Mourning in America - Trump Year One: November '16 to

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Yeah, as I've been saying on that point -- she had a pretty bad showing as a third-party candidate, you're not going to get a much weaker one than that. So, assuming this is all her fault, your options are:
1) Ban third party candidates
2) browbeat the candidates and or their supporters even harder, hoping you will finally make it so that no one runs and/or no one votes for them
3) Come up with a better campaign strategy so that someone with like 20k votes in a swing state doesn't cause you to lose

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:27 (seven years ago) link

yeah and what iatee said. If you want to bang your head against a wall, spend it on the registered dem trump supporter -- they're worth twice as much as the stein supporter!

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:28 (seven years ago) link

(a vote lost for Trump plus a vote gained for Clinton)

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:29 (seven years ago) link

sry for weird metaphor, spending banging your head makes no sense

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:29 (seven years ago) link

banning 3rd party candidates wouldn't be a terrible idea. the problem is that we have what is in practice a runoff voting system, but a few people just don't understand that and given room to pretend otherwise. bernie and trump were the real '3rd party candidates', sanders and johnson were just ways to express that you decided not to vote.

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:32 (seven years ago) link

and *are given room

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:33 (seven years ago) link

and ugh 'sanders and johnson' should be 'stein and johnson'

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:33 (seven years ago) link

fwiw, the one thing I liked in the Stein interview I listened to was that she advocated ranked or instant runoff voting.

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:33 (seven years ago) link

jill stein advocates changes to help save us from jill stein, basically

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:37 (seven years ago) link

lol true

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:39 (seven years ago) link

obvs you still have the problem of how many of those people would have gone Clinton. PA in particular seems pretty unlikely - you'd need nearly all of her voters to go Clinton rather than another candidate or stay home.

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:39 (seven years ago) link

the weird thing about this election is that similar to brexit I think, if you had a repeat election 3 days later, I think the outcome would have been reversed. not all of those stein voters would go clinton, but many would and more importantly I imagine a lot of lethargic voters would have shown up. plus I bet there were some trump voters who were just trying to make a statement.

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:42 (seven years ago) link

people love to have someone or something concrete and simple to blame, particularly when it can be tied into a moral failure on the part of voters (an extension of the "personal responsibility" ethos they've internalized from conservative talking points) xp

k3vin k., Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:45 (seven years ago) link

yeah. I think Brexit helped convince me to vote Clinton in a solidly blue state. Did not want to contribute to a "surprise." It also helped that the greens seem so flaky and useless.

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:46 (seven years ago) link

people love to have someone or something concrete and simple to blame, particularly when it can be tied into a moral failure on the part of voters (an extension of the "personal responsibility" ethos they've internalized from conservative talking points) xp

― k3vin k., Thursday, December 1, 2016 3:45 PM (forty-eight seconds ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

sure, and it also means you don't have to do the hard work of thinking about what to do differently

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:46 (seven years ago) link

banning 3rd party candidates wouldn't be a terrible idea

Dem blamefesters are seldom this forthright!

They will never give up on Nadercursing, and that's been 16 years. Wait til they insist All Good People vote for Cuomo or Booker in 2020.

Supercreditor (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:47 (seven years ago) link

my my, how can any citizen of a democracy possibly find fault with either of our diametrically-opposed-in-all-things parties

Supercreditor (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:50 (seven years ago) link

Banning third party would have had the opposite effect in this election and would have given Trump a bigger win; Gary Johnson with 1.4M votes peeled way more votes off Trump than Stein with 0.4M did off Clinton, even under very conservative assumptions about how many Libertarian would not have voted for Trump (in which case you would have to make the opposite assumption about Stein: that every Stein voter would have voted for Clinton)

flopson, Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:50 (seven years ago) link

In complete befuddlement I find myself agreeing with Morbius. Banning third parties because your team lost is not only nagl, it's undemocratic. Have your team do better next time.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:52 (seven years ago) link

The good news is that we may not have much longer to worry about whether something is undemocratic:

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/29/world/americas/western-liberal-democracy.html

¶ (DJP), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:53 (seven years ago) link

the weird thing about this election is that similar to brexit I think, if you had a repeat election 3 days later, I think the outcome would have been reversed. not all of those stein voters would go clinton, but many would and more importantly I imagine a lot of lethargic voters would have shown up. plus I bet there were some trump voters who were just trying to make a statement.

― iatee, Thursday, December 1, 2016 3:42 PM (eight minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Yeah, I think making a big spectacle of how much she was owning him in the polls may have hurt turnout. if it had seemed closer, people would have had to more seriously consider what Trump POTUS would feel like, rather than having it both ways (cozy in moral superiority for not having had to vote for Crooked Hillary but also not having to live under Trump)

flopson, Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:54 (seven years ago) link

Venezuela, for instance, enjoyed the highest possible scores on Freedom House’s measures of political rights and democracy in the 1980s.

Ok, sorry, disqualified.

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:55 (seven years ago) link

my my, how can any citizen of a democracy possibly find fault with either of our diametrically-opposed-in-all-things parties

the point is that our parties are very weak structures. they don't mean anything, they certainly don't believe in anything, and they barely control anything. they are just brand names that help voters figure out which candidate is more right wing and which candidate is more left wing. jill stein, the human being, could have ran as a democrat. nobody would have stopped her. and if her message were popular enough, she would have got the nomination, similar to trump. sanders came close.

instead she decided to pretend like our political system is actually a different country's political system. we give her, and people like you, the option to play make believe. I'm not sure that really benefits anyone.

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:56 (seven years ago) link

In complete befuddlement I find myself agreeing with Morbius. Banning third parties because your team lost is not only nagl, it's undemocratic. Have your team do better next time.

plenty of places have runoff voting. they are not 'undemocratic' just because they prevent all the other guys from running in the 2nd round. we have what is in practice runoff voting, it just isn't formally structured that way.

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:58 (seven years ago) link

Clinton voters engaged in all sorts of Make Believe.

You know what all my post-Mondale prez votes have been? This: "FUCK YOUUUUU." Nothing more or less.

Supercreditor (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:58 (seven years ago) link

the Mondale vote was "FUCK MEEEEE"

Supercreditor (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 1 December 2016 20:58 (seven years ago) link

A large chunk of the electorate in this country don't vote "wings," they just eat em. They vote "Time to shake things up or not."

Supercreditor (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:00 (seven years ago) link

Banning third party would have had the opposite effect in this election and would have given Trump a bigger win; Gary Johnson with 1.4M votes peeled way more votes off Trump than Stein with 0.4M did off Clinton, even under very conservative assumptions about how many Libertarian would not have voted for Trump (in which case you would have to make the opposite assumption about Stein: that every Stein voter would have voted for Clinton)

idk it seems conceivable that a lot of johnson voters were disgusted by trump and johnson offered them a way to not actually have to vote for clinton, despite preferring that outcome. and it's not like trump appealed to the 'true libertarian' crowd either, he's pushing the party wildly in the opposite direction. I haven't seen any numbers on this though.

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:01 (seven years ago) link

lol stop, the most plausible explanation is clearly flopson's

k3vin k., Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:05 (seven years ago) link

The good news is that we may not have much longer to worry about whether something is undemocratic:

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/29/world/americas/western-liberal-democracy.html

oh i have the perfect thread to bump w this

Mordy, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:06 (seven years ago) link

plenty of places have runoff voting. they are not 'undemocratic' just because they prevent all the other guys from running in the 2nd round. we have what is in practice runoff voting, it just isn't formally structured that way.

― iatee, Thursday, December 1, 2016 9:58 PM (eight minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Not the same though. If in a first round this would have been the result, many Stein voters could have changed their vote in the second round. People who didn't vote could have voted anyway in the second round if they wanted to prevent Trump becoming president. Completely different dynamic in the race.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:09 (seven years ago) link

xps iatee- some of the Libertarians would have voted for Clinton, others would have not voted, still others would have voted for Trump. And not all Stein voters would have voted for Clinton. It's not impossible but difficult to split all those up in a way that gives Clinton more votes

Having said that I still don't think they should let third parties run in what's essentially a run-off election. It's like a tax on the votes of the innumerate

flopson, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:10 (seven years ago) link

lol stop, the most plausible explanation is clearly flopson's

not seeing any post-election numbers, but:
http://www.people-press.org/2016/08/18/1-voters-general-election-preferences/

Gary Johnson is currently backed by 10% of all registered voters in a four-way race. When asked their preference in a two-way race, Johnson backers split evenly: 43% say they would support Clinton in a two-way contest, while 42% would favor Trump.

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:11 (seven years ago) link

"We're losing a lot of people because of the Internet," Trump said. "We have to go see Bill Gates and a lot of different people that really understand what's happening. We have to talk to them about, maybe in certain areas, closing that Internet up in some way. Somebody will say, 'Oh freedom of speech, freedom of speech.' These are foolish people. We have a lot of foolish people."

this stupid fuck

I've read Ta-nehisi Coates. (marcos), Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:12 (seven years ago) link

The Electoral College, the over/under-representation of some states seem like much bigger issues with the American system than third parties running, too. The fact that Clinton got 2.5m more votes, to me (abroad) that seems bonkers. But presto, that's your system. I'd be more worried about that though. That not every vote counts as equal.

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:13 (seven years ago) link

Not the same though. If in a first round this would have been the result, many Stein voters could have changed their vote in the second round. People who didn't vote could have voted anyway in the second round if they wanted to prevent Trump becoming president. Completely different dynamic in the race.

no, the dynamic is exactly the same. there was a first round election that included sanders, clinton, trump and multiple right-wing candidates. clinton and trump won that first round. the general election *is* the second round, and anyone who wanted to prevent trump from being president was given that option.

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:13 (seven years ago) link

"We're losing a lot of people because of the Internet," Trump said. "We have to go see Bill Gates and a lot of different people that really understand what's happening. We have to talk to them about, maybe in certain areas, closing that Internet up in some way. Somebody will say, 'Oh freedom of speech, freedom of speech.' These are foolish people. We have a lot of foolish people."
this stupid fuck

― I've read Ta-nehisi Coates. (marcos), Thursday, December 1, 2016 4:12 PM (one minute ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

where did that quote come from?

the last famous person you were surprised to discover was actually (man alive), Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:14 (seven years ago) link

unless you live in a solid red or blue state where yer vote don't mean shit

xp

Supercreditor (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:16 (seven years ago) link

ugh sorry i really have to get better about checking dates on things that show up in my feeds, he said it a year ago http://money.cnn.com/2015/12/08/technology/donald-trump-internet/index.html

still it is an astonishingly stupid statement

xp

I've read Ta-nehisi Coates. (marcos), Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:16 (seven years ago) link

some speech he did around this time last year xp

global tetrahedron, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:17 (seven years ago) link

no, the dynamic is exactly the same. there was a first round election that included sanders, clinton, trump and multiple right-wing candidates. clinton and trump won that first round. the general election *is* the second round, and anyone who wanted to prevent trump from being president was given that option.

― iatee, Thursday, December 1, 2016 10:13 PM (forty-two seconds ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

That 'first round' was an already established Dem candidate with a multitude or Gop candidates. That's not a 'first round'. Compare it to France: everyone (dems, gop, yr nazi part, greens etc) enters in the first round. The biggest two go to round two. If you'd have that system youd have seen how much support Trump actually got, shocking the nation, but with still a second round to come.
It doesn't matter, you don't have that system, but because the results of the first round are made public, that creates a different dynamic for the second, final round (i.e. In France socialists voting for a conservative because the far right candidate is even worse etc)

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:20 (seven years ago) link

Wait til they insist All Good People vote for Cuomo or Booker in 2020.

I know this is gonna piss Morbz off but I would welcome the election of Cuomo, Booker, Sanders, Warren, Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, or Hillary Clinton as President with unmixed enthusiasm

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:21 (seven years ago) link

If Trump was talking about closing the propaganda sites that helped him get elected and the foolish people who voted for him, I couldn't agree more!

i need microsoft installed on my desktop, can you help (Old Lunch), Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:21 (seven years ago) link

yes, eephus, the race to the bottom.

Supercreditor (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:22 (seven years ago) link

were all of the candidates to run in a first round, trump's win % would be a soft plurality. it would not be any more of a signal to the nation of how much support he would garner than a signal such as 'THE DUDE WON THE REPUBLICAN NOMINATION' xp

iatee, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:24 (seven years ago) link

I'll grant you that

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 1 December 2016 21:25 (seven years ago) link

Trevor Noah sucks. Smug fuck. This is why I hate the daily show

flappy bird, Thursday, 1 December 2016 23:02 (seven years ago) link

People are politically illiterate and don't know what they want in a candidate. This, more than the primary process, is why we ended up with two people who were widely hated.

Treeship, Thursday, 1 December 2016 23:21 (seven years ago) link

some americans are also functionally illiterate

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 1 December 2016 23:24 (seven years ago) link

NYTimes in fine both sides do it mode

Trump’s Carrier Deal: Giveaway or New Model to Save Jobs?
By NELSON D. SCHWARTZ 1:13 PM ET

Since the deal to save 1,000 jobs was disclosed, critics have pounced on Carrier’s receipt of $700,000 a year in incentives from the state of Indiana.

Others called Donald J. Trump’s effort a new path to economic growth.

'Others' being trump administration officials and their various water carriers?

carthago delenda est (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 1 December 2016 23:26 (seven years ago) link


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