I am beginning to become scared that Romney/Ryan will win. Can smart people please post here and say reassuring things to convince me that he won't?

already way past 271 electoral votes in the proportional map. florida's 50-50 as far as polls go but very unlikely to be decisive as far as the electoral math goes.

Yeah Obama can get to 300+ w/o FL pretty easy. It'd just be icing on the cake.

intrade up to 71.5% potus

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743474

http://www2.macleans.ca/2012/11/04/tarnished-silver-assessing-the-new-king-of-stats/

ha i forgot about uk 2010 thing. that was major lols.

is there a thread for ppl just to check in to see how it's going or should i start three?

bobby z is all aboard the o-train

http://news.yahoo.com/bob-dylan-predicts-obama-landslide-061628696.html

thats not bobby z

Thought you meant Prince's old drummer for a minute.

the all important carp fishing vote

Darragh: The Choice of a New Denegration: the US Election Day 2012 Thread

"No retreat, no surrender," sang rock icon Bruce Springsteen, warming up Obama's crowd on a frosty morning outside the State Capitol in Madison, Wis.

iirc, this was Mike Dukakis' rallying cry the day before the '88 election.

(also, Springsteen's "Kitty's Back" was written about Kitty Dukakis)

aero, today's princeton map should make u happier

http://election.princeton.edu/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/presidential-map-election-eve-2012-500px-lores.jpg

that dude colby cosh gets some stuff wrong about pecota. or at least hes kind of misleading abt it

not that silver isnt probably "overrated" or at least "over-visible" but

this cheered me up, considering the source:

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/332590/twilight-or-breaking-dawn-henry-olsen?pg=1

you could say it's olsen being a "mr. me too" re: silver's methodology, but since it's coming from someone who's actively hostile, it's interesting that this rightwinger already sees Romney as toast because of his failure to connect with non-evangelical blue collar midwesterners

http://election.princeton.edu/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/presidential-map-election-eve-2012-500px-lores.jpg

http://t3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSmeUlU6urmKPpu4I_S_VKRNmxSbEaC7he1YlCA-KYOkiyX1ov4BZPregQ

Uuugh why does the 538 forecast keep going down?

preparation for the big reveal... ROMNEY 400EV

Nate Silver ‏@fivethirtyeight

Running one last projection based on this AM's polls. Our projected margin in Florida now Obama 49.797, Romney 49.775.

http://t0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRp2lhjUQmYye_keBZM2L8RRufdcGb-Yd_lHxTYHgWSw9dU7iU6

plz no florida recount

hi guys!

Obama 49.797, Romney 49.775

FFS

2000:
48.847
48.838

Alfred in...Swing Vote.

not that silver isnt probably "overrated" or at least "over-visible" but

― max, Tuesday, November 6, 2012 10:35 AM (41 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

if youre suggesting that there should be more stats dues in the media then yes, but as per the current situation where theres a million innumerate pundits and like five dudes running numbers id be happy if he was more visible

xxpost Yeah I'm thinking "Wait, how is that surprising, isn't that Florida anyway?"

plz no florida recount

― Mordy, Tuesday, November 6, 2012 11:17 AM (3 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

come on itll be funny because it wont matter

Pretty sure Silver is off by a couple of percentage points. Let me check my math again.

Yeah, should be:

Obama 49.798
Romney 49.774

I would prefer Romney win Florida – just so we avoid a recount.

he won

http://global.fncstatic.com/static/managed/img/Opinion/110512_romney.jpg

Did you know that in IL you can apparently challenge any voter at the poll? It'd be fun to be King Asshole PIA Spoiler and just bounce voting station to voting station going "J'accuse!" all willy-nilly.

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v134/tracerhand/igotthis.jpg

(but do vote, seriously)

What's scary to me is how many signs we saw that said 'Vote Pro Choice!' So who cares about policy or the economy??

UK bookmakers have Obama at 1/5 and Romney at 7/2 to win. They're pretty confident.

abortion rights are both a policy AND economic issue! xp

7 out of 2 ppl damn

Romney said he'd overturn Roe V. Wade enough times that i think it's fair game to use that against him

It might seem like a minor issue to those who don't have to worry about choice being taken away.

"policy"?

for most of us it will have no effect at all --matt taibbi

What's scary to me is how many signs we saw that said 'Vote Pro Choice!' So who cares about policy or the economy??

you can't be serious

undecided voters are supposedly 60% female in this election

i believe that interracial couples should be prohibited from marrying and that gravity is "just a theory"

which guy should i vote for?

I'm not saying abortion is not an issue of policy, but to blindly vote for who ever is pro choice regardless of how their other goals with affect you is crazy to me.

jill stein iirc xp

guys focus on the important thing...in just 7 or 8 hours we'll know whether voters have chosen "Taxi" or "Cheers," and what their favorite "Simpsons" Treehouse of Horror segment is

here in downstate IL the local polls have had a fair bit of citizen kops challenging would-be voters on their id creds; US attorney's office is apparently on it.

drove about an hour on I-74 this weekend in IL & every mile there was another NOBAMA sign with a pic of a crying eagle; woulda been sad if it, along with the landscape, weren't so corny

not that silver isnt probably "overrated" or at least "over-visible" but

― max, Tuesday, November 6, 2012 10:35 AM (41 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

if youre suggesting that there should be more stats dues in the media then yes, but as per the current situation where theres a million innumerate pundits and like five dudes running numbers id be happy if he was more visible

― GOOD LUCK USA! (lag∞n), Tuesday, November 6, 2012 11:20 AM (10 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i just mean that like, silver is not better than, and maybe worse, than linzer and wang and a bunch of the other guys,