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clemenza wrote this on thread tarkovsky's stalker on board I Love Everything on Tue Nov 21 00:00:00 GMT 2017

(xpost) Obviously, no insult intended--I guess I think of them both as somewhat mystical (which probably just tells you that I'm not getting one or both of them).

Forgot--Badlands won the road-movie poll.

clemenza wrote this on thread Comfort TV: old nostalgia reruns that you love watching on board I Love Everything on Tue Nov 21 00:00:00 GMT 2017

I should have mentioned The Dick Van Dyke Show and Bewitched. They pretty much defined comfort-TV for me in my 20s (i.e., shows you watched as a kid). Not sure if they'd still work for me today.

clemenza wrote this on thread rolling sabermetrics and statistics thread on board I Love Baseball on Tue Nov 21 00:00:00 GMT 2017

One of the respondents to Posnanski's piece makes a good point, maybe the same one you're making (John Autin, who I think is one of the High Heat Stats guys...never look at that site anymore):

— New York’s 9-win shortfall from Pythagorean Wins is one of the 40 largest of all time, placing in the 98th percentile for absolute distance from expected wins.
— Judge’s “clutch” shortfall is also extreme. For instance, his high-leverage OPS was .188 less than his overall mark, which ranks near the 4th percentile in the last 5 years (of those with 100 hi-lev PAs in a season).

Basically, that James got lucky that this one very extreme case fits his argument.

clemenza wrote this on thread tarkovsky's stalker on board I Love Everything on Tue Nov 21 00:00:00 GMT 2017

Agree wholeheartedly; she had more personality than the three of them put together. (Which, again, I realize is beside the point--I know, I know...)

clemenza wrote this on thread tarkovsky's stalker on board I Love Everything on Tue Nov 21 00:00:00 GMT 2017

I was, yeah. Didn't notice the walkouts--we were maybe halfway down in the middle. I think I only drifted for 10 or 15 minutes tonight, better than the other times (lost some towards the end of part one).

For anyone who counts it as one of your favourite films--it won the ILX road-movie poll--I wish I could experience it as you do. I have some of the same problems with The Tree of Life. Maybe it's a temperament thing, I don't know. There are long, slow films I love. My attention doesn't flag for a second during six hours of Frederick Wiseman's Near Death.

clemenza wrote this on thread rolling sabermetrics and statistics thread on board I Love Baseball on Tue Nov 21 00:00:00 GMT 2017

I think the 1,000 simulated seasons would quite probably (though not with absolute certainty) prove that Altuve hit in luck in high-leverage situations this year, and that Judge had very little. But I still don't think that's particularly useful in determining 2017's MVP.

clemenza wrote this on thread tarkovsky's stalker on board I Love Everything on Tue Nov 21 00:00:00 GMT 2017

I mentioned trying for a second time upthread (five years ago); I think tonight might have been the fourth. I think I basically get it, or part of it, in broad outline--the Zone is Oz, it's Godot, it's Miracle City in The Leftovers. (Or maybe it's the Black Lodge, or Room 101.) It's a great film to talk about--my friend and I went for coffee afterwards and compared notes for 20 or 30 minutes. The actual watching of it, sorry; I just find it tedious. I get very little out of it visually (except the last shot). Not that I loved The Mirror, but it did have that incredible pre-Ringu image. I find the brown parts in Stalker exceedingly ugly. Which they're supposed to be, I guess. The guy who made a big deal about going back to get his napsack reminded me of the babysitter in Goodfellas and her lucky hat. These are the silly things I think about when I'm bored, and I feel like I'm betraying the seriousness of the film when I do. My friend's going to lend me the Geoff Dyer book Zona--don't know anything about him or the book, but I'm hoping it sheds some light.

clemenza wrote this on thread Comfort TV: old nostalgia reruns that you love watching on board I Love Everything on Mon Nov 20 00:00:00 GMT 2017

I used to comfort-watch old TV shows a lot: The Mary Tyler Moore Show, My Three Sons, Batman, then later on things like Cheers and Roseanne. I was going to say shows that were mild and didn't require a lot of thought, but I don't know if that generalization will work--Roseanne had an edge to it, and recently I've been comfort-watching House of Cards on a local network (missed a couple of weeks--my guess is they've pulled it since then).

clemenza wrote this on thread rolling sabermetrics and statistics thread on board I Love Baseball on Mon Nov 20 00:00:00 GMT 2017

I could be wrong about this--and if true, I don't think James would ever concede the point--but I do think he's always had a certain amount of resentment that WAR was adopted industry-wide and Win Shares never really went anywhere. (As opposed to the Pythagorean Formula or RC/27, among other things, that became foundational.) Did you read Posnanski's response to James? That, and a NoTime post on the awards thread, helped me understand his piece better.

clemenza wrote this on thread rolling sabermetrics and statistics thread on board I Love Baseball on Mon Nov 20 00:00:00 GMT 2017

I'm at work and can only skim, but judging from the tone, he hardly seems to dismiss James's piece as nonsense. They see the issue differently.



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