
― Allyzay Rofflesberger (allyzay), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:04 (twenty years ago)
― Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:09 (twenty years ago)
― Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:10 (twenty years ago)
― TRG (TRG), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:16 (twenty years ago)
xpost that's the thing, it'd be nice if SOMEONE on this thread would define their definitions of far this or far that or blah blah blah cos I'm not really sure how quite a few of the republicans being bandied around as democrat nemesises don't qualify as "centrist" in some way.
― Allyzay Rofflesberger (allyzay), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:19 (twenty years ago)
― Allyzay Rofflesberger (allyzay), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:20 (twenty years ago)
But I wouldn't count to heavily on bringing non-voters on board. It's a nice bonus, and something to work hard on for the long term, but in any given election it seems to be a relatively minor factor unless you're running Arnold Schwarzenegger.
― Abbadavid Berman (Hurting), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:21 (twenty years ago)
At any rate, he could've given up Colorado, Nevada, Louisiana, Georgia, AND Ohio to Bush and still would've won the election.
― Pleasant Plains /// (Pleasant Plains ///), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:23 (twenty years ago)
no, you're the one with the 'what if' scenarios that involve something other than Clinton winning 96 by 8.5% of the vote.
and o. nate raises an interesting point. are Dem popular vote percentages directly proportional to moderation?
Truman - 50%Stevenson '52 - 44%Stevenson '56 - 42%Kennedy - 50%Johnson - 61%Humphrey - 43%McGovern - 38%Carter '76 - 51%Carter '80 - 41%Mondale - 41% Dukakis - 46%Clinton 92 - 43%Clinton 96 - 49%Gore - 48%Kerry - 48%
I'd say no. But they do seem pretty proportional to how comparatively Southern the Dem ticket was.
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:24 (twenty years ago)
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:25 (twenty years ago)
so your point is that Clinton would have lost if Perot hadn't run because more people voted for Dole + Perot + Nader + Harry Browne + write-ins than voted for Clinton, never mind that Dole + Perot were not > Clinton (and somehow imagining that the popular vote winner is automatically the EC winner)?
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:28 (twenty years ago)
what they need to do is just start ignoring that shit. define themselves, and say "i don't care what blowhard bullies like bill o'reilly or dick cheney says, those guys are full of shit." right now, they seem so scared of what people say about them, which is a bad position to be in when the opposition controls talk radio and owns its own cable news network.
― gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:28 (twenty years ago)
again you're counting votes for Perot as votes for Clinton?! why do you keep doing this? Clinton - 49.2%. Dole - 40.7%. Perot - 8.4%. % for Clinton = 49.2. % against Clinton = 49.1%. That is not an 8.5% margin of victory.
*bangs head against wall*
― Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:28 (twenty years ago)
Stevenson - 44%Stevenson - 42%Kennedy - 50%Johnson - 61%Humphrey - 47%McGovern - 38%Carter - 51%Carter - 43%Mondale - 41% Dukakis - 46%Clinton - 49%Clinton - 52%
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:36 (twenty years ago)
no, % against Clinton, following your logic, was 50.77%. but you know that if you argue that Clinton actually would have lost, rather than that Clinton actually won by a tiny percentage, your argument would fall apart under its own weight.
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:37 (twenty years ago)
― Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:38 (twenty years ago)
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:39 (twenty years ago)
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:40 (twenty years ago)
Dewey - 47%Ike - 55%Ike - 57%Nixon - 50%Goldwater - 38%Nixon - 48%Nixon - 61%Ford - 48%Reagan - 55%Reagan - 59%Bush I - 53%Bush I - 50%Dole - 46%Bush II - 48%Bush II - 51%
seem pretty proportional to non-wussiness + perceived centrism to me
oh, and look at these numbers and tell me we're losing because we aren't far left enough
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 22:55 (twenty years ago)
― gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:01 (twenty years ago)
― hstencil (hstencil), Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:09 (twenty years ago)
I think Bush has taken more trouble to burnish his centrist credentials than y'all are giving him credit for: boosting federal education spending, giving prescription drug benefits to seniors, nominating minorities to prominent administration positions - none of these are actions that would align him with the stereotypical image of the reactionary right.
― o. nate (onate), Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:11 (twenty years ago)
On the face of it that would seem to be disgusting partisanship during a time of war. But I'm only going by what I've read on certain blogs. Is there some fundamental difference between the use of executive privilege by Clinton and Bush that I'm not aware of?
― slb, Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:14 (twenty years ago)
which is exactly the same thing as centrism + non-wussiness. totally otm.
it's important to be centrist-appearing in policy as well, but it's the personal style and attitudes that stand in for ideology with middle of the road voters that come first.
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:15 (twenty years ago)
― don weiner (don weiner), Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:24 (twenty years ago)
xpost- ok, well, good luck on election day. May Dem lack of gutsiness or inspiration serve them well.
Back to Perot for a second - he did prove that, yeah, sometimes people want to hear something outside the limited framework of what's deemed acceptable. The Dems would do well to at least take a lesson from his willingness to say things nobody else was at the time. People respond to that.
― TRG (TRG), Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:30 (twenty years ago)
OTM.
If Democrats just went out and told the truth, they'd have a lot easier time getting those who don't typically vote and are disillusioned with the system (about half the country) to make up for the conservative base. Hell, they'd probably pull a few republicans while they're at it. But as long as they choose "safe" candidates over good candidates, fuck it, its tough for me to get behind them (no matter how bad the republican party is).
― Alan Conceicao (Alan Conceicao), Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:35 (twenty years ago)
you still don't get it
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:42 (twenty years ago)
― don weiner (don weiner), Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:49 (twenty years ago)
It must be difficult being the bearer of truth when nobody wants to listen. Don't give up though.
― TRG (TRG), Thursday, 26 January 2006 23:55 (twenty years ago)
― Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 27 January 2006 00:06 (twenty years ago)
this is because Feingold is very good at doing exactly what I argue for on this thread - arguing his position to voters in the middle or on the other side in respectful but firm language that reflects conviction that his ideas are right and in the center, but not attacking or being histrionically angry. he would conceivably be my top prez or veep choice (other than the fact that he isn't in an executive position and can't point to many accomplishments) if he weren't twice-divorced and Jewish, which I'm afraid are sufficient for enough voters to say he isn't for the things I'm for.
but the idea that he wins because he's the down-the-line leftist and Kerry isn't is ridiculous. which one of these guys voted for Roberts?
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 27 January 2006 00:07 (twenty years ago)
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 27 January 2006 00:08 (twenty years ago)
Well, the only way I can see them wooing any of the half of America who can't care to vote is by admitting that they've made their fair share of mistakes along with being honest and straightforward. This is a country in which 20% of the voting populace (in an election that saw fairly impressive turnout too) voted for Ross Perot; the people are there to cast the votes. They just need to make a half decent attempt at moving towards them. It may take someone from outside the traditional political machine to do this for the Democrats, really.
― Alan Conceicao (Alan Conceicao), Friday, 27 January 2006 00:09 (twenty years ago)
the Republicans are totally foaming at the mouth hoping Hillary will run. (and no I wasn't necessarily referring to you gabnebb - tho I don't particularly find Warner or Obama all that great, as I've said. I don't know anything about Schweitzer. I do know I'm not voting for anyone who was stupid enough to be pro-war. I held my nose and did it for Kerry and I won't do it again.)
― Shakey Mo Collier (Shakey Mo Collier), Friday, 27 January 2006 00:17 (twenty years ago)
That wasn't my point in using that example - just the opposite, that he wins by a landslide despite being perceived as being the most leftist senator. The example is meant to poke a hole in your idea that one must be this, or one must be that; that's just marketing research nonsense, people don't think that way. People don't care about "centrist" or "far left," which is obv when it can only be the case that people who voted Bush ALSO voted Feingold. There's no point in trying to cling to an ever-shifting and vague idea of what is centrist. Take a stand on the issues, period. Dems who do this do well. Who really misses Daschle? Despite nobody wanting Bush as prez, is anybody really crushed that Kerry isn't?
Re Hillary, her early numbers are embarrassing. Romney v Clinton? Hahahah, I'll stay home.
― TRG (TRG), Friday, 27 January 2006 00:22 (twenty years ago)
― TRG (TRG), Friday, 27 January 2006 00:24 (twenty years ago)
this is why she has no serious opponent. but part of me thinks she's playing a double game - she's building up the presidential prospect in order to get a bye into another 6 years in the Senate.
People don't care about "centrist" or "far left,"
I agree, as a matter of ideology. But I'm using 'center' and 'left' as stand-ins for deviations from the cultural/attitudinal middle. I'm not arguing for clinging to an ideological center, I'm arguing for giving an attitudinally-centrist frame to your positions and programs (which need not change very much, though they might change at the margins).
― gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 27 January 2006 00:38 (twenty years ago)
― TRG (TRG), Friday, 27 January 2006 00:39 (twenty years ago)