I am beginning to become scared that Romney/Ryan will win. Can smart people please post here and say reassuring things to convince me that he won't?

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yeah but come on a licence plate that mentions death, you got to give up the props

--bob marley (lag∞n), Thursday, 25 October 2012 15:41 (eleven years ago) link

all license plates imply death cause they are on cars

iatee, Thursday, 25 October 2012 15:42 (eleven years ago) link

i just spent a couple minutes trying to make the dc one into a die hard movie title to give it the leg up but i got nothing

I'M THE ONLY ON (jjjusten), Thursday, 25 October 2012 15:43 (eleven years ago) link

" The nation's capital city, a special responsibility of the federal government, belongs both to its residents and to all Americans, millions of whom visit it every year. D.C.'s Republicans have been in the forefront of exposing and combating the chronic corruption among the city's top Democratic officials. We join their call for a non-partisan elected Attorney General to clean up the city's political culture and for congressional action to enforce the spirit of the Home Rule Act assuring minority representation on the City Council. After decades of inept one-party rule, the city's structural deficit demands congressional attention. We oppose statehood for the District of Columbia. "

2012 gop platform

iatee, Thursday, 25 October 2012 15:43 (eleven years ago) link

the DC license plate is probably the best in the country

Gandalf’s Gobble Melt (DJP), Thursday, 25 October 2012 15:44 (eleven years ago) link

all license plates imply death cause they are on cars

― iatee, Thursday, October 25, 2012 11:42 AM (51 seconds ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

to drive w/death is to truly have lived

--bob marley (lag∞n), Thursday, 25 October 2012 15:44 (eleven years ago) link

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/post/the-momentum-myth/2012/10/25/f7fc67a6-1eaf-11e2-8817-41b9a7aaabc7_blog.html

The first group is made up of truly independent, and undecided, voters. Most of them don’t pay very much attention at all to politics. Eventually, they will vote one way or another (at least if they vote), but they may be the most likely to swing between “undecided” and that candidate depending on what’s currently in the news. This create the impression of momentum, but the effect will be short lived, rather than continuous.

The second group is made up of voters who have actually decided but move in and out of “likely voter” screens, or even in and out of answering surveys at all, depending on their enthusiasm for the election and their candidate at any given moment. This can create a temporary “surge” in likely-voter support for one candidate that isn’t actually long term momentum in his or her favor.

The third group is made up of so-called undecided voters whose ultimate decision is basically predictable. Thanks to the campaign, they end up “learning” to vote for the candidate they might have expected to support all along. For example, there are those voters who insist that they are independent, yet always just happen to wind up supporting the same party. For them, the high-intensity portions of the campaign in which they are exposed to “their” party’s message will often be sufficient to permanently move them from undecided to decided. That can create a bump for a candidate — and the appearance of momentum — but once it’s done, it’s done. There’s no reason to expect it to build on itself.

In all these three cases, shifts happen when the information environment strongly favors one candidate or the other — such as when a party’s (successful) convention is running, or if a candidate is perceived to have decisively won a debate. The key thing, then, is that “momentum” is only likely to last as long as information favoring one candidate continues to dominate the news. And that almost never happens, because the press usually wants to move on to a new story.

For the first two groups, it’s likely that the effect will wear off rapidly once press coverage shifts, as it almost always does. By contrast, for the third group, some of the gains from a “momentum” period are likely to be permanent conversions. But they would have ended up with that candidate, anyway.

iatee, Thursday, 25 October 2012 15:50 (eleven years ago) link

er that quote would work better if I included

It’s worth thinking about three groups of voters who might change the horse race polls.

iatee, Thursday, 25 October 2012 15:51 (eleven years ago) link

convention bump is generally #3, so my theory is #3 ended up happening w/ first debate instead after shitty convention

iatee, Thursday, 25 October 2012 15:54 (eleven years ago) link

i just spent a couple minutes trying to make the dc one into a die hard movie title to give it the leg up but i got nothing

― I'M THE ONLY ON (jjjusten), Thursday, October 25, 2012 11:43 AM (16 minutes ago)

taxation without representation harder

space dokken (Edward III), Thursday, 25 October 2012 16:16 (eleven years ago) link

If DC and New Hampshire have the most badass license plate mottos, Idaho's is the least:

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/6/61/Idaho_license_plate_-_passenger_baseplate_-_2008.jpg

joygoat, Thursday, 25 October 2012 16:28 (eleven years ago) link

haha FAMOUS POTATOES

Gandalf’s Gobble Melt (DJP), Thursday, 25 October 2012 16:29 (eleven years ago) link

Would move to ID if they had a plate that said "Guess I'm Just a Spudboy"

WilliamC, Thursday, 25 October 2012 16:36 (eleven years ago) link

iirc the dc license plate was approved by clinton on his way out in 99 as a fuck you to bush and the gop

johnathan lee riche$ (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 25 October 2012 16:45 (eleven years ago) link

he put those plates on the presidential motorcade iirc, Bush switched them back

www.toilet-guru.com (silby), Thursday, 25 October 2012 16:51 (eleven years ago) link

to the "Celebrate and Discover" ones

www.toilet-guru.com (silby), Thursday, 25 October 2012 16:51 (eleven years ago) link

Picturing an anthropomorphized Idaho with hands in pockets, kicking the dirt, and muttering "Famous potatoes" under its breath before sighing heavily.

Gary Mayonnaise (Old Lunch), Thursday, 25 October 2012 16:54 (eleven years ago) link

Gallup is much closer again. Obama up among registered voters, Romney up among likely.

timellison, Thursday, 25 October 2012 17:08 (eleven years ago) link

I know Colin Powell will be mostly despised on here, but I'm again glad of this:

http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/10/john-mccain-lashes-out-at-colin-powell-after-obama-endorsement.php?ref=fpb

Endorsements almost always mean nothing. But I think Kennedy's was important in '08, and Powell's too, coming right near the end. This year's won't mean as much, but in a real close election, it may make a tiny sliver of difference.

clemenza, Thursday, 25 October 2012 17:10 (eleven years ago) link

And if it infuriates John McCain, all the better.

clemenza, Thursday, 25 October 2012 17:11 (eleven years ago) link

I think that John McCain ought to commit sepuku on the Capitol steps as a protest against Colin Powell's endorsement.

Aimless, Thursday, 25 October 2012 18:06 (eleven years ago) link

I don't think his arms can accomplish that

iatee, Thursday, 25 October 2012 18:07 (eleven years ago) link

gop talking point is to call o's foreign policy 'feckless' - does this test well amongst angry white people? is it dog whistling at all or am I seeing something thats not there?

johnathan lee riche$ (mayor jingleberries), Thursday, 25 October 2012 18:14 (eleven years ago) link

it just sounds a little like you're saying "fuck" and that makes angry people happy

Gandalf’s Gobble Melt (DJP), Thursday, 25 October 2012 18:14 (eleven years ago) link

he has no more fecks to give

Mordy, Thursday, 25 October 2012 18:19 (eleven years ago) link

does this test well amongst angry white people?

It's a good question and I wouldn't be sure that it does. It's not like the economic issue, where people are holding on to conservative ideology and convinced that Obama is taxing them to the hilt. I haven't seen a lot of people angry about the fact that we haven't been more aggressive about Syria or Iran.

timellison, Thursday, 25 October 2012 18:24 (eleven years ago) link

mccain is quietly appealing to clash fans, fits with his romney can't fail slogan

space dokken (Edward III), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:01 (eleven years ago) link

mccain was speaking in code to people who think that "feckless" means "dickless".

Aimless, Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:05 (eleven years ago) link

had a nightmare last night in which I was watching a tv station that was broadcasting romney's state-by-state wins on election night

乒乓, Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:05 (eleven years ago) link

like I woke up and was like, oh, election day is still a week and a half away

乒乓, Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:06 (eleven years ago) link

haha i had that one too the other night.

difficult listening hour, Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:10 (eleven years ago) link

If we're going to have a Republican candidate, it's better that we have Establishment Romneys and "Fag" McQuains. I have a neighbor who is all "angry white guy with a gun" that he is awfully quiet about Romney. I hear that Massachusetts makes people gay.

Don't a lot of those scary white people hate establishment types?

smart take

max, Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:15 (eleven years ago) link

Oklahoma still has the best license plates. There's this one:

http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1402/1186749937_d556712d25.jpg

which is a classic, but there's also this one now, apparently:

http://oklahoma4h.okstate.edu/aitc/images/cartag.jpg

誤訳侮辱, Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:26 (eleven years ago) link

ha

dell (del), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:28 (eleven years ago) link

Very similar to this horrible thing that we have in Ohio:

http://publicsafety.ohio.gov/img/beautiful_ohio_plate.png

Now we're about to get this, which is the license plate equivalent of those car with 50 bumper stickers:

http://publicsafety.ohio.gov/img/ohio_pride_plate.png

C-3PO Sharkey (Phil D.), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:31 (eleven years ago) link

Great layout, too - just to the right of the first set of digits you get

LAKE
ERIE
GLACIA
OCKING
UT
UG
EAD
USE

C-3PO Sharkey (Phil D.), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:32 (eleven years ago) link

that is boss

dell (del), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:33 (eleven years ago) link

I would gladly take that new Ohio plate over this:

http://www.whitecounty.net/tc/images/pics/georgia-license-plate.jpg

That's the new default plate for Georgia, where we've gone from not being as tacky as all our neighbors to out-tackying them fiftyfold.

Bout to go Jethro TULL on that ass (Johnny Fever), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:33 (eleven years ago) link

Georgia plate looks like it should emit the smell of old lady perfume.

joygoat, Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:35 (eleven years ago) link

License plates turned into wallpaper so gradually I didn't even notice.

Aimless, Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:36 (eleven years ago) link

i think this one is pretty f rad

http://www.doyletics.com/images/64woody.jpg

i kind of like the peaches one, it reminds me of old orange crate art or something

dell (del), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:36 (eleven years ago) link

Big Bear. Fall apples. German Village. Brick. Voting Ohioans must outnumber voting Floridans.

youn, Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:36 (eleven years ago) link

fruit crate art

dell (del), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:37 (eleven years ago) link

Georgia plate looks like it should emit the smell of old lady perfume.

They actually held a design contest, which was voted on by the public. And yes, an old lady designed the winner.

Bout to go Jethro TULL on that ass (Johnny Fever), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:38 (eleven years ago) link

yeah but come on a licence plate that mentions death, you got to give up the props

No one does it better than Nevada though

http://farm1.staticflickr.com/43/79071893_f294f73c76.jpg

Elvis Telecom, Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:38 (eleven years ago) link

h8 old ladies!

dell (del), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:40 (eleven years ago) link

"Suspect's license plate reads '20150 A E=MC2'"

C-3PO Sharkey (Phil D.), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:41 (eleven years ago) link

Nevada FTW

Bout to go Jethro TULL on that ass (Johnny Fever), Thursday, 25 October 2012 19:42 (eleven years ago) link


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