2008 USP(G)ET pt. II: counting the days to 2012 primary thread 1

live chat w/538 founder nate silver right now

http://www.washingtontimes.com/livechat/2008/sep/30/fivethirtyeightcom-founder-nate-silver

NC is looking good for the Dems because Liddy Dole is tanking.

http://howisobamadoing.com/

I was so certain Kerry was going to win in 2004 that I'm really leery of jinxing it now by calling it for Obama.

rcp is sooo last election cycle god

2004 should tell us that Obama is going to win. He is consistently leading in polls in the same way Bush was. We were all convinced that Kerry was going to win regardless because the undecideds were going to flip for him.

I was not convinced that Kerry was going to win at all, fwiw

haha:

http://howismccaindoing.com/

what the polls looked like in 2004:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/chart3way.html

Wilkes has a http://www.pubrecord.org/component/content/359.html?task=view.2 million contract with the state to handle workers compensation claims. Her contract with the state was up but her firm was recently given a new contract despite the fact that there were others who provided the state with a lower bid than Wilkes’s firm. One of the other applicants who submitted a lower bid has appealed the decision.

Wilkes told Branchflower she believed it was impressed upon her from Palin's office that she would lose the contract if she did not deny the claim, state officials knowledgeable about her testimony said.

Although Wooten did receive worker's compensation benefits for about three months, his claim was suddenly denied and he was forced to hire a lawyer and appeal the issue, which dragged on for more than six months. It's unknown if Wilkes played any role in denying Wooten worker's compensation benefits.

Oops. Link here.

not sure if mccain's new ad was posted. (this page takes forever to load; maybe an october election thread?)

http://thepage.time.com/2008/09/30/mccain-plays-the-bill-clinton-card/

does it matter if mccain's able to convince indie voters the crash is fannie/freddie's fault?

no

aside from the fact that half his staff is affiliated w/ fannie/freddie it seems like some inside baseball that's not really gonna catch fire

http://slog.thestranger.com/files/2008/09/1abortp.jpg

Shocker, Michelle Malkin is pissed at Seattle again

On September 29th, 2008 at 10:08 pm, NJ-Aviator said:
Totally expected from the idiots and losers on the left.

#2On September 29th, 2008 at 10:09 pm, alexwest said:
I have no words.

#3On September 29th, 2008 at 10:12 pm, Paul Revere said:
The intellectual Left.

#4On September 29th, 2008 at 10:15 pm, ajmontana said:
Amazing, they trash a hard working decent woman and give Obama a pass on all his misdealings. sickening, sad and stupid, they’re pathetic losers.

It’s Killin em and
I Love it!!!

McCain/Palin 08′
Image: IQ of an odopey supporter must be 70 tops.

#5On September 29th, 2008 at 10:16 pm, tarpon said:
Can we abort the left?

#6On September 29th, 2008 at 10:22 pm, backwoods conservative said:
Sounds like an abortive attempt at clever political discourse.

http://www.topgunmccain.com/images/tap.jpg

Can we abort the left?

haha uh

xp - !!!

On September 29th, 2008 at 10:22 pm, FilmLadd said:
It’s hard to get riled up about bathroom graffiti when faced with a complete collectivist-socialist takeover of the entire country and the enslavement of the last bastion of freedom.

Sort of like getting upset at someone for littering in the garbage dump.

...

On September 29th, 2008 at 10:24 pm, Michelle Malkin said:
Um, in case you hadn’t noticed, I devoted the entire day to wall-to-wall coverage of the bailout debate, and I’ve spent the past year opposing every last bailout measure. I like to blog about other things, too. If they don’t interest you, don’t click.

...

On September 29th, 2008 at 10:32 pm, FilmLadd said:
On September 29th, 2008 at 10:24 pm, Michelle Malkin said:

Whups! Don’t get me wrong, wasn’t complaining about your having posted about it. And yes - I have noticed and you’ve been doing fantastic work.

Was trying to make more of a statement about how numbing these tactics are starting to get… it’s all running one into another so fast and furious… sort of like watching two or three Michael Bay movies back-to-back.

...

DO NOT TAUNT THE QUEEN MALKIN

also,

ODOPEY

:-O

Michelle Malkin: Kinda Touchy

I like this trend.

For his part, Mr. Palin has worried about the frequent separation of his wife from her family, friends and Alaska staff, an adviser said. Accordingly, her family will be with her in Sedona during this week. Also, a key Alaska staffer joined the Palin operation Sunday.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122265784614384667.html

pre-resignation hangout? (nb i don't think there's a chance)

For his part, Mr. Palin has worried about the frequent separation of his wife from her family, friends and Alaska staff

jesus what a bunch of babies

sort of like watching two or three Michael Bay movies back-to-back

well, you know Palin will be swimming in a sea of Ronnie Hudsons for her pickins'. (Thank you, PP, for that zing)

which one is Armageddon?

haha, ok, NOT Ronnie Hudson. ok, will stop.

I get a small thrill out of imagining FilmLadd as Ebert trolling the Malkinverse.

lol palin just keeps on giving

good god.

oh this bitch

I'M THE NEW ENERGY AND LOOKIT MY NEW FACE

so did the "what's the worst thing cheney did/ shot his friend" thing turn out to just be a rumor? is that the bit that CBS is sitting on?

i can't even bear to listen to her any more. my cringe reflex is in some kind of anaphylactic shock zone on a constant basis.

do people talk like that in alaska or is she just a weirdo

her unwavering arrogance through all of this shit makes her crash and burn so much more enjoyable.

she watched a lot of cspan as a beauty queen

could someone neatly summarize that clip? i can't watch it right now.

re: accent. It's the Palin accent, which is part North Dakotan, part Pat from It's Pat fame.

No one in Alaska sounds like Palin. The Alaskan accent is either a) the neutral accent, or b) the pirate accent.

she says she's been listening to Joe Biden's speeches since second grade, Couric questions her on whether its smart to imply Biden's too old when her running mate is 72, Palin responds with a bunch of randomly strung-together adjectives about being "new", "fresh", "energy"

a bunch of randomly strung-together adjectives about being "new", "fresh", "energy"

Palin's using the Joey Beltram strategy.

and the remark about Biden in the speech was innocuous.

Must she always raise her voice when uttering a normal sentence like she's auditioning for Aida?

Palins come from Idaho really, so CLOSE. For the Minnesota Special you need that unique combination of Scandinavian farm spawn and sloppy diction.

My mother just had to be told that she is the only person pushing 'Biden to drop' rumours that I know and that such things are lame. She also thinks Obama is going to be slammed with Wright stuff again and/or they're going to tar/feather him about supposed ACORN affiliations.

She is clearly watching too much Fox and/or regurgitating the Freep shit her Vietnam-vet SO used to try sending to me before I told him it was crazy shit for crazy people.

I've never been to eastern Idaho, but I know the west side of Idaho sounds neutral as well, fwiw.

Honestly, I think Palin's accent is from Palinia

"new", "fresh", "energy" are all great, positive things and words and feelings in any old order so GO SARAH imho.

lol you guys arent even saying whats so lolzy about that clip

Oh no, it's nothing negative at all. He's got a lot of experience and just stating the fact there, that we've been hearing his speeches for all these years. So he's got a tremendous amount of experience and, you know, I'm the new energy, the new face, the new ideas and he's got the experience based on many many years in the Senate and voters are gonna have a choice there of what it is that they want in these next four years.

THIS ELECTION IS ABOUT A NEW FACE AND NEW IDEAS VERSUS SOME OLD COOT WHO HAS BEEN IN THE SENATE MANY MANY YEARS.... MCCAIN/PALIN 08!!!!

I figured the lolz were based on her not making a lick of sense

and what otm