2012 republican presidential nominee III: can romney get santorum out of his hair?

the facts are both GHWB and Reagan were establishment candidates

no way GHWB would ever have been the nominee in '80 even knowing how history unfolded.

Reagan had more money and (obv) lots more name recognition, iirc.

He definitely crushed Bush in NH (50-23) and SC (55-15). But from Santorum's point of view, I think "And if it wasn't for New Hampshire, Ronald Reagan would never have been president" is a good way to plant doubts in NH voters.

Ladies and gentlemen, we win elections when our people are excited about who to vote for...

Find this pretty funny considering I don't think many Republicans are excited about Santorum. Self-identified conservatives (R & I) I've heard on CSPAN are way more excited by Paul, and the freeper fringe are salivating over unleashing the Newtron bomb on Obama.

(As Hail Marys go, I mean.)

Yeah--Santorum's calculus would be a lot more convincing if he had an ounce of charisma.

unleashing the Newtron bomb on Obama.

too easy to make Goldwater/daisy connection.

Apparently Stephen Colbert is polling better than Jon Huntsman in South Carolina.

ha

"The new Public Policing Polling survey also found that 67 percent of the GOP debate's likely voters think that 'only people are people.'"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IW-ftxIrhBc

The South Carolina primary will be the first truly meaningful moment in this phase of things. If Romney is soundly rejected by the first pack of southern republicans to cast votes, he'll def be wounded. I say chances are good that things will be genuinely chaotic heading into Super Tuesday.

*sigh*

u trying so hard to bleeve in Tinkerbell

The South Carolina primary will be the first truly meaningful moment in this phase of things.

lol come now, Aimless

romney is polling just fine in SC. republicans are coalescing nicely around the frontrunner and this thing is going to be over cleanly. sorry everyone!

This is going to be a boring election, gentlemen: Wonder Boy versus Flim-Flam Man.

oh i don't agree with that at all, it's going to be wisconsin nationwide, candidates notwithstanding.

Obama isn't leading the national equivalent of the anti-Walker forces, I'm afraid.

when's the last time two guys w/ such spotless bios faced off?

that reminds me, I saw eliot spitzer on the street today

If Romney does no worse than a very close second in both SC and Florida, then I agree that we can put 'paid' to the republican nomination. If he's blown out in SC or in Florida, or is pushed down to third place, even by a small amount, then we have a race to giggle about for a while longer.

mitt romney isn't walker, either! i don't think it matters.

nah it's over xp

But goole just pointed out that he's doing quite well in SC.

From a few days ago but you get the idea:

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-57354122-503544/romney-surges-in-south-carolina-poll-has-nearly-double-the-support-of-runner-up-santorum/

but you see, if Romney BARELY manages to get second place he may have a shot in the imaginary tea party I am holding in my mind

http://www.disorderlyreport.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/T-Alice-TeaPartySmall.jpg

This is going to be a boring election, gentlemen: Wonder Boy versus Flim-Flam Man.

OK, I have to be the one to ask who's who?

It doesn't matter.

This is going to be a very entertaining election when y'all are freaking out over the electoral dead heat on Halloween. "For our children's sake, vote for the Detainer!"

OK, I see Nate Silver is calling it like this in South Carolina:

Mitt Romney 32.8%
Newt Gingrich 23.0%
Rick Santorum 22.8%

Which said result would be game over, imo. The remainder of the field would continue to squirm on the hook for a while, but they couldn't expect much longevity without a Mittplosion.

Newt needs Santorum to keep doing Blah things

I don't know if this is sound or not:

http://theamericanscene.com/2012/01/09/win-place-and-show

The thing is, it leaves a number of obvious people--Rubio, Christie, Ryan--out of the equation. (If Romney were to lose against Obama, I would think anybody connected to this whole nomination cycle would be tainted going into 2016.) (Herman Cain included.)

A Big Check From a Billionaire, and Gingrich Gets a Lift
By NICHOLAS CONFESSORE and ERIC LIPTON

A $5 million check from Sheldon Adelson underscores how a Supreme Court ruling has made it possible for a wealthy individual to influence an election.

idk if this is the guy or if they just used their stock tycoon.jpg

http://i1.nyt.com/images/2012/01/10/us/subADELSON/subADELSON-thumbStandard.jpg

http://thepoliticalcarnival.net/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/monopoly-man.jpg

This is going to be a very entertaining election when y'all are freaking out over the electoral dead heat on Halloween. "For our children's sake, vote for the Detainer!"

as you might say, "which one is that"

also lol Obama is gonna wipe the floor with Romney, if there's a "dead heat" on Halloween I'll eat my hat

really? does Mitt have his own drone arsenal too? xp

It could happen, I suppose. And maybe not.

100% certain Mitt is pro-drone strikes and pro-indefinite detentions what is your point

romney in 2008 famously said we should "double gitmo". which you'll admit is very different from "reduce it by 12 to 15% over 45 years"

ah, I thought we were talking about things that HAVE been done by an actual president! Has Mittens prosecuted whistleblowers too?

what is the source of this "Obama is gonna wipe the floor with Romney" MEME, as you kidz call it? Was it the pared down "I love to fire people" distortion of typical Mittens blather?

I think Geir hasn't come back because he realized that Morbs has taken this singleminded approach to dead horse beating to an entirely new level.

Romney lost his chance in November when the signs of an improving economy first showed themselves.

man don't jinx it

the economy i mean.

what is the source of this "Obama is gonna wipe the floor with Romney" MEME, as you kidz call it?

uh, I am the source of it? I've been predicting this for at least a year

yeah it's way too early to assume the economy's gonna be better than 'ehhhhh'

nothin means nothin til Labor Day