Seymour Hersh - classic or dud

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the idea that bin laden was being held captive by isi does make a lot of sense tho, some of the other details maybe not as much

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 02:59 (nine years ago) link

If a feeling counts this feels more right than wrong!

deej loaf (D-40), Monday, 11 May 2015 03:02 (nine years ago) link

narrative primarily based on one source but validation from others...typical for Hersh.

But who cares anyway, right?

Robert Earl Hughes (dandydonweiner), Monday, 11 May 2015 03:03 (nine years ago) link

new yorker clearly wldnt touch it

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 03:42 (nine years ago) link

I care, but want verification, like with My Lai. A lot (maybe most) people thought that at least some Pakistan govt. elements had to know bin Laden had settled into that city, so why not say, Oh yeah, we were gonna use him as a bargaining chip, 'til that guy betrayed the secret, as Hersh put it. Yeah, whatta party-pooper/ And maybe that's true, but the whole thing w Saudis, like I mentioned also needs much more parsing---Hersh's paraphrasing of sassy insiders raises as many questions as it answers, at least.

dow, Monday, 11 May 2015 03:58 (nine years ago) link

My Lai was way past verified, even if the perps got off light.

dow, Monday, 11 May 2015 03:59 (nine years ago) link

I don't doubt that ISi played a role in Bin Laden's confinement to Abbottabad, that Pak air defense withheld response to the SEAL insertion, or that Saud intelligence maintain ties to Al Qaeda (their support of affiliate Al-Nusra in Syria is overt).

I do have doubts that the SEAL team members who've disclosed elements of the raid that they were privy to were pushing an administration fabrication; as a group they take these things very seriously, and arguably none would risk ostracism by peers. While I've no idea whether Bin Laden's remains are at the bottom of the Arabian Sea, the requirement that there be no locus for a martyr's cult adequately explains why his remains or even post-mortem photos weren't released.

demonstrating its preference by crouching for copulation (Sanpaku), Monday, 11 May 2015 04:02 (nine years ago) link

It may have been an utter mess, with a totally desecrated body torn into a dog's breakfast, but the resolution of the mess through the 'burial at sea' was about as good a resolution as could have been planned, even if they'd thought it through a hundred times and decided on it months beforehand. Kind of an 'all's well that ends well' story.

Aimless, Monday, 11 May 2015 04:28 (nine years ago) link

Can't imagine Kathryn Bigelow being very happy, if there's a chance her movie told all of the potentially false parts of this story.

... (Eazy), Monday, 11 May 2015 04:31 (nine years ago) link

gosh that movie was such ponderous security porn garbage may it be repeatedly owned by irl forever

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 04:45 (nine years ago) link

Recent interview in which Hersh praises Gawker and Buzzfeed.

... (Eazy), Monday, 11 May 2015 06:06 (nine years ago) link

Woman Allegedly Put Dead Foot Skin Shavings in Family's Milk

Seymour Hersh

salthigh, Monday, 11 May 2015 06:16 (nine years ago) link

new yorker clearly wldnt touch it

― lag∞n, Sunday, May 10, 2015 10:42 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

they have all their credibility propping up the official story, which ran in their pages, and whose author (iirc) hasn't written for them again, right?

goole, Monday, 11 May 2015 14:52 (nine years ago) link

iffy sourcing seems the more likely culprit, not like theyve never published a story that contradicted a previous one

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 14:55 (nine years ago) link

dont think it wld "ruin their credibility" or anything

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 14:56 (nine years ago) link

lmao never mind

http://www.newyorker.com/contributors/nicholas-schmidle

goole, Monday, 11 May 2015 14:56 (nine years ago) link

i mean unless u think they just stick to their original story always even when new info becomes available, doesnt seem quite right

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 14:57 (nine years ago) link

The New YOrker is never wrong, they employ fact checkers and shit

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 11 May 2015 14:58 (nine years ago) link

hersh seems more and more willing to publish thinly sourced pieces which is certainly interesting from a readers perspective but i cld see how it wld make the nyer et al nervous, just from journalists reactions on twitter hes obvs someone who is widly admired but his rep has def taken a hit because of this pattern

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 15:00 (nine years ago) link

the vibe of score settling from the sources in that piece too was pretty out there

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 15:04 (nine years ago) link

Perhaps the most concerning problem with Hersh's story is not the sourcing but rather the internal contradictions in the narrative he constructs.

Most blatant, Hersh's entire narrative turns on a secret deal, in which the US promised Pakistan increased military aid and a "freer hand in Afghanistan." In fact, the exact opposite of this occurred, with US military aid dropping and US-Pakistan cooperation in Afghanistan plummeting as both sides feuded bitterly for years after the raid.

Hersh explains this seemingly fatal contradiction by suggesting the deal fell apart due to miscommunication between the Americans and Pakistanis. But it's strange to argue that the dozens of officials on both sides would be competent enough to secretly plan and execute a massive international ruse, and then to uphold their conspiracy for years after the fact, but would not be competent enough to get on the same page about aid delivery.---Max Fischer, here:
http://www.vox.com/2015/5/11/8584473/seymour-hersh-osama-bin-laden

dow, Monday, 11 May 2015 15:06 (nine years ago) link

oh, speaking of credibility

goole, Monday, 11 May 2015 15:11 (nine years ago) link

Also, Peter Bergen, interviewer of bin Laden etc:

The evidence

Hersh's account of the bin Laden raid is a farrago of nonsense that is contravened by a multitude of eyewitness accounts, inconvenient facts and simple common sense.

Let's start with the claim that the only shots fired at the Abbottabad compound were the ones that killed bin Laden. That ignores the fact that two SEALs on the mission, Matt Bissonnette, author of "No Easy Day," and Robert O'Neill have publicly said that there were a number of other people killed that night, including bin Laden's two bodyguards, one of his sons and one of the bodyguard's wives. Their account is supplemented by many other U.S. officials who have spoken on the record to myself or to other journalists.

I was the only outsider to visit the Abbottabad compound where bin Laden lived before the Pakistani military demolished it. The compound was trashed, littered almost everywhere with broken glass and several areas of it were sprayed with bullet holes where the SEALS had fired at members of bin Laden's entourage and family, or in one case exchanged fire with one of his bodyguards. The evidence at the compound showed that many bullets were fired the night of bin Laden's death.

Common sense would tell you that the idea that Saudi Arabia was paying for bin Laden's expenses while he was living in Abbottabad is simply risible. Bin Laden's principal goal was the overthrow of the Saudi royal family as a result of which his Saudi citizenship was revoked as far back as 1994.

Why would the Saudis pay for the upkeep of their most mortal enemy? Indeed, why wouldn't they get their close allies, the Pakistanis, to look the other way as they sent their assassins into Pakistan to finish him off?

Common sense would also tell you that if the Pakistanis were holding bin Laden and the U.S. government had found out this fact, the easiest path for both countries would not be to launch a U.S. military raid into Pakistan but would have been to hand bin Laden over quietly to the Americans.

Indeed, the Pakistanis have done this on several occasions with a number of other al Qaeda leaders such as Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the operational commander of 9/11, who was handed over to U.S. custody after a raid in the Pakistani city of Rawalpindi in 2003. So too was Abu Faraj al-Libi, another key al Qaeda leader who was similarly handed over by the Pakistanis to U.S. custody two years later.

Why cover it up?

Common sense would also tell you that if U.S. officials had found out that the Pakistani officials were hiding bin Laden there is no reason the Americans would have covered this up. After all, around the time of the bin Laden raid, relations between the United States and Pakistan were at an all-time low because the Pakistanis had recently imprisoned Raymond Davis, a CIA contractor who had killed two Pakistanis. What did U.S. officials have to lose by saying that bin Laden was being protected by the Pakistanis, if it were true?

The fact is that the senior Pakistani officials Hersh alleges were harboring bin Laden were as surprised as the rest of the world that al Qaeda's leader was living in Abbottabad. The night of the bin Laden raid, U.S. officials were monitoring the communications of Pakistan's top military officials such as Kayani and Pasha and their bewildered reactions confirmed that the Pakistanis had not had a clue about bin Laden's presence there, according to a number of U.S. officials I spoke to in the course of reporting "Manhunt," a book about the hunt for bin Laden.

In his article, Hersh correctly points out that in the immediate aftermath of the bin Laden raid, White House officials initially made some false statements about the raid -- for instance, that bin Laden was using his wives as human shields during the raid -- but these were quickly corrected.

The only source Hersh refers to by name in his 10,000-word piece is Assad Durrani, who was the head of ISI during the early 1990s, around two decades before the bin Laden raid occurred. Hersh portrays Durrani as generally supportive of Hersh's various conclusions.

When I emailed Durrani after the Hersh piece appeared, Durrani said there was "no evidence of any kind" that the ISI knew that bin Laden was hiding in Abbottabad but he still could "make an assessment that this could be plausible." This is hardly a strong endorsement of one of the principal claims of Hersh's piece.

Durrani added that he believed that the bin Laden "operation could not have been carried out without our cooperation." This glosses over the fact that the SEALs were flying in stealth helicopters through blind spots in Pakistan's radar defense and the Pakistani air force had virtually no capacity to fly at night when the raid took place, so in fact the bin Laden raid was relatively easily accomplished without Pakistani cooperation, according to multiple U.S. officials with knowledge of the bin Laden operation.

All sorts of things are, of course, plausible, but in both journalism and in the writing of history one looks for evidence, not plausibility.

Hersh has had a storied career. One hopes that he won't end it with a story about the Obama administration and the bin Laden raid that reads like Frank Underwood from "House of Cards" has made an unholy alliance with Carrie Mathison from "Homeland" to produce a Pakistani version of Watergate.

dow, Monday, 11 May 2015 15:18 (nine years ago) link

did anyone ever figure out who that woman was (pictured above)?

akm, Monday, 11 May 2015 15:18 (nine years ago) link

These guys might be wrong, but they're raising the right questions.

dow, Monday, 11 May 2015 15:19 (nine years ago) link

akm: just some white house bod iirc

goole, Monday, 11 May 2015 15:42 (nine years ago) link

God, i hope this doesn't mean Kathryn Bigelow is going to remake that piece of crap.

the increasing costive borborygmi (Dr Morbius), Monday, 11 May 2015 15:45 (nine years ago) link

see now she's going to get it right

The burrito of ennui (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 11 May 2015 15:49 (nine years ago) link

i've only been following hersh loosely since ~2004 (and as he started publishing less in the NYer) so i didn't realize he'd gone full-blown conspiracy theorist but when i first read the above bin ladin story i def thought that if it had been by anyone else it would be unbelievable. i guess even by hersh it's pretty unbelievable. challop up ahead: hersh sorta mirroring the left in general - the steady march from legitimate opposition to power to sputtering alienated ramblings. can't wait for his chemtrials/monsanto expose :/

Mordy, Monday, 11 May 2015 17:35 (nine years ago) link

conspiracy always been popular at the fringes and in the middle, just more visible now cause of online

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 17:37 (nine years ago) link

i mean harpers been publishing equally dubious pieces since time imortal

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 17:39 (nine years ago) link

why i haven't read harpers in about 10 years

demonic mnevice (Jon Lewis), Monday, 11 May 2015 17:40 (nine years ago) link

expected more from hersh tbh - you'd think the guy who broke mai lai and abu ghraib would be very meticulous about his sourcing

Mordy, Monday, 11 May 2015 17:40 (nine years ago) link

or maybe he just got to a place where he was like "obv these evil fucks will do anything so who does skepticism serve"

Mordy, Monday, 11 May 2015 17:40 (nine years ago) link

feel like theres some sort of aging/impatience thing going on w him, obvs baseless speculation

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 17:41 (nine years ago) link

shd be noted too that chemtrails is a rightwing cause, the lefts conspiracies are much closer to reality, like monstanto which is actually generally bad if not quite the deathstar its made out to be

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 17:41 (nine years ago) link

oh lol i thought chemtrails were leftwing bc it tracked onto environmental / agricultural concerns. ok, vaccination/monsanto

Mordy, Monday, 11 May 2015 17:42 (nine years ago) link

first time i notice hersh being somewhat suss was that piece abt how bush wanted to invade iran that just seemed odd and vague and full of insinuations

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 17:43 (nine years ago) link

vaccination is a cool one cause it cuts across political lines, equally popular on the left and right

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 17:44 (nine years ago) link

i'm holding out hope that this piece is ~40% or more accurate

deej loaf (D-40), Monday, 11 May 2015 18:09 (nine years ago) link

not that i'd put money on it, but the emotional chips are there

deej loaf (D-40), Monday, 11 May 2015 18:09 (nine years ago) link

the pakistanis knew, (some) saudis were still paying OBL, obama is not entirely a straight shooter

yeah, man, chemtrails!!

goole, Monday, 11 May 2015 18:18 (nine years ago) link

A worrying factor at this early point, according to the retired official, was Saudi Arabia, which had been financing bin Laden’s upkeep since his seizure by the Pakistanis. ‘The Saudis didn’t want bin Laden’s presence revealed to us because he was a Saudi, and so they told the Pakistanis to keep him out of the picture. The Saudis feared if we knew we would pressure the Pakistanis to let bin Laden start talking to us about what the Saudis had been doing with al-Qaida. And they were dropping money – lots of it. The Pakistanis, in turn, were concerned that the Saudis might spill the beans about their control of bin Laden. The fear was that if the US found out about bin Laden from Riyadh, all hell would break out.

Mordy, Monday, 11 May 2015 18:24 (nine years ago) link

It's not totally insane I mean there is a country called Saudi Arabia

Mordy, Monday, 11 May 2015 18:26 (nine years ago) link

I'm not so certain what it is that is so shocking about this report anyway; the end result is the same, bin laden is still dead, not sure people really care about the details? I kind of don't.

akm, Monday, 11 May 2015 18:27 (nine years ago) link

who are "the saudis" in this story wld be a good question

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 18:28 (nine years ago) link

its not so much that tons of stuff is totally unbelievable its just vague and gossipy

lag∞n, Monday, 11 May 2015 18:29 (nine years ago) link

dude living in the pakistani equivalent of arlington for years is p strange; w/o interviewing all these people's sources myself, who knows? hersh's and the official story are about as equally plausible fwiw as a civilian

goole, Monday, 11 May 2015 18:29 (nine years ago) link

saudis did 9/11 btw

goole, Monday, 11 May 2015 18:29 (nine years ago) link


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