hurricane coming...

Oh good, I'll just be getting back from the Long Island highland games. With any luck.

maybe you'll find yourself in a remake of I Know Where I'm Going!

Ooh maybe that means the waves will be good at the beach on Sat afternoon.

We escaped another one!

I called to tell my parents, who just moved to Florida, about the earthquake and my Mom was yelling in the background - "There's a hurricane coming why hasn't she called us?!" Uh cause I'm more likely to get hit by the hurrican than you are at this point? :(

dont come to maine you bitch

Jeez, what on Earth did I do to you Mr. Green?

;p

I mean t the hurciciane - you are welcome in Maine anytime

I love Maine.

a pug gentleman lives in my hood so there's that for socializin

lol @ "pug gentleman"

shit bahamas are gonna get creamed by this :/

maybe you'll find yourself in a remake of I Know Where I'm Going! ― incredibly middlebrow (Dr Morbius)

<3 u for this, because you know how enormously happy that would make me.

threat for Northeast upgraded:

http://www.weather.com/weather/hurricanecentral/article/hurricane-irene-major-northeast-threats_2011-08-23

good tracking website

http://www.stormpulse.com/atlantic

love how this storm stops immediately at the Canadian border!

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hurricane-scenarios-run-from-bad-to-worse-2011-08-24?link=home_carousel

no hurricanes can get through customs

The author of that artcile needs to learn to distinguish between Spielberg films and Michael Bay films.

Looking up at the hurricane vs. running away from a CGI building collapsing in said hurricane.

Ned otm.

The ironically named Irene...

oh yeah.

I dont want a hurriance in Maine. I already have no roof

Just slow down and there won't be any hurriance.

I think I have astraphobia

hooooooo boy

this shit is gonna hit me pretty much dead on...kinda freaking out

So... like... real talk... should we be trying to find a reason to get the f outta Brooklyn this weekend or no?

Only if you're concerned about spending 1-2 days inside while it rains outside? Is it really going to be any more serious than that? Haven't read up on the whole news/fear-mongering campaign yet.

I'll be fine as long as the power is on.

I'm happy to spend up to 7 days inside while it rains! Just wonder if I'm underestimating things. Apparently my block is in a C-Zone on the NYC hurricane evacuation scale, whatever the hell that means. West Side Highway is a Zone A so I guess C is not too bad...

Oh hmm I see, that's mostly about storm surge flooding. I live like 5 miles inland so I am in no zone at all. I would def recommend getting things out of your basement, I guess? Or raising them up. I feel like basements could flood, because that is what basements do.

laurel i'm not sure you know what "fear-mongering" means

anyway yeah from the looks of things it seems like NYC is gonna get hit with irene as a cat 1 - some pretty legit flooding, widespread loss of power, not sure what kind of wind damage would occur in a city liket that. my apartment in connecticut is surrounded by trees so i may go into campus for a couple days if that's what they recommend

Cat 1 is the tamest out of 5 right?

yes, put an extra case of beer in the fridge just to be safe.

yeah

1 bottle Stoli Vanil

they're saying there's like a 30% chance this could reach category 5 which is nuts but it won't be that strong when it gets to new england. cat 5 is like, devastates everything in its path

if californians got to make fun of nyers and washingtonians for freaking out over a 2 second earthquake, do floridians get to make fun of the same ppl for freaking out over this hurricane?

btw if you live further north than DC i wouldn't worry about this thing, by the time it reaches ny it should prob be just a very bad thunderstorm

Maybe I'm not taking this storm thing seriously enough? But I'm assuming p much it will be windy and rainy. Your basement might flood (or your apartment, if it's in a basement). Other than these things, don't plan any picnics or bike rides? I don't get any tv reception or watch news so I'm just assuming they're talking about how Tropical Storm Irene could flatten lower Manhattan or whatever.

xxxp

hurricanes are pretty unpredictable and they're pretty easy to prepare for

also the higher up you are, the safer you & your things are, so if you live an apt don't freak out

also don't park your car near any trees

obv. don't "freak out," but this is a serious hurricane.

i'm saying this as a floridian whose seen hurricane katrina and wilma (both of which passed through/very near coral gables, where we live) and andrew (when i lived on kendall and 142nd; not the worst-hit area, obv., but an area hit very badly).

Well I mean if tree branches start coming through the glass windows, there's gonna be some clean-up, obviously. But we don't have storm shutters and like everyone else, I live in a rental, so I only have what my LL provided us with.

Also I'm scheduled to perform outdoors all day Saturday for a highland games on Long Island that's supposed to be held in a semi-wooded park. Would be willing to take bets on whether this goes ahead.

lol sarge come on...if this hits nyc as a category 2 it's gonna be a pretty big fuckin deal

if californians got to make fun of nyers and washingtonians for freaking out over a 2 second earthquake, do floridians get to make fun of the same ppl for freaking out over this hurricane?

floridians don't get to make fun of anyone for anything iirc

if you have a car and can leave it in a parking garage over the weekend, i'd make plans to do that

also if you don't have shutters you could, like, put masking tape across your windows -- or if you can get any access to plywood, that works

lol sarge come on...if this hits nyc as a category 2 it's gonna be a pretty big fuckin deal

― frogsb (k3vin k.), Wednesday, August 24, 2011 5:07 PM (1 minute ago) Bookmark

oh i'm sure we'll hear all about it

i totally cannot tell who is being lol fearmongering and who is serious itt

I wonder if I can find somewhere interesting to go watch the storm from. I like strong weather.

FEMA camp conspiracies go back to the 1980s!

They need to arrest and prosecute these assholes to the fullest extent of the law.

The North Carolina man above is out on bail cos his charge was a mere misdemeanor

oh look

Busted: Bundy collaborator fueled FEMA conspiracy in Hurricane Helene aftermath

FEMA camp conspiracies go back to the 1980s!

― Elvis Telecom

this is 100% true, I fell for it in an especially paranoid period circa 1998-99, it was common in anarchist/left circles as well

Thats a bunch of fetal alcohol syndrome if ever I saw it.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/impact-plastics-gerald-oconnor-lawsuit-hurricane-helene-johnny-peterson-death/

This immediately made me think of Triangle Shirtwaist

So, there wasn't even a Tropical Depression here as of 9A today, and as of 2P there is a surprise hurricane just N of Cuba. I cannot recall in my lifetime a complete *miss* like this.

So here's Oscar: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/191755.shtml

About that:

#BREAKING: Oscar is now a hurricane. 36 hours ago it was given a 10% chance to form from the NHC. Smaller storms are often tricky in their intensity forecasts and how computer models handle them early on. Despite the intensity uptick, no change for Florida. It stays away. #Oscar pic.twitter.com/eH9rLvZvoR

— Matt Devitt (@MattDevittWX) October 19, 2024

New borad I love weather

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9MgbexiVkA

Sara may be on the way:

GFS model has now shown a hurricane hitting SW Florida three runs in a row.

At this point, I would say it is POSSIBLE that a tropical storm or hurricane hits Florida around November 20th. That's still 8 days away, so right now, this is still something to watch, NO reason to… pic.twitter.com/RNxZvFZbhj

— Max Velocity (@MaxVelocityWX) November 12, 2024

So there's no reason to panic about a possible storm that may or may hit the southwest coast in eight days. OK.

the Euro model, meanwhile, doesn't have it becoming a hurricane at all. until GFS and Euro get more in line w/ each other, or one emerges as the more correct of the two models, it's really hard to tell. so far this year different models have done better on different storms.

and we're getting our first real cool front this weekend

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/11/yet-another-november-hurricane-threat-is-taking-shape/

The latest runs of both the GFS and European model predicted that the system would develop into a dangerous major hurricane over the Western Caribbean by early next week.

Good news:

Tropical Depression 19 is much further west than initially forecasted, which means this will likely NOT become a hurricane after all.

Land interaction will limit this from rapid intensification, but Honduras will have a significant flooding threat, with 15-25" of rain possible.… pic.twitter.com/PVMhbvMwYJ

— Max Velocity (@MaxVelocityWX) November 14, 2024

Has my news consumption narrowed to the point where i missed the developing hurricane or is there not a lot of reporting overall?

a. it's supposedly going to turn back out east, if perhaps not quite enough to avoid fucking up some coastal areas
b. bad news is not allowed
c. magic marker on the map

It's not hitting the U.S.

In Miami, hurricane news starts at least a week before its final track.

It's looking very grim for Jamaica

indeed -- ugh

wow, I thought it was just going to continue to the west... what a terrible track, moves west and then makes a hard right to pass directly over Jamaica

my app is indicating 100mph wind right over Montego Bay :(

...and not moving much at all for the next 24 hours.

From Noah Bergen (Orlando TV meteorologist):

2PM EDT Intermediate Advisory from NHC raises Hurricane Melissa to 175 MPH sustained winds, gusts of 190 MPH. Pressure of 906 mb is in the top 5 lowest ever. This is going to be a historically catastrophic weather event in Jamaica Tuesday.

Damn. Plus it's tracked to hit Cuba, the Bahamas and Bermuda (the latter two "only" at normal hurricane strength).