I am beginning to become scared that Romney/Ryan will win. Can smart people please post here and say reassuring things to convince me that he won't?

I think that's right. He's still over 270 even without Iowa and Colorado, too.

I don't know if it's because I am feeling sick this afternoon or just paranoid because of 538's latest post, but I've become a little panicked about this happening.

it hasnt been a good week!

That 538 post bears out the idea that state polls follow national. Inexplicable and grim.

http://teamaltman.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/house_of_cards-apva-090324-266x300.jpg

press loves a nailbiter

Dems love a mittpocalypse

I prefer no drama, and no chance of a mitt win. But I am not a dem.

I prefer no election.

I prefer the drummer

Can't believe this Libya stuff has legs. Horrible the embassy was attacked - my father in law was an ambassador- but are there Americans up in arms about this? Does Libya get cheers and boos on the trail?

doubt anyone gives a fuck except Hannity et al

Wingnuts blatantly running a play from the Carter 2.0 playbook, trying to draw parallels between botched hostage rescue mission and Libya killings. That it's no longer 1980/1950/(insert pre-Abolition year of choice) seems to be a terrible and eternal source of dismay for these oxygen thieves.

Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight)
10/12/12 6:42 PM
Real good day for Romney in the polls. Maybe his best yet. He's now up to almost 40% in our forecast. fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com

u not understand the point of ths thred

wanted to make it more exciting

kinda fascinated w/ how quickly and to what extent the polls have followed the New Media Narrative

I feel similarly, like there's some kind of feedback loop in play here

i'm kinda shocked too. i don't really think of debates as real events, so it's hard to imagine a debate moving the dials so drastically. i have to reevaluate what an event is.

you obv can't remove media from the equation but there were tons of new media narratives that didn't budge the polls at all this campaign

feel like poll respondents heard Obama lost something and are like "what? I'm not voting for a loser!"

people are stupid

even so I still expect Obama to win handily, there is no way Romney can sweep all the states he needs to.

i wonder if obama is kicking himself

eh i agree w/ silver that its lessa bout obama doing poorly than it is about romney solidifying support after a few bad months. and honestly the race was always going to tighten after that -- its just the rate at which its quickening!

yeah it's like the GOP is rallying behind their guy both out of admiration that he did something right + desperation

I like my narrative that this is where romney shoulda been post-convention and this was basically convention take 2 w/r/t getting the normal 'ya prob not gonna vote for the democrats' ppl fully on board

No longer a chance Mitt will withdraw in favor of Mitch Daniels xp

Max, otm. GOP voters have been whinging for ages about the candidate they ended up with and the fact that Mitt wasn't trounced gave them some fire in the belly. The Fox/RNC would have stoked their Obama hatred anyway so this is probably not much of a game changer.

its just the rate at which its quickening!

That's part of what's so discombobulating for me. There are a hundred ways this could have ended up exactly the same place it's at now--maybe tied, maybe one guy or the other a point up--and I wouldn't have batted an eye. It's the speed at which it's happened, the extreme reversal, and the fact that it was triggered by a debate performance that was merely listless.

GOP smelled blood in the water with so many in the New Media conceding victory to Mitt. personally I didn't think Obama did that badly, I thought both were horribly boring.

well if the race stays narrow for a few weeks it's going to come down to ground game, and OfA has quite the ground game, as one might recall.

he didn't do badly at all, but mitt is the most competent debate candidate the gop has had in a longggg time + tricky shift to the center caught obama a little off guard w/r/t what he needed to be attacking mitt on

the gop won the 'lower the expectations' game by plotting this out 20 years in advance and making sure every candidate until now was barely literate

lol

Their butlers read to them.

its funny that the gop base is getting so fired up over someone who has decided running as a republican was a surefire route to defeat

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=4555583617923&set=a.2790859940934.2136786.1541438279&type=1&relevant_count=1&ref=nf

Oof

https://sphotos-a.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-snc7/384204_4555583617923_1352854593_n.jpg

Jesus

This fucking country

single issue voter, huh

oh god oh god oh god please don't let that fucker romney win! HE HAS THE LEAD NOW! ARRRRGGGGHH!

remember when it was bush/gore and all those people were like "eh, democrat, republican, what's the difference?" and it turned out that yes, actually, there was a pretty big difference?

I am beginning to become scared that Romney/Ryan will win. Can smart people please post here and say reassuring things to convince me that he won't?I am beginning to become scared that Romney/Ryan will win. Can smart people please post here and say reassuring things to convince me that he won't?I am beginning to become scared that Romney/Ryan will win. Can smart people please post here and say reassuring things to convince me that he won't?I am beginning to become scared that Romney/Ryan will win. Can smart people please post here and say reassuring things to convince me that he won't?I am beginning to become scared that Romney/Ryan will win. Can smart people please post here and say reassuring things to convince me that he won't?

put a sock in it

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cvLeQbwuKys

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2012/10/13/us/politics/13fivethirtyeight/13fivethirtyeight-blog480.jpg

It's been clear for years that people hate, hate, hate, for no rational reason, Obama. But those are just the vocal haters. There's got to be a sizable number of people who hate him secretly who have just been waiting for an excuse to show their hand. Perhaps those are the same people who voted for him last time but do not plan on voting for him again.

Or maybe just Romney is rigging the polls?

Pretty surprised at the people on my FB who are hitting the "Like" on Romney and Ryan. I know these people and really wonder how the hell they think they will benefit from Romney/Ryan.

You might be right about them but also facebook has been doing some funky stuff with the side ads, making it look like people "liked" things that maybe weren't what it said when they clicked it.

clicking anything on Facebook clearly hazardous to yr health and friendships

Really???????? That is some sneakyassshit!