James Randi: fails to explain away Arigo, the surgeon with the rusty knife

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Explain, not document.

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:03 (nineteen years ago) link

Excuse me? I understand it just fine.

Kevin Gilchrist (Mr Fusion), Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:03 (nineteen years ago) link

And I'm asking this b/c if you can't replicate this, and the man is dead, what is the point exactly?

(xpost)
Quoting the Wikipedia article:
Some people have oversimplified Occam's Razor as "The simplest explanation is the best (or true) one".

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:05 (nineteen years ago) link

http://skepdic.com/occam.html

latebloomer (latebloomer), Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:12 (nineteen years ago) link

Oh, I get what you're saying. If you see something, it isn't real to you unless you can explain how and why. Otherwise, it is illogical and therefore an illusion until further notice. Okay. Let's call it a theory, then. I have a theory that Arigo's gifts were similar to Tantra, which has been well-documented as well. How does Tantra work? How does the brain work? What is reality? Tantra allows the brain to recognize portions of reality the brain normally does not recognize, perhaps? And by recognizing that portion of reality, the brain is then able to work within that framework of reality.

Supernatural Man, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:12 (nineteen years ago) link

Some people have oversimplified Occam's Razor as "The simplest explanation is the best (or true) one".

Yes, and I said that some people over-stated the principle. Occam's Razor is so prevelant that to say a theory is simpler means to state that it has the fewest number of assumptions. Occam's Razor makes no claims about Truth.

Kevin Gilchrist (Mr Fusion), Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:12 (nineteen years ago) link

You still haven't answered the question, SM. What can we possibly learn from this, given that it's not reproducible, has no valid empirical explanation? So again I ask you, what is the point?

And yes, I demand physical "accountability" from physical acts. As we've established.

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:17 (nineteen years ago) link

And Kevin, please show me where I over-stated Occam's Razor or tell me how it's not relevant to this discussion, please.

Furthermore, please show me what you'd define as overstating it.

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:18 (nineteen years ago) link

them's fightin' words

Orbit (Orbit), Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:19 (nineteen years ago) link

(Funnily enough, I'm feeling pretty calm.)

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:19 (nineteen years ago) link

I didn't say you overstated Occam's Razor, I said that some people did. Occam's Razor is useful to such discussion, but it can't find truth. People think it can. People think that the simplest (or if you'd prefer, the explaination with the fewest number of assumptions) is the truth. To use the Wikipedia example, finding a tree knocked over is more attributable to wind, but that doesn't mean it wasn't actually knocked over by aliend. People who don't understand Occam's Razor use it as a test for truth, whereas it is mostly a guide. You perhaps misunderstood my post, and then accused me of ignorance, which I wouldn't mind, but I'm a philosophy graduate - you learn about Occam's Razor your first week.

Kevin Gilchrist (Mr Fusion), Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:22 (nineteen years ago) link

In this particular case, Occam's Razor seems futile. Arigo never came close to being proven a fraud. The "simplest explanation" could be either he's a fraud or that there's something we don't understand. Since we know we don't understand everything, including the brain, consciousness and Tantra or prana, why is fraud "more likely to be true" with total lack of evidence to make this case?

Check out skepdic's pathetic attempt to classify Chi and note the lump-it-all-together strategy of the article they link to. Chinatown practitioners also call Falun Dafa "quack medicine" just as readily as anyone from the AMA.

Supernatural Man, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:24 (nineteen years ago) link

You still haven't answered the question, SM. What can we possibly learn from this, given that it's not reproducible, has no valid empirical explanation? So again I ask you, what is the point?

That James Randi is a dipshit, skepdic was created by a dipshit and debunkers who use the lump-it-together technique are dipshits. If there is not conclusive evidence to debunk something, it should not be casually dismissed by citing Occam's Razor.

Supernatural Man, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:27 (nineteen years ago) link

Kevin, fair enough. Sorry if I came on a bit strong there.

SM, if you have no other explanation for something, it's pretty well worthless in practical terms. Occam's Razor requires a counter-argument to weigh against. There may be a simpler explanation for the surgery, but until it can be provided for the phenomenon is merely an anecdote of no worth.

Example: I come up with a proof for cold fusion. However, I do not write it down before I die, nor do I pass it along. I only announce that I have figured it out. Whether or not I have or haven't actually done this is irrelevant, because it has no practical value in that it can no be reproduced until someone else comes along and shows an empirical solution to the problem.

Face it - you need empiricism for the physical realm.

Thank you.

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:33 (nineteen years ago) link

Hey no problem Giralamo - I shouldn't butt into arguments with my philosophical pet-hates.

Redfez, would you let him operate on you?

Kevin Gilchrist (Mr Fusion), Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:36 (nineteen years ago) link

Another thing is that Occam's Razor provides that you should side with what has the least assumptions.

On the one side we can assume that this was a case of fraud. On the other side, we can assume that there are multiple disciplines of psychic science yet to be fully documented.

Which seems the smaller assumption? Remember, if you only provide some plausible empirical explanation for #2, you reduce the assumptions.

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:38 (nineteen years ago) link

Giro, what if someone had created cold fusion and this was witnessed and verified by thousands of people, but the inventor died from a heart attack after accidentally setting his notes on fire? Same thing.

Super Guy, Thursday, 4 November 2004 02:58 (nineteen years ago) link

Another thing is that Occam's Razor provides that you should side with what has the least assumptions.

On the one side we can assume that this was a case of fraud. On the other side, we can assume that there are multiple disciplines of psychic science yet to be fully documented.

Which seems the smaller assumption? Remember, if you only provide some plausible empirical explanation for #2, you reduce the assumptions.

On the one hand you have several examples of fraud that hint at fraud and on the other hand you have several pieces of evidence that suggest a singular aspect of science which has yet to be fully documented-- you can't just lump them together when you feel like it and seperate them when you feel like it. You've purposely used the term "multiple disciplines" of psychic science to add a tone of impossibility to the whole thing, rather than recognizing the obvious similarity and ease of singular classification as one aspect of reality. Yet, these "multiple disciplines" are often lumped together to discredit each other when one case is found to be fraud.

Supernatural Man, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:05 (nineteen years ago) link

Super Guy, how would you know if it was actually cold fusion?

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:07 (nineteen years ago) link

What is cold fusion?

Super Guy, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:08 (nineteen years ago) link

http://www.synchronizeduniverse.com/CASE-COLD%20FUSION.jpg

Maybe they used a Cold Fusion Detector to tell?

Kevin Gilchrist (Mr Fusion), Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:11 (nineteen years ago) link

Right. Cold fusion is hypothetical. So, if, as I said, thousands of witnessed and verified this was "cold fusion" (science community included, of course), then how does the ill-timed loss of the formula and inventor disprove it?

Super dude, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:15 (nineteen years ago) link

Well, if the inventor died and burned all his notes and equipment, and we had no way of repeating the experiment, it's essentially fruitless and pointless. Someone will have to start all over again to repeat it, so the first experiment might as well have not existed.

On the other hand, if the inventor at least left behind his equipment, then that could be used to analyse some of the methods used for the experiment.

The point is that empiricism in science is based upon being able to reproduce the result independently given certain standard conditions, based upon understanding of what methods must be used and why they must be used.

If you don't have that, you just have a good story to tell around the campfire and nothing more.

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:19 (nineteen years ago) link

Yeah, I guess you're right. In the case of cold fusion, for it to be verified by anyone it would have to be more than witnessed. But still-- HEY-- what about my other point I was trying to annoy you with? The one about fraud vs. "multiple disciplines" of psychic science?

Super Corrector, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:20 (nineteen years ago) link

Until you have some empirical evidence for psychic science, it's still the larger assumption.

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:22 (nineteen years ago) link

How do you obtain empirical evidence for a process that is invisible beyond its observable results? Is there empirical evidence for hypnosis, for instance? If you mean you wish to replicate psychic surgery like Arigo, you need look no further than Tantra. How many replications would you like? How many do you need? What is the percentage rate of success necessary to be convincing?

The Super, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:29 (nineteen years ago) link

http://www.anni80.info/musica/images/george.jpg
'Cause ya gotta faith...

Girolamo Savonarola, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:48 (nineteen years ago) link

have it, even

Super, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:50 (nineteen years ago) link

For instance, a Yogi can change his brainwaves -- verifiable.A Yogi can stop his heart -- verifiable. A Yogi can stop breathing for over 5 minutes -- verifiable. A Yogi can go without eating for ridiculous periods of time -- verifiable. A Yogi can walk over hot coals, lick a white hot rod and somehow heal himself and others -- observable, at least, but how do we "verify" such things? Because he does it repeatedly and teach others to do the same? To me, that is verification. To you, apparently, he is teaching legions of frauds?

Super, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:51 (nineteen years ago) link

Er, substitute "stop heartbeat" for "slow pulse to nada."

Super, Thursday, 4 November 2004 03:54 (nineteen years ago) link

This is an unusual thread.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Thursday, 4 November 2004 04:21 (nineteen years ago) link

Redfez, would you let him operate on you?

No. (And ?!)

This is an unusual thread.

This was my favorite thread ever. It gets my "best of the web" award:

http://www.ronandjoe.com/cheese/silly/red_fez.jpg

redfez, Thursday, 4 November 2004 04:52 (nineteen years ago) link

For instance, a Yogi can change his brainwaves -- verifiable.A Yogi can stop his heart -- verifiable. A Yogi can stop breathing for over 5 minutes -- verifiable. A Yogi can go without eating for ridiculous periods of time -- verifiable.

Is it completely pointless for me to ask for some cites here? By verifiable, I assume you mean "verifiable by people without some vested interest in believing he can do that".

Layna Andersen (Layna Andersen), Thursday, 4 November 2004 05:38 (nineteen years ago) link

As you can imagine, it's not as easy to find free and readily available scientific studies online today about a subject that was of mainstream interest in the 1970's, but there are some I've found and listed below. Yoga is a popular form of Tantra, so you are likely to find much more on this particular subject in 2004. Eventually, for the reasons cited in Time article below, there will be nothing more to say about Yoga, either, and in 2030, skeptics will *still* be asking for proof that it does anything to promote healing. If you were interested in the subject and did your own research, you could find plenty more, including everything I've mentioned above. There are also frauds. Some people stick a lemon in their armpit to "stop" their pulse, just like some people throw animal organs on the ground to "perform" psychic surgery. But, they are not all frauds and it is wrong to use the lump-it-together method of dismissal.

http://www.firstscience.com/SITE/factfile/factfile1421_1440.asp
Weird Science fact # 1422/ It has been demonstrated that humans are able to control their body temperatures to an amazing degree. In one experiment involving skilled yoga practitioners, the yogi was able to change the temperature of two areas of skin just two inches apart by a difference of ten degrees fahrenheit.


http://health.discovery.com/centers/fitness/runsmart/runsmart3.html
This article shows that you can not only use your mind to change your body, but that you can use your body to change your mind, which is exactly what Tantra/Yoga is all about.

http://www.newscientist.com/conferences/confarticle.jsp?conf=soneu200011&id=ns9999154
This article reaffirms this, specifically citing Yoga.

http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,106356-1,00.html
This article shows that scientific analysis of Yoga is about as controversial as eggs. One study shows one thing, someone else says it's inconclusive. Do you eat the yolks or not?

http://www.abc.net.au/science/news/health/HealthRepublish_41237.htm
Scientists at the Medical College of Georgia examined how transcendental meditation decreases constriction of blood vessels and affects the heart’s output.  They found that transcendental meditation decreases blood pressure by reducing constriction of the blood vessels and thereby decreases the risk of heart disease.  This is yet another study that shows evidence of mind-body connections.  While clearing one’s mind and concentrating upon soothing images, one can ease the physical condition of high blood pressure by allowing the body’s blood vessels to dilate.  This is not a conscious process in that you are thinking, “please blood vessels dilate” but an awareness process of recognizing the stressors of your everyday life.  By becoming aware of your need to take time to relax and release tension you are able to transfer this healthy awareness to your body.

....And here's a whole bunch of articles on Yoga related to physical and mental health:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/search/?keyword=yoga&topic=all&sort=relevance

Supernatural Man, Thursday, 4 November 2004 13:08 (nineteen years ago) link

How do they do that cuttting a guy in half thing? imagine the medical breakthroughs we could make if only we could understand how it's done.

I'M BEING SARCASTIC

Jaunty Alan (Alan), Thursday, 4 November 2004 13:32 (nineteen years ago) link

http://www.starchild-uk.com/

Jarlr'mai (jarlrmai), Thursday, 4 November 2004 13:53 (nineteen years ago) link

Dude, to win this argument you have to prove the unrpoveable. And you also have to apologise to Mr Randi because you're not capable of backing up your attacks on him. Best do it now, because then if you die and your computer is destroyed you'll have witnesses who can confirm you did it.

Markelby (Mark C), Thursday, 4 November 2004 14:08 (nineteen years ago) link

Markelby, Mr. Randi is not capable of backing up his own statements and you are not capable of speaking on this subject honestly because you are obviously not aware of the staggering amount of research that supports these "'multiple disciplines' of psychic science".

My argument does not have to prove the unproveable. For an unsolved mystery to be solved, it has be proved. Otherwise, it is not solved. For it to remain unsolved, all we have to do is admit the evidence for the mystery and the lack of evidence for its solution.

Supernatural Man, Thursday, 4 November 2004 14:20 (nineteen years ago) link

How do they do that cuttting a guy in half thing? imagine the medical breakthroughs we could make if only we could understand how it's done.

They actually cut the guy in half. Of course, there are frauds who use various tricks to create a similar illusion.

Supernatural Man, Thursday, 4 November 2004 14:22 (nineteen years ago) link

Superdude, the book you've mentioned about Arigó (Arigó: Surgeon of the Rusty Knife) is written by a John G. Fuller, whose oeuvre also includes books about ghosts and UFOs, for example. That doesn't exactly sound like an objective source. Unless you can provide us with some research done by objective medical scientists (not by ones who already believed in faith surgery before examining Arigó), all you're doing is reproducing hearsay.

Tuomas (Tuomas), Thursday, 4 November 2004 14:59 (nineteen years ago) link

Oh, and so now I suppose you don't believe in ghosts and UFOs?! Some scientists believe in God and provide evidence which they feel supports their belief, but does that mean we should dismiss all of their research?

Well, fine, then what about this book?

http://www.newscientist.com/opinion/opbooks.jsp?id=ns24122

"...Psi Wars begins with a look at the sheer strangeness of paranormal phenomena and their implications. Then lead editor James Alcock of the University of Toronto argues cogently for scepticism based on evidence rather than ignorance. And as the bulk of the book shows, the evidence is far more extensive than you might think. Furthermore, some of it, notably in studies of telepathy, is strongly positive...

Far from being the flaky obsession of nutcases, paranormal phenomena emerge as a valuable test bed for techniques whose reliability too often goes unquestioned. Anyone seeking something more sophisticated than the usual mud-slinging should buy this book."

Superdude, Thursday, 4 November 2004 15:17 (nineteen years ago) link

I probably should've quoted this part, too, for those who will never click the link:

"...Cue the ritual slanging match between the wide-eyed credulist ("Well, it works for me") and the sceptic ("There's not a shred of scientific evidence").

Those who loathe such exchanges because of their sterile predictability now have a powerful antidote in this authoritative and accessible review of the state of scientific research into paranormal phenomena, based on a special issue of the Journal of Consciousness Studies. Almost all of the pieces are written by university academics with a track record of peer-reviewed research, and they cover paranormal phenomena thought by some to cast light on human consciousness, primarily telepathy (communication between minds), psychokinesis (affecting objects with the mind) and astrology (celestial effects on the mind)."

Return of Superdude, Thursday, 4 November 2004 15:21 (nineteen years ago) link

I suppose you don't believe in ghosts and UFOs?! Some scientists believe in God and provide evidence

you should find another bulletin board. really.

Jaunty Alan (Alan), Thursday, 4 November 2004 15:21 (nineteen years ago) link

Jaunty, I was kidding, you tightass.

Superdude, Thursday, 4 November 2004 15:23 (nineteen years ago) link

ok, but it's still true. you can only have a proper discussion with someone who you share some common ground with. forget i said anything.

Jaunty Alan (Alan), Thursday, 4 November 2004 15:25 (nineteen years ago) link

See, my point is that no matter how many books come out like the one above, which shows strong evidence in favor of PSI by credible sources and are even recommended by science correspondence in science magazines, a skeptic will say there is no evidence and disregard the evidence.

Why? Because a skeptic walks into a room with a psychic and says, "Read my mind-- can't do it? Okay, you're full of shit." Even when overall telepathy studies overwhelmingly favor the existence of telepathy over all other possible explanations, the skeptic says, "Well, they did not do it every time and some studies failed miserably," completely discounting the majority of studies, the methods of analysis and experimentation in each study and the nature of PSI, in general, which nobody claims to be 100%, anyway. It is not like putting cells in a petri dish and getting a predictable result.

Super-Understander, Thursday, 4 November 2004 15:32 (nineteen years ago) link

that's a rubbish point.

it is a waste of effort to investigate every crazy claim that anyone comes out with. if the claim is similar to stuff that has been debunked before, then it is totally rational to not immediately go "OH REALLY, WOW SHOW ME". THis is your "lumping in" thing. there's nothing wrong with it.

the onus is on a claimant to shore up intially unlikely claims with persuasive evidence.

in this case, and others no doubt, you think that persuasive evidence is in. i don't. especially when such claims are so easily explained in other ways.

Jaunty Alan (Alan), Thursday, 4 November 2004 15:37 (nineteen years ago) link

Superdude, the problem with the research on telepathy is that it mostly done by people who already believe in it's existence before they do the research. No wonder some of them get "positive results". Also, as you probably know, James Randi as well as other sceptics around the world are willing to pay masses of money to anyone who's capable of producing any supernatural phenomenon in a controlled environment. So far no has been able of claiming that money. Why do you think this is?

Tuomas (Tuomas), Thursday, 4 November 2004 16:02 (nineteen years ago) link

Jaunty and Tuomas, I am reffering to controlled testing research with supposed psychics and just normal people. These researchers were NOT already believers. In fact, most of them concluded there was "no evidence" to support PSI. However, they came to these conclusions despite the evidence that clearly suggested otherwise by their own studies. It becomes especially clear when you collect and analyze all the available research data on PSI and see that this is way more than a 50/50 crapshoot of being right or wrong. This is exactly why nobody is claiming any money from Randi. Randi, like yourself, will simply reject it. The only way a skeptic could be convinced is for someone to be 100% right on at the drop of a hat.

Super, Thursday, 4 November 2004 16:13 (nineteen years ago) link

Okay, give us some references, please.

Tuomas (Tuomas), Thursday, 4 November 2004 16:17 (nineteen years ago) link


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