"Is It Thunderdome Yet?" A Rolling Looming Apocalypse Thread

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when it comes to climate change at least.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

One of my favorite examples of said thinking at work -- the Millerites.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

We just need all the robots to fart at one. I learned this from the TV.

xp

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:54 (sixteen years ago) link

HOOS it is zero degrees in Green Bay today-- i can see it on NFL coverage. There's is no way global warming is real.

gr8080, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:56 (sixteen years ago) link

bahahahahahahahahahaha

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:57 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.theglobaleducationproject.org/earth/images/final-images/g-pop-growth-chart-map-sm.gif

I think it is actually great and beautiful that without humans, the exponential population growth model would be purely a theoretical idea. (Tho obv it will level off eventually!) (Is this graph not pretty & nicely designed?)

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 19:58 (sixteen years ago) link

http://www.globalchange.umich.edu/globalchange2/current/lectures/human_pop/worldpop.jpg

That tiny dip before it zooms up = the black plague.

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:00 (sixteen years ago) link

BP = before present, 'present' being 1950, the year they discovered radiocarbon dating! HAHAHAHahahahaha

Beginning in 1954, metrologists established 1950 as the origin year for the BP scale for use with radiocarbon dating using a 1950-based reference sample of oxalic acid.

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:01 (sixteen years ago) link

When faced with these sorts of depressing global possibilities it is important to emphasize which kinds of positive steps an individual can take to strengthen their own future prospects. I've already participated in enough doomster discussions (think Y2K) to have formed my own thoughts on this sort of hell-in-a-handbasket scenario.

First off, it is important to realize that you shouldn't dismiss doom-laden scenarios out of hand, just because they are drastic and hypothesize futures that do not resemble the present. Similarly, just because there are so many flimsy, unbelievably stupid conspiracy theories doesn't mean there are no successful conspiracies. You have to sift through them and decide what is plausible and what is not. Luckily, the crazy-stupid ones don't require much thought before you can reject them.

I would rate certain kinds of doomsday projections that are kicked around presently as worth serious consideration: the twinned trends of climate change and species extinction are extremely serious imo. The peak oil scenario would seem to be a mathematical certainty. Lastly, the notion that the global economy could enter a seriously unstable period of correction, with a contraction of wealth in the USA and Europe, seems very plausible to me.

All these scenarios have either a large stack of persuasive evidence, major historic precedents, or an undeniable basis in physical reality. It does no good to just cross your fingers and hope they will go away.

So what do you do?

First, you accept the idea that you can't control anything outside of your own actions. You can't play King Knut and turn back the tide. Instead, you make yourself a stronger person. You evaluate your skills and abilities, your tool set, your habits, your resources to meet adversity. As you do this, you identify your weaknesses and strengths.

Then, you address the weaknesses. It might be as simple as acquiring a few hand tools, paying down debt, or learning to sew. It might be getting to know your neighbors better, so you live in a stronger community. It could be seeking out a leader who understands what needs to be done, or becoming a leader yourself. Or, for many people, it may include limiting your excessive and self-harmful desires.

The good thing about this generalized approach is that it works across all kinds of problems. It makes you a better person, parent, neighbor and citizen. And it shows others the right way, too. By example.

So, don't give in to despair. It is a demon that eats your heart. Become wise and life will be good, no matter what else it is.

Aimless, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:09 (sixteen years ago) link

^^^ flowing straight from the survival scroll

sleep, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:13 (sixteen years ago) link

I like the way Stan Goff put it: "Women. Community. Improving your skills. Every day, from here forward."

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:17 (sixteen years ago) link

Been wandering around lego blogs today, there's even a contest for post-apoc lego creations

kingfish, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:21 (sixteen years ago) link

is apocalyptic thinking a particularly male fantasy?

artdamages, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:29 (sixteen years ago) link

it's particularly geeky, to be sure.

kingfish, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:32 (sixteen years ago) link

Or at least, the mental exercise of "ok, when the zombies come, where do i hide out?" is. A good local answer to this is the CostCo.

kingfish, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:32 (sixteen years ago) link

So you could topple 30-foot high stacks of merchandise onto the zombies, crushing them?

Aimless, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:34 (sixteen years ago) link

I am lacking in ammo for the coming zombie plague.

milo z, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:37 (sixteen years ago) link

but I live around a lot of old people, so taking them out and hoarding their supplies shouldn't be a problem.

milo z, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

let it be known that i only read insurgent american irregularly.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:38 (sixteen years ago) link

"The name is not meant to call up visions of gun nuts in the back alleys. We like a bit of irony."

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:40 (sixteen years ago) link

big hoos aka the postapocalypse-jeep-driver

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:44 (sixteen years ago) link

Read Max Brooks' two books. As he points out, the problem with zombies ain't so much the zombies, but the millions of refugees fleeing an outbreak. In World War Z, the three or four waves of refugees heading north completely deforested parts of Canada, and the amounts of shit people had to burn after the wood was gone put so much contaminants into the atmosphere than nuclear winter set in. In other words, it's like in Dawn of the Dead, where the zombies were overcome quite easily, but 'twas the biker gang that caused all the problems.

That's kinda the cool thing about those books, where the premise of a zombie outbreak is the metaphor/allegory Max uses to talk about the problems of how to survive or cope when mass society breaks down.

kingfish, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:46 (sixteen years ago) link

Some of their "practical" suggestions are a bit 0_o ("start a blog"?), and they do have a survivalist bent to them ("become a gunsmith," "start a worm farm: worms are crucial for rebuilding soil").

Realistically though? Yes, yes, a thousand times yes to Aimless's post.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:48 (sixteen years ago) link

xp to self, obv

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:50 (sixteen years ago) link

I grew up Mormon, where it is a commandment from God (!!!) to have a year's supply of food, water, necessities. So my parents had giant barrels of water in this bedroom-sized storage facility in the basement, and like 100 pounds of wheat sitting there. Wheat stores better than flour, but even with a wheat grinder and everything, my parents never used the goddamn wheat. They never used the 20 lb. bags of powdered milk (well, sometimes my mom would use it for cooking).

Advantages: always lots of food around, easy to make a snack (pot of pasta or rice, bowl of cereal from those non-brand giant 5-lb. bags). Never having to go to the store if you run out of TP. And that's stuff that's worn on me but srsly it is at least 2/3 a waste of space.

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I mean, if you move, how the hell are you going to empty all those 50 gallon barrels of water?

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:54 (sixteen years ago) link

kingfish are the zombie books funny? i've gotten mixed signals. i was initially under the impression their intent was to be "serious" comedy.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:54 (sixteen years ago) link

I didn't think they were funny at all. They were completely fucking grim! (And medically inaccurate, about situs inversus at least, but I am a pedant.)

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

i did not know that about mormons!
i ran out of toilet paper today
some survivalist i am

rrrobyn, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:55 (sixteen years ago) link

the drugstore is a few blocks away and it has not fallen to the zombies yet unless you count metaphorical zombies i guess

rrrobyn, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:56 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah in Utah/Idaho most of the houses have a room bigger than a walk-in closet but smaller than a bedroom simply assumed to be for your year's supply.

They are all about growing gardens too, but that shit is just sane and it is impossible to buy a decent tomato at all. Gardens, good.

Abbott, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:57 (sixteen years ago) link

blurrg soaaap bllarr toilet paper nnrrg dish detergent

rrrobyn, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

xpost that was zombies talking

rrrobyn, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah, the Mormon one-year supply is pretty excessive.

I do keep a pantry with enough to stay fed for a month, and about a week's worth of drinking/cooking water. The pantry stuff is nothing I would not normally eat throughout the year so it all gets used within about 15 months of purchase.

Aimless, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:58 (sixteen years ago) link

No, they're written completely straight, which really helps in the believability. There's some political jokes in WWZ(like what happens to an ex-Admin figure named "Grover Carlson" and the job he's assigned to do after everything settles down and the world starts up again), but a lot of the stuff is straight ahead socio-economic analysis. I recommend them, and especially the WWZ book on tape.

kingfish, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

I ran out of ketchup today! Seriously, panic city.

Rock Hardy, Sunday, 20 January 2008 20:59 (sixteen years ago) link

But the thing about zombie outbreaks, as Max Brooks has stated outright and I think George Romero has alluded to, is that they're a good way to address the concerns of what happens when modern civilization breaks down, only you use this completely impossible event(zombies going apeshit and eatin' brains) as a starting off point. I got a kick out of how much of WWZ was actually Brooks discussing the problems of how wasteful & destined-to-fail(which is how insustainable things should actually be described) too much of our current life is, and how he goes at solving the problems in his book with an almost New Deal approach.

kingfish, Sunday, 20 January 2008 21:04 (sixteen years ago) link

well yeah zombie books/movies/etc are never actually about zombies

rrrobyn, Sunday, 20 January 2008 21:06 (sixteen years ago) link

not to be all film studies 101 or anything

rrrobyn, Sunday, 20 January 2008 21:07 (sixteen years ago) link

When will zombies get a proper non-stereotypical treatment by the mass media?

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 20 January 2008 21:08 (sixteen years ago) link

HOARD NOW, GET RICH LATER: noize board post-apocalyptic flea market

sleep, Sunday, 20 January 2008 21:20 (sixteen years ago) link

Too many people, including a substantial majority of so-called survivalists, get caught up in ideas of apocalypse as a romantic fanatasy of heroic struggle and chest-beating triumph, a'la zombie wars.

In fact it would be a grinding lot of work and worry, interspersed with very small victories and pleasures. Read about the Russian Civil War and the consequent famines, or about refugees in eastern Europe during WWII and after if you want to get the proper flavor of survival when the usual structure of society is ripped up and inoperative. Then hope for a gradual descent into genteel poverty, instead.

Aimless, Sunday, 20 January 2008 21:33 (sixteen years ago) link

Too many people, including a substantial majority of so-called survivalists, get caught up in ideas of apocalypse as a romantic fanatasy of heroic struggle and chest-beating triumph, a'la zombie wars.

Seriously. Anyone remember reading Interdictor, who was some IT guy who decided that he'd ride out Katrina in the building he worked in and documented what happened in downtown New Orleans in the subsequent. Check the comments on the posts during the period; dude had a seriously slathering fanbase going, all sorts of geeks & nerds jealous at the dude's chance to play out his post-apoc exercise.

kingfish, Sunday, 20 January 2008 21:41 (sixteen years ago) link

Yup, i use grammar good and never words drop.

kingfish, Sunday, 20 January 2008 21:43 (sixteen years ago) link

I remember that guy! Nothing seems to wind up the nerds like having to keep the servers up while the world is going to hell.

gbx, Sunday, 20 January 2008 21:50 (sixteen years ago) link

Yeah. Dude was a goon and had people falling all over themselves on the sa forums to post about him.

kingfish, Sunday, 20 January 2008 21:55 (sixteen years ago) link

So apparently big chunks of this story are fabricated or something, Julian Robertson didn't even say most of the stuff that attributed to him here, but this seemed like the right thread for this story.

Legendary Funds Manager Predicts Utter Global Collapse Stemming From Bursting of Property Bubble

Blames Bush-Cheney "regime"

In a recent interview on CNBC with Ron Insana, one of the "old-timer" funds manager, Julian Robertson, predicted "utter global collapse" as a consequence of the bursting of the world-wide property bubble.

Often called "Never Been Wrong Robertson", the former head of Tiger Management (once the largest hedge fund in the world), is extremely worried about the speculative bubble in real estate.

Specifically, he is very worried about a world that is sustained by American consumer spending which is in turn 1/4 sustained by a property bubble. He predicts that 20 million people could lose their homes once the property bubble bursts.

Even more worrisome, he thinks central banks around the globe out of desperation will try to re-inflate the world economy with more liquidity that will create an inflationary spiral unseen in the economic history of mankind.

"Where does it end?", Insana asked Robertson. "Utter global collapse," he answered. But not just economic collapse ... collapse of epic proportions.
Collapse and disintegration of all infrastructure, including government.
Inflation will run into the double and triple digits. "Food production will fall. People will be carrying around U.S. dollars in wheelbarrows like Germany," he said.

There will be "total collapse of public infrastructure. Total collapse of medical care systems. All public pension plans, Social Security will collapse. All corporate pension plans will collapse."

"The American consumer is effectively now supporting the rest of the planet," he continued. "Consumption rates in all other nations are falling, have fallen to the point that the tax revenues to governments, that the business and industries those nation states are providing is now a net negative number relative to total debt service and public cost, that this exists in virtually every nation state on the planet now."

And for much of this "doom", interestingly, he blames the Bush-Cheney "regime".

"They have now consolidated power and money on the planet to the maximum extent possible. The planet's net liquidity, that is its, net free cash flow. Is now a negative number. The planet is not simply sinking into a sea of red ink; it is already sunk. The people just don't realize it yet," he said.

According to Robertson, "the Bush-Cheney regime is preparing the nation for transition from democracy into dictatorship because a dictatorship will be necessary to control, in 5 years time, food and water riots." He said "the federal government, that part of Patriot II Act, the internal exile, that the government is going to have to build now huge detention compounds on federal lands, probably in the West where the land is available, to potentially house 50 million or more citizens that will be in financial ruin."

In 10 years time, whoever is left will be effectively starting again, he said.

"More importantly, and I'm trying to think how we imply this or how we express this to the people, what extraordinary times we are living in and how the destruction of the planet has been engineered by the Bushonian Cabal from 1980 to 1992, and then from 2001 to present, which has effectively destroyed the economic liquidity of the planet," he said.

Robertson ended the interview by saying that he hopes he is not alive to see this.

"The lucky ones are the ones who are my age now," he said.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:15 (sixteen years ago) link

this seemed like the right thread for this story.

I'd also like to emphasize that the thread title (rolling looming apocalypse + flippant thunderdome ref) is intended as much to take the piss out of constant doom & gloom propositions as anything else. Thread is Rolling cause they're always coming and never coming true. Or something.

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:21 (sixteen years ago) link

Instead of all this sturm und drang over the coming economic apocalypse, maybe we should all just relax, crack open a few brewskies, and enjoy a few good chuckles over the coming avian flu pandemic. amirite?

Aimless, Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:22 (sixteen years ago) link

avian fluskies

Oilyrags, Thursday, 24 January 2008 19:23 (sixteen years ago) link


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