Scottish Independence - classic or dud

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Devo Max seems like a pretty obvious winner if it's a three way vote. What I don't get - and I'm probably being thick/missing the point - is, surely if it's included as an option then this will split the 'yes' vote and make independence even less likely? Does wee Eck know this, and is he just using full independence as a sort of red herring to gain more power for holyrood? I guess this is pretty unlikely given his zeal, but I can't really work it out otherwise..

Even if I know bugger all about all this, I find it quite exciting.

sktsh, Monday, 16 January 2012 23:57 (twelve years ago) link

cameron's said he'll only countenance a yes/no all-or-nothing vote iirc

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 00:14 (twelve years ago) link

Devo max splits the no vote more than the yes vote. Polling suggests majority of Scots against independence, but would vote for Devo max. Having both questions rules out the status quo having a chance of winning.

Interesting what happens if 60% vote for independence and 80%vote for Devo max. So much depends on the wording.

stet, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 00:18 (twelve years ago) link

Ah, that makes sense!

sktsh, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 00:51 (twelve years ago) link

...and probably sums me up. But hey I've lived in England for a while now so maybe self-interest plays a part in that.

sktsh, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 00:53 (twelve years ago) link

cameron's said he'll only countenance a yes/no all-or-nothing vote iirc

Is he trying to break up the Union or he just a pig-ignorant Toryboy cunt? I don't know why the Labour Party would support restricting the referendum to yes/no (obv. the Lib Dems have no choice/ principles), other than the fact that Salmond makes them shit their pants.

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 09:42 (twelve years ago) link

he's trying to force through a BINDING yes/no vote that he knows will result in "no"

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 10:08 (twelve years ago) link

what about non-Scots living in Scotland?

― little blue souvenir (Noodle Vague), Monday, 16 January 2012 17:58 (Yesterday) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

they live here they should have their say

― Jimmy Riddle Orchestra (Armand Schaubroeck Ratfucker), Monday, 16 January 2012 18:01 (Yesterday) Bookmark Suggest Ban Permalink

Thanks for that :-)

Having lived in Scotland for nearly six years now, my impression is that, understandably, Scots don't like posh Toryboy Englsih cnuts meddling in Scottish affairs, so Cameron's current bullying tactics will only push some undecided voters towards full independence. I'm sure Cameron is aware of this, but I can't quite work out why he's doing it (secretly wants to break up the Union? Hates Salmond beyond all reason or common sense?) I'm not a huge fan of Salmond myself - he seems like a zealot, and a xenophobe - but I wld never underestimate his political savvy (nor wld I underestimate the total fucking uselessness of the Labour Party in Scotland, and England.)

Ward Fowler, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 10:10 (twelve years ago) link

he's trying to force through a BINDING yes/no vote that he knows will result in "no"

He knows it? I think, for once in his life, Cameron might consider being a little less cocky.

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 10:12 (twelve years ago) link

Kellner had a good post on the voting permutations yesterday: http://www.opendemocracy.net/ourkingdom/peter-kellner/four-ways-to-cook-scotlands-referendum

I like how Condorcet seems to be like the Rock Paper Scissors of voting systems.

Stevie T, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 10:16 (twelve years ago) link

tom d. apparently it's pretty open and shut that any vote on full independence will lose i.e. polls have hovered around 35% in favour for years

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 10:23 (twelve years ago) link

Think you'll find they've crept up since Cameron stuck his oar punt in

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 10:24 (twelve years ago) link

ive actually heard people talking about needing passports to get into england and i know there's gonna be no end to the shite peddled

given that you don't need passports to go from Ireland to the UK, the needing a passport to cross the inner British border would be unlikely.

Unless Scotland joined Schengen, of course. But Scotland would be unlikely to join Schengen, for the same reasons Ireland didn't (viz not wanting to make travelling to and from the UK a hassle and not wanting to have to fortify border with UK).

The New Dirty Vicar, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:14 (twelve years ago) link

sure Cameron is aware of this, but I can't quite work out why he's doing it

no more Scottish MPs = Tory majority in Westminster forever?

The New Dirty Vicar, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:15 (twelve years ago) link

... that's not actually true, living in England it just seems that way

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:17 (twelve years ago) link

the UK wouldn't really have any choice -- Sterling's freely traded. It just wouldn't have to support the banks/act as a lender of last resort.

I'm not sure of this - when Ireland had parity with sterling the Bank of England did not operate as our lender of last resort, at least I don't think so.

From the Irish experience, sticking with sterling raises the mildly inconvenient prospect of Scottish notes not being accepted in the UK even though UK notes will still be accepted in Scotland. But don't Londoners sniff at Scottish banknotes already?

The New Dirty Vicar, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:18 (twelve years ago) link

I don't know, possibly Cameron is convinced he can walk on water. He's so used to slapping round Little Ed in front of a bunch of braying yahoos in the Commons, and getting Clegg to debase himself and his party has proven to be a cakewalk so maybe he just thinks Salmond is more of the same.

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:22 (twelve years ago) link

when Ireland had parity with sterling the Bank of England did not operate as our lender of last resort, at least I don't think so.

Yes, that's what I'm saying -- the UK wouldn't have to operate as Scotland's lender of last resort, whatever they decide to do.

That said, Ireland didn't stick with Sterling -- the punt was a separate currency that was just pegged to Sterling until the 1970s. What Scotland is talking about doing is just continuing to use actual Sterling.

stet, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:23 (twelve years ago) link

the mildly inconvenient prospect of Scottish notes not being accepted in the UK even though UK notes will still be accepted in Scotland. But don't Londoners sniff at Scottish banknotes already?

... they do more than sniff, they sometimes don't accept them and I imagine trying to pass a Scottish banknote in Little Ottlesby-by-the-Marsh or wherever wouldn't get you far. I think we had a discussion about this before on ILX, Scottish banknotes are not legal tender in England but then neither are English banknotes, only coins are legal tender and have to be accepted

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:26 (twelve years ago) link

Out of interest, what would the UK be called if Scotland weren't part of it?

ailsa, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:28 (twelve years ago) link

xp

only a limited amount of coins and only in payment of certain kinds of debt. a shop, of course, has no obligation to trade with a customer at all.

little blue souvenir (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:28 (twelve years ago) link

xp

AngloMax

little blue souvenir (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:28 (twelve years ago) link

The Queen would still be our sovereign, so the Kingdom would still be United, I assume

I was wrong..

Bank of England notes are legal tender in England and Wales and are issued in the denominations of £5, £10, £20 and £50. English banknotes can always be redeemed at the Bank of England even if discontinued. Scottish and Northern Irish bank notes are not legal tender in any part of the United Kingdom.

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:29 (twelve years ago) link

Scottish and Northern Irish bank notes are not legal tender in any part of the United Kingdom.

LOL, yeah, thanks for that guys

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:29 (twelve years ago) link

Scottish and Northern Irish bank notes aren't backed by anything tho? They're the equivalent of Disneyland fun money or something.

little blue souvenir (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:32 (twelve years ago) link

maybe Scottish bank notes cd be backed by the RBS oh wait

little blue souvenir (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:33 (twelve years ago) link

They say Sterling on them... maybe as a tribute to Sterling Morrison, Glasgow having more Velvet Underground albums per household than any other city in Europe

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 11:34 (twelve years ago) link

Out of interest, what would the UK be called if Scotland weren't part of it?

at the moment it is the United Kingdom of Britain and Northern Ireland (I think). I suspect rump UK would be called the United Kingdom of England, Wales, and Northern Ireland, UK for short.

The New Dirty Vicar, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 12:30 (twelve years ago) link

I don't know why the Labour Party would support restricting the referendum to yes/no

because the Scottish Labour party pathologically hate the SNP and see them as the 'enemy' and not the Tories. Any defeat for Salmond would please them. Despite cutting their noses off etc.

Jimmy Riddle Orchestra (Armand Schaubroeck Ratfucker), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 12:35 (twelve years ago) link

In a Scottish context, the SNP are the Labour party's main enemy.

If Scotland did become independent, its politics would be a bit strange. Three left or centre left parties taking up almost all the votes, and a tiny right wing party waving its "we're here too" flag. This is a bit odd for somewhere that has an economy heavily based on financial services (and shortbread).

The New Dirty Vicar, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 12:51 (twelve years ago) link

Cue blah blah blah posts about how the Liberals and/or Labour are not really left or centre left.

The New Dirty Vicar, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 12:52 (twelve years ago) link

Scottish and Northern Irish bank notes aren't backed by anything tho?

I hate to break it to you, but the Bank of England went off the gold standard in the 1920s, so English bank notes are not backed by anything either.

The New Dirty Vicar, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 12:53 (twelve years ago) link

Cue blah blah blah posts about how the Liberals and/or Labour are not really left or centre left.

You missed out the SNP. Have you seen where there parliamentary constituencies are? You think Moray, Perth and North Perthshire, Banff and Buchan are hotbeds of socialism?

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 13:47 (twelve years ago) link

Tories are the second placed party in 4 out of the 6 SNP Westminster seats

Then in walked Barbara Castle with the Lady Eleanor (Tom D.), Tuesday, 17 January 2012 13:51 (twelve years ago) link

"polls have hovered around 35% in favour for years"

i'm guessing pro independence people are probably significantly more likely to get out and vote. i'd say we're perilously close to saying yes to this madness.

jed_, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 14:35 (twelve years ago) link

it is true that since the UK government went off the gold standard Sterling has been a purely imaginary currency, tbf

the smell of Whiney's cheap perfume (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 18 January 2012 02:31 (twelve years ago) link

I know fuck all about the local conditions.

What's motivating Cameron to make this an issue?

Lava lamp, Thursday, 26 January 2012 14:50 (twelve years ago) link

Gus O'Donnell. The Civil Service. Osborne. Until a couple of weeks ago Cameron thought Scotland was some place up north where his friends go to do some grouse shooting once a year.

Charles Kennedy Jumped Up, He Called 'Oh No'. (Tom D.), Thursday, 26 January 2012 14:52 (twelve years ago) link

I remember reading about how some Scottish people were annoyed because Paxman referred to Burns as a writer of doggerel. I thought.... mmmm.

The New Dirty Vicar, Thursday, 26 January 2012 17:48 (twelve years ago) link

tbf i think Paxman was on drugs or something

summer sun, something's begun, but uh-oh those tumblr whites (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 26 January 2012 20:06 (twelve years ago) link

I remember reading about how some Scottish people were annoyed because Paxman referred to Burns as a writer of doggerel. I thought.... mmmm.

― The New Dirty Vicar

whether or not you agree with that as a description of his work it was in step with several jibes he is known to make at scotland in general, the most notorious being his comparing the preponderance of scots in westminster to british rule of india. a very enjoyable experience for me was watching him on "who do you think you are?" crying when he found out his great, or great great, grandmother had been a destitute glaswegian. take that paxo, you cunt.

zverotic discourse (jim in glasgow), Thursday, 26 January 2012 20:27 (twelve years ago) link

Paxman's talent for zinging scumbags is frequently mistaken for genuine positive genius by a chunk of the chatterati, but i've rarely seen evidence of his towering intellect.

summer sun, something's begun, but uh-oh those tumblr whites (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 26 January 2012 20:32 (twelve years ago) link

Would this in any way affect the 2012 shooting schedule of Doctor Who? I think that's probably the most important consideration...

Frobisher (Viceroy), Thursday, 26 January 2012 20:48 (twelve years ago) link

Paxman's talent for zinging scumbags is frequently mistaken for genuine positive genius by a chunk of the chatterati, but i've rarely seen evidence of his towering intellect.

― summer sun, something's begun, but uh-oh those tumblr whites (Noodle Vague), Thursday, January 26, 2012 8:32 PM (38 minutes ago)

rarely have i seen the word never more unfortunately elided

paxman is a cunt, a doughy minded lowland british shithead, and i hope he distends so i can call him a fat cunt

I just watched part of that. Wtf?! Paxman comes across as a total twat.

Quand le déshonneur est public, il faut que la vengeance soit (Michael White), Thursday, 26 January 2012 21:19 (twelve years ago) link

plue sa chonge

three weeks pass...

First Rangers, now the United Kingdom... what fresh hell awaits for Unionists?

Charles Kennedy Jumped Up, He Called 'Oh No'. (Tom D.), Thursday, 16 February 2012 10:33 (twelve years ago) link

SO glad that other people hate Paxman. Dude is a fucking bully.

owenf, Thursday, 16 February 2012 13:28 (twelve years ago) link

i think i used to see religious conflict (and yes, generally in the form of anti-catholic bigotry) in the west of scotland as some kind of self-explanatory toxic given, but now when i return and encounter it i feel completely at a loss when it comes to having any understanding of it. the obvious element of people with no particular religious commitment and no particular political commitment suddenly having vast reserves of both when it comes to e.g. the question of unionism is absurd but explicable in the typical prejudicial othering manner, but when in most aspects of everyday life catholics and protestants are seamlessly integrated it seems to come down to some baffling inchoate bigotry towards friends, family members, husbands and wives, which i just cannot get my head around.


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