Trump, May 2017: 100 days of [unintelligible]

So they're going to try and vote tomorrow. Fun!

Has Issa said how he's gonna vote?

Not yet. He's fucked either way imo so he might as well vote yes

I know it's none of my business, but...

according to this Issa is still "undecided" - if any of these guys are your reps please call them:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C-7h_7sXcAAo2eu.jpg

I don't get the rush other than to light the GOP moderates on fire.. and even then, this could be so colossally stupid it damages even non-moderate pols?

President Manbaby wants a "win" is why

I guess the reconciliation clock is ticking too...

8 billion dollars to paper over pre-existing conditions is some bulllllllllllllllllllllls shiiiiiiiiiiiiiiit

frelinghuysen? jesus christ being on that losing henry clay ticket seems to have some long fucking coattails

http://docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/20170501/Upton%20Amendment.pdf

Nate Silver is why Clinton lost the election

It's gonna pass this time. Stupidity and evil can only be constrained for so long.

yeah banking on the senate to stop this is like relying on the voters to stop trump

Calling Curbelo tomorrow, but he's leaning no.

My rep is a Dem.

But Upton wants to get to yes. He hates Obamacare.

After the 2010 elections thrust Republicans into the majority, Upton overcame concerns with his moderate nature to win the coveted Energy and Commerce Committee gavel.

His presentation to leadership consisted of him pulling out the game Jenga, stacking up the series of blocks into a high pile, as the bemused lawmakers wondered what he was doing.

damn america sonned in a jenga beef

"Concerns with his moderate nature"

gotta bad feeling abt this. no matter how shitty AHCA is, it will be the "win" (in the short term) that they've all been salivating over

What's the win -- passing in the House? It means nothing if it doesn't clear the Senate. If it does, then I'll worry

Once it passes the House (which it will), something will pass the Senate. Something fucked and evil. If not quite as fucked and evil as this, then something maybe 2% less fucked and evil.

^yeah kinda my thinking

health insurance will become hereditary

The vibe as such from the Senate appears to be "Thanks for nothing if you DO pass this, you jerks."

Yeah Senate math is quite different.

Bernie, Warren and the rest of the Senate w/ some bullshit

Strong and tough line of questioning from @Dena. Pathetic and dismal answers from Sanders on every question. https://t.co/6mQ6h72Ynl

— Hussain (@Chemzes) May 3, 2017

http://www.alternet.org/grayzone-project/senators-un-letter-israel-palestine-sanders-warren

Is $8 billion a lot of money?

Well, one thing not answered in the article is the time period over which this $8 billion would be spent. Is this a one year number? Is it a ten year total? The article doesn't give an answer to this basic question.

To get some idea of the need, the average cost of treating the 10 percent least healthy people is more than $50,000 a year per person. This means that on an annual basis the cost of treating the 30 million least healthy people in the country would be over $1.5 trillion. Many of these people are getting Medicare, Medicaid, or employer provided insurance, but if one-third of them showed up in the high risk pools, then their costs would be over $500 billion a year.

In this case, if the $8 billion is a one-year figure, it will cover 1.6 percent of the cost of treating this population. On the other hand, if it is a ten-year figure it will cover 0.16 percent of the cost of treating the less healthy people who show up in high risk pools. Either way, it is a tiny fraction of the cost, but it would still be nice to know which one it us.

from dean baker obv

People with the highest percentage of preexisting conditions live in states won by Trump, according to Steve Rattner.

he walks on, doesn't look back - he pretends he can't hear her. starts to whistle as he crosses the street - seems embarrassed to be there

he says 'would you respect me- If I didn't have this gun? Cause without it, I don't get it, and that's why I carry one'

And I said, "What about Breakfast at Tiffany's?" She said, "I think I remember the film, and as I recall, I think we both kinda liked it" And I said, "Well, that's the one thing we've got."

If you like Piña Coladas and getting caught in the rain, If you're not into yoga, if you have half a brain

Too fuckin late, George Will: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/trump-has-a-dangerous-disability/2017/05/03/56ca6118-2f6b-11e7-9534-00e4656c22aa_story.html?tid=ss_fb&utm_term=.9cf02576c613#comments

so when are they voting on this

The first line of that George Will column is pretty good though

Rumblings on the purported religious liberty EO to come today are that the religious right are let down if not deeply pissed off.

Supposedly a sprightly 40 min of debate on the bill today! We can all be dead by dinner

don't care what they think or care about xp

If you like Piña Coladas and getting caught in the rain, If you're not into yoga, if you have half a brain

― The Adventures Of Whiteman (Bananaman Begins), Thursday, 4 May 2017 12:01 (two hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

pm'd u a dick pic, let's make this happen

im kind of worried about this bill passing

it's going to pass

yeah it's gonna pass

Rumblings on the purported religious liberty EO to come today are that the religious right are let down if not deeply pissed off.

― Ned Raggett, Thursday, May 4, 2017 8:39 AM (thirty minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

if the religious right doesn't even like it, why even issue the order at all? Just seems like a recipe for more protests and another court defeat

then again, why anything is a fairly futile question at this point.

the issue is the senate right?

Saw one story that claims the EO is all about making it easier for Trump to fundraise in churches.

acc to NPR this morning the Johnson Rule is hardly ever enforced vs churches

Basic breakdown of what happens next re AHCA

http://www.cnn.com/2017/05/04/politics/republicans-health-care-donald-trump/index.html

Point 5 seems like the key one:

5. The Senate changes it drastically: Senate Republicans have already expressed concern with the end of Medicaid expansion by 2020 -- which is in the House bill -- and it's hard for me to imagine some of the more moderate elements in the chamber will be happy about the pre-existing condition provisions. If the Senate radically alters the bill, which I think is more likely than not, it will have to a) go to a conference committee, and if that committee can report out a deal, then it has to b) be re-voted on by the House. If the bill is moved to the center by Senate Republicans, is there any certainty that the conservative Freedom Caucus will go along with it?

if Trump is personally able to grift a bunch of mega-churches that would be sort of funny i guess

i mean, more so than he already has