2008 USP(G)ET pt. II: counting the days to 2012 primary thread 1

haha xpost

uh

He said his daughter, who does a good impression of the Alaska governor, served as model.

He said his daughter, who does a good NUDE impression of the Alaska governor, served as model.

:]

xposts it's a furious race from the Trib's google app to ilx

like i was saying - http://thepage.time.com/2008/09/30/eye-of-newt/

Newt Gingrich is now, for a couple of days at least, the leader of the Republican Party

he's just using Eric Cantor's pretty face

like i was saying - http://thepage.time.com/2008/09/30/eye-of-newt/

where did you say this

http://i35.tinypic.com/22al1l.jpg

where did you say this

Rolling US Economy Into The Shitbin Thread

got it, thanks

so what do we make of this proposal of Obama's to up the FDIC backing from 100k to 250k...? I don't entirely understand how that relates to current crisis or bailout proposal, someone explain it to me...

protect's more of people's deposits by taking more money (in premiums) from the banks.

the proposal would reassure someone with between 100 and 250k in one bank that 60% of their savings won't vanish. it could help prevent (slow motion?) bank runs.

Considering that you can already have multiple accounts insured up to $100K, how would that make a difference? Am I wrong about that?

You are quite right, but this would stop people spreading stuff around very useful if there are less banks. In short it is one of those proposals that sounds big but does very little for the sort of people who have $250k in cash savings.

hey, palin's not all bad:

http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/09/26/cashing-in-on-a-gop-star/

“Make a donation to Planned Parenthood,” the anonymous e-mail message urged. “Of any amount. In Sarah Palin’s name.”

The message, which began circulating widely on the Internet last week, had one more instruction: request that the personalized thank-you card from Planned Parenthood be sent to Ms. Palin, the Republican vice-presidential nominee and a vocal opponent of abortion, at the McCain-Palin campaign headquarters in Virginia.

So far, the scheme seems to be getting a strong response. As of Friday, Planned Parenthood had taken in $802,678 in donations from 31,313 people, said a spokesman for the organization, Tait Sye. More than two-thirds of the individuals are first-time donors to Planned Parenthood, Mr. Sye said, and money came in from all 50 states.

lotta people prob putting their $$$ in cash right now

Considering that you can already have multiple accounts insured up to $100K, how would that make a difference? Am I wrong about that?

you can, but obviously there are some number of accounts > 100k. so it's just about providing more assurance. like the 100k guarantee, the goal of a 250k guarantee would be to forestall ever having to use it.

Hollered across an area

Recused himself from the dealings

R2000: Obama 51-41
Rasmussen: Obama 51-45
Gallup: 49-43
Diageo: Obama 47-41 (leading by 10 pts in battleground states)

Obama seems to be leading slightly in CO, VA and NC, and slightly behind (but moving up?) in OH and FL. Winning any one of these five states gives him the election (unless he wins only CO, and loses NH, which produces a tie).

OK, I'm calling it for Obama

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_ov-pT1x-W8Y/SOF7kLoFSiI/AAAAAAAACZk/Cn9ndkj9MRY/S1600-R/0929_mainchart.png http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_ov-pT1x-W8Y/SOF7rVZDwwI/AAAAAAAACZs/R_nLG3XvsSA/S1600-R/0929_bigmap.png

FLORIDA & OHIO LEANING OBAMA

Indiana is also in the OH and FL category

DO NOT CALL THE ELECTION IN SEPTMBER.

xpost to Hand: no, Tracer, that should be 'he REcused HIMself' - honestly weirdest emPHASIS on wrong sylLAbel thing evah.

i can't really imagine what could happen in the next five weeks to change this. well i can but I'd rather not

yeah, that's based on poblano's prediction voodoo. he's still generally behind in the polls in both states.

I have imagination *and* superstition on my side; it's like naming the baby before a safe delivery or something.

i forgot about Nevada. I'd say it's a toss-up, and significant only with respect to ties - it either creates one or breaks one.

Come on, Missouri. Shit's getting ridiculous.

Gallup: 49 O/43 Mc

Obvioulsy hoping for Ohio and Florida but I'd love it if Obama could pick up either Nevada or North Carolina.

live chat w/538 founder nate silver right now

http://www.washingtontimes.com/livechat/2008/sep/30/fivethirtyeightcom-founder-nate-silver

NC is looking good for the Dems because Liddy Dole is tanking.

http://howisobamadoing.com/

I was so certain Kerry was going to win in 2004 that I'm really leery of jinxing it now by calling it for Obama.

rcp is sooo last election cycle god

2004 should tell us that Obama is going to win. He is consistently leading in polls in the same way Bush was. We were all convinced that Kerry was going to win regardless because the undecideds were going to flip for him.

I was not convinced that Kerry was going to win at all, fwiw

haha:

http://howismccaindoing.com/

what the polls looked like in 2004:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/chart3way.html

Wilkes has a http://www.pubrecord.org/component/content/359.html?task=view.2 million contract with the state to handle workers compensation claims. Her contract with the state was up but her firm was recently given a new contract despite the fact that there were others who provided the state with a lower bid than Wilkes’s firm. One of the other applicants who submitted a lower bid has appealed the decision.

Wilkes told Branchflower she believed it was impressed upon her from Palin's office that she would lose the contract if she did not deny the claim, state officials knowledgeable about her testimony said.

Although Wooten did receive worker's compensation benefits for about three months, his claim was suddenly denied and he was forced to hire a lawyer and appeal the issue, which dragged on for more than six months. It's unknown if Wilkes played any role in denying Wooten worker's compensation benefits.

Oops. Link here.

not sure if mccain's new ad was posted. (this page takes forever to load; maybe an october election thread?)

http://thepage.time.com/2008/09/30/mccain-plays-the-bill-clinton-card/

does it matter if mccain's able to convince indie voters the crash is fannie/freddie's fault?

no

aside from the fact that half his staff is affiliated w/ fannie/freddie it seems like some inside baseball that's not really gonna catch fire

http://slog.thestranger.com/files/2008/09/1abortp.jpg

Shocker, Michelle Malkin is pissed at Seattle again

On September 29th, 2008 at 10:08 pm, NJ-Aviator said:
Totally expected from the idiots and losers on the left.

#2On September 29th, 2008 at 10:09 pm, alexwest said:
I have no words.

#3On September 29th, 2008 at 10:12 pm, Paul Revere said:
The intellectual Left.

#4On September 29th, 2008 at 10:15 pm, ajmontana said:
Amazing, they trash a hard working decent woman and give Obama a pass on all his misdealings. sickening, sad and stupid, they’re pathetic losers.

It’s Killin em and
I Love it!!!

McCain/Palin 08′
Image: IQ of an odopey supporter must be 70 tops.

#5On September 29th, 2008 at 10:16 pm, tarpon said:
Can we abort the left?

#6On September 29th, 2008 at 10:22 pm, backwoods conservative said:
Sounds like an abortive attempt at clever political discourse.