2012 republican presidential nominee III: can romney get santorum out of his hair?

i thought of mentioning that but i felt like it made my post 'less strong'

expect the unexpected

sure but then the expected becomes unexpected and i dont know what to do

TPM Talking Points Memo
Wipeout: It's looking like Romney will not win a single county in Missouri tpm.ly/AlQ9u0
32 seconds ago

dang

intrade doesn't seem to think santorum will get colorado

:(

10:45 P.M. Romney Holding Serve in Denver Suburbs
The first results from the Denver metropolitan area are in and they should come as a relief to Mitt Romney. He has 49 percent of the vote in Douglas County so far and 53 percent in Arapahoe County.

In both cases, Mr. Romney's numbers are down from in 2008, when he won 72 percent in Douglas County and 66 percent in Arapahoe - but not catastrophically so given how wide Mr. Romney's margin was in Colorado that year.

If Mr. Romney gets those sort of numbers elsewhere in the Denver area, he should have a lot of cushion to do poorly elsewhere.

One important thing to watch is whether Rick Santroum is finishing second in these areas, or instead falling behind Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich. My back-of-the-envelope guess is that Mr. Romney is on track for something like 40 percent of the vote statewide or maybe just a bit shy of that. That could be enough for him to lose if most of the remaining votes are going for Mr. Santorum, but not if they are divided between several other opponents.

- Nate Silver

fivethirtyeight Nate Silver
Intrade now has Santorum as a 70/30 favorite in Colorado. That looks about right, I think.
2 minutes ago

:)

can romney get glitterbombs out of his hair?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jPKHW6IlRHs

aahahahaha, i love this trend

https://p.twimg.com/AlGtFhhCAAABTdR.png

http://assets0.ordienetworks.com/images/GifGuide/clapping/citizen_cane.gif

when people are using the kaneclap gif, are they using it in the context of the movie, i.e. insincere clapping?

Drifted off for a while--quite amazing, even though Romney's up again in Colorado. I love Donna Brazile's assessment in this clip: "It was not his best night in terms of, you know, winnin'..."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jPKHW6IlRHs

they used to xp

http://i39.tinypic.com/rqyouu.jpg

http://assets0.ordienetworks.com/images/GifGuide/clapping/citizen_cane.gif

― Kiarostami bag (milo z), Wednesday, February 8, 2012 12:22 AM (13 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

citizen_cane.gif

Not to be annoyingly pedantic, but the context in the movie is defiant anger, not insincerity.

(Why do I think I'll get the Kane gif for that...)

http://assets0.ordienetworks.com/images/GifGuide/clapping/citizen_cane.gif

I signed my own death warrant.

Can't seem to paste this pic, but I love it:
http://dailydish.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451c45669e2016300dd99f1970d-popup

Not to be annoyingly pedantic, but the context in the movie is defiant anger, not insincerity.

― clemenza, Wednesday, February 8, 2012 5:36 AM (4 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

it's not defiant it's "sweet jesus my wife can't sing but I have to go through the motions of clapping" right?

Same kids, minus the T-shirts:

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-VanrxM8DWMQ/Tn-JFTiIggI/AAAAAAAAAGY/fZHftWiJsGA/s1600/village-of-the-damned_2f71527c3721f195bb83dd22cceeec21.jpg

Maybe there's some room for interpretation on the Kane clip--I've always seen it as defiance.

I think it's 1) defiant anger 2) Kane asserting his will to shape reality by giving something his approval 2b) Kane knowing that his ability to assert his will only goes so far but I've always understood its use on message boards as "I am clapping when I know that the thing I'm clapping for isn't actually any good"

I just searched for clapping gif and used whatever caught my eye. I also haven't seen Kane since a Film As Art class and have no recollection of the clapping scene.

Yeah, I don't disagree with Matt on that part of it--Kane obviously knows she can't sing. It's more that insincerity didn't seem like a strong enough word to describe his emotions in that scene.

Meaningless probably, unbelievable anyway--they've just called Colorado for Santorum.

Little victories like this keep hope in the not-Romney die hards. It would be tragic if all the heart went out of the not-Romney movement. We must fan the embers of discontent.

Well, I guesss it shows you can win if you run against him. One thing I don't know is whether Santorum put the same amount of effort into these states as the "here all year" in Iowa. And of course Obama's going to run against Romney heavy - I liked the fact that 55,00 Republicans turned out in Colorado against 80,000 Democrats for an uncontested.

The Guardian basically reckoned that it was a victory for social issues conservatives, due to a) this is what happens when the economy improves and b) it has been a week for the issues being in people's minds: Prop 8, contraception, Komen vs Planned Parenthood. They also suggested that it might be in the best interests of the non-Romneys to sit down and figure out which of the states they are each going to effectively no-contest, to save on resources. Ron Paul wouldn't come, but they can divvy out states to a life-size cut-out, that works too.

The short version is the same as after South Carolina - all Romney has for a lot of the GOP is the ability to win elections if they hold their nose and vote for him. If he doesn't have that..

"to a life size cut out" lol

Herman Cain should just randomly start campaigning in places where primaries/caucuses have already happened

I think voting in the GOP primaries is down 20-25% from 2008 so far.

100% in the Dem primaries.

It's this:

2) Kane asserting his will to shape reality by giving something his approval

One site noted how problematic it is for Romney that he only wins when he focuses all his money, time and effort on one primary.

would be curious to know how much of a role anti-Newt Establishment $$$ played in Santorum's favor, even if Gingrich was not in the hunt last night.

vice president rick santorum

is Santorum physiologically capable of going off his own message for long enough to be someone's veep candidate?

you'd think so? like i assume having him in the room would be a bigger step up for his various dumbass causes than having him just barking at the moon

local media reporting that caucus attendance on the D side is up from '10

(local = MN)

all anecdotal from attendees, tho...

santorum would be a pretty crappy vp pick

I don't know, they might be able to mop up the social conservatives

yeah but you can do that w/ someone less boring

There were two dudes on the dais with Rick last night who were def. NOT finding him boring. They were hanging on every word of his speech like true believers, sorta teary eyed, nodding and affirming on the key lines like some sort of church revival meeting. (I'm sure this goes on at Dem caucuses, too, but these guys were just super-notable to me. Don't know who either of them are; one of them is partially obscured behind Rick's head, the other is blue shirted on the right.

http://20poundsofheadlines.files.wordpress.com/2012/02/santorum-wins-missouri.jpg

But the three victories for Mr. Santorum also place a fresh burden on him as he tries to swiftly build a structure to compete with Mr. Romney’s battled-tested campaign team. His aides predicted that the evening would bring an outpouring of financial support. He also may be able to expect more help from the “super PAC” that supports him, the Red, White and Blue Fund. Its leading benefactor, the mutual fund executive Foster Friess, was standing directly behind Mr. Santorum as he gave his victory speech.

Asked by e-mail whether he would invest more heavily in the super PAC, Mr. Friess wrote back, “With him doing so well tonight, he won’t need me!”

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/08/us/politics/minnesota-colorado-missouri-caucuses.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1

i.e., "no"

Foster Friess is to Santorum's right, I was looking behind his head. That guy got a lot of inadvertant camera time last night. No big deal, just curious.

http://content9.flixster.com/rtmovie/7_ori.jpg

man Santorum surging ... this is the lolziest GOP primary ever