2012 republican presidential nominee III: can romney get santorum out of his hair?

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It really is amazing--go back two weeks ago, and Santorum was fighting Bachmann for last place.

clemenza, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:42 (2 years ago) Permalink

kathrynlopez Kathryn Jean Lopez
newt congratulates @ricksantorum right now. #itisawinforrickwhatevertheorderatthispoint
1 hour ago Favorite Retweet Reply

Matt Armstrong, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:42 (2 years ago) Permalink

romney is like having a conversation with someone in the audience or something wt hell is he doing

k3vin k., Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:43 (2 years ago) Permalink

kathrynlopez Kathryn Jean Lopez
.@ricksantorum just about never reads from notes. he's overwhelmed that hard work has indeed paid off. #littleenginethatcouldhesaidformonths
23 minutes ago Favorite Retweet Reply

Matt Armstrong, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:43 (2 years ago) Permalink

I do love when they start blaming Obama for divorces and depression.

clemenza, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:44 (2 years ago) Permalink

Those k-lo hashtags make me #dieinsideeverytime

Clay, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:47 (2 years ago) Permalink

"A bunch of fellow rightwingers have been depressed since he got elected and now their spouses are divorcing them because they've become emotionally isolated and utterly monomaniacal. This must stop!"

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:47 (2 years ago) Permalink

This has been Romney's schtick all week--quoting from "America the Beautiful." Wait until Newt unleashes "You Should Never Have Opened That Door" starting tomorrow.

clemenza, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:50 (2 years ago) Permalink

romney down to 40 on in trade! I know I'm the only one who cares about intrade but 97.5 to 40 in like 10 mins is pretty lol

iatee, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:57 (2 years ago) Permalink

A Romneybot would hearken unto such lines as "Thine alabaster cities gleam, undimmed by human tears", now wouldn't it?

Aimless, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:58 (2 years ago) Permalink

romney down to 40 on in trade! I know I'm the only one who cares about intrade but 97.5 to 40 in like 10 mins is pretty lol

― iatee, Wednesday, January 4, 2012 12:57 AM (58 seconds ago)

percent chance of winning?

k3vin k., Wednesday, 4 January 2012 05:59 (2 years ago) Permalink

those intrade bounces/plummets are fascinating.

Matt Armstrong, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:00 (2 years ago) Permalink

I remember looking around there last year, and there was a totally inexplicable one day bump for romney where all of a sudden he was in the 90s.

Matt Armstrong, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:02 (2 years ago) Permalink

toddstarnes toddstarnes
Santorum spent about $1.65 per vote; Romney spent around $113 per vote. bit.ly/yYdPBq
2 minutes ago

lag∞n, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:03 (2 years ago) Permalink

Perry and his PACs spent $6,000,000 for 12,500 votes -- %480 per vote.

clemenza, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:06 (2 years ago) Permalink

$480...

clemenza, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:07 (2 years ago) Permalink

lead down to 18

k3vin k., Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:09 (2 years ago) Permalink

NEWT: We can't wait. I don't care what David Gergen says about inevitability, Romney's weak, that's it. That's the key for us. Gotta get Romney.

CALLISTA: Lemme ask you something, Professor. I mean--what about Paul and Santorum, huh? What do we do with these...nuisances?

NEWT: They wanna have a debate with me, right? It will be me, Santorum, Paul, and Romney. Let's set the debate. Get our Twitter people to find out where it's gonna be held. Now, we insist it's a public place--an auditorium, a town hall, some place where there's people so I feel safe.
They're gonna shake hands with me when I first meet them, right, so I can't be frothing at the mouth then. But if Bill Kristol can figure a way to have opposition research planted there for me--then I'll kill 'em all.

clemenza, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:29 (2 years ago) Permalink

debates are for sissies. newt will only settle for lincoln-douglas debates

mookieproof, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:32 (2 years ago) Permalink

ONE VOTE

k3vin k., Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:37 (2 years ago) Permalink

Rick Santorum seen that shit and said: "Fuck it, imma run too, fuck it"

i see these dudes going, "You can win Rick, coz you're bigger than motherfucking Mitt Romney. Fuck Mitt Romney. Fuck him man, run for president." And Rick going: "Yeah, fuck that shit."

You know he got a chance he can win. White dudes like to do shit like that...vote for the wrong dude as a goof. They get drunk and shit and go like, "Let's vote for Rick Santorum!" *pulls lever* "haha I just voted for Rick Santorum!" And next day would be like this: "He fuckin' won?"

omar little, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:39 (2 years ago) Permalink

ricky 'the body' santorum

mookieproof, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:40 (2 years ago) Permalink

carson dial, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 06:48 (2 years ago) Permalink

shame that this isn't a contest that matters

anorange (abanana), Wednesday, 4 January 2012 07:19 (2 years ago) Permalink

Romney wins by 8.

Clay, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 07:38 (2 years ago) Permalink

damn

BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 08:21 (2 years ago) Permalink

was it good for all of you/

would looooove for 8 votes to decide the Obamney election in Nov.

Dr Morbois de Bologne (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 4 January 2012 12:36 (2 years ago) Permalink

For this I got up? The only good thing that may come out of this is that the salt has been rubbed into the wound a little deeper.

http://www.cnn.com/2012/01/04/politics/gop-iowa-gingrich/index.html?hpt=hp_t2

"Lying in wait"--sounds good to me.

clemenza, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 12:43 (2 years ago) Permalink

you really need baseball to start soon. you know, something significant.

Dr Morbois de Bologne (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 4 January 2012 12:51 (2 years ago) Permalink

Go Newt! I mean, go Jays!

clemenza, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 12:53 (2 years ago) Permalink

On the one hand this is pretty easy to spin for Romney, he can just point out that it's a marathon not a sprint. For him. For Santorum, it's a sprint.

On the other hand, nearly exactly 30,000 out of 120,000* does look like there are actual occult forces pinning him to 25%.

*Yeah, I know, 120,000 is not the exact figure, just the one being thrown around.

Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 13:02 (2 years ago) Permalink

romney down to 40 on in trade! I know I'm the only one who cares about intrade but 97.5 to 40 in like 10 mins is pretty lol

i think this says everything you need to know about how much attention to pay to intrade

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 4 January 2012 13:44 (2 years ago) Permalink

he won by 5 votes!

lag∞n, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 14:18 (2 years ago) Permalink

intrade is a pretty useful marker of public expectations, but yeah, bad at predicting elections w/ an 8 vote margin

iatee, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 14:25 (2 years ago) Permalink


guuys

lag∞n, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 14:57 (2 years ago) Permalink

the one on the far right (heh) is cute

lumber up, limbaugh down (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:06 (2 years ago) Permalink

waht abt the one in the middle HUBBA HUBBA

lag∞n, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:16 (2 years ago) Permalink

iatee i'd say it's worse than that - with romney at 97.5 intrade wasn't even remotely accurate as to how tight the outcome would be

TracerHandVEVO (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:17 (2 years ago) Permalink

both those numbers were reactions to nearly finished vote counting totals no

lag∞n, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:19 (2 years ago) Permalink

if you want to evaluate its predictive powers its prob better to look before the voting started

lag∞n, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:20 (2 years ago) Permalink

before the caucuses intrade had them romney->santorum->paul

when the votes were being counted it was just people trying to be the first ones to play on public information. it's not really a prediction market in the same sense during moments like those.

xp right

iatee, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:22 (2 years ago) Permalink

Sincere question: between now and New Hampshire, will there be people from this whispered-about Republican Establishment contacting Gingrich--either directly or through intermediaries--and asking him to back off for the sake of getting Romney elected, and also to secure whatever future he has as a party eminence?

clemenza, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:23 (2 years ago) Permalink

man i'm so glad this whole thing is over!

goole, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:24 (2 years ago) Permalink

no xp

iatee, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:24 (2 years ago) Permalink

assume thats been going on the whole time, the gop establishment has been in a frothy panic for the last month that gingrich might win, the other anti romneys they dont really take serious

lag∞n, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:26 (2 years ago) Permalink

http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2012/01/republican-nomination

in this and other stories like it i'm always a little struck that the people they talk to (esp those who are explaining why they are voting for romney) seem a lot less crazy than the aggregate shitshow. maybe it's an iowa thing...

goole, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:27 (2 years ago) Permalink

lol i can only pray http://motherjones.com/politics/2012/01/newt-gingrich-romney-gop-destroyer

lag∞n, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:28 (2 years ago) Permalink

what do they have to offer him? what does he have to lose? if he doesn't want to play the GOP spoiler it'll be because he doesn't want to play the GOP spoiler.

xp

iatee, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:28 (2 years ago) Permalink

It's definitely been going on in full public view--in editorials, on Sunday morning shows, etc.--I'm just curious as to how much (or whether) it goes on in earnest out of public view.

clemenza, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:29 (2 years ago) Permalink

http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/01/04/rickrolled_three_lessons_from_iowa.html

dave weigel thinks that the numbers say enthusiasm is way down but idk if his interp is right

goole, Wednesday, 4 January 2012 15:29 (2 years ago) Permalink


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