2008 USP(G)ET pt. II: counting the days to 2012 primary thread 1

A+++

seriously how do you fall from correctly shaming henry kissinger for war crimes to writing the kind of bullshit head-up-ass journey through the looking glass bullshit about mainstream party dems that's normally reserved for pseudoacademic handwringers like dinesh d'souza

the Famous Grouse is a cruel master

And to prepare, Sen. McCain will spar this week in mock debates with Michael Steele. Mr. Steele, the former lieutenant governor of Maryland and a prominent black Republican, will play Sen. Obama and use many of his speaking patterns, tactics and body language.

are you serious

omg waht

to be fair barack will be sparring against a white dude so...

and biden is having a mock debate with mariska hartigay

this is freaky http://www.236.com/video/2008/sarah_palin_to_the_nth_power_9002.php

Tracer, your magna-cum-lolz handiwork is now hurtling through the Great Email Joke-o-sphere, where I hope it shall be fruitful and multiply.

and biden is having a mock debate with mariska hartigay

Well, he is having a mock debate with Gov. Jennifer Granholm, but I don't think she's going to be doing a Palin impression.

Certainly not a horrible impression, at any rate

http://www.gillreport.com/dn_archive.php

EXPERTS PREDICT AN AL QUEDA OCTOBER SURPRISE.
September 22, 2008 - 10:58
Why would the terrorists interfere with the American election...they already have a candidate and they would only hurt his chances. CLICK HERE. If there is not a major terror attack in October, that could be the only reason.

"Whatever the New York Times once was, it is today not by any standard a journalistic organization," said Schmidt on a conference call with reporters.

"It is a pro-Obama advocacy organization that every day attacks the McCain campaign, attacks Senator McCain, attacks Governor Palin, and excuses Senator Obama.

"This is an organization that is completely, totally, 150 percent in the tank for the Democratic candidate, which is their prerogative to be, but let's not be dishonest and call it something other than what it is."

"It is an organization that has made a decision to cast aside its journalistic integrity and tradition to advocate for the defeat of one candidate -- in this case, John McCain."

The McCain campaign complaints were reminiscent of comments by the campaign of former Democratic hopeful Hillary Clinton, which claimed the media was giving Obama an easy ride and not properly "vetting" his candidacy.

Schmidt's outburst came in specific response to a question about a story in Monday's paper which said McCain campaign manager Rick Davis had lobbied for 30,000 dollars a month for five years to defend mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

I want to see Tracer's email on Snopes in no more than four days.

Just sent it to a few friends, will encourage them to send to gullible famz. All mine are lol high-info Dems.

omgfg its 6:30 in the am why the fuck am i awake

I didn't write that!!

I would have done it better, obv

George Will: McCain, you goof

I was about post that. "McCain: you hothead."

Is the "McCain = crazy" meme really starting to take off, or is it just me?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080923/ap_on_el_pr/obama

Meanwhile Stanley Kurtz persists in pushing the Obama = radical story

http://thepage.time.com/more-from-the-nbc-news-florida-poll/

Obama winning 43% of FL hispanic vote. Gore won 34%.

What happens if he loses Penn. or Mich. (which are the most likely Kerry losses, I believe) but takes Florida?

why do we care about a wingnut nobody again? xxp

xp - not gonna happen, but have fun - http://www.opinionjournal.com/ecc/calculator.htm

Fuck that crap from gabbneb's AP link. I want to see a return to 90%+ top marginal rates to pay for everything Obama wants in platform.

so not gonna happen

thanks for the link but I have no idea which states PA or Michigan are! site needs some tooltips!

A MAN CAN DREAM GOD DAMNIT

xpost

electoral calculator for the america-impaired:

http://americanresearchgroup.com/ev/

What happens if he loses Penn. or Mich. (which are the most likely Kerry losses, I believe) but takes Florida?

As long as he doesn't lose both, I think this is OK.

Nope, both result in a loss (thanks gabbneb)

Well, theoretically he could lose PA, MI, and (for the hell of it) NH while winning IA, NM, VA, CO, and FL. But it's hard to imagine a scenario where that would happen.

what the hell is this about:

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/09/is_obamaland_spreading_antipal.php#more

has anyone seen these videos? is this even a story? does anyone care?

This is fun, btw

http://www.270towin.com/

Nope, both result in a loss

No.

IT would have to get pretty crazy for Obama to lose both Michigan and Pennsylvania and still win the election.

scenarios from 538

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_5ieXw28ZUpg/SNhIVVIou3I/AAAAAAAAAGk/korQlccP9d0/S1600-R/0922_scenario.png

538 probability of Obama win:

IA: 95
MN: 89
NM: 89
WI: 89
MI: 84
PA: 81
CO: 79
VA: 75
NH: 65
OH: 53
NV: 49
IN: 39
FL: 39
MT: 33
NC: 32
MO: 31
WV: 23
ND: 11

this is the fun one

http://i33.tinypic.com/33vmf5t.jpg

http://i22.photobucket.com/albums/b330/trampledamage/db080922.gif

http://i22.photobucket.com/albums/b330/trampledamage/db080923.gif

under the new treasury proposal, henry paulson gets to cast the tie-breaking vote in the event of a tie

The electoral tie map looks pretty accurate.

C'mon, Omaha.

269-269 is also possible by Obama keeping MI but flipping IA, NM, and NV.

ha, i had it in my head that trudeau was a puma type for some reason

I kept seeing the 269/269 the other day when I was playing with that site.

under the new treasury proposal, henry paulson gets to cast the tie-breaking vote in the event of a tie

lol. OTM.